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Contribuição ao estudo da distribuição sazonal de febres eruptivas

After pointing out some of the aspects not yet well known of scarlet fever epidemiology in Brazil, the A. shows that during period 1940-44 the disease in the city of S. Paulo prevailed mostly in the austral autumn season (april-june); however no correlation, statistically significant, could be obtained comparing monthly waves of temperature and corresponding waves of the disease. Such a correlation has been found out for small-pox, in the same fiver-years period, both in Rio (-0.48 ± 0.10) and S. Paulo (-0.30 ± 0.12); and with absolute humidity variations (also in the previous month) in Belem (-0.38 ± 0.11) and Rio (-0.50 ± 0.10) - no data about A. H. being available from S. Paulo, Belem, Rio and S. Paulo showed a small-pox prevalence in the austral winter-spring seasons. Both in tropical cities (Belem, Recife, Salvador, Rio) and in temperate ones (Curitiba and Porto Alegre) - in S. Paulo the disease is not subjected to compulsory notification - measles distribution by four-months period --selected in accordance with the highest or lowest values of mean temperature and absolute humidity - induced to suppose that the disease was more uniformly associated with a low temperature. Several correlation coefficients statistically significant have been indeed obtained, between monthly morbidity rates and temperature variations in the same month (Recife - 0.26 ± 0.12, Salvador - 0.36 ± 0.11, Rio - 0.50 ± 0.10) and in the previous one (Salvador - 0.45 ± 0.10, Rio - 0.60 t = 5.72 and Porto Alegre - 0.38 ± 0.11); but also such coefficients have been found out between the same rates and absolute humidity variations in the same month (Recife - 0.27 ± 0.12, Salvador - 0.29 ± 0.12, Rio - 0.53 ± 0.09) and in the previous one (Salvador - 0.31 ± 0.12, Rio - 0.68 t = 7.08 and Porto Alegre - 0.35 ± 0.12).


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