Population dynamics of Siderastrea stellata Verrill , 1868 from Rocas Atoll , RN : implications for predicted climate change impacts at the only South Atlantic atoll

Coral reefs are one of the most vulnerable ecosystems to ocean warming and acidification, and it is important to determine the role of reef building species in this environment in order to obtain insight into their susceptibility to expected impacts of global changes. Aspects of the life history of a coral population, such as reproduction, growth and size-frequency can contribute to the production of models that are used to estimate impacts and potential recovery of the population, acting as a powerful tool for the conservation and management of those ecosystems. Here, we present the first evidence of Siderastrea stellata planulation, its early growth, population size-frequency distribution and growth rate of adult colonies in Rocas Atoll. Our results, together with the environmental protection policies and the absence of anthropogenic pressures, suggest that S. stellata population may have a good potential in the maintenance and recovery in the atoll. However, our results also indicate an impact on corals’ recruitment, probably as a consequence of the positive temperature anomaly that occurred in 2010. Thus, despite the pristine status of Rocas Atoll, the preservation of its coral community seems to be threatened by current global changes, such as more frequent thermal stress events.


INTRODUCTION
Increasing carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) concentration in the atmosphere has been changing physical and chemical aspects of the planet, causing global warming, sea level rise, more frequent and intense storms, and ocean acidification (Sabine et al. 2004, Anthony et al. 2011, Zeebe 2012).Coral reefs are directly impacted by those changes; a rise in sea surface temperature causes severe bleaching (Hoegh-Guldberg 2011), ocean acidification suppresses growth and calcification (Albright et al. 2016) and sea level rise causes submergence of coral reefs and atoll islands (Kayanne 2016).Consequently, they are the one of the most threatened ecosystems (Kleypas et al. 1999a, b, Kroeker et al. 2013) and it is important to estimate their recovery potential from natural physiological BARBARA R. PINHEIRO et al. disturbances and from anthropogenic perturbation.According to Edmunds (2007) aspects of the life history of a coral population, such as reproduction, or growth and size-frequency are crucial to understand their role in the marine ecosystem and to obtain insight into their susceptibility to changes in the external physical and chemical environment.This information can be used in coral models and function as excellent tools to study demography, physiology/growth, and ecology, helping the conservation and management of this important ecosystem (Piniak et al. 2006).
In the South Atlantic Ocean there is only one atoll, Rocas Atoll, the first Brazilian marine protected area, created in 1979 and considered a pristine reef ecosystem (Longo et al. 2015).Due to its isolation and conservational status, Rocas Atoll can act as an excellent opportunity to study the mechanism and impacts of global changes on reef systems.However, there is a gap of knowledge about corals population dynamics in this area.Its reef structure is constructed mainly by encrusting coralline red algae (70%) with the secondary framework builders composed by vermetid gastropods, encrusting foraminifera, polychaetes worm tubes, and corals (less than 10%) (Kikuchi andLeão 1997, Gherardi andBosence 2001).The dominant reef building coral species is Siderastrea stellata Verrill 1868 occurring in all tidal pools of the atoll (Echeverría et al. 1997).New information about its early growth, size frequency distribution and growth rate of adult colonies will contribute to model this population and predict effects of possible impacts such as ocean acidification or global warming.
S. stellata belongs to the genus Siderastrea de Blainville 1830 and to the family Siderastreidae Vaughan and Wells 1943.According to Wells (1956), this genus has existed since the Cretaceous and is represented by five extant species which has spread mainly in the Atlantic ocean, although two of them (Siderastrea savignyana and Siderastrea glynni) can be found in the Pacific and Indian Oceans (Budd and Guzman 1994).S. stellata together with the species from the Caribbean Sea (Siderastrea siderea and Siderastrea radians) compose the "Atlantic Siderastrea complex" (Veron 1995).The taxonomy of this group has been debated and previously S. stellata was considered the only siderastreid in Brazil (Laborel 1974, Maida andFerreira 1997).Recently, the presence of S. radians and S. siderea was confirmed on the Brazilian coast (Neves et al. 2008, 2010, Nunes et al. 2011) however, neither of those investigations included specimens collected at Rocas Atoll and up to now, only the occurrence of S. stellata is confirmed in this atoll.
S. stellata is a colonial, zooxanthellated and massive coral species with high resistance to environmental stress, such as sedimentation, wave action, temperature and salinity variations (Leão et al. 2003).Until recently, it was accepted that its spatial distribution in the South Atlantic was from Parcel do Manuel Luiz, Maranhão (00°53'S, 044°16'W) to Cabo Frio, Rio de Janeiro -(23°S, 042°W, Lins-de-Barros and Pires 2007), but Cordeiro et al. (2015) shows that this species can also be found in reef communities adjacent to the Amazon River mouth in the coast of the Para state (00°21›14»S 46°53›56»W).According to Lins-de- Barros et al. (2003) S. stellata is a gonochoric brooder species, with a high female to male sex ratio and an annual reproductive cycle.Planulation occurs preferentially during the austral summer, concomitant with the seasonal sea surface temperature (SST) rise.S. stellata planula larvae were also observed in laboratory experiments to be released in January and April.The larvae contain zooxanthellae, with varied size from 500 µm to 1.4 mm in diameter and they start settlement between 72 hours to 15 days in close contact with parental polyps (Neves and Silveira 2003).
Lins-de- Barros andPires (2006a, b, 2007) studied some aspects of the life history of this species such as reproduction, growth and size frequency for other sites on the coast of Brazil.Nevertheless, at Rocas Atoll, despite the existence of information on S. stellata abundance (Echeverría et al. 1997, Fonseca et al. 2012), percent coverage (Longo et al. 2015), and its importance as a natural archive for paleoclimate studies (Mayal et al. 2009, Oliveira 2012, Pereira et al. 2016), there is no record of other aspects of its population dynamics.Part of the reason of the absence of population models for Brazilian coral species are due to this lack of information to produce them.In this study we present the first evidence of S. stellata planulation, its early growth, size frequency distribution and growth rate of adult colonies.In addition, we discuss the implications of our results under a scenario of predicted impacts due to warming and acidification for the conservation of S. stellata population at Rocas Atoll.

STUDy SITE
The Rocas Atoll is situated 266 km northeast of the coastal city of Natal, northeastern Brazil (Fig. 1).It is one of the smallest atolls in the world, with an axis of 3.35 km by 2.49 km, a reef area of 6.56 km 2 and a perimeter of 11 km (Pereira et al. 2010) and is the only atoll located in the western part of the South Atlantic (3°51´S, 33°49´W).
Rocas is dominated by the South Equatorial Current (SEC), with consistent westerly flow (Goes 2005) and a mean velocity of 30 cm per second on the 4°S parallel (Richardson and Walsh 1986).The tidal regime is semi-diurnal and meso-tidal (Gherardi and Bosence 2001).No tidal range records exist in Rocas Atoll.In Fernando de Noronha's harbor (144 km east from Rocas) the maximum tidal range is 2.8 m (DHN 2014).The  Cienc (2017) 89 (2)
equatorial location of the Rocas Atoll leads to minimal seasonal SST variability, with an annual range of 3°C for monthly mean temperatures (Ferreira et al. 2012).Salinity in the surrounding seawaters varies from 36 to 37 parts per thousand (ppt) (Gherardi and Bosence 1999).There is a wet season from approximately March through July and a dry season from approximately August through February (APAC 2014).

DETERMINATION OF EARLy GROWTH OF S. stellata PRIMARy POLyPS
Five colonies of S. stellata (diameters between 10 and 20 cm) were collected during the last week of December 2012 at Cemitério pool and kept in 30 L seawater tanks with circulation and air pumps, covered with preconditioned ceramic tiles.The tanks were kept at the scientific base at Rocas Atoll in a shade dock that allows natural luminosity, but protects from direct solar incidence.Seawater in the tanks was renewed daily and temperature and salinity subsequently determined.During this process, the presence of planula larvae in the water column and the settlement of the primary polyps on the tiles was checked.From January until March 2013 the growth of the recruit was evaluated.The ceramic tiles were analyzed using a stereomicroscope and photographed.The size of the recruits was determined by measuring the maximum diameter at the base of the living tissue and the total area of the primary polyp using the Image J software.Polyp mortality was identified by the absence of living tissue on the skeleton, or when recruits were covered by epibenthic algae.At the end of the expedition in March 2013, the ceramic tiles and coral colonies were fixed back on the pool.
Colonies were cut into halves, and one half was cut into 5-mm thick slices parallel to the vertical growth axis of the whole colony.After cutting, these slices were air-dried and X-ray images were taken and digitalized for analysis of the extension rate by using the CoralXDS 3.0 Software (Helmle et al. 2002).Afterwards, several transects were analyzed in the digital image of the coral X-radiography in order to totally cover the lateral extension of the coral slab (Fig. 2).

S. stellata POPULATION SIZE STRUCTURE
During January and May 2014, the S. Stellata population data were collected by scuba divers along eight belt transects in each tidal pool.All S. stellata colonies within a 1 m belt transect, along 20-m transect, were counted and their size were categorized in four different classes according their maximum diameter size: < 2 cm, 2.1 -4.0 cm, 4.1 -10 cm and above 10 cm.Colonies in the transect edge were only considered in the count if they were more than 50% inside the delimited belt transect area.

EARLy GROWTH OF S. stellata PRIMARy POLyPS
During the period of the experiment (late December 2012 to early March 2013), the mean (± standard deviation) temperature and salinity in the tanks with the colonies and ceramic tiles were 29.01±2.03°Cand 35.24±0.8ppt, respectively.Five to seven days after the sampling period of the colonies, planula larvae was observed searching for suitable places in the ceramic tiles to settle (Fig. 3b, c).In total, 34 S. stellata recruits were observed.Five of them died during the study, corresponding to a mortality rate of 14.70%.Fusion of three primary polyps was observed (Fig. 3f), therefore those records were not used in the calculation of the growth rate due to the difficulty in identifying the base of the recruits.In addition, six other recruits were excluded from the evaluation due to the fact that their tentacles were always extended and the base of the polyps was partially covered by algae.From the 34 recruits observed, only 20 had their growth evaluated during the entire experimental period (Fig. 4).In January (about 17 days old), the mean diameter of the recruits (± SD) was 1.15±0.33mm, ranging from 0.56 to 1.90 mm.In February (about one month), the recruits had a mean diameter of 1.25± 0.36, ranging from 0.71 to 2.12 mm.In March (aging around 45 to 50 days old), the recruits had mean values of diameters of 1.49±0.45mm, ranging from 0.9 to 2.28 mm (Fig. 4a).
The mean area of the recruits (± SD) was 1.32±0.73mm² in January, ranging from 0.32 to 3.28 mm².In February, the recruits presented a mean area of 1.61±0.94mm², ranging from 0.51 to 4.38 mm².Average area of the recruits measured in March was 2.23±1.26mm² ranging from 0.78 to 4.7 mm² (Fig. 4b).

GROWTH RATE OF ADULT COLONIES
Table I presents the annual extension rate of the seven colonies of S. stellata studied, obtained from the analysis of their radiographies using CoralXDS.Mean coral extension rates varied from 6.0 to 8.1 mm year -1 with an average of 6.8±0.7 mm year -1 (±SD, n=35).

POPULATION SIZE STRUCTURE
The pools connected to the open ocean, Salão and Podes Crer, presented the highest S. stellata abundance, with 4.995 and 4.705 colonies m -2 , followed by Ancoras and Tartarugas with 2.495 and 1.44 colonies m -2 , respectively.The lowest abundance was recorded at Porites and Cemitério, with 0.645 and 0.465 colonies m -2 , respectively (Fig. 5a).The frequency of the smallest size classes (recruits: diameters up to 2 cm and young colonies:   2.1 to 4 cm) were the lowest, representing less than 20% in all pools.Podes Crer was the pool were we observed more recruits: 26 in an eight belt transect (20 m² each) survey.The most frequent size class consisted of diameters between 4.01 and 10 cm.This was the dominant size frequency at Porites and Ancoras with 67.4 and 62.3%, respectively, at Cemitério and Podes Crer the size class 4.01-10cm was as frequent as the largest size class (>10cm).Half of the colonies observed at Tartarugas had a diameter higher than 10 cm.This class size was the dominant one at the Salão pool, with 68.9% of the colonies belonging to this size class (> 10 cm) (Fig. 5b).

DISCUSSION
The results presented here begin to fill a gap in the knowledge about the dynamics of the dominant coral species at Rocas Atoll, and will contribute to the construction of models that would provide assistance for conservation and management of this population, and insight into their vulnerability to global change impacts.This study showed for the first time a Siderastrea stellata reproduction event at Rocas Atoll, with planula larvae being observed during the first week of January.According to Linsde- Barros et al. (2003), it was observed latitudinal differences in the S. stellata period of planulation, e.g.December-early January in Buzios, and February to mid-March in Abrolhos-BA, and this difference was attributed to a punctual upwelling phenomenon that occurs in Buzios-RJ, which lowers the SST by many degrees.Planulation as consequence of the stress and handling during collection was detected by Neves and Silveira (2003), where they inferred immaturity due to a high mortality rate of extruded larvae within 24-48 h of a free-swimming existence.
Our colonies were handled carefully and kept in tanks, within less than 1 km of distance from the sampling pool, with natural light and daily water change.During our experiment, larval swimming behavior or mortality was not observed.Out of all the recruits obtained in the experiment, only 14.70% died by the end of the third month.In the Lins-de-Barros and Pires (2007) study on the reproduction of S. stellata in Fernando de Noronha, they observed in colonies collected in late January that even though the planulation season had already started, oocytes were present in all of the examined polyps.They also observed that there was high polyp fecundity versus low number of larvae (37%), which suggested that most of the oocytes produced had not been fertilized.Therefore, although we have had observed larvae release, metamorphose and settlement of the S. stellata at Rocas Atoll, further studies are necessary to clarify the reproductive peak period of this species and fertilization rate of its population.Juvenile life stages play critical roles in the population dynamics of virtually all organisms, and therefore precise estimates of juvenile growth and survival are important for accurate demographic analyses (Edmunds 2007).In our study the mean diameter of the recruits as measured in March (aging around 45 to 50 days old) was 1.49±0.45mm, ranging from 0.9 to 2.28 mm.According to Pinheiro (2006), which monitored the growth of S. stellata recruits at the no take zone from the Coral's Coast Marine Protected Area (Tamandaré, PE) during one year, recruits with about the same age (50 days old) had an average diameter of 2.11±0.69mm (n= 16), and by the end of the monitoring year they measured 7.19±4.5 mm, with a maximum observed diameter of 12.7 mm.Those recruits were kept on the natural reef, providing more stability and nutrients for the corals to grow.Although caution was taken to maintain good conditions in the tanks (water flow, oxygenation, and seawater change), it is likely that our results could reflect this experimental condition.Castro (2008) observed S. stellata recruits with 1.5 years and diameters of 2.9 and 3.35 mm and juvenile corals with 7.29 mm (2.16 years) and 6.41mm (2.66 years) in a study in the south of Bahia state (Eastern Brazil), but it is not clear if those results represent recruits kept in an aquarium setup or on a natural reef.Either way, those diameter sizes and growth are very small compared to a rough estimation done with linear regression of the results observed during the three months of this study, which indicate a diameter range of 4.46 to 7.78 mm for one-year age recruits.
Some variations in growth rates of coral recruit have been attributed to different intensities of competition caused by the growth of algae and other organisms (Harrison andWallace 1990, Vermeij 2006), differences at the family taxonomic level, related to the spawning modes (Babcock 1985), and changes in the microhabitats conditions such as luminosity differences (Anthony and Hoegh-Guldberg 2003).Even though it is common to observe variations in the growth rates, it is important to have precise estimates.Discrepancies have important implications, because it suggests that the recruitment dynamics of coral populations may function over time scales longer than those usually considered (Edmunds 2007).This study is the first to show the initial growth of S. stellata recruits in Rocas Atoll, although longer studies are needed to draw conclusions about the earlier growth rates of this species.
Concerning the annual extension rate for adult colonies, a growth rate of 6.8±0.7 mm.yr -1 (min.5.1 and max.11.7 mm.y -1 ) was observed.This is in accordance with the study by Oliveira ( 2012) who applyied a combined technic of radiometric U/Th dating and density banding counting to find a growth rate of 6.01±1.08mm.yr -1 , ranging from 3.76 to 8.53 mm.yr -1 for S. stellata from Rocas Atoll.
In reefs off the coast of Bahia state, linear extension rates of 2.73±035 mm yr -1 were found by Lins-de-Barros and Pires (2006b), which measured in colonies stained with alizarin red S, following the method of Lambert (1978).Additionally, Reis and Leão (2000) reported a linear growth rate of 2.38±0.20 mm yr -1 by counting the density banding revealed in X-radiographies.Although the methodology used by Lins-de-Barros and Pires (2006b) could cause handling stress during coral staining, and thus lead to a lower growth rate, the results presented by Reis and Leão (2000) pointed to the same value, indicating that the observed growth rate might be site dependent.
Differences in the mean annual linear extension were also observed for Siderastrea siderea, in Panama.There, Guzman and Tudhope (1998) observed a 7.6±0.7 mm mean annual linear extension during the period from April 1991 to March 1992.In a previous study, Guzman and Cortes (1989), reported a decadal mean annual linear extension of 5.2 mm (ranging from 2 to 6.3 mm; 1976 to 1986), about 2.4 mm lower than the rate recorded in the 90's.Variations of the annual extension rate were also observed for S. siderea in the Caribbean Sea, from 3.5 to 4.3 mm.yr -1 in Puerto Rico (Torres and Morelock 2002).
The lower linear growth rates observed for S. stellata at the reefs from Bahia coast compared to Rocas Atoll (this study and Oliveira 2012), may be due to the differences in the environmental conditions from the two localities.Although, there is an agreement in the scientific community that coral extension rates are species specific (Muslic et al. 2013), studies measuring linear extension rates within individual species indicated that a variety of factors such as season, rainfall, the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, light levels and location within the reef, correlate with (and may influence) coral linear extension rates (Anthony andHoegh-Guldberg 2003, De'ath et al. 2009).There are important differences between Rocas Atoll and reefs from the south of Bahia, especially regarding aspects such as sedimentation rates.Rocas is an oceanic island, isolated from the influence of river discharges and it is probably the most effective marine reserve and the closest to a pristine reef in the Tropical Southwestern Atlantic (Longo et al. 2015).Reefs from the Coast of Bahia are experiencing increasing degradation due to a combination of large-scale natural threats (e.g.sea level oscillations and ENSO events).Local scale anthropogenic stressors, such as accelerated coastal development, reef eutrophication, marine pollution, tourism pressure, over-exploitation of reef resources, overfishing and destructive fisheries and, more recently, the introduction of nonindigenous invasive species are also related to this degradation (Leão and Kikuchi 2011).There is a record of the impact of ENSO events in the coral community at the atoll (Ferreira et al. 2012) but overall, the differences in the linear extension rates for S. stellata we observed in this study may reflect the higher environmental quality of the reef system in Rocas compared to those from Bahia.
Size-frequency distributions have been used to assess the ecological status of different populations in a variety of ecosystems.In coral reef systems, size reflects many life-history processes such as maturation, fecundity, survival and the response of corals to time-varying influences of the environment, including the intensity and frequency of disturbances and the degree of environmental degradation (Zvuloni et al. 2008).
As a dominant coral species at Rocas, the abundance of S. stellata we found in this study (Fig. 5) is in accordance with the hard coral coverage evaluated by Ferreira et al. (2012).They reported a higher percentage in the open pools compared to the isolated ones: 50.6±6.0%at Salão; 34.0 ±14.2% at Podes Crer; followed by 22.5±7.8% in Tartarugas and the lowest coverage, 5.6 ±6.1% at Cemitério.Besides great abundance, the open pools have a high frequency of larger colonies.In the Salão pool, for instance, 68.87% of the colonies have diameters greater than 10 cm.Coral colony size might be considered important for maturation and fecundity.According to Lins-de-Barros and Pires (2006a), the number of oocytes produced per polyp in S. stellata populations is highly variable, although it was always greater in larger colonies, averaging eight oocytes per polyp, and nonetheless colonies larger than 5 cm in diameter had at least one oocyte.Thereby, the size frequency distribution of S. stellata population at Rocas Atoll presented here can be considered to be representative of a mature community, with overall high frequency of colonies with diameters higher than 10 cm (41.2±18.5%).
Another factor that may contribute to the potential of maintenance and recovery of S. stellata population in the atoll is the tidal dynamics that results in strong currents when the atoll is either filling or draining and during high tides (Longo et al. 2015).S. stellata larvae started to settle between 72 hours and 15 days in close contact with parental polyps (Neves and Silveira 2003), and even though it is still necessary to elucidate dispersion and larval recruitment in the atoll, it is likely that the larvae produced by the colonies in the open pools can be dispersed around the atoll.This would explain the higher frequency of juvenile colonies in the closed pools, where we observed frequencies of 67.4% at Porites and 62.3% at Âncoras in colonies with 4.1 to 10 cm diameters.Ferreira et al. (2012) indicate that the occurrence of two sequential positive SST anomalies (2009 and 2010), which triggered up to 50% coral bleaching in the Rocas Atoll and Fernando de Noronha reefs, reduced post-bleaching coral recovery and intensified the outbreak of diseases, specifically black-band, plague and darkspot diseases affecting primarily Siderastrea spp. at the atoll.Thus, the low frequency of young colonies with diameters up to 2 cm (1.8±1.12%) and from 2.1 to 4 cm (8.9±3.87%) that we found in our study may be a consequence of a reduced recruitment event.
Several authors have investigated negative effects of increasing SST on coral reefs.Edmunds (2007) highlights a gradual decline in the growth rates of juvenile corals in St. John, US Virgin Islands and links this decline with rising seawater temperature and depressed aragonite saturation state.The author further suggests that the effects of global climate change may have already reduced the growth of juvenile corals.De'ath et al. (2009) show that linear extension rates in corals decrease as a result of SST increase.Anlauf et al. (2011) points out that in future scenarios of increased temperature and oceanic acidification, coral planulae will be able to disperse and settle successfully, but primary polyp growth may be hampered.According to Albright (2011), available information indicates that ocean acidification (enhanced by warming) may negatively affect sperm motility and fertilization success, larval metabolism, larval settlement, and post settlement growth and calcification.
Our results suggest that the population of S. stellata at Rocas Atoll has a high potential of maintenance and recovery, especially because the atoll is one of the most effective marine protected areas in the South Atlantic, and an oceanic island.Rocas is practically free of anthropogenic impacts BARBARA R. PINHEIRO et al. such as declining water quality, over-exploitation of key marine species, destructive fishing and pollution but still, its location and local police cannot protect it from global-scale risks making it highly vulnerable to warming and acidification of the oceans waters.

Figure 2
Figure 2 -a) Radiography of a 5 mm-slabs of one S. stellata colony collected at the Rocas atoll showing the transect locations along the growth axis and through the lateral extension of the colony slab where CoralXDS analysis were carried out; (b) image of the 5 mm-slab of the same colony.

Figure 4 -
Figure 4 -Size of the S. stellata recruits according to adiameter and b-area, measured between January and March 2013 at Rocas Atoll.

Figure 5 -
Figure 5 -S.stellata colony size-frequency distribution (a) and abundance (m 2 ) (b) at the tidal pools of Rocas Atoll.