Acessibilidade / Reportar erro

Prognostic factors for incomplete response in thyroid microcarcinoma: an analysis of initial response to therapy in 517 patients

ABSTRACT

Objective:

Although thyroid microcarcinoma (TMC) usually has a favorable prognosis, some patients present a higher risk of disease recurrence or persistence. Thus, we aimed at identifying possible risk factors associated with an incomplete response to therapy in TMC.

Subjects and methods:

This was a retrospective study of 517 patients with TMC treated with total thyroidectomy, with or without radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy, reclassified after 1.1 ± 0.4 years according to the response to treatment into “favorable” (excellent/indeterminate) or “unfavorable” (biochemical/structural incomplete) responses. We evaluated participants' age, sex, tumor size, histological variants, multifocality, presence of vascular/lymphatic/perineural invasion, extrathyroidal extension, metastatic lymph nodes (LN), and distant metastasis. The effect of RAI therapy on the response range was analyzed in a given subgroup.

Results:

The mean age observed was 46.4 ± 12.0 years, and 89.7% were female. We noted 97.5% with papillary carcinoma, 27.8% with multifocality and 11.2% with LN metastasis. Although the majority of patients had a low risk of recurrence/persistence (78%), 75% were submitted to RAI therapy. Incomplete response (20.7%) was associated with multifocality (p=0.041; OR=1.619) and metastatic LN (p=0.041; OR=1.868). These variables were strongly correlated (p=0.000; OR=3.283). No cut-off of tumor size was identified as a predictor of incomplete response by the receiver operating curve analysis. RAI treatment did not influence the response of patients with multifocality or LN metastasis.

Conclusion:

Multifocality and LN metastasis are independent risk factors for incomplete response in TMC patients and are strongly correlated. Additional RAI therapy was not associated with a more favorable response in these subgroups.

Keywords
Thyroid neoplasms; thyroid microcarcinoma; prognostic factors; active surveillance; multifocality

INTRODUCTION

Thyroid cancer is the most common endocrine neoplasm, and its incidence is on a significant rise in the last 30 years (11. Howlader N, Krapcho M, Miller D, Brest A, Yu M, Ruhl J, et al. SEER Cancer Statistics Review, 1975–2016. National Cancer Institute. Disponível em: https://seer.cancer.gov/csr/1975_2016/.
https://seer.cancer.gov/csr/1975_2016/...
). This is mainly due to a greater screening of thyroid microcarcinoma (TMC), defined as a tumor measuring 1 cm or less in its largest diameter, and has contributed to almost 50% of new cases (22. Davies L, Welch HG. Current thyroid cancer trends in the United States. JAMA Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg. 2014;140(4):317-22.,33. Ahn HS, Kim HJ, Welch HG. Korea's thyroid-cancer “epidemic”--screening and overdiagnosis. N Engl J Med. 2014; 371(19):1765-7.).

Moreover, mortality from thyroid cancer remains low and stable, suggesting that TMC is, in most cases, an indolent tumor, detected incidentally on ultrasound examination (33. Ahn HS, Kim HJ, Welch HG. Korea's thyroid-cancer “epidemic”--screening and overdiagnosis. N Engl J Med. 2014; 371(19):1765-7.,44. Li M, Dal Maso L, Vaccarella S. Global trends in thyroid cancer incidence and the impact of overdiagnosis. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2020;8(6):468-70.). In addition, TMC is present in 5 - 36% of individuals in autopsy studies due to death from non-thyroidal causes and is an anatomopathological finding in 10% of thyroid glands removed due to benign disease (55. Leboulleux S, Tuttle M, Pacini F, Schlumberger M. Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: time to shift from surgery to active surveillance? Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2016;4:933-42.).

Therefore, with its low risk of persistence and/or recurrence and a mortality rate of less than 1% (66. Mazzaferri EL. Management of low-risk differentiated thyroid cancer. Endocr Pract. 2007;13:498-512.), active surveillance has been proposed as an appropriate therapeutic strategy for low-risk patients, with outcomes similar to that of surgical treatment (77. Miyauchi A. Clinical trials of active surveillance of papillary microcarcinoma of the thyroid. World J Surg. 2016;40(3):516-22.).

Nevertheless, some patients with TMC show a higher risk of disease recurrence and may require a more aggressive approach (88. Mehanna H, Al-Maqbili T, Carter B, Martin E, Campain N, Watkinson J, et al. Differences in the recurrence and mortality outcomes rates of incidental and nonincidental papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 21 329 person-years of follow-up. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2014; 99(8):2834-43.). Currently, some factors have been suggested as possible indicators of worse outcomes; however, there is still debate in the literature about their prognostic value.

The majority of studies involving risk factors for TMC focus on parameters that predispose to the development of lymph node (LN) metastasis at diagnosis (99. Luo Y, Zhao Y, Chen K, Shen J, Shi J, Lu S, et al. Clinical analysis of cervical lymph node metastasis risk factors in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. J Endocrinol Invest. 2019;42(2):227-36.1212. Gui CY, Qiu SL, Peng ZH, Wang M. Clinical and pathologic predictors of central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a retrospective cohort study. J Endocrinol Invest. 2018;41(4):403-9.). However, according to the guidelines of the American Thyroid Association (ATA) 2015 (1313. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26(1):1-133.), a good way to assess a patient's prognosis is to classify them correctly according to the risk of recurrence or persistence of the disease and on the type of response after 6–24 months of the initial treatment (1414. Tuttle RM, Tala H, Shah J, Leboeuf R, Ghossein R, Gonen M, et al. Estimating risk of recurrence in differentiated thyroid cancer after total thyroidectomy and radioactive iodine remnant ablation: using response to therapy variables to modify the initial risk estimates predicted by the new American Thyroid Association staging system. Thyroid. 2010;20(12):1341-9.), considering not only evidence of structural disease but also the values of serum thyroglobulin (Tg) and anti-Tg antibody (TgAb) levels.

The ATA's “response to therapy restaging system” (1313. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26(1):1-133.) classifies patients into four categories: excellent, indeterminate, biochemical incomplete and structural incomplete response. To the best of our knowledge, there is no available evidence on the prognostic factors of TMC for response range using the dynamic risk stratification proposed by the ATA. Thus, the aim of this study was to identify possible risk factors associated with an initial incomplete response in patients with TMC.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

Patients and study design

A total of 5344 patients who underwent thyroid surgery for malignancy between 1972 and 2015 compose the database of DTC patients from the Nuclear Medicine Service, Nuclimagem (Figure 1). Nuclimagem is a nuclear medicine service that provides specialized care to patients in Santa Casa de Misericórdia de São Paulo. It receives patients from Santa Casa and all other regions of the state, referred by the Sao Paulo State Health Secretary to undergo treatments or examinations. For this reason, a long follow-up period was not possible for most patients.

Figure 1
Flowchart of patients with thyroid microcarcinoma included in the retrospective cohort study.

Patients who were diagnosed with TMC (a total of 1840) were selected. TMC was defined as a thyroid tumor 1 cm or less in diameter, in accordance with the WHO classification (1515. De Lellis R, Lloyd R, Heitz P, Eng C. World Health Organization classification of tumours: pathology and genetics of tumours of the endocrine organs. International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC). 2004; Lyon, France.). Therefore, only adults (> 18 years) who underwent total thyroidectomy, with or without additional RAI therapy, with complete follow-up data from 6 to 24 months after initial treatment were included in this study. Patients who underwent partial thyroidectomy (211 patients) or those with incomplete follow-up data (the measurement of Tg, TgAb, whole-body scintigraphy [WBS], or neck ultrasound [US]) were excluded (Figure 1). Due to the wide variation in TgAb assays in recent years, we also opted to remove patients with positive TgAb in our study to avoid possible errors in assessing the type of treatment response.

Subsequently, we had available information to classify 517 patients according to the ATA dynamic risk stratification using the response to therapy restaging system (1313. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26(1):1-133.). The patients were evaluated retrospectively. They were also followed-up for a mean of 1.1 ± 0.4 years (from 6 to 24 months), with a physical examination, thyroid ultrasonography, measurement of serum Tg and TgAb levels, and with or without a diagnostic WBS.

Patients were also stratified using TNM staging according to the 8th AJCC/UICC (1616. Amin MB, Edge S, Greene FL, Byrd DR, Brookland RK, Washington MK, et al. AJCC Cancer Staging Manual. 8th ed. Springer International Publishing: American Joint Commission on Cancer. 2017; New York.) to predict disease mortality and according to the ATA initial risk stratification system (1313. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26(1):1-133.) to predict the risk of disease recurrence and/or persistence (1313. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26(1):1-133.).

Outcomes

We reevaluated patients 6-24 months after initial treatment (first assessment after ablation or first assessment after surgery in those patients not subjected to RAI treatment) by measuring their levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH), Tg, TgAb and stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg), and by performing a neck US, with or without a WBS. Overall, 125 patients did not undergo sTg. In these cases, the suppressed Tg level was used as an alternative.

Clinical status was assessed for each of the 517 patients and was defined by classifying patients' response to initial treatment as excellent, indeterminate, biochemical incomplete and structural incomplete responses, according to the 2015 ATA classification (1313. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26(1):1-133.). To enable statistical analysis, patients with excellent and indeterminate responses were classified as having a “favorable response”, while those with biochemical or structural incomplete responses were classified as “unfavorable response”. These groups were pooled into a single incomplete response group, given the need for similar treatment (suppressive levothyroxine therapy) and closer follow-up.

Excellent response was considered if the imaging findings were negative and the patient had either a suppressed Tg level of < 0.2 ng/mL or a sTg level of < 1.0 ng/mL if remnant RAI ablation was performed, or Tg level of < 0.2 ng/mL or a sTg level of < 2.0 ng/mL without RAI ablation. The indeterminate response indicated non-specific findings on imaging studies, faint uptake in the thyroid bed on RAI scanning, and a non-stimulated detectable Tg level of ≥ 0.2 ng/mL but < 1.0 ng/mL with RAI ablation or 0.2 - 5.0 ng/dL without RAI ablation or a sTg detectable level ≥ 1.0 but < 10 ng/mL with RAI ablation or ≥ 2.0 but < 10 ng/dL without RAI ablation. Biochemically incomplete response was reported if the imaging findings were negative and the patient had either a sTg level of ≥ 1.0 ng/mL with RAI ablation or ≥ 5.0 ng/dL without RAI ablation or a sTg level of ≥ 10 ng/mL. A structural incomplete response was indicated if there was structural or functional evidence of disease despite Tg levels (1313. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26(1):1-133.).

Study's variables

The following variables were evaluated as risk factors to an “unfavorable response”: age at diagnosis (< 55 and ≥ 55 years), gender, tumor size at the largest diameter, histology (papillary or follicular carcinoma), variants of papillary carcinoma (classic, follicular, and others), multifocality, presence of vascular/lymphatic/perineural invasion, extrathyroidal extension, presence of metastatic LN or distant metastasis. Multifocality was present when two or more tumor foci were found in the thyroid lobes. The presence of metastatic LN was considered when LN involvement was greater than 0.2 cm.

We also evaluated the additive effect of RAI therapy on the response range.

Assays

The analyses of sTg at ablation and TgAb were performed in the same laboratory, and the levels were assessed using the immulite thyroglobulin assay. This is a first-generation Tg assay with a functional sensitivity (FS) of 1.0 ng/mL and a lower limit of detection of 0.2 ng/mL.

For patients assessed for response to initial treatment until 2015, sTg was used because second-generation Tg assays were not available in our laboratory. After 2015, patients' response to initial treatment was evaluated by measuring the sTg levels because as second-generation Tg assays started becoming available in our institution. Thereafter, Tg levels were assessed using the chemiluminescent assay (Access Thyroglobulin Assay; Beckman Coulter) with an FS of 0.1 ng/mL.

TgAb was measured by a chemiluminescent assay (Immulite 2000 [Diagnostic Products Corporation; reference value of up to 40 IU/mL] or ARCHITET TgAb [Abbott Laboratories; reference value of up to 4.11.

Imaging methods

Neck US was performed by experienced ultrasonographers from our Institution using a high-resolution color Doppler US apparatus with a 7.5-MHz linear transducer. Diagnostic or post-therapeutic 131I-WBS was performed using a one-head – camera (Apex SPX 4000; Elscint Italia, Milan, Italy) with a high-energy collimator and a sensitivity of 160 cpm/mCi. The scan speed was 10 cm/min, with a total count of 100,000 cpm minimum.

Statistical analysis

Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS version 20.0. Categorical variables were expressed as absolute and relative frequencies and were compared using the chi-square or Fisher's exact test where appropriate. Continuous variables were expressed as mean and standard deviation. Univariate analysis was performed to investigate the association between incomplete responses and clinical variables. A multivariate logistic regression model was performed to investigate independent risk factors significantly related to incomplete response, and the odds ratios (ORs) for this analysis were calculated for variables that were significant in the univariate analyses. Statistical significance was considered at p values < 0.05.

A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to identify the best cut-off of tumor size at the largest diameter to predict incomplete response. It was based on the values of sensitivity and specificity and on the calculation of the area under the curve of tests. The Youden index was used to estimate the best cut-off, based on the fact that the highest index represents the best balance point between sensibility and specificity.

To evaluate the effect of RAI activities on the initial response to therapy, we exclusively analyzed the subgroup of patients with significant findings in multivariate analyses, considering the hypothesis that this particular group would more likely benefit from additional treatment. We compared the response range in patients who had received RAI therapy after surgery and those who underwent total thyroidectomy without RAI therapy.

The study was approved by the local research Ethics Committee (CCAE: 28945420.5.0000.5479).

RESULTS

We retrospectively evaluated 517 patients diagnosed with TMC. The mean age at diagnosis was 46.4 ± 12.0 years, and 89.7% were female. The majority of the patients (97.5%) had papillary carcinoma. The mean tumor size was 0.6 ± 0.2 cm. Multifocality was present in 27.8% of the sample, and 11.2% had lymph node metastasis at the time of diagnosis.

The AJCC/TNM Staging System, 8th Edition, stratified 97.5% of the patients as stage I. According to the ATA Initial Risk Stratification, most patients had a low risk of disease recurrence or persistence (78%). Despite this, 75% of patients underwent RAI therapy as an adjuvant treatment. Additional histological features are shown in Table 1.

Table 1
Baseline characteristics of TMC (thyroid microcarcinoma) patients according to the American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification (1313. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26(1):1-133.)

After a mean of 1.1 ± 0.4 years (0.5 to 2 years) of the initial treatment, patients were reclassified in relation to their response to initial therapy. An incomplete response was observed in 20.7% of cases. In univariate analysis, multifocality (p = 0.012; OR = 1.774; 95% CI [1.113 - 2.784]) and LN metastasis at diagnosis (p = 0.010; OR = 2.121; 95% CI [1.181 - 3.808]) were significantly associated with incomplete response (Table 2). Multivariate analysis confirmed that they were independent risk factors for incomplete response (Table 3). In addition, these two variables were found to be strongly correlated with each other (p = 0.000; OR = 3.283; 95% CI [1.895 - 5.687]) (Table 4).

Table 2
Univariate analysis of factors associated with incomplete response 6-24 months after initial therapy
Table 3
Factors associated with incomplete response by multivariate analysis
Table 4
Association between multifocality and presence of metastatic lymph nodes

To identify the best cut-off of tumor size at the largest diameter to predict an incomplete response, ROC curve analysis was performed. However, as demonstrated in Figure 2, owing to the similarity between the curve and the diagonal, no point of the curve resulted in a significant difference in the response range.

Figure 2
ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) curve used to identify the best cut-off of tumor size at the largest diameter to predict incomplete response. Area under the curve = 0.516; Highest Youden Index = 0.037.

Regarding the effect of RAI therapy on the initial response, no significant association was observed between RAI treatment and response range in patients with the multifocal disease (p = 0.467) (Table 5). Furthermore, similar results were found in the subgroup of patients with metastatic LN at the time of diagnosis (Table 5). In this analysis, although Fisher's test showed a p-value of 0.043, the univariate analysis demonstrated no significant association (OR = 10.7; 95% CI [0.5-195.9]). Therefore, additional treatment with RAI therapy was not related to a better outcome, even when analyzed exclusively in the subgroups of patients with a higher risk of an unfavorable response.

Table 5
Association between RAI therapy and response range in the subgroup of patients with presence of multifocality and metastatic lymph nodes

DISCUSSION

Due to the evidence that TMC generally has an indolent course and a low risk of recurrence and/or persistence, the ATA considers the possibility of active surveillance instead of immediate surgery in patients with low-risk TMC (1313. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26(1):1-133.). However, the identification of prognostic factors is important in deciding which patients are more suitable for active surveillance and for other therapeutic strategies.

In accordance with Ito and cols. (1717. Ito Y, Miyauchi A. Active surveillance of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinomas in Japan and other countries: a review. Expert Rev Endocrinol Metab. 2020;15(1):5-12.) and Tuttle and cols. (1818. Tuttle RM, Zhang L, Shaha A. A clinical framework to facilitate selection of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer for active surveillance or less aggressive initial surgical management. Expert Rev Endocrinol Metab. 2018;13(2):77-85.), patients with LN involvement or signs of extrathyroidal extension (signs or symptoms of invasion of the recurrent laryngeal nerve or trachea) are not eligible for active surveillance. Moreover, Brito and cols. (1919. Brito JP, Ito Y, Miyauchi A, Tuttle RM. A clinical framework to facilitate risk stratification when considering an active surveillance alternative to immediate biopsy and surgery in papillary microcarcinoma. Thyroid. 2016; 26(1):144-9.) divided patients into ideal, appropriate, and inappropriate candidates for active surveillance. In these categories, the authors suggest that the presence of extrathyroidal extension, multifocality, LN metastasis and other factors should be considered.

To our knowledge, this is the first study to correlate risk factors with the response range of dynamic ATA risk stratification in patients with TMC. In our study, 20.7% of the patients with TMC presented with an unfavorable response (biochemical and structural incomplete responses) after the initial treatment. This is higher than that reported by Mazzaferri and cols. (66. Mazzaferri EL. Management of low-risk differentiated thyroid cancer. Endocr Pract. 2007;13:498-512.), who found locoregional and distant recurrences of TMC in 5.9% and 1.5%, respectively. This is probably because we used evidence of both structural and biochemical disease to classify patients' response to therapy. In addition, our data were from a tertiary service where patients are referred to obtain specialized care.

LN metastasis (p = 0.041; OR = 1.868; 95% CI [1.024 - 3.406]) and multifocality (p = 0.041; OR = 1.619; 95% CI [1.019-2.571]) were independently associated with incomplete response. An interesting descriptive and meta-analysis study of TMC dating from 2008 also showed that multifocality (p = 0.001; OR = 0.174; 95% CI [0.105 - 0.290]) and lymph node metastasis (p = 0.001; OR = 0.213; 95% CI [0.136 - 0.336]) at diagnosis were positively associated with a higher risk of recurrence, especially in patients younger than 45 years (2020. Roti E, degli Uberti EC, Bondanelli M, Braverman LE. Thyroid papillary microcarcinoma: a descriptive and meta-analysis study. Eur J Endocrinol. 2008;159(6):659-73.). In the same way, tumor size, gender, vascular and extrathyroidal invasion did not play a significant role as impact factor for recurrence.

The majority of studies involving risk factors for TMC focus on variables that predispose to the development of LN metastasis at diagnosis as the main characteristic associated with a worse prognosis (99. Luo Y, Zhao Y, Chen K, Shen J, Shi J, Lu S, et al. Clinical analysis of cervical lymph node metastasis risk factors in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. J Endocrinol Invest. 2019;42(2):227-36.1212. Gui CY, Qiu SL, Peng ZH, Wang M. Clinical and pathologic predictors of central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a retrospective cohort study. J Endocrinol Invest. 2018;41(4):403-9.). We demonstrated that metastatic LNs and multifocality were strongly associated with each other. Karatzas and cols. (2121. Karatzas T, Vasileiadis I, Kapetanakis S, Karakostas E, Chrousos G, Kouraklis G. Risk factors contributing to the difference in prognosis for papillary versus micropapillary thyroid carcinoma. Am J Surg. 2013;206(4):586-93.), in a retrospective study of 539 patients with papillary carcinoma of whom 57.7% had TMC, also demonstrated this association. Guo and cols. (2222. Guo Y, Liu Z, Yu P, Liu C, Ming J, Zhang N, Yusufu M, Chen C, Huang T. Using foci number to predict central lymph node metastases of papillary thyroid microcarcinomas with multifocality. Int J Clin Exp Med. 2015;8(6):9925-30.) revealed in a study of 329 patients that TMC with 2, 3, or 4 foci had a higher risk of LN metastasis. Kaliszewski and cols. (1111. Kaliszewski K, Diakowska D, Wojtczak B, Forkasiewicz Z, Pupka D, Nowak L, et al. Which papillary thyroid microcarcinoma should be treated as “true cancer” and which as “precancer”? World J Surg Oncol. 2019;17(1):91.) showed that the presence of multifocal or bilateral tumors was a significant predictor of LN metastasis in a retrospective study of 177 patients with TMC and metastatic LN. A meta-analysis of 14 studies and 4573 patients found that a higher risk of central LN metastases was associated with multifocality, but not with bilateral tumors (2323. Liu Z, Wang L, Yi P, Wang CY, Huang T. Risk factors for central lymph node metastasis of patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a meta-analysis. Int J Clin Exp Pathol. 2014;7(3):932-7.). All these findings lead us to consider the possibility of LN metastases in thyroid glands with the presence of multifocal TMC over time, thus suggesting that these patients are not eligible for active surveillance only, as suggested first by Brito and cols. (1919. Brito JP, Ito Y, Miyauchi A, Tuttle RM. A clinical framework to facilitate risk stratification when considering an active surveillance alternative to immediate biopsy and surgery in papillary microcarcinoma. Thyroid. 2016; 26(1):144-9.), or will need an earlier rescue surgery.

Although the impact of LN metastasis is well established, there are ongoing debates about multifocality being a cause of more aggressive behavior and a higher risk of disease recurrence and persistence in TMC. Again, multifocality is almost always related to LN metastasis than is assessed as an independent risk factor for a worse prognosis. Hay and cols. (2424. Hay ID, Hutchinson ME, Gonzalez-Losada T, McIver B, Reinalda ME, Grant CS, Thompson GB, Sebo TJ, Goellner JR. Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a study of 900 cases observed in a 60-year period. Surgery. 2008;144(6):980-7.) reported that multifocality and LN metastasis at diagnosis increased the risk for nodal involvement (mean follow-up of 17 years), with 11% of multifocal tumors exhibiting higher recurrence/persistence compared with only 4% of unifocal tumors. In a Korean study that evaluated clinical and pathological characteristics and prognostic factors in 527 TMC patients, multifocality and sex were identified as risk factors for metastatic LN in young patients (< 45 years), whereas multifocality and LN metastasis were identified in older patients (> 45 years) (2525. Cho JK, Kim JY, Jeong CY, Jung EJ, Park ST, Jeong SH, et al. Clinical features and prognostic factors in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma depends on age. J Korean Surg Soc. 2012;82(5):281-7.). We could not find any association between incomplete response and age or sex. On the other hand, some studies did not find a correlation of a worse prognosis of multicentricity, especially if the nodules were in the same lobe or smaller than 1 cm (2626. Lee KJ, Cho YJ, Kim SJ, Lee SC, Kim JG, Ahn CJ, et al. Analysis of the clinicopathologic features of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma based on 7-mm tumor size. World J Surg. 2011 Feb;35(2):318-23.,2727. Kim KJ, Kim SM, Lee YS, Chung WY, Chang HS, Park CS. Prognostic significance of tumor multifocality in papillary thyroid carcinoma and its relationship with primary tumor size: a retrospective study of 2,309 consecutive patients. Ann Surg Oncol. 2015; 22(1):125-31.).

It is also mentioned that tumor size plays a role as a prognostic factor (2020. Roti E, degli Uberti EC, Bondanelli M, Braverman LE. Thyroid papillary microcarcinoma: a descriptive and meta-analysis study. Eur J Endocrinol. 2008;159(6):659-73.), but in our findings, no cut-off of tumor size was considered a good predictor for an incomplete response. Although there are no studies comparing tumor size and response range to our knowledge, several studies have evaluated the relationship between tumor size and the presence of metastatic lymph nodes. Jin and cols. (2828. Jin WX, Ye DR, Sun YH, Zhou XF, Wang OC, Zhang XH, et al. Prediction of central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma according to clinicopathologic factors and thyroid nodule sonographic features: a case-control study. Cancer Manag Res. 2018 Sep 4;10:3237-43.) found that a tumor size of 5 mm or higher was an independent predictor of central LN metastases, while tumors larger than 7 mm were predictors of central or lateral LN metastases. A meta-analysis of 19 studies and 8345 TMC patients also demonstrated that central LN metastases were associated with tumor size > 5 mm (2929. Qu H, Sun GR, Liu Y, He QS. Clinical risk factors for central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Clin Endocrinol (Oxf). 2015;83(1):124-32.). Lee and cols. (2626. Lee KJ, Cho YJ, Kim SJ, Lee SC, Kim JG, Ahn CJ, et al. Analysis of the clinicopathologic features of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma based on 7-mm tumor size. World J Surg. 2011 Feb;35(2):318-23.) and Xu and cols. (3030. Xu D, Lv X, Wang S, Dai W. Risk factors for predicting central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. Int J Clin Exp Pathol. 2014;7:6199-205.), found that a tumor size of > 7 mm was associated with more aggressive features. Nevertheless, the authors agree that the smaller the tumor, the lower the probability of LN metastasis. However, the association between tumor size and response range is still not established and requires further study.

RAI therapy is not indicated for most patients with TMC because of its low risk of tumor recurrence (1313. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26(1):1-133.). In our study, the rate of RAI therapy was high (75%) because the sample comprised of patients with TMC diagnosed since the 1970s when RAI therapy was indicated for all patients, independent of the risk. According to the ATA 2015 guidelines, RAI therapy is only indicated for high-risk patients and can be recommended in intermediate-risk patients, as cases of TMC with the presence of LN metastases (five or more lymph nodes affected with a size of > 0.2 cm) (1313. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26(1):1-133.).

Therefore, our aim was to assess whether these patients who evolved with an incomplete response due to multifocality or LN metastasis would benefit from additional RAI treatment. However, they did not show a better response range than patients in the same group without RAI therapy. Similar results were found in a study of 900 TMC patients with a follow-up of 60 years that observed higher tumor recurrence in patients with multifocal TMC or LN metastasis at diagnosis, with RAI remnant ablation not significantly reducing tumor recurrence rates (2424. Hay ID, Hutchinson ME, Gonzalez-Losada T, McIver B, Reinalda ME, Grant CS, Thompson GB, Sebo TJ, Goellner JR. Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a study of 900 cases observed in a 60-year period. Surgery. 2008;144(6):980-7.).

Unfortunately, long-term follow-up of the patients was not performed in our study. Moreover, surgery and follow-up of patients were not carried out at the same center, and we consider these as limitations to our study, although RAI was administered in the same laboratory, using the same protocols. As mentioned, the Nuclear Medicine Division of Santa Casa de São Paulo is a tertiary center that receives patients from several other centers to undergo RAI therapy. Consequently, surgical ability, the extent of surgery (with or without lymphadenectomy), histological details (as the number of metastatic lymph nodes), and follow-up protocols specific to each service could be considered as confounding factors.

Therefore, we conclude that although patients with TMC are considered low risk and evolve well, there is a particular group of patients (those showing multifocality and LN metastasis at the time of diagnosis) which can evolve with an incomplete response and thereby benefit from surgical treatment without complementary radioiodine treatment, as the latter did not show any additional benefit for this group of patients in our study. Long-term follow-up studies are strongly recommended to corroborate our findings.

  • Funding: this research did not receive any specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.

REFERENCES

  • 1
    Howlader N, Krapcho M, Miller D, Brest A, Yu M, Ruhl J, et al. SEER Cancer Statistics Review, 1975–2016. National Cancer Institute. Disponível em: https://seer.cancer.gov/csr/1975_2016/
    » https://seer.cancer.gov/csr/1975_2016/
  • 2
    Davies L, Welch HG. Current thyroid cancer trends in the United States. JAMA Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg. 2014;140(4):317-22.
  • 3
    Ahn HS, Kim HJ, Welch HG. Korea's thyroid-cancer “epidemic”--screening and overdiagnosis. N Engl J Med. 2014; 371(19):1765-7.
  • 4
    Li M, Dal Maso L, Vaccarella S. Global trends in thyroid cancer incidence and the impact of overdiagnosis. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2020;8(6):468-70.
  • 5
    Leboulleux S, Tuttle M, Pacini F, Schlumberger M. Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: time to shift from surgery to active surveillance? Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2016;4:933-42.
  • 6
    Mazzaferri EL. Management of low-risk differentiated thyroid cancer. Endocr Pract. 2007;13:498-512.
  • 7
    Miyauchi A. Clinical trials of active surveillance of papillary microcarcinoma of the thyroid. World J Surg. 2016;40(3):516-22.
  • 8
    Mehanna H, Al-Maqbili T, Carter B, Martin E, Campain N, Watkinson J, et al. Differences in the recurrence and mortality outcomes rates of incidental and nonincidental papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 21 329 person-years of follow-up. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2014; 99(8):2834-43.
  • 9
    Luo Y, Zhao Y, Chen K, Shen J, Shi J, Lu S, et al. Clinical analysis of cervical lymph node metastasis risk factors in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. J Endocrinol Invest. 2019;42(2):227-36.
  • 10
    Huang XP, Ye TT, Zhang L, Liu RF, Lai XJ, Wang L, et al. Sonographic features of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma predicting high-volume central neck lymph node metastasis. Surg Oncol. 2018;27(2):172-6.
  • 11
    Kaliszewski K, Diakowska D, Wojtczak B, Forkasiewicz Z, Pupka D, Nowak L, et al. Which papillary thyroid microcarcinoma should be treated as “true cancer” and which as “precancer”? World J Surg Oncol. 2019;17(1):91.
  • 12
    Gui CY, Qiu SL, Peng ZH, Wang M. Clinical and pathologic predictors of central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a retrospective cohort study. J Endocrinol Invest. 2018;41(4):403-9.
  • 13
    Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26(1):1-133.
  • 14
    Tuttle RM, Tala H, Shah J, Leboeuf R, Ghossein R, Gonen M, et al. Estimating risk of recurrence in differentiated thyroid cancer after total thyroidectomy and radioactive iodine remnant ablation: using response to therapy variables to modify the initial risk estimates predicted by the new American Thyroid Association staging system. Thyroid. 2010;20(12):1341-9.
  • 15
    De Lellis R, Lloyd R, Heitz P, Eng C. World Health Organization classification of tumours: pathology and genetics of tumours of the endocrine organs. International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC). 2004; Lyon, France.
  • 16
    Amin MB, Edge S, Greene FL, Byrd DR, Brookland RK, Washington MK, et al. AJCC Cancer Staging Manual. 8th ed. Springer International Publishing: American Joint Commission on Cancer. 2017; New York.
  • 17
    Ito Y, Miyauchi A. Active surveillance of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinomas in Japan and other countries: a review. Expert Rev Endocrinol Metab. 2020;15(1):5-12.
  • 18
    Tuttle RM, Zhang L, Shaha A. A clinical framework to facilitate selection of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer for active surveillance or less aggressive initial surgical management. Expert Rev Endocrinol Metab. 2018;13(2):77-85.
  • 19
    Brito JP, Ito Y, Miyauchi A, Tuttle RM. A clinical framework to facilitate risk stratification when considering an active surveillance alternative to immediate biopsy and surgery in papillary microcarcinoma. Thyroid. 2016; 26(1):144-9.
  • 20
    Roti E, degli Uberti EC, Bondanelli M, Braverman LE. Thyroid papillary microcarcinoma: a descriptive and meta-analysis study. Eur J Endocrinol. 2008;159(6):659-73.
  • 21
    Karatzas T, Vasileiadis I, Kapetanakis S, Karakostas E, Chrousos G, Kouraklis G. Risk factors contributing to the difference in prognosis for papillary versus micropapillary thyroid carcinoma. Am J Surg. 2013;206(4):586-93.
  • 22
    Guo Y, Liu Z, Yu P, Liu C, Ming J, Zhang N, Yusufu M, Chen C, Huang T. Using foci number to predict central lymph node metastases of papillary thyroid microcarcinomas with multifocality. Int J Clin Exp Med. 2015;8(6):9925-30.
  • 23
    Liu Z, Wang L, Yi P, Wang CY, Huang T. Risk factors for central lymph node metastasis of patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a meta-analysis. Int J Clin Exp Pathol. 2014;7(3):932-7.
  • 24
    Hay ID, Hutchinson ME, Gonzalez-Losada T, McIver B, Reinalda ME, Grant CS, Thompson GB, Sebo TJ, Goellner JR. Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a study of 900 cases observed in a 60-year period. Surgery. 2008;144(6):980-7.
  • 25
    Cho JK, Kim JY, Jeong CY, Jung EJ, Park ST, Jeong SH, et al. Clinical features and prognostic factors in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma depends on age. J Korean Surg Soc. 2012;82(5):281-7.
  • 26
    Lee KJ, Cho YJ, Kim SJ, Lee SC, Kim JG, Ahn CJ, et al. Analysis of the clinicopathologic features of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma based on 7-mm tumor size. World J Surg. 2011 Feb;35(2):318-23.
  • 27
    Kim KJ, Kim SM, Lee YS, Chung WY, Chang HS, Park CS. Prognostic significance of tumor multifocality in papillary thyroid carcinoma and its relationship with primary tumor size: a retrospective study of 2,309 consecutive patients. Ann Surg Oncol. 2015; 22(1):125-31.
  • 28
    Jin WX, Ye DR, Sun YH, Zhou XF, Wang OC, Zhang XH, et al. Prediction of central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma according to clinicopathologic factors and thyroid nodule sonographic features: a case-control study. Cancer Manag Res. 2018 Sep 4;10:3237-43.
  • 29
    Qu H, Sun GR, Liu Y, He QS. Clinical risk factors for central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Clin Endocrinol (Oxf). 2015;83(1):124-32.
  • 30
    Xu D, Lv X, Wang S, Dai W. Risk factors for predicting central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. Int J Clin Exp Pathol. 2014;7:6199-205.
  • 31
    Pagano M, Gauvreau K. Principles of biostatistics. 2nd ed. Belmont, CA: Brooks/Cole. 2000.
  • 32
    Deeks JJ, Higgins JPT. Statistical algorithms in Review Manager 5. 2010.

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    29 Mar 2021
  • Date of issue
    2021

History

  • Received
    03 Apr 2020
  • Accepted
    10 Jan 2021
Sociedade Brasileira de Endocrinologia e Metabologia Rua Botucatu, 572 - Conjuntos 81/83, 04023-061 São Paulo SP Brasil, Tel: (55 11) 5575-0311 - São Paulo - SP - Brazil
E-mail: aem.editorial.office@endocrino.org.br