Determinantes do medo do crime no Brasil: o efeito da coesão social

Borges, Doriam; Cano, Ignácio

doi:10.15448/1984-7289.2021.3.35603

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Article • Civitas, Rev. Ciênc. Soc. 21 (3) • Sep-Dec 2021 • https://doi.org/10.15448/1984-7289.2021.3.35603 copiar

Determinantes do medo do crime no Brasil: o efeito da coesão social

Autoria SCIMAGO INSTITUTIONS RANKINGS

Resumo:

Embora alguns estudos sugiram que a natureza das interações com a comunidade influencie o risco percebido de vitimização criminal, apenas algumas pesquisas têm testado essa associação no Brasil. Utilizando quatro pesquisas brasileiras de vitimização, realizamos modelos logísticos para examinar se os laços sociais e a coesão social estão associados à percepção de risco e medo do crime. Os resultados mostraram que apenas em alguns contextos a coesão social manifestou associação com o medo do crime. Especificamente, dois componentes da coesão social podem ser relevantes para esse fim: confiar nos vizinhos e obter ajuda; e a capacidade de distinguir vizinhos de estranhos nas ruas.

Palavras-chave:
Medo do crime; Coesão social; Vitimização; Crime; Sentimento de insegurança

	Metropolitan Region of Rio de Janeiro										State of Mato Grosso										Metropolitan Region of Goiania					City of Belo Horizonte
	During the day					During the night					During the day					During the night					During the night					During the day					During the night
	Descriptive Analysis (% or Average)			Odds Ratio		Descriptive Analysis (% or Average)			Odds Ratio		Descriptive Analysis (% or Average)			Odds Ratio		Descriptive Analysis (% or Average)			Odds Ratio		Descriptive Analysis (% or Average)			Odds Ratio		Descriptive Analysis (% or Average)			Odds Ratio		Descriptive Analysis (% or Average)			Odds Ratio
	Safe	Unsafe	Total			Safe	Unsafe	Total			Safe	Unsafe	Total			Safe	Unsafe	Total			Safe	Unsafe	Total			Safe	Unsafe	Total			Safe	Unsafe	Total
(Intercept)				0,17	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;				1,03					0,1	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;				0,26	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;				5,08	^ P-vaLor <0.010;				0,45		Safe			1,65
Female	74,2%	25,8%	100,0%	1,28	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	44,9%	55,1%	100,0%	1,45	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	84,2%	15,8%	100,0%	1,36	^ P-vaLor <0.010;	66,4%	33,6%	100,0%	1,52	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	20,7%	79,3%	100,0%	2,74	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	43,6%	56,4%	100,0%	1,82	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	10,6%	89,4%	100,0%	2,51	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;
Male	77,3%	22,7%	100,0%	1		50,9%	49,1%	100,0%	1		88,6%	11,4%	100,0%	1		76,8%	23,2%	100,0%	1		39,9%	60,1%	100,0%	1		57,7%	42,3%	100,0%	1		22,3%	77,7%	100,0%	1
Age	43,2	43,7	43,3	1		42,1	41,6	41,8	1		47,2	49,3	47,5	1		47,4	47,4	47,4	1		38,6	40,3	39,8	1,01	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	39,5	39,9	39,7	1,01	^ P-vaLor <0.010;	39,3	39,8	39,8	1
Complete higher education	64,6%	35,4%	100,0%	2,13	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	36,6%	63,4%	100,0%	1,88	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	87,8%	12,2%	100,0%	0,71		68,6%	31,4%	100,0%	0,98		32,8%	67,2%	100,0%	1,05		51,1%	48,9%	100,0%	1,3		12,2%	87,8%	100,0%	2,68	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;
Complete high school	75,1%	24,9%	100,0%	1,75	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	43,8%	56,2%	100,0%	1,55	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	85,1%	14,9%	100,0%	0,91		70,1%	29,9%	100,0%	0,99		30,8%	69,3%	100,0%	1,22		48,0%	52,0%	100,0%	1,51		14,8%	85,2%	100,0%	2,19	^ P-vaLor <0.010;
Complete elementary school	78,4%	21,6%	100,0%	1,53	^* * P-vaLor < 0.050	49,5%	50,5%	100,0%	1,11		86,9%	13,1%	100,0%	0,74		70,6%	29,4%	100,0%	1,02		31,0%	69,0%	100,0%	1,25		50,5%	49,5%	100,0%	1,42		15,5%	84,5%	100,0%	2,12	^ P-vaLor <0.010;
Incomplete elementary school	74,7%	25,3%	100,0%	1,61	^ P-vaLor <0.010;	52,3%	47,7%	100,0%	1,05		86,3%	13,7%	100,0%	0,76		71,1%	28,9%	100,0%	0,99		25,0%	75,0%	100,0%	1,61		50,8%	49,2%	100,0%	1,33		17,3%	82,7%	100,0%	1,76	^* * P-vaLor < 0.050
Illiterate	85,3%	14,7%	100,0%	1		55,8%	44,2%	100,0%	1		84,1%	15,9%	100,0%	1		73,1%	26,9%	100,0%	1		27,9%	72,1%	100,0%	1		55,2%	44,8%	100,0%	1		24,1%	75,9%	100,0%	1
Victimised	71,5%	28,5%	100,0%	1,33	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	38,3%	61,7%	100,0%	1,55	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	81,7%	18,3%	100,0%	1,63	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	61,4%	38,6%	100,0%	1,78	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	28,0%	72,0%	100,0%	1,1		37,2%	47,9%	85,2%	1,34	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	13,0%	87,0%	100,0%	1,34	^ P-vaLor <0.010;
Not Victimised	78,1%	21,9%	100,0%	1		53,3%	46,7%	100,0%	1		87,5%	12,5%	100,0%	1		73,9%	26,1%	100,0%	1		30,0%	70,0%	100,0%	1		46,5%	42,6%	89,1%	1		17,1%	82,9%	100,0%	1
Does not attend street parties/events organized by neighbours	75,5%	24,5%	100,0%	1,14		47,5%	52,5%	100,0%	1,1
Attends street parties/events organized by neighbours	76,0%	24,0%	100,0%	1		48,1%	51,9%	100,0%	1
Does not attend religious activities other than mass/cult Attends religious activities other than mass/cult	75,0%	25,0%	100,0%	1,03		47,9%	52,1%	100,0%	1
Attends religious activities other than mass/cult	77,1%	22,9%	100,0%	1		47,2%	52,8%	100,0%	1
Does not attend meetings of associations, political parties or unions	75,5%	24,5%	100,0%	0,99		50,6%	55,0%	105,5%	1,04
Attends meetings of associations, political parties or unions	77,2%	22,8%	100,0%	1		44,8%	53,5%	98,4%	1
Does not participate in community activities to build houses, clean streets, etc.	75,6%	24,4%	100,0%	0,76	^* * P-vaLor < 0.050	47,7%	52,3%	100,0%	0,75	^* * P-vaLor < 0.050
Participates in community activities to build houses, clean streets, etc.	76,5%	23,5%	100,0%	1		47,7%	52,3%	100,0%	1
Does not meet friends in bars, clubs, cafes and soccer fields	75,4%	24,6%	100,0%	1,19		49,0%	51,0%	100,0%	1,01
Meets friends in bars, clubs, cafes and soccer fields	76,1%	23,9%	100,0%	1		45,9%	54,1%	100,0%	1
Does not talk with neighbours/acquaintances in the streets	75,3%	24,7%	100,0%	0,96		46,8%	53,2%	100,0%	0,93
Talks with neighbours/acquaintances in the streets	75,8%	24,2%	100,0%	1		47,9%	52,1%	100,0%	1
Has lived over 3 years in the neighbourhood	75,1%	24,9%	100,0%	1,09		48,0%	52,0%	100,0%	0,8		86,2%	13,8%	100,0%	1,22		71,3%	28,7%	100,0%	0,95		30,1%	69,9%	100,0%	0,64	^* * P-vaLor < 0.050	51,8%	48,2%	100,0%	0,87		15,8%	84,2%	100,0%	1,02
Has lived 1-3 years in the neighbourhood	76,5%	23,5%	100,0%	1,14		45,3%	54,7%	100,0%	1,04		85,0%	15,0%	100,0%	1,14		70,5%	29,5%	100,0%	0,91		29,5%	70,5%	100,0%	0,75		52,2%	47,8%	100,0%	0,88		18,8%	81,2%	100,0%	0,79	^* * P-vaLor < 0.050
Has lived less than 1 year in the neighbourhood	79,3%	20,7%	100,0%	1		46,8%	53,2%	100,0%	1		86,1%	13,9%	100,0%	1		68,4%	31,6%	100,0%	1		25,5%	74,5%	100,0%	1		47,7%	52,3%	100,0%	1		13,7%	86,3%	100,0%	1
Very rarely talks to neighbours (less than once a week)																										48,6%	51,4%	100,0%	1,06		14,1%	85,9%	100,0%	1,11
Regularly talks to neighbours (at least once a week)																										51,1%	48,9%	100,0%	1		17,2%	82,8%	100,0%	1
Never talks to neighbours																					27,3%	72,7%	100,0%	1,22
Talks to neighbours (“daily’, “frequently’ or ‘rarely’)																					29,8%	70,2%	100,0%	1
Very rarely exchanges pleasantries with neighbours (less than once a week)																										50,3%	49,7%	100,0%	0,87		14,9%	85,1%	100,0%	1,22
Regularly exchanges pleasantries with neighbours (less than once a week)																										49,4%	50,6%	100,0%	1		17,9%	82,1%	100,0%	1
Neighbours seldom quarrel with one another (rarely’ or ‘never’)																										50,2%	49,8%	100,0%	0,83		16,2%	83,8%	100,0%	0,84
Neighbours often quarrel with one another (‘frequently’ or ‘sometimes’)																										51,3%	48,7%	100,0%	1		16,9%	83,1%	100,0%	1
Cannot distinguish neighbours from nonneighbours in the street																										46,1%	53,9%	100,0%	1,2		13,0%	87,0%	100,0%	1,22
Can distinguish neighbours from non-neighbours in the street																										51,9%	48,1%	100,0%	1		17,4%	82,6%	100,0%	1
Does not trust any neighbour	73,7%	26,3%	100,0%	1,2		41,8%	58,2%	100,0%	1,2		80,3%	19,7%	100,0%	1,69		65,3%	34,7%	100,0%	1,3	^* * P-vaLor < 0.050
Trusts at least some neighbours (‘some’ or ‘most’)	75,8%	24,2%	100,0%	1		49,1%	50,9%	100,0%	1		87,6%	12,4%	100,0%	1		72,0%	28,0%	100,0%	1
Index - Degree in which can count on neighbours for	4,5	4,0	4,4	0,94	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	4,7	4,0	4,3	0,91	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	4,4	4,0	4,4	0,99		4,5	4,2	4,4	0,97
Index - Degree in which neighbours actually ask for help	3,0	3,0	3,0	1,04	^* * P-vaLor < 0.050	3,0	3,0	3,0	1,06	^* ***** P-vaLor <0.001;	2,7	2,6	2,7	1,01		2,7	2,8	2,7	1,04	^* * P-vaLor < 0.050
There are no strangers walking in the neighbourhood																					36,3%	63,7%	100,0%	0,69	^ P-vaLor <0.010;
There are strangers walking in the neighbourhood																					26,1%	73,9%	100,0%	1
People never fight or insult each other on the streets of your neighbourhood																					34,6%	65,4%	100,0%	0,68	^* * P-vaLor < 0.050
your neighbourhood People fight or insult each other on the streets of your neighbourhood (‘frequently’ or ‘rarely’)																					23,9%	76,1%	100,0%	1
There are never rude/uncivilised people in your neighbourhood																					33,3%	66,7%	100,0%	0,85
There are rude/uncivilised people in your neighbourhood (‘frequently’ or ‘rarely’)																					25,2%	74,8%	100,0%	1
There is never trouble between people at bus-stops in your neighbourhood																					32,3%	67,7%	100,0%	0,78	^* * P-vaLor < 0.050
There is trouble between people at bus-stops in your neighbourhood (‘frequently’ or ‘rarely’)																					24,2%	75,8%	100,0%	1
There is never excessive noise on the streets of your neighbourhood																					34,1%	65,9%	100,0%	0,79	^* * P-vaLor < 0.050
There is excessive noise on the streets of your neighbourhood (‘frequently’ or ‘rarely’)																					26,3%	73,7%	100,0%	1

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E-mail: civitas@pucrs.br

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[1] Doutor em Sociologia pelo Instituto Universitário de Pesquisas do Rio de Janeiro (Iuperj) da Universidade Cândido Mendes (Ucam), no Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil; professor do Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciências Sociais, Universidade Estadual do Rio de Janeiro (Uerj), no Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil. doriamb@gmail.com