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Temporal trends and spatial distribution of leprosy-related mortality in the state of Tocantins, Brazil, 2000-2015

Abstract

Objective

to describe temporal trends and spatial distribution patterns of leprosy-related deaths in the state of Tocantins, Brazil, 2000-2015.

Methods

this study was based on Mortality Information System (SIM) data; mortality coefficient temporal trend analysis was performed using joinpoint regression and descriptive spatial analysis, taking the state’s 139 municipalities as geographic units of analysis.

Results

201 leprosy-related deaths were identified in Tocantins; average mortality coefficient was 0.7 deaths/100,000 inhabitants; mortality tended to increase significantly (5.4% Annual Percentage Change - 95% CI 2.0; 8.9); the average annual crude mortality coefficient ranged from 0.00 to 6.83 deaths/100,000 inhabitants, while the smoothed indicator ranged from 0.00 to 2.42 deaths/100,000 inhabitants.

Conclusion

leprosy mortality showed a rising trend and heterogeneous spatial distribution in Tocantins, with the need to strengthen leprosy surveillance and control measures.

Epidemiology; Leprosy; Spatial Analyses; Time Series Studies; Mortality

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