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The centroid of the pacific warm pool as an index for the El Niño and La Niña phenomena

The El Niño -La Niña oceanographic phenomena were analized making use of the zonal component of the Pacific warm pool (PAQ) which describes east-west displacements along the intertropical belt of this ocean. We manipulated an ocean surface temperature (TSO) timeseries to classify the PAQ and to estimate its centroid between 1981 and 2003. All the El Niño (1982-83; 1986-87; 1990-95; e 1997-98) and La Niña (1984-85; 1988-89; 1998-2000) episodes described in the academic literature were eminent in the timeserie of the zonal component of the Pacific warm pool (CZPAQ). The most intense El Niño episodes were ranked according to its furthest eastward displacement. The timeserie of the CZPAQ was in phase with both the TSO anomaly and the Southern Oscillation Index. The fluctuations associated to the CZPAQ were illustraded in the spectrum where interannual oscillations associated to the El Niño -La Niña phenomena were observed. Shorter migrations to the west during the La Niña years were notable in comparison to those eastward moviments during the El Niño events. Therefore, the zonal displacements of the PAQ, represented here by the centroid, were presented as having significant worth to indicate the El Niño and La Niña phenomena. The main advantage of this technique is that it depends on a single arbitrary parameter to represent the PAQ, the threshold of the ocean surface temperature in the Pacific Ocean.

El Niño; La Niña; centroid; ocean surface temperature


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