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Climatic factors and the incidence of dengue in Cartagena, Colombian Caribbean Region

ABSTRACT

Background:

The influence of climate on the epidemiology of dengue has scarcely been studied in Cartagena.

Methods:

The relationship between dengue cases and climatic and macroclimatic factors was explored using an ecological design and bivariate and time-series analyses during lag and non-lag months. Data from 2008-2017 was obtained from the national surveillance system and meteorological stations.

Results:

Cases correlated only with climatic variables during lag and non-lag months. Decreases in precipitation and humidity and increases in temperature were correlated with an increase in cases.

Conclusions:

Our findings provide useful information for establishing and strengthening dengue prevention and control strategies.

Keywords:
Dengue; Mosquito-borne disease; Climatic factors; Macroclimatic phenomena; Colombian Caribbean region

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