El impacto de la pandemia de COVID-19 en el exceso de mortalidad: estudio descriptivo, Pernambuco, 2020-2022

Campos, Hélder Limeira; Fernandes, Gabriel Jesus Alves; Sousa, Daphne Galvão de; Conrado, Paloma Luna Maranhão; Campos, Évelyn de Oliveira; Santos Filho, Ricardo Augusto Barros dos; Costa, Polyana Felipe Ferreira da; Silva, Carolina Maria da; Conrado, George Alessandro Maranhão; Galvão, Pauliana Valéria Machado

doi:10.1590/S2237-96222025v34e20240286.en

person Hélder Limeira Campos

Conceptualization · Formal analysis · Writing – original draft;

schoolUniversidade de Pernambuco, Faculdade de Medicina, Serra Talhada, PE, Brazil

0009-0006-9203-4102

person Gabriel Jesus Alves Fernandes

Investigation · Validation · Writing – original draft;

schoolUniversidade de Pernambuco, Faculdade de Medicina, Serra Talhada, PE, Brazil

0000-0002-5867-2884

person Daphne Galvão de Sousa

Investigation · Methodology · Validation · Visualization · Writing – original draft;

schoolUniversidade de Pernambuco, Faculdade de Medicina, Serra Talhada, PE, Brazil

0000-0002-8634-6277

person Paloma Luna Maranhão Conrado

Data curation · Formal analysis · Writing – original draft;

schoolUniversidade de Pernambuco, Faculdade de Medicina, Serra Talhada, PE, Brazil

0000-0001-8828-667X

person Évelyn de Oliveira Campos

Investigation · Supervision · Validation · Writing – original draft;

schoolUniversidade de Pernambuco, Faculdade de Medicina, Serra Talhada, PE, Brazil

0009-0008-2319-414X

person Ricardo Augusto Barros dos Santos Filho

Investigation · Supervision · Validation · Writing – original draft;

schoolUniversidade de Pernambuco, Faculdade de Medicina, Serra Talhada, PE, Brazil

0000-0002-1212-329X

person Polyana Felipe Ferreira da Costa

Project administration · Resources · Writing – review & editing;

schoolUniversidade de Pernambuco, Faculdade de Medicina, Serra Talhada, PE, Brazil

0000-0002-6054-8401

person Carolina Maria da Silva

Methodology · Project administration · Visualization · Writing – review & editing;

schoolUniversidade de Pernambuco, Faculdade de Medicina, Serra Talhada, PE, Brazil

0000-0003-2680-9767

person George Alessandro Maranhão Conrado

Conceptualization · Investigation · Project administration · Writing – review & editing;

schoolUniversidade de Pernambuco, Faculdade de Medicina, Serra Talhada, PE, Brazil

0000-0001-6649-577X

person Pauliana Valéria Machado Galvão

Conceptualization · Formal analysis · Methodology · Writing – review & editing.

schoolUniversidade de Pernambuco, Faculdade de Ciências Médicas, Recife, PE, Brazil

0000-0002-4418-218X

Correspondence: Pauliana Valéria Machado Galvão
email pauliana.galvao@upe.br

Conflicts of interest

None to declare.

Editor-in-chief

Jorge Otávio Maia Barreto (https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7648-0472)

Scientific editor

Wildo Navegantes de Araújo (https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6856-4094)

Associate editor

Sandra Maria do Valle Leone de Oliveira (https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8960-6716)

Regional health Management department	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020		2021		2022
Regional health Management department	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	All-cause	COVID-19	All-cause	COVID-19	All-cause	COVID-19
I - Recife	27,619	29,615	28,860	27,704	28,778	36,306	6,490	38,405	6,858	31,810	1,008
II - Limoeiro	4,242	4,354	4,375	4,219	4,329	4,882	578	5,314	838	4,746	120
III - Palmares	3,792	4,160	3,918	3,746	3,827	4,755	579	4,557	602	4,315	106
IV - Caruaru	9,991	10,601	9,743	9,399	9,618	10,899	1,314	11,202	1,563	10,991	407
V - Garanhuns	3,774	4,109	3,968	3,748	3,911	4,333	333	4,624	547	4,401	126
VI - Arcoverde	2,587	2,600	2,480	2,397	2,628	2,800	171	2,950	349	2,895	89
VII - Salgueiro	831	925	919	870	894	1,022	83	1,041	160	1,056	20
VIII - Petrolina	2,332	2,418	2,534	2,585	2,694	2,919	199	3,434	516	3,223	98
IX - Ouricuri	2,015	2,101	1,980	2,026	2,066	2,269	212	2,500	462	2,295	80
X - Afogados	1,348	1,475	1,369	1,356	1,430	1,605	144	1,708	227	1,579	43
XI - Serra Talhada	1,570	1,806	1,627	1,488	1,614	1,810	155	1,845	255	1,852	53
XII - Goiana	2,211	2,463	2,339	2,261	2,252	2,591	338	2,791	397	2,577	85
Total	62,312	66,627	64,112	61,799	64,041	76,191	10,596	80,371	12,774	71,740	2,235

Regional health management department	Observed-to-expected deaths ratio			P-score
Regional health management department	2020	2021	2022	2020	2021	2022
I - Recife	1.3	1.4	1.1	28.0	35.4	12.2
II - Limoeiro	1.1	1.2	1.1	13.2	23.2	10.0
III - Palmares	1.3	1.2	1.1	25.9	20.7	14.3
IV - Caruaru	1.2	1.2	1.2	18.1	21.4	19.1
V - Garanhuns	1.1	1.2	1.1	11.4	18.9	13.2
VI - Arcoverde	1.1	1.2	1.2	11.0	17.0	14.8
VII - Salgueiro	1.1	1.2	1.2	12.5	14.6	16.3
VIII - Petrolina	1.1	1.2	1.2	4.8	23.3	15.7
IX - Ouricuri	1.1	1.2	1.1	11.4	22.7	12.7
X - Afogados	1.2	1.2	1.1	15.6	23.0	13.7
XI - Serra Talhada	1.2	1.2	1.2	17.3	19.6	20.1
XII - Goiana	1.2	1.3	1.2	15.7	24.7	15.1
Total	1.2	1.3	1.1	20.9	27.5	13.8

Regional health management department	2020		2021		2022
Regional health management department	All-cause	COVID-19	All-cause	COVID-19	All-cause	COVID-19
Male population
I - Recife	19,303	3,451	19,973	3,591	16,618	513
II - Limoeiro	2,784	317	2,891	436	2,578	61
III - Palmares	2,737	330	2,529	319	2,403	51
IV - Caruaru	6,007	717	6,156	822	6,010	216
V - Garanhuns	2,412	175	2,583	300	2,367	63
VI - Arcoverde	1,568	86	1,661	191	1,601	55
VII - Salgueiro	602	38	584	93	567	11
VIII - Petrolina	1,686	119	1,994	287	1,854	56
IX - Ouricuri	1,273	130	1,414	247	1,338	49
X - Afogados	893	82	936	123	898	25
XI - Serra Talhada	997	79	1,033	136	1,036	25
XII - Goiana	1,494	189	1,556	200	1,465	40
Total	41,756	5,713	43,310	6,745	38,735	1,165
Female population
I - Recife	16,991	3,039	18,425	3,267	15,185	495
II - Limoeiro	2,098	261	2,423	402	2,167	59
III - Palmares	2,016	249	2,027	283	1,912	55
IV - Caruaru	4,889	597	5,039	741	4,975	191
V - Garanhuns	1,920	158	2,039	247	2,034	63
VI - Arcoverde	1,229	85	1,288	158	1,293	34
VII - Salgueiro	420	45	457	67	489	9
VIII - Petrolina	1,232	80	1,436	229	1,368	42
IX - Ouricuri	996	82	1,084	215	956	31
X - Afogados	712	62	772	104	681	18
XI - Serra Talhada	812	76	811	119	816	28
XII - Goiana	1,097	149	1,234	197	1,112	45
Total	34,412	4,883	37,035	6,029	32,988	1,070

Regional health management department	Observed-to-expected deaths ratio			P-score
Regional health management department	2020	2021	2022	2020	2021	2022
Male population
I - Recife	1.3	1.3	1.1	28.5	33.0	10.7
II - Limoeiro	1.1	1.2	1.1	14.4	18.8	6.0
III - Palmares	1.3	1.2	1.1	25.3	15.7	10.0
IV - Caruaru	1.2	1.2	1.2	17.0	19.9	17.1
V - Garanhuns	1.2	1.3	1.1	16.3	24.5	14.1
VI - Arcoverde	1.2	1.2	1.2	14.9	21.7	17.3
VII - Salgueiro	1.2	1.2	1.1	20.7	17.1	13.7
VIII - Petrolina	1.0	1.2	1.1	3.9	22.9	14.3
IX - Ouricuri	1.1	1.3	1.2	12.3	24.7	18.0
X - Afogados	1.1	1.2	1.1	11.8	17.2	12.4
XI - Serra Talhada	1.2	1.2	1.2	16.8	21.1	21.4
XII - Goiana	1.2	1.2	1.2	17.1	22.0	14.9
Total	1.2	1.2	1.1	20.7	25.2	12.0
Female population
I - Recife	1.3	1.4	1.1	27.5	38.2	13.9
II - Limoeiro	1.1	1.3	1.2	11.8	29.1	15.4
III - Palmares	1.3	1.3	1.2	26.8	27.5	20.3
IV - Caruaru	1.2	1.2	1.2	19.6	23.3	21.7
V - Garanhuns	1.1	1.1	1.1	5.8	12.4	12.1
VI - Arcoverde	1.1	1.1	1.1	6.4	11.5	11.9
VII - Salgueiro	1.0	1.1	1.2	2.6	11.6	19.4
VIII - Petrolina	1.1	1.2	1.2	5.9	23.5	17.6
IX - Ouricuri	1.1	1.2	1.1	10.4	20.1	5.9
X - Afogados	1.2	1.3	1.2	20.7	30.9	15.4
XI - Serra Talhada	1.2	1.2	1.2	17.9	17.8	18.5
XII - Goiana	1.1	1.3	1.2	13.9	28.1	15.5
Total	1.2	1.2	1.1	20.3	29.5	15.4