Modeling of the dispersion of thermotolerant coliforms and enterococci in two bays in the coastal region of Ubatuba (SP), Brazil

ABSTRACT

The effects of human activities on the coastal system of Ubatuba (SP) were evaluated through models that describe the mechanisms and reactions involved in the dispersal of microbiological indicators (thermotolerant coliforms and enterococci) in seawater. Analysis of the quality of water intended for recreation as well as being an important action in terms of public health, is also justified in view of the importance of tourism in Ubatuba, having also great importance to environmental planning. In modeling, the modules Delft3D system were used. In the water quality module, the pollutants dispersal mechanisms were studied, from the association of pollution data with the results of the hydrodynamic module, in two bays in Ubatuba: Flamengo and Palmas. The results allow us to state that the system of currents, determined by the geomorphology of the area, does not provide high capacity for dilution and dispersion of effluents in the study area. However, the marine circulation and the processes involved in the decay of bacteria are enough to spread and reduce their concentrations along the bays. It was concluded that environmental modeling reproduced satisfactorily the processes involved in the transport and diffusion of microbiological indicators, contributing to the studies on the effects of human activities on the coastal system of Ubatuba.

Keywords:
environmental modeling; hydrodynamic modeling; water quality; fecal indicators; northern coast of São Paulo