Tendencia temporal de la mortalidad por enfermedades respiratorias infecciosas en la infancia en Minas Gerais, Brasil, 2000-2020

Moura, Davi Nilson Aguiar e; Silva, Fillipe Reis; Assumpção, David Morosini de; Reis, Nícolas Emanuel Oliveira; Cunha, Isabela Fernandes Coelho; Silva, Amanda Priscila de Santana Cabral; Alves, Waneska Alexandra

Davi Nilson Aguiar e Moura

concept and design

analysis

drafting

approving

integrity

Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora, Departamento de Medicina, Governador Valadares, MG, Brazil

http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8960-7540

Fillipe Reis Silva

concept and design

analysis

drafting

approving

integrity

Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora, Departamento de Medicina, Governador Valadares, MG, Brazil

http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6095-6379

David Morosini de Assumpção

design

analysis

preparation

approving

integrity

Empresa Pagar.me, Engenharia de Dados, São Paulo, SP, Brazil

http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6519-8703

Nícolas Emanuel Oliveira Reis

concept and design

analysis

drafting

approving

integrity

Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora, Departamento de Medicina, Governador Valadares, MG, Brazil

http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8098-801X

Isabela Fernandes Coelho Cunha

concept and design

analysis

drafting

approving

integrity

Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora, Departamento de Medicina, Governador Valadares, MG, Brazil

http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6080-1270

Amanda Priscila de Santana Cabral Silva

concept and design

analysis

preparation

approving

integrity

Universidade Federal de Pernambuco, Núcleo de Saúde Coletiva, Vitória de Santo Antão, PE, Brazil

http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2337-9925

Waneska Alexandra Alves

concept and design

analysis

preparation

approving

integrity

Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora, Departamento de Nutrição, Governador Valadares, MG, Brazil

http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2893-8768

Correspondence:
Davi Nilson Aguiar e Moura.
E-mail:
davinilson2009@hotmail.com

AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS

Moura DNA, Silva FR, Reis NEO and Cunha IFC contributed to the study concept and design, data acquisition and analysis, preparation of preliminary versions and drafting the final version of the article, critically reading and approving it. Assumpção DM contributed to the study design, data acquisition and analysis, preparation of preliminary versions and approval of the final version of the article. Alves WA and Silva APSC contributed to the study concept and design, data analysis, preparation of preliminary versions, critically reading and approving the final version of the article. All authors declare themselves responsible for the investigation and resolution of the work, guaranteeing its accuracy and integrity.

CONFLICTS OF INTEREST

The authors declare they have no conflicts of interest.

Associate editor:

Lúcia Rolim Santana de Freitas - https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0080-2858

Year of death	Bacterias		Virus		Fungus		Unspecified agent		Total
	No. of deaths	Proportional mortality	No. of deaths	Proportional mortality	No. of deaths	Proportional mortality	No. of deaths	Proportional mortality	No. of deaths
	(n)	(%)	(n)	(%)	(n)	(%)	(n)	(%)	(n)
2000	59	11.2	7	1.3	-	-	461	87.5	527
2001	75	15.7	4	0.8	-	-	398	83.4	477
2002	40	10.9	6	1.6	-	-	322	87.5	368
2003	39	11.4	6	1.8	1	0.3	296	86.5	342
2004	31	10.7	4	1.4	-	-	256	88.0	291
2005	26	10.8	4	1.7	-	-	211	87.6	241
2006	35	12.1	4	1.4	-	-	250	86.5	289
2007	26	12.9	1	0.5	1	0.5	174	86.1	202
2008	21	9.5	8	3.6	1	0.5	191	86.4	221
2009	16	8.2	13	6.6	1	0.5	166	84.7	196
2010	25	14.5	5	2.9	-	-	143	82.7	173
2011	27	17.8	1	0.7	-	-	124	81.6	152
2012	20	11.4	5	2.9	0	-	150	85.7	175
2013	18	11.0	10	6.1	-	-	135	82.8	163
2014	20	15.2	7	5.3	-	-	105	79.5	132
2015	13	10.9	2	1.7	-	-	104	87.4	119
2016	25	16.7	10	6.7	1	0.7	114	76.0	150
2017	12	9.7	3	2.4	0	-	109	87.9	124
2018	21	16.2	9	6.9	1	0.8	99	76.2	130
2019	24	17.4	7	5.1	-	-	107	77.5	138
2020	9	11.5	23	29.5	-	-	46	59.0	78
Total	582	12.4	139	3.0	6	0.1	3,961	84.5	4,688

Year of death	URTI^a		LRTI^b		Systemic infections		Total
	No. of deaths	Proportional mortality	No. of deaths	Proportional mortality	No. of deaths	Proportional mortality	No. of deaths
	(n)	(%)	(n)	(%)	(n)	(%)	(n)
2000	12	2.3	470	89.2	45	8.5	527
2001	8	1.7	404	84.7	65	13.6	477
2002	10	2.7	314	85.3	44	12.0	368
2003	8	2.3	296	86.5	38	11.1	342
2004	4	1.4	268	92.1	19	6.5	291
2005	4	1.7	210	87.1	27	11.2	241
2006	4	1.4	268	92.7	17	5.9	289
2007	3	1.5	186	92.1	13	6.4	202
2008	9	4.1	195	88.2	17	7.7	221
2009	17	8.7	169	86.2	10	5.1	196
2010	11	6.4	148	85.5	14	8.1	173
2011	4	2.6	137	90.1	11	7.2	152
2012	4	2.3	159	90.9	12	6.9	175
2013	5	3.1	152	93.3	6	3.7	163
2014	4	3	124	93.9	4	3.0	132
2015	8	6.7	106	89.1	5	4.2	119
2016	15	10	127	84.7	8	5.3	150
2017	5	4	111	89.5	8	6.5	124
2018	7	5.4	113	86.9	10	7.7	130
2019	8	5.8	122	88.4	8	5.8	138
2020	2	2.6	46	59.0	30	38.5	78
Total	152	3.2	4,125	88.0	411	8.8	4,688

Variables		1^st trend			p-value	2^nd trend			p-value
Variables		Period	APC^a (%)	95%CI^b		Period	APC^a (%)	95%CI^b
	Deaths (n)	(2000-2005)	-13.8	(-18.4;-8.8)	< 0.001	(2005-2020)	-5.7	(-7.2;-4.1)	< 0.001
Etiologic agent (proportional mortality)	Bacterias	(2000-2020)	1.0	(-0.6;2.6)	0.222	-	-	-
	Virus	(2000-2020)	11.1	(5.3;17.3)	0.001	-	-	-
	Unspecified agent	(2000-2018)	-0.4	(-0.7;0.0)	0.029	(2018-2020)	-13.0	(-22.0;-3.0)	0.015
	Fungus^c
Anatomical site (proportional mortality)	LRTI^d	(2000-2018)	0.2	(-0.1;0.6)	0.182	(2018-2020)	-16.4	(-24.6;-7.2)	0.002
	URTI^e	(2000-2020)	5.8	(1.8;9.9)	0.006	-	-	-
	Systemic	(2000-2018)	-4.9	(-7.5;-2.2)	0.001	(2018-2020)	155.2	(7.3;507.0)	0.036

[1] Correspondence:
Davi Nilson Aguiar e Moura.
E-mail:
davinilson2009@hotmail.com

Brasil

Brasil

Tendencia temporal de la mortalidad por enfermedades respiratorias infecciosas en la infancia en Minas Gerais, Brasil, 2000-2020

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