QUALITATIVE INPUT-OUTPUT ANALYSIS OF THE BRAZILIAN STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION, 2005 - 2014

Morrone, Henrique

doi:10.1590/198055272513

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Revista de Economia Contemporânea

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Artigos • Rev. econ. contemp. 25 (1) • 2021 • https://doi.org/10.1590/198055272513 copy

QUALITATIVE INPUT-OUTPUT ANALYSIS OF THE BRAZILIAN STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION, 2005 - 2014

UMA ANÁLISE QUALITATIVA DE INSUMO-PRODUTO DA TRANSFORMAÇÃO ESTRUTURAL BRASILEIRA, 2005 - 2014

Authorship SCIMAGO INSTITUTIONS RANKINGS

ABSTRACT

This paper investigates the changes to the essential economic structure of the Brazilian economy from 2005 to 2014. It uses the method of qualitative input-output analysis and its extensions, applied by Aroche-Reyes (1996AROCHE-REYES, F. Important coefficient and structural change: a multi-layer approach. Economic Systems Research, v. 8, n. 3, p. 235-246, 1996.) and Gosh and Roy (1998GOSH, S.; ROY, J. Qualitative input-output analysis of the Indian economic structure. Economic Systems Research, v. 10, n. 3, p. 263-274, 1998.), to verify the pattern of structural change, the number of dynamic sectors, and to examine whether there has been change in the role of sectors in this period. The results indicate a change in the structure of the economy, leading to a decrease in intersector and intrasector economic linkages. In this context, the construction sector remains central, presenting a substantial number of important coefficients. However, the total number of important coefficients diminished in the whole period, indicating a deteriorated economic structure. This fact points to a restriction in the nation’s sustainable economic growth.

KEYWORDS:
qualitative input-output analysis; development economics

	Sectors	Agriculture	Industry	Services
	Agriculture	0	1	0
Z =	Industry	1	0	1
	Services	1	1	0

Ranges r	2005		2014
Ranges r	Frequency	Cumulative frequency	Frequency	Cumulative frequency
$0 < r < 5$	27 (1.0)	27 (1.0)	24 (0.9)	24 (0.9)
$5 \leq r < 10$	39 (1.5)	66 (2.5)	36 (1.4)	60 (2.3)
$10 \leq r < 20$	59 (2.2)	125 (4.7)	58 (2.2)	118 (4.5)
$20 \leq r < 50$	143 (5.5)	268 (10.2)	141 (5.4)	235 (9.9)
$50 \leq r < 100$	193 (7.5)	461 (17.7)	165(6.4)	400 (16.3)
$r > 100$	2038 (78.4)	2499 (96.1)	2076 (79.9)	2476 (96.2)
$r = 0$	102 (3.9)	2601 (100)	101 (3.8)	2601 (100)

Cluster values	2005		2014
Cluster values	Frequency	Cumulative frequency	Frequency	Cumulative frequency
0	5 (9.80)	5 (9.80)	6 (11.76)	6 (11.76)
1	5 (9.80)	10 (19.60)	4 (7.84)	10 (19.60)
2	4 (7.84)	14 (27.45)	7 (13.72)	17 (33.33)
3	9 (17.64)	23 (45.09)	5 (9.80)	22 (43.13)
4	3 (5.88)	26 (50.98)	6 (11.76)	28 (54.90)
5	4 (7.84)	30 (58.82)	4 (7.84)	32 (62.74)
6	6 (11.76)	36 (70.58)	6 (11.76)	38 (74.51)
7	5 (9.80)	41 (80.39)	5 (9.80)	43 (84.31)
8	3 (5.88)	44 (86.27)	1 (1.96)	44 (86.27)
9	1 (1.96)	45 (88.23)	2 (3.92)	46 (90.19)
10	1 (1.96)	46 (90.19)	1 (1.96)	47 (92.15)
11	2 (3.92)	48 (94.11)	1 (1.96)	48 (94.11)
12	1 (1.96)	49 (96.07)	2 (3.92)	50 (98.04)
13	1 (1.96)	50 (98.04)
17	1 (1.96)	51 (100)	1 (1.96)	51 (100)

Sector		Index 2005	Index 2014
1	Agriculture, forestry, and logging	2.00	1.00
2	Livestock and fisheries	1.00	1.00
3	Oil and natural gas	0.5	0.00
4	Iron ore	0.00	0.00
5	Other mining and quarrying	0.20	0.20
6	Food and beverages	5.50	5.00
7	Tobacco products	isolated*	isolated*
8	Textiles	0.67	0.67
9	Articles of apparel and accessories	infinity (b)	infinity (b)
10	Leather goods and footwear	2.00	2.00
11	Wood products - furniture exclusive	0.25	0.25
12	Pulp and paper products	0.50	0.50
13	Newspapers, magazines, and discs	0.40	0.20
14	Petroleum refining and coke	1.50	1.50
15	Alcohol	0.00	1.00
16	Chemical products	0.50	0.67
17	Resin manufacturing and elastomers	0.50	0.33
18	Pharmaceutical products	0.50	0.50
19	Pesticides	0.33	0.33
20	Perfumery hygiene and cleanliness	0.00	isolated*
21	Varnishes paints and lacquers	0.00	0.00
22	Various chemical products and preparations	0.40	0.20
23	Rubber and plastic	0.57	0.67
24	Cement and other non- metallic mineral products	1.00	1.00
25	Steel manufacturing and derivatives	0.67	0.50
26	Non- ferrous metallurgy	0.40	0.40
27	Metal products - except machinery and equipment	0.50	0.50
28	Machinery and equipment including maintenance and repairs	2.50	5.00
29	Appliances and electronic equipment	0.75	0.75
30	Office machines and equipment, and electronic materials	0.50	1.00
31	Automotive manufacturing	infinity (b)	infinity (b)
32	Parts and accessories for motor vehicles	1.00	0.75
33	Other transport equipment	1.00	1.00
34	Furniture and products of various industries	infinity (b)	infinity (b)
35	Production and distribution of electricity gas, water, sewage, and urban cleaning	0.50	0.75
36	Construction	10.00	10.00
37	Trade	3.25	4.67
38	Transport, storage, and postal services	2.00	2.00
39	Information services	1.67	1.33
40	Financial intermediation, insurance, and pension plan, and related services	1.00	1.67
41	Real estate activities and rentals	infinity (b)	0.00
42	Maintenance and repair services	0.00	0.00
43	Accommodation and food services	1.00	1.00
44	Business services	0.71	0.71
45	Commercial education	isolated*	isolated*
46	Commercial health	3.00	2.00
47	Services rendered to families and associations	infinity (b)	infinity (b)
48	Domestic services	isolated*	isolated*
49	Public education	isolated*	isolated*
50	Public health	isolated*	isolated*
51	Public administration and social security	infinity (b)	infinity (b)

Instituto de Economia da Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro Avenida Pasteur, 250 sala 114, Palácio Universitário, Instituto de Economia, 22290-240 Rio de Janeiro - RJ Brasil, Tel.: 55 21 3938-5242 - Rio de Janeiro - RJ - Brazil
E-mail: rec@ie.ufrj.br

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[1] Correspondência para: Henrique Morrone Contato: hmorrone@hotmail.com