Acessibilidade / Reportar erro

SOIL COVER IS STRATEGIC TO REMEDY EROSION IN SANDY SOILS

ABSTRACT

Sandy-textured soils are naturally more vulnerable to the erosion process and their exploitation, although possible, is often performed inappropriately, favoring its degradation. In this context, this study aimed to classify the rainfall erosivity in a region of sandy soils to identify critical situations of soil and water loss and also correlate it with rainfall data to assess whether there is temporal dependence of this variable using geostatistical techniques. The potential for alternative and sustainable production systems to be used in regions with sandy soils was also analyzed. Historical data of precipitation in the study region were analyzed to determine the average monthly and annual erosivity indices, which were classified and its temporal dependence was assessed by applying geostatistics. NDVI data from satellite images were used to investigate the soil cover pattern in different production systems. Geostatistics was adequate for the analysis of rainfall erosivity, which showed moderate to strong temporal dependence. It was classified between strong and very strong and was highly dependent on precipitation, with events of higher erosion potential between October and March in the studied region. The vicious circle of degradation of sandy soils, such as those of the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil, can be modified by adopting alternative and sustainable production systems that value the maximization of soil cover.

rainfall erosivity; soil conservation; geostatistics

INTRODUCTION

Water erosion, caused by rain, is the main form of soil degradation in Brazil, directly interfering with its conservation. This degradation can lead to problems such as loss of water, soil, nutrients, and organic matter, favoring the reduction of agricultural productivity and the pollution of water bodies (Pimentel, 2006Pimentel D (2006) Soil erosion: a food and environmental threat. Environment, Development and Sustainability 8:119-137.). It threatens food production and environmental resources (Oliveira et al., 2015Oliveira PTS, Nearing MA, Wendland E (2015) Orders of magnitude increase in soil erosion associated with land use change from native to cultivated vegetation in a Brazilian savannah environment. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 40:1524-1532.), generating an estimated global cost of US$ 10.6 trillion year−1, equivalent to 17% of the global GDP (Stewart, 2015Stewart N (2015) The value of land: Prosperous lands and positive rewards through sustainable land management. Bonn, The Economics of Land Degradation, p 165.). In Brazil, these costs vary from US$ 18.15 to 107.76 ha−1 year−1, depending on the soil cover level (Dechen et al., 2015Dechen SCF, Telles TS, Guimarães MF, Maria IC (2015) Perdas e custos associados à erosão hídrica em função de taxas de cobertura do solo. Bragantina 74:224-233.).

The best-known model for estimating soil loss from water erosion and guiding soil conservation planning is the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) and its revised version (RUSLE). According to its developers, Wischmeier & Smith (1978)Wischmeier WH, Smith DD (1978) Predicting rainfall erosion losses – a guide to conservation planning. Washington, United States Department of Agriculture. Agriculture Handbook. 537., rainfall erosivity in this equation represents the potential of rain to cause erosion in an unprotected area and is expressed by the R factor. This factor is numerically equal to the EI30 index, which expresses, in a given rain event, the product of the kinetic energy of the rain (E) by its maximum intensity in a period of 30 minutes (I30).

The hourly distribution of rainfall intensity is required to be known to quantify EI30, but these data are scarce in Brazil (Trindade et al., 2016Trindade ALF, Oliveira PTS, Anache JAA, Wendland E (2016) Variabilidade espacial da erosividade das chuvas do Brasil. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira 5:1918-1928.) and many parts of the world (Yu et al., 2001Yu B, Hashim GM, Eusof Z (2001) Estimating the R-factor with limited rainfall data: A case study from Peninsular Malaysia. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation 56:101-105.). Therefore, alternative ways to estimate erosivity through more accessible data, such as monthly and annual precipitation values, are essential. The rainfall coefficient (Rc), proposed by Fournier (1956)Fournier F (1956) The effect of climatic factors on soil erosion estimates of solids transported in suspension in runoff. [S.l.]: Association Hydrologic Int. Public, v 38, 6 p. and modified by Lombardi Neto (1977), is a widely used index. This index has become an important tool to help decision-making about soil and water conservation practices (Lee & Heo, 2011Lee JH, Heo JH (2011) Evaluation of estimation methods for rainfall erosivity based on annual precipitation in Korea. Journal of Hidrology 409:30-48.; Oliveira et al., 2013)Oliveira PTS, Wendland E, Nearing MA (2013) Rainfall erosivity in Brazil: a review. Catena 100:139-147..

The monthly assessment of the rainfall erosivity index is important for the planning of farmers’ activities on a small time scale, while the estimation of annual soil and water losses is essential to assess the impacts of crops for correct management and adoption of conservation practices (Cardoso et al., 2022Cardoso DP, Avanzi JC, Ferreira DF, Acuña-Guzman SF, Silva MLN, Pires FR, Curi N (2022) Rainfall erosivity estimation: comparison and statistical assessment among methods using data from Southeastern Brazil. Revista Brasileira de Ciência do Solo 46. DOI: https://doi.org/10.36783/18069657rbcs20210122.
https://doi.org/10.36783/18069657rbcs202...
).

In this sense, studies that deal with precipitation and its erosive potential are of paramount importance in the planning of agricultural areas and the use of geoprocessing techniques can contribute to establishing integrated soil and water conservation plans, enabling sustainable solutions that reconcile environmental and economic interests.

Geostatistics is an interpolator that describes promising and accurate results on erosion in agricultural areas (Pérez-Rodriguez et al., 2007Pérez-Rodriguez R, Marques MJ, Bienes R (2007) Spatial variability of the soil erodibility parameters and their relation with the soil map at subgroup level. Science of the Total Environment 378:166-173.). It considers the distance between observations and the spatial and/or temporal dependence between them. It allows obtaining estimates in non-sampled locations and, in addition, time series allow studying changes that may occur with a given variable, becoming an important tool to anticipate future trends through past behavior.

According to Donagemma et al. (2016)Donagemma GK, Freitas PL, Balieiro FC, Fontana A, Spera ST, Lumbreras JF, Viana JHM, Araújo Filho JC, Santos FC, Albuquerque MR, Macedo MCM, Teixeira PC, Amaral AJ, Bortolon E, Bortolon L (2016) Characterization, agricultural potential, and perspectives for the management of light soils in Brazil. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira 51(9):1003-1020. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-204X2016000900001.
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-204X201600...
, sandy soils are genuinely quite susceptible to erosion and degradation. Several sandy areas in Brazil, especially those explored with livestock, present accentuated degradation processes. However, according to these authors, this reality has been changing little by little, as improvements in production systems and agricultural practices are incorporated.

A relevant factor for sustainability is how the farming practice is conducted on these sandy soils, given that it is crucial to define how soil use and occupation contribute to its degradation since the soil cover is a fundamental factor for its conservation, as predicted in the cover factor (C) of the soil loss equation.

Therefore, this study aimed to classify the rainfall erosivity in a region of sandy soils to identify critical situations of soil and water loss and also correlate it with rainfall data to assess whether there is temporal dependence of this variable using geostatistical techniques. In addition, considering the recurrence of degradation scenarios in regions with sandy soils, this study also aimed to evaluate the effects of preserving or restoring native forest, as well as the soil use and occupation with sustainable alternatives, such as planted forests of eucalyptus, on the reduction of the erosion and remediation of the degradation process.

METHODOLOGY

Study region

According to the State Secretariat for the Environment, Economic Development, Production, and Family Agriculture of Mato Grosso do Sul (SEMAGRO/MS), the state of Mato Grosso do Sul (Brazil) is divided into nine economic planning regions. The Bolsão region is one of them, located in the northeast of the state and made up of ten municipalities (Figure 1).

FIGURE 1
Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil (SEMAGRO/MS, 2011SEMAGRO/MS (2011) Estudo da dimensão territorial do Estado de Mato Grosso do Sul – regiões de planejamento. Campo Grande, Secretaria de Estado de Meio Ambiente, Desenvolvimento Econômico, Produção e Agricultura Familiar de Mato Grosso do Sul (SEMAGRO/MS). 90 p.), its municipalities, and the collection points of satellite images for analysis of the NDVI index.

This region is sparsely populated (almost 300,000 inhabitants), but it covers a large territory (58,000 km2). There is a predominance of light, sandy-textured soils, with 27.2% of the territory comprising areas of Quartzipsamments, totaling 1.5 million hectares. Other soil types present in the region are medium-textured Oxisols and sandy/medium-textured Ultisols. In any case, the regional soils are, as a rule, of low natural fertility and highly vulnerable to the erosion process, with most of the areas occupied by livestock, which in most cases present some level of degradation.

Rainfall data and erosivity determination

Historical series of rainfall data were analyzed for each municipality in the Bolsão region, namely: Água Clara, Aparecida do Taboado, Brasilândia, Cassilândia, Chapadão do Sul, Inocência, Paranaíba, Santa Rita do Pardo, and Três Lagoas; We could not get data for Selvíria. The data were obtained from rainfall stations of the Geological Survey of Brazil or the National Institute of Meteorology, available on the HidroWeb platform (https://www.snirh.gov.br/hidroweb/apresentacao) and described by Flumignan et al. (2015)Flumignan DL, Fietz CR, Comunello E (2015) O clima na região do Bolsão de Mato Grosso do Sul. Dourados, p 42. Série Documentos 127..

The data were daily and were submitted to quality analysis before use. Data with no quality were submitted for correction or discarded. Therefore, a consecutive and common data interval could not be selected for all rainfall stations. Historical series were used with different periods between municipalities, ranging from 10 to 31 years. These data allowed the calculation of precipitation on the monthly and annual scales for each station.

The erosivity indices were determined using [eq. (1)], which is a potential regression model with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.912. This equation was adjusted for the municipality of Campo Grande, located between 190 and 460 km from the analyzed municipalities. Oliveira et al. (2012)Oliveira PTS, Rodrigues DBB, Sobrinho TA, Carvalho DF, Panachuki E (2012) Spatial variability of the rainfall erosive potential in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil. Engenharia Agrícola 32(1): 69-79. concluded that the equation is valid for estimating values in neighboring locations within a maximum radius of 580 km.

E I 30 = 139.44 ( R c ) 0.6784 (1)

in which:

EI30 is the erosivity index of the month (MJ mm h−1 ha−1 month−1), and

Rc is the rainfall coefficient (mm).

Equation (1) associates EI30 and the rainfall coefficient (Rc), which is represented in [eq. (2)], according to Renard & Freimund (1994)Renard KG, Freimund JR (1994) Using monthly precipitation data to estimate the R-factor in the revised USLE. Journal of Hydrology 157:287-306..

R c = p 2 P 1 (2)

Where:

Rc is the rainfall coefficient (mm);

p is the monthly precipitation (mm), and

P is annual precipitation (average of the historical series) (mm).

The characteristic values of each month for the R factor were obtained from the average of the calculated monthly values of EI30. Similarly, the R factor on the annual scale was obtained by accumulating the monthly values. The R factor was then classified according to the classes described in Table 1.

TABLE 1
Criteria for classifying rainfall erosivity (R) on a monthly and annual scale, as provided by Carvalho (2008)Carvalho NO (2008) Hidrossedimentologia prática. Rio de Janeiro, Interciência..

Precipitation and erosivity values were analyzed using descriptive statistics: minimum, maximum, mean, and coefficient of variation.

Geostatistical analysis

Geostatistical analysis was used to assess the temporal dependence of the rainfall erosivity variable by adjusting Matheron’s classic semivariogram, using the GS+ 5.0 computer program, based on the assumptions of stationarity of the intrinsic hypothesis, estimated by [eq. (3)].

γ ( t ) = 1 2 N ( t ) i = 1 N ( t ) [ Z ( x i ) Z ( x i + t ) ] 2 (3)

in which:

γ(t) is the semivariance for a vector t (months);

Z(xi) and Z(xi+t) are the pairs of rainfall erosivity observations separated by the vector t (months), and

N(t) is the number of pairs of measured values Z(xi) and Z(xi+t), separated by a vector t.

The following coefficients were estimated from the adjustment of the data to a spherical mathematical model of the semivariogram: nugget effect (C0) – semivariance value when t = 0; range (A0) – time in which the semivariance remains constant after increasing with an increase in t, considering the time limit of the temporal dependence; and sill (C0+C) – value at which the semivariance stabilizes and is approximately equal to the variance of the data.

The temporal dependence index (TDI) was classified by [eq. (4)] and the intervals proposed by Zimback (2001)Zimback CRL (2001) Análise espacial de atributos químicos de solos para fins de mapeamento da fertilidade do solo. 114 f. Tese, Livre-Docência. Botucatu, Universidade Estadual Paulista, Faculdade de Ciências Agrárias., which considers that TDI<25% represents a weak temporal dependence, 25%≤TDI<75% represents a moderate temporal dependence, and TDI≥75% represents a strong temporal dependence.

T D I = C C 0 + C 100 (4)

The estimated erosivity values at non-sampled times were obtained by punctual kriging, using the parameters of the adjusted semivariograms. Cross-validation was applied using the least squares method by adjusting a linear regression equation. In this method, a sampled value is taken, and an estimated value is obtained by kriging, using the values of neighboring points. This procedure is performed for all sampled points in such a way that, for each true value, there will be an estimated value (Kravchenko, 2003Kravchenko AN (2003) Influence of spatial structure on accuracy of interpolation methods. Soil Science Society of America Journal 67:1564-1571. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2136/sssaj2003.1564.
https://doi.org/10.2136/sssaj2003.1564...
). Sixteen neighbors were used in the interpolation process. A good estimate of the data is considered to be obtained when the regression coefficient, given by the angular coefficient of the line, is equal to or close to 1.

Soil cover analysis

Soil cover was assessed based on the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), obtained by remote sensing through the SATVeg system (https://www.satveg.cnptia.embrapa.br/).

The data originated from MODIS sensor images, aboard the Terra and Aqua satellites, and each analyzed pixel consisted of a grid of 250 × 250 m (6.25 ha). The historical series available and used was from February 2000 to May 2021, with the satellite passing every 16 days. A pre-filtering was applied to the time series to remove data considered marginal or invalid and data classified with the presence of clouds. In addition, the Savitzky–Golay filter, with a moving window size equal to 3, was applied for smoothing purposes.

Fifteen pixels (sites) were analyzed in pasture areas in each of the ten municipalities in the region, totaling 150 sampled pastures (Figure 1). In addition, 10 sites of preserved native forest were also analyzed, one in each municipality (10 samples in total). Finally, 16 samples from production areas with planted eucalyptus forests, located in the production hub of Três Lagoas and Selvíria, were analyzed.

Monthly average values and coefficient of variation were calculated from the NDVI historical series data for each type of land use and occupation and then analyzed against the previously calculated R values.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

Analysis of rainfall and its erosion potential

The average annual precipitation in the studied region (1,446 mm) comes from a variation of 1,250 mm in the municipality of Aparecida do Taboado to 1,665 mm in Chapadão do Sul (Table 2). Higher places, such as Cassilândia, Chapadão do Sul, and Inocência, generally have higher incidences of wind and precipitation. According to Carvalho et al. (2012)Carvalho JRP, Assad ED, Pinto HS (2012) Interpoladores geoestatísticos na análise da distribuição espacial da precipitação anual e de sua relação com altitude. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira 47: 1235-1242., altitude can even be used to determine the spatial distribution of precipitation, as these variables demonstrate highly significant correlations. In the present study, these municipalities are among those with the highest annual rainfall and the highest altitudes.

TABLE 2
Statistics of precipitation (mm) in the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul (Brazil) and altitude at the urban area of the municipalities.

The annual rainfall erosivity determined in the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul was 9,450 MJ mm h−1 ha−1 year−1 (Table 3), a value very similar to the entire state average of 9,318 MJ mm h−1 ha−1 year−1 found by Oliveira et al. (2012)Oliveira PTS, Rodrigues DBB, Sobrinho TA, Carvalho DF, Panachuki E (2012) Spatial variability of the rainfall erosive potential in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil. Engenharia Agrícola 32(1): 69-79.. Água Clara, Cassilândia, and Chapadão do Sul are the municipalities where rainfall has the highest erosion potential, with erosivity values higher than 10,000 MJ mm h−1 ha−1 year−1. The municipalities of Aparecida do Taboado, Brasilândia, Santa Rita do Pardo, and Três Lagoas presented the lowest erosion potential due to rainfall, with annual values lower than 9,000 MJ mm h−1 ha−1 year−1. The observed variation in rainfall erosivity in the region is within the limit established in Brazil by Oliveira et al. (2013)Oliveira PTS, Wendland E, Nearing MA (2013) Rainfall erosivity in Brazil: a review. Catena 100:139-147., predicted between 1,672 and 22,452 MJ mm h−1 ha−1 year−1.

TABLE 3
Monthly (MJ mm h−1 ha−1 month−1) and annual (MJ mm h−1 ha−1 year−1) rainfall erosivity values (R factor) in the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul (Brazil).

In general, the coefficients of variation (CV) for both precipitation (Table 2) and erosivity (Table 3) were low, with values ranging from 6.4 and 10.13%, indicating little data variability relative to the mean, according to criteria established by Pimentel-Gomes & Garcia (2002)Pimentel-Gomes F, Garcia CH (2002) Estatística aplicada a experimentos agronômicos e florestais – exposição com exemplos e orientações para uso em aplicativos. Piracicaba, Fealq. 309 p.. The highest variability for erosivity was observed in Paranaíba (10.13%) and the lowest in Três Lagoas (8.17%), that is, the highest (31 years) and lowest (10 years) historical series of rainfall data in the region, respectively. This index (CV) provides a relative measure of experimental precision, applied in the analysis of data dispersion, thus evidencing the reliability of the analyses using the database.

Figure 2 shows the monthly averages of precipitation and rainfall erosivity. January is the rainiest month, with the highest erosivity in the region, as observed by Machado et al. (2014)Machado DO, Sobrinho TA, Ribeiro AS, Ide CN, Oliveira PTS (2014) Erosividade da chuva para o bioma Pantanal. Engenharia Sanitária e Ambiental 19:195-202., followed by December, February, and March, in that order. The data trend is for lower R values in the period from April to September (includes the entire winter) and higher values from October to March (includes the entire summer). Importantly, the monthly erosivity in the rainy season (between October and March) exceeds the limit of soil loss considered critical by Silva et al. (1997)Silva MLN, Freitas PL, Blancaneaux P, Curi N, Lima JM (1997) Relação entre parâmetros da chuva e perdas de solo e determinação da erodibilidade de um Latossolo Vermelho Escuro em Goiânia (GO). Revista Brasileira de Ciência do Solo 21:131-137., which is 500 MJ mm h−1 ha−1 month−1. Oliveira et al. (2012)Oliveira PTS, Rodrigues DBB, Sobrinho TA, Carvalho DF, Panachuki E (2012) Spatial variability of the rainfall erosive potential in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil. Engenharia Agrícola 32(1): 69-79. highlighted that erosivity in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul is associated with concentrations of rainfall at certain times of the year due to the climate characteristics of the region. It is precisely the regional climate patterns that justify a careful and differentiated look at each case, as can be seen when identifying that the rainfall erosivity obtained in this study for the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul was higher than that observed in Santa Catarina in the regions of São Joaquim and Lages (Back, 2018Back AJ (2018) Erosividade da chuva para a região do Planalto Serrano de Santa Catarina, Brasil. Revista de Ciências Agrárias 41(2):298-308.).

FIGURE 2
Monthly distribution of rainfall erosivity (R) and rainfall in the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil (average of the historical series of all municipalities).

Rainfall patterns and their erosion potential in a scenario of global climate change may change over time (Zilli et al., 2020Zilli M, Scarabello M, Soterrone AC, Valin H, Mosnier A, Leclère D, Havlík P, Kraxner F, Lopes MA, Ramos FM (2020) The impact of climate change on Brazil's agriculture. Science of the Total Environment 740. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139384.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020...
, Regoto et al., 2021Regoto P, Dereczynski C, Chou SC, Bazzanela AC (2021) Observed changes in air temperature and precipitation extremes over Brazil. International Journal of Climatology 41(11):5125-5142.). These changes can take the form of isolated high-intensity rainfall events, which can become more or less intense and/or frequent, or in the form of changes in rainfall patterns, implying that specific months may become more or less rainy. These changes may have negative consequences for water erosion in sandy soils in Brazil. The expectation is that the erosion power of rains will increase from 15.7 to 25% in Europe if the climate changes projected by 2050 are confirmed, a fact that would result in an increase in soil loss due to water erosion from 13 to 22.5% (Panagos et al., 2021Panagos P, Ballabio C, Himics M, Scarpa S, Matthews F, Bogonos M, Poesen J, Borelli P (2021) Projections of soil loss by water erosion in Europe by 2050. Environmental Science & Policy 124:380-392.).

Classification of rainfall erosivity

Rainfall erosivity was classified separately for each municipality (Figure 3), according to the criteria shown in Table 1, considering the annual temporal scale. The municipalities in the northwest region were classified as having very strong erosivity, the highest level, while the others presented strong erosivity. Only Selvíria was not classified due to a lack of data for the municipality. However, given its geographic insertion in the region and the climate homogeneity, this municipality is also presumed to have a strong or very strong classification. In general, the map shown in Figure 3 shows the high erosion potential of rainfall in the region, a fact that raises the need for systematic adoption of soil and water conservation practices to minimize water erosion.

FIGURE 3
Classification of rainfall erosivity by the annual R factor for the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil.

The rainfall erosivity in the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul is classified at the highest level, that is, very strong, from November to March when the monthly erosivity data of Figure 2 are analyzed considering the classification criteria presented in Table 1. Moreover, the rains that occur in October, classified as having a moderate erosion potential, stand out. The other months have milder and scarcer rainfall, being classified in lower erosivity levels (weak and very weak).

Table 3 shows the extreme months that have already occurred in each municipality, which are highly relevant for the occurrence of extreme erosion processes. The maximum R ever occurring in the region ranged from 3,685 MJ mm h−1 ha−1 month−1 in Três Lagoas to 5,934 MJ mm h−1 ha−1 month−1 in Paranaíba. These values represent, respectively, 3.7 and 5.9 times more than the limit for the classification of rainfall with very strong erosion potential.

These results should be considered in conservation planning, given the presence of sandy soils in the studied region and their natural vulnerability to the erosion process. In addition, according to SEMAGRO/MS (2011)SEMAGRO/MS (2011) Estudo da dimensão territorial do Estado de Mato Grosso do Sul – regiões de planejamento. Campo Grande, Secretaria de Estado de Meio Ambiente, Desenvolvimento Econômico, Produção e Agricultura Familiar de Mato Grosso do Sul (SEMAGRO/MS). 90 p., the region shows from flat relief to locations where the average slope reaches 11°, and the more inclined the terrain, the higher the risk of the erosion process to happen.

Geostatistical analysis for temporal dependence

The geostatistical analysis showed that the erosivity indices had temporal dependence (Figure 4). The theoretical spherical model was adjusted to the semivariogram, corroborating the model with the best performance found by Saito et al. (2009)Saito NS, Cecílio RA, Pezzopane JEM, Santos AR, Garcia GO (2009) Uso da geotecnologia na estimativa da erosividade das chuvas e sua relação com o uso e ocupação do solo para o Espírito Santo. Revista Verde 4:51-63. and Oliveira et al. (2012)Oliveira PTS, Rodrigues DBB, Sobrinho TA, Carvalho DF, Panachuki E (2012) Spatial variability of the rainfall erosive potential in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil. Engenharia Agrícola 32(1): 69-79..

FIGURE 4
Semivariogram adjusted for monthly rainfall erosivity (R; MJ mm h−1 ha−1 month−1) as a function of time (months) in municipalities of the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul (Brazil), except Selvíria.

The adjustment of the semivariograms to the data of the municipalities (Table 4) presented an average R2 of 0.91. Seven out of the nine municipalities assessed presented an R2 higher than or equal to 0.95, with the highest values found for Inocência and Santa Rita do Pardo (0.99 and 0.98, respectively). Exceptions were observed in Brasilândia (R2 = 0.81) and Três Lagoas (R2 = 0.63), probably because they have the shortest historical series (13 and 10 years, respectively). It indicates the difficulty in obtaining a model that best explains the phenomenon in these cases, requiring a higher number of pairs of values for its definition. The same behavior was observed by Montebeller et al. (2007)Montebeller CA, Ceddia MB, Carvalho DF, Vieira SR, Franco EM (2007) Variabilidade espacial do potencial erosivo das chuvas no Estado do Rio de Janeiro. Engenharia Agrícola 27:426-435..

TABLE 4
Parameters of the theoretical semivariograms adjusted to rainfall erosivity data in the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil.

The lowest sill and nugget effect values were observed in Três Lagoas. According to Burgos et al. (2006)Burgos P, Madejón E, Pérez-De-Mora A, Cabrera F (2006) Spatial variability of the chemical characteristics of a trace-element-contaminated soil before and after remediation. Geoderma 130:157-175., the nugget effect is directly related to sampling error, short-range variability, or unexplained variability, a fact that also justifies the smaller range obtained in this municipality. The range is important in determining the limit of temporal dependence and was higher in Aparecida do Taboado.

TDI in the study region was equal to or above 57% in all municipalities (Table 5) and was classified in the average of the region (73.2%) as moderate (25%≤TDI<75%), a value very close to the threshold for classification as strong (Zimback, 2001Zimback CRL (2001) Análise espacial de atributos químicos de solos para fins de mapeamento da fertilidade do solo. 114 f. Tese, Livre-Docência. Botucatu, Universidade Estadual Paulista, Faculdade de Ciências Agrárias.). Six municipalities showed strong dependence (TDI≥75%), and Chapadão do Sul had the highest TDI observed.

TABLE 5
Classification of the temporal dependence index (TDI) for the variable rainfall erosivity in the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil.

The cross-validation (Table 6) shows that the slope of the regression line between the measured and estimated values, the angular coefficient, approaches the ideal situation (b=1), except for the municipality of Três Lagoas, with a standard error close to zero, considering the used neighboring of 16 neighbors (Vieira et al., 2010Vieira SR, Carvalho JRP, González, AP (2010) Jack knifing para validação de semivariogramas. Bragantia 69:97-105. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/S0006-87052010000500011.
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0006-8705201000...
).

TABLE 6
Cross-validation of theoretical semivariogram models adjusted to rainfall erosivity data in the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil.

The intercept values indicated that the parameters of the adjusted semivariograms resulted in an overestimation of small values and an underestimation of high values. This fact was more accentuated for the Três Lagoas data, which had the lowest range of temporal dependence. The R2 of the cross-validation was relatively low for all municipalities, probably due to the high number of observations considered in the study, which also promotes a high number of data pairs that form the semivariogram. In general, extreme values (both low and high) have a higher error in the estimates. On the other hand, central values show higher adherence to the 1:1 line of the regression line.

Graphs were created with the parameters of adjusted semivariograms to illustrate the temporal distribution of the rainfall erosivity in the evaluated municipalities (Figure 5).

FIGURE 5
Temporal distribution of rainfall erosivity (R; MJ mm h−1 ha−1 month−1) over months and years in the municipalities of the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul (Brazil), except for Selvíria.

Analysis of soil cover in different use and occupation models

The analysis of the components of the soil loss equation shows the need to properly plan soil use and occupation to face the erosion potential of rainfall in the study region. Therefore, planning must consider the components cover (C) and conservation practices (P) of the soil loss equation.

The data show that it is essential that the soil in the region is covered, especially from October to March, as the rains in this period have significant erosion potential. This proposition is in line with Waltrick et al. (2015)Waltrick PC, Machado MAM, Dieckow J, Oliveira D (2015) Estimativa da erosividade de chuvas no Estado do Paraná pelo método da pluviometria: atualização com dados de 1986 a 2008. Revista Brasileira de Ciência do Solo 39:256-267., who emphasized that monthly erosivity information is important to identify critical situations in terms of soil and water losses. It directly influences the planning of conservationist practices based on maximum soil cover and agricultural management according to the planting time for each crop, preventing the soil from being uncovered during the most critical periods.

The Pearson correlation coefficient (r) obtained when evaluating the existing relationship between erosivity and precipitation makes it clear that the former is strongly and positively influenced by the latter (0.995 for the monthly scale and 0.97 for the annual scale). This demonstrates that a higher rainfall concentration favors the formation of events with higher erosion potential. Silva (2004)Silva AM (2004) Rainfall erosion map for Brazil. Catena 57:251-259. and Trindade et al. (2016)Trindade ALF, Oliveira PTS, Anache JAA, Wendland E (2016) Variabilidade espacial da erosividade das chuvas do Brasil. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira 5:1918-1928. also found a high dependence between these parameters, unlike the results found by Oliveira et al. (2012)Oliveira PTS, Rodrigues DBB, Sobrinho TA, Carvalho DF, Panachuki E (2012) Spatial variability of the rainfall erosive potential in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil. Engenharia Agrícola 32(1): 69-79. and Machado et al. (2014)Machado DO, Sobrinho TA, Ribeiro AS, Ide CN, Oliveira PTS (2014) Erosividade da chuva para o bioma Pantanal. Engenharia Sanitária e Ambiental 19:195-202. in this same state, where high annual precipitation values do not necessarily produce high erosivity values.

The predominant production system in the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul is extensive livestock, with a significant amount of areas under some degradation level. In these areas, plant biomass production is limited and, consequently, the soil is more often uncovered and vulnerable to the erosion process. It occurs even during the rainiest period, as shown by the NDVI data obtained in the 150 pastures sampled in the municipalities of the region (Figure 6 and Table 7). Similarly, Wang et al. (2020)Wang B, Zhao X, Wang X, Zhang Z, Yi L, Hu S (2020) Spatial and temporal variability of soil erosion in the black soil region of Northeast China from 2000 to 2015. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 192. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-020-08298-y.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-020-08298...
and Senanayake et al. (2022)Senanayake S, Pradhan B, Huete A, Brennan J (2022) Spatial modeling of soil erosion hazards and crop diversity change with rainfall variation in the Central Highlands of Sri Lanka. Science of the Total Environment 806. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.150405.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021...
also observed that water erosion was greater the higher the levels of soil exposure, reflecting the significant negative impact of poorly conducted anthropic actions when exploiting the soil unsustainably, not prioritizing its coverage.

FIGURE 6
Monthly dynamics of rainfall erosivity (R) and NDVI in areas of pasture, planted eucalyptus forest, and native forest in the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil.

TABLE 7
Average values of NDVI and its coefficient of variation (CV) in areas of pasture, planted eucalyptus forest, and native forest in the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil.

In the case of pastures, in addition to the low biomass production, there is also the fact that the produced biomass is consumed by livestock, thus limiting the deposition of dead plant matter over the soil, which could also contribute to its protection. In contrast, areas of native vegetation and planted eucalyptus forests, naturally present a higher biomass production (see NDVI in Figure 6 and Table 7) and, consequently, a higher production of dead plant matter deposited over the soil (litter), resulting in a very valuable soil cover for its protection against the erosion process.

Other agricultural production systems have gradually become more and more common in the study region and bring with them a strong sustainability bias, which is important for regions with sandy soils. This is the case of integrated production systems (Salton et al., 2014Salton JC, Mercante FM, Tomazi M, Zanatta JA, Concenço G, Silva WM, Retore M (2014) Integrated crop-livestock system in tropical Brazil: Toward a sustainable production system. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 190:70-79.; Zago et al., 2019Zago LMS, Ramalho WP, Caramori S (2019) Does crop-livestock-forest systems contribute to soil quality in Brazilian savannas? Floresta e Ambiente 26. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/2179-8087.034318.
https://doi.org/10.1590/2179-8087.034318...
; Zolin et al., 2021Zolin CA, Matos ES, Magalhães CAS, Paulino J, Lal R, Spera ST, Behling M (2021) Short-term effect of a crop-livestock-forestry system on soil, water and nutrient loss in the Cerrado-Amazon ecotone. Acta Amazonica 51:102-112.; Bansal et al., 2022Bansal S, Chakraborty P, Kumar S (2022) Crop–livestock integration enhanced soil aggregate-associated carbon and nitrogen, and phospholipid fatty acid. Scientific Reports 12: Article number: 2781.), including the integrated crop-livestock (ICL), crop-livestock-forest (ICLF), and livestock-forest (ILF) systems. Among other benefits, such as the reconstruction of soil fertility, higher organic matter production, and diversification of plant species, all these systems value the maximization of soil cover by active vegetation and also the higher straw production, characteristics that are very favorable to soil conservation and remediation of the degradation process.

CONCLUSIONS

1. The municipalities in the Bolsão region of Mato Grosso do Sul (Brazil) have rainfall erosivity between strong and very strong, showing that planning regarding soil use and occupation, as well as the adoption of conservationist practices, must be considered to favor the sustainability of sandy soils in the region and contain their degradation.

2. Rainfall erosivity in the region varies throughout the year, with a rainy season with high erosion potential (October to March) and a drier season with low erosion potential (April to September). January and July show the highest and lowest erosivity indices (2,070 and 66 MJ mm h−1 ha−1 month−1, respectively).

3. The spherical model of the geostatistical analysis presented a good adjustment to the observed values of rainfall erosivity, with temporal dependence from moderate to strong.

4. Traditional livestock farming, as practiced in the sandy-textured soils of the study region, consists of a vicious circle of soil degradation, which can be interrupted and remedied by adopting sustainable production alternatives, which value the maximization of soil cover, such as planted eucalyptus forests and integrated production systems (ICL, ICLF, and ILF), or even promoting the recomposition of native vegetation.

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Edited by

Area Editor: Fernando França da Cunha

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    17 Apr 2023
  • Date of issue
    2023

History

  • Received
    29 Mar 2022
  • Accepted
    2 Jan 2023
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