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Thyroglobulin levels before radioactive iodine therapy and dynamic risk stratification after 1 year in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer

ABSTRACT

Objectives:

We sought to assess the relationship between stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg) before radioactive iodine therapy (RIT), and the dynamic risk stratification 1 year after treatment, and to establish the utility of the sTg as a predictor of response to therapy in these patients. A retrospective chart review of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) who underwent RIT after surgery and were followed for at least 1 year, was carried out.

Subjects and methods:

Patients were classified according to the dynamic risk stratification 1 year after initial treatment. The sTg values before RIT were compared among the groups. ROC curve analysis was performed.

Results:

Fifty-six patients were enrolled (mean age 44.7 ± 14.4 years, 80.7% had papillary carcinoma). Patients with excellent response had sTg = 2.1 ± 3.3 ng/mL, those with indeterminate response had sTg = 8.2 ± 9.2 ng/mL and those with incomplete response had sTg = 22.4 ± 28.3 ng/mL before RIT (p = 0.01). There was a difference in sTg between excellent and incomplete response groups (p = 0.009) while no difference was found between indeterminate and either excellent or incomplete groups. The ROC curve showed an area under the curve of 0.779 assuming a sTg value of 3.75 ng/mL.

Conclusion:

Our study results suggest that the higher the sTg before RIT, the greater the likelihood of an incomplete response to initial treatment. A sTg cut-off of 3.75 ng/mL was found to be a good predictor of response to initial treatment in patients with DTC.

Keywords
Dynamic risk stratification; radioactive iodine therapy; thyroglobulin; thyroid cancer

INTRODUCTION

Differentiated thyroid carcinomas (DTC) originating from follicular cells account for over 90% of thyroid cancers. DTC comprise both papillary and follicular carcinomas, with the former type being the most common type (around 80% of DTC). The incidence of DTC has increased in recent decades and is 2-4 times more frequent in women than in men, peaking at 40-50 years of age. This disparity between genders narrows progressively with age, with rates almost equal in older adults (11. Aschebrook-Kilfoy B, Ward MH, Sabra MM, Devesa SS. Thyroid cancer incidence patterns in the United States by histologic type, 1992-2006. Thyroid. 2011;21:125-34.,22. Hughes DT, Haymart MR, Miller BS, Gauger PG, Doherty GM. The most commonly occurring papillary thyroid cancer in the United States is now a microcarcinoma in a patient older than 45 years. Thyroid. 2011;21:231-6.).

Based on global consensus on management of DTC, initial treatment includes thyroidectomy with or without lymph node chain resection, in association with administration of I131 radioactive iodine therapy (RIT) in patients with significant risk of death or recurrence (33. Pacini F, Castagna MG, Brilli L, Pentheroudakis G, ESMO Guidelines Working Group. Thyroid cancer: ESMO Clinical Practice Guidelines for diagnosis, treatment and follow-up. Ann Oncol. 2010;21 Suppl 5:v214-9.

4. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26:1-133.
-55. Rosário PW, Ward LS, Carvalho GA, Graf H, Maciel RM, Maciel LM, et al. Thyroid nodules and differentiated thyroid cancer: update on the Brazilian consensus. Arq Bras Endocrinol Metabol. 2013;57:240-64.). After initial therapy, the daily administration of suppression doses of levothyroxine has an important adjuvant role in high-risk patients since suppression of thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) inhibits tumor growth and progression, thereby reducing the risk of disease recurrence and associated death (66. Rosario P, Borges M, Reis J, Alves MF Effect of suppressive therapy with levothyroxine on the reduction of serum thyroglobulin after total thyroidectomy. Thyroid. 2006;16:199-200.

7. Cooper DS, Specker B, Ho M, Sperling M, Ladenson PW, Ross DS, et al. Thyrotropin suppression and disease progression in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer: results from the National Thyroid Cancer Treatment Cooperative Registry. Thyroid. 1998;8:737-44.

8. Jonklaas J, Sarlis NJ, Litofsky D, Ain KB, Bigos ST, Brierley JD, et al. Outcomes of patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma following initial therapy. Thyroid. 2006;16:1229-42.
-99. Hovens GC, Stokkel MP, Kievit J, Corssmit EP, Pereira AM, Romijn JA, et al. Associations of serum thyrotropin concentrations with recurrence and death in differentiated thyroid cancer. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2007;92:2610-5.).

Ideally, initial staging of DTC should be carried out shortly after surgery. Several classifications have been developed for staging. Systems for classifying death risk include the MACIS and TNM, with the latter being the most widely used. More recently, new classification systems have been created for assessing risk of disease recurrence and persistence, for example the American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification (44. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26:1-133.,1010. Pacini F, Schlumberger M, Dralle H, Elisei R, Smit JW, Wiersinga W, et al. European consensus for the management of patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma of the follicular epithelium. Eur J Endocrinol. 2006;154:787-803.).

With the aim of complementing initial staging and assessing response to treatment, a new classification that restages patients 1 year after initial therapy was recently developed (dynamic risk stratification using response to therapy restaging system). Using Tg and anti-Tg antibodies levels, USG and other imaging methods as parameters, patients are reclassified as having excellent, indeterminate (acceptable), or incomplete (biochemical or structural) response to treatment, which then modifies subsequent therapy and follow-up (44. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26:1-133.,1111. Tuttle RM, Leboeuf R. Follow up approaches in thyroid cancer: a risk adapted paradigm. Endocrinol Metab Clin North Am. 2008;37:419-35.). Under this classification, excellent response is defined as the presence of stimulated Tg (sTg) < 1 ng/mL (with absent anti-Tg levels) and negative imaging scans. The presence of elevated Tg (suppressed ≥ 1 ng/mL or stimulated ≥ 10 ng/mL) or rising anti-Tg levels defines incomplete response, which is either structural (local/ regional or distal disease evident on imaging exams) or biochemical (no disease evident). Indeterminate response is established in the presence of non-specific findings on cervical ultrasound, suppressed Tg < 1 ng/ mL and sTg < 10 ng/mL or stable/declining anti-Tg levels (Table 1). According to this classification, in the event of excellent response to treatment, the frequency and intensity of monitoring can be reduced and TSH target raised (0.5-2 mUI/L if initial ATA low or intermediate risk patients; 0.1-0.5 mUI/L if initial ATA high risk patients). Patients attaining an indeterminate response should be kept under approximately the same TSH target as the excellent response and undergo more frequent follow-up, for later reclassification. If biochemical or structural response, patients should be kept under suppression (TSH < 0.1 mUI/L for structural incomplete response; TSH = 0.1-0.5 mUI/L for biochemical incomplete response). In case of elevated Tg, investigation by imaging studies and more aggressive therapeutic are recommended (44. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26:1-133.,1111. Tuttle RM, Leboeuf R. Follow up approaches in thyroid cancer: a risk adapted paradigm. Endocrinol Metab Clin North Am. 2008;37:419-35.).

Table 1
Dynamic risk stratification (restratification)

Serum Tg is the primary tumor marker used in follow-up of patients with DTC for detecting the disease after initial treatment (1212. Spencer C, Petrovic I, Fatemi S, LoPresti J. Serum thyroglobulin (Tg) monitoring of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer using sensitive (second-generation) immunometric assays can be disrupted by false-negative and false-positive serum thyroglobulin autoantibody misclassifications. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2014;99:4589-99.). In recent years, the utility of Tg measured immediately before ablative therapy with I131 and after surgery (Tg before RIT) as a prognostic marker of disease progression has been confirmed (1313. de Rosário PW, Guimarães VC, Maia FF, Fagundes TA, Purisch S, Padrao EL, et al. Thyroglobulin before ablation and correlation with posttreatment scanning. Laryngoscope. 2005;115:264-7.

14. Kim TY, Kim WB, Kim ES, Ryu JS, Yeo JS, Kim SC, et al. Serum thyroglobulin levels at the time of 131I remnant ablation just after thyroidectomy are useful for early prediction of clinical recurrence in low-risk patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2005;90:1440-145.

15. Heemstra KA, Liu YY, Stokkel M, Kievit J, Corssmit E, Pereira AM, et al. Serum thyroglobulin concentrations predict disease-free remission and death in differentiated thyroid carcinoma. Clin Endocrinol (Oxf). 2007;66:58-64.

16. Ronga G, Filesi M, Ventroni G, Vestri AR, Signore A. Value of the first serum thyroglobulin level after total thyroidectomy for the diagnosis of metastases from differentiated thyroid carcinoma. Eur J Nucl Med. 1999;26:1448-52.
-1717. Melo M, Costa G, Ribeiro C, Carrilho F Martins MJ, da Rocha AG, et al. Stimulated thyroglobulin at recombinant human TSH-aided ablation predicts disease-free status one year later. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2013;98:4364-72.). No previous studies, however, have sought to establish the relationship between Tg before RIT and the new dynamic risk stratification.

In order to better define the role of Tg before RIT as a prognostic factor, the objectives of the present study were: 1) To determine whether a relationship exists between sTg levels (TSH > 30 mUI/L) before RIT and after thyroidectomy, and the dynamic risk stratification at 1 year after therapy in patients with DTC; 2) To determine a possible cut-off for sTg before RIT and after thyroidectomy, as a predictor of prognosis.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted analyzing the relationship between sTg levels before RIT and the dynamic risk stratification at 1 year after initial therapy in patients with DTC who undergone thyroidectomy. Data were collected from medical charts of patients referred for RIT after thyroidectomy at the Laboratory of Nuclear Medicine of the Santa Casa Hospital of Sao Paulo.

Sixty patients were eligible for the study. The definitive diagnosis of DTC was reached based on the results of pathological examination of the surgical specimen. The study included all patients diagnosed with DTC of any histological subtype submitted to initial surgical treatment (thyroidectomy) followed by RIT. The I131 activity was administered after preparing the patient with a discontinuation of thyroid hormone and an iodine-poor diet as American Thyroid Association (ATA) recommendations (44. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26:1-133.). The exclusion criteria were patients who had partial thyroidectomy and those with positive anti-Tg antibodies.

Data were collected for age, surgery type, histological type of carcinoma, initial staging by TNM and ATA classifications, I131 (RIT) activity administered, sTg level before RIT, and response to treatment at 1 year after RIT based on the dynamic risk stratification (44. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26:1-133.,1111. Tuttle RM, Leboeuf R. Follow up approaches in thyroid cancer: a risk adapted paradigm. Endocrinol Metab Clin North Am. 2008;37:419-35.). Tg and anti-Tg antibody analyses were performed at the same laboratory for all patients using the same assay (chemiluminescent Immulite 2000, Siemens).

Statistical analyses were carried out using the statistics package SPSS version 13.0. The level of statistical significance adopted was p ≤ 0.05. Absolute (n) and relative (%) frequencies were analyzed for qualitative variables, while decimal measures (mean, standard deviation, standard error and median) were calculated for quantitative variables.

Patients were divided into 3 groups according to the dynamic risk stratification (excellent, indeterminate or incomplete response) at 1 year after initial treatment (44. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26:1-133.,1111. Tuttle RM, Leboeuf R. Follow up approaches in thyroid cancer: a risk adapted paradigm. Endocrinol Metab Clin North Am. 2008;37:419-35.). Although it is known that patients with biochemical incomplete response do have better outcomes than patients with structural incomplete response (44. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26:1-133.), those from both groups were pooled into a single incomplete response group given they need similar treatment (suppression levothyroxine therapy and more closer follow-up). The Kruskal-Wallis nonparametric test was performed to compare sTg levels before RIT and after thyroidectomy among the 3 groups. The Mann-Whitney non-parametric test was used for multiple comparisons between the specific groups. A ROC curve was built to define a cut-off value for sTg before RIT for predicting response to initial treatment after 1 year.

RESULTS

Sixty patients were initially included in the study. Four patients tested positive for anti-Tg antibodies and were subsequently excluded. All participants were submitted to total thyroidectomy (TT) or totalization after partial thyroidectomy. In these cases, I131 dose and sTg measurement before RIT were performed after totalization and therefore these patients were not excluded. Among the 56 patients enrolled in the study (supplemental Table 1), 46 (80.7%) had papillary carcinoma while the remainder had follicular carcinoma. Among patients with papillary carcinoma, 70% had the classic variant subtype, 26% the follicular variant and 4% had other more aggressive variants. Among the cases with follicular carcinoma, 30% had the Hürthle cell variant. Participant age had a range of 20-76 years, mean of 44.7 ± 14.4 years and median of 47 years.

According to TNM staging (44. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26:1-133.), 51.8% of patients were classified as stage I, 3.6% stage II, 28.6% stage III and 16.1% stage IV. With regard to risk of disease recurrence/persistence by the ATA classification, 14.3% of patients had low risk, 69.6% intermediate risk and 16.1% high risk of recurrence. The I131 dose administered ranged from 100 to 250 mCi, with a mean of 184.1 ± 55.8 and median of 200 mCi.

sTg value after TT and before RIT ranged from 0.5 to 81 ng/mL, with mean of 6.4 ± 13.8 and median of 0.8 ng/mL. When patients were restaged, 67.3% had an excellent response to treatment, 15.4% indeterminate and 17.3% incomplete response 1 year after initial therapy. From our initial stated ATA low risk patients, 87.5% had an excellent response to the proposed treatment while 12.5% evolved with incomplete response. Among the intermediate risk group patients 61.1% had an excellent response, 22.2% an indeterminate response and 16.7% evolved with incomplete response. Finally, the high risk group showed an excellent response in 75% of the patients while in 25% there was an incomplete response (Table 2).

Table 2
Initial ATA recurrence risk and the dynamic risk stratification after 1 year

Table 3 shows the baseline characteristics of the dynamic risk stratification groups. Patients showing an excellent response to treatment after 1 year had a mean sTg before RIT of 2.1 ± 3.3 and median of 0.7 ng/mL; those with indeterminate response had a mean sTg before RIT of 8.2 ± 9.2 and median of 4.6 ng/mL; whereas patients with incomplete response had a mean sTg before RIT of 22.4±28.3 and median of 6.3 ng/mL (p = 0.01, Figure 1).

Table 3
Baseline characteristics of the patients ± SD
Figure 1
Stimulated Tg before radioactive iodine therapy (mean ± SE) and dynamic risk stratification 1 year after initial treatment.

Difference in Tg values among the 3 groups of dynamic risk stratification (p = 0.01).


Comparison of restaging groups revealed a difference in sTg values before RIT between the excellent and incomplete response groups (p = 0.009). Comparisons between sTg values in the indeterminate and the excellent response groups (p = 0.072) and between the indeterminate and incomplete response groups (p = 0.385) were not statistically different (Figure 2). If patients with sTg value before RIT < 1 ng/mL are excluded from the analysis (in order to avoid pulling down the Tg values), the difference in sTg before RIT between the excellent and incomplete response groups maintains significant (p = 0.007). Again, between the excellent and indeterminate response groups (p = 0.76) and between the indeterminate and incomplete response groups (p = 0.273) there were no significant difference between sTg values. For sTg values measured before RIT, a cut-off of 3.75 ng/mL had a sensitivity for predicting poor response to treatment of 66.7% while the specificity was 85.7%. Analysis of the ROC curve showed an area under the curve of 0.779 (Figure 3).

Figure 2
Stimulated Tg before radioactive iodine therapy (mean and SE) and comparison among groups of dynamic risk stratification 1 year after initial treatment.

Difference in Tg between excellent and incomplete response groups (p = 0.009). Comparisons between indeterminate and excellent response groups (p = 0.072) and between indeterminate and incomplete response groups (p = 0.385) were not statistically significant.


Figure 3
ROC curve assuming a Tg value of 3.75 ng/mL before RIT.

Area under the curve = 0.779.


DISCUSSION

The prevalence of DTC has risen in recent years, largely due to the increase in diagnosis of microcarcinomas (tumors up to 1 cm across at widest point) and representing the fourth most prevalent malignant neoplasm in Brazilian women (55. Rosário PW, Ward LS, Carvalho GA, Graf H, Maciel RM, Maciel LM, et al. Thyroid nodules and differentiated thyroid cancer: update on the Brazilian consensus. Arq Bras Endocrinol Metabol. 2013;57:240-64.,1818. Davies L, Welch HG. Increasing incidence of thyroid cancer in the United States, 1973-2002. JAMA. 2006;10:2164-7.

19. Veiga LH, Neta G, Aschebrook-Kilfoy B, Ron E, Devesa SS. Thyroid cancer incidence patterns in Sao Paulo, Brazil, and the U.S. SEER program, 1997-2008. Thyroid. 2013;23:748-57.
-2020. Schönberger J, Marienhagen J, Agha A, Rozeboom S, Bachmeier E, Schlitt H, et al. Papillary microcarcinoma and papillary cancer of the thyroid <or=1 cm: modified definition of the WHO and the therapeutic dilemma. Nuklearmedizin. 2007;46:115-20.). Studies suggest that the majority of DTC does not clinically progress, explaining the continued low death rates despite increased incidence (2121. Ito Y, Miyauchi A, Inoue H, Fukushima M, Kihara M, Higashiyama T, et al. An observational trial for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma in Japanese patients. World J Surg. 2010;34:28-35.,2222. Sugitani I, Toda K, Yamada K, Yamamoto N, Ikenaga M, Fujimoto Y. Three distinctly different kinds of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma should be recognized: our treatment strategies and outcomes. World J Surg. 2010;34:1222-31.).

Although most patients with DTC have a good outcome with conventional therapy, a considerable percentage of them has unfavorable response (2121. Ito Y, Miyauchi A, Inoue H, Fukushima M, Kihara M, Higashiyama T, et al. An observational trial for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma in Japanese patients. World J Surg. 2010;34:28-35.). Thus, it is important to distinguish between patients requiring more aggressive treatment from those that can be spared unnecessary treatment and procedures. Consequently, it is essential to perform initial staging of the disease (55. Rosário PW, Ward LS, Carvalho GA, Graf H, Maciel RM, Maciel LM, et al. Thyroid nodules and differentiated thyroid cancer: update on the Brazilian consensus. Arq Bras Endocrinol Metabol. 2013;57:240-64.). Several systems have been developed to assess prognosis, risk of recurrence and death, to help inform decisions on post-operative therapy and the frequency and intensity of follow-up, as well as to standardize language and facilitate communication of the multi-disciplinary team involved in the follow-up of these patients (33. Pacini F, Castagna MG, Brilli L, Pentheroudakis G, ESMO Guidelines Working Group. Thyroid cancer: ESMO Clinical Practice Guidelines for diagnosis, treatment and follow-up. Ann Oncol. 2010;21 Suppl 5:v214-9.

4. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26:1-133.
-55. Rosário PW, Ward LS, Carvalho GA, Graf H, Maciel RM, Maciel LM, et al. Thyroid nodules and differentiated thyroid cancer: update on the Brazilian consensus. Arq Bras Endocrinol Metabol. 2013;57:240-64.). However, these classification systems are, in general, only static representations of the patient after surgery and are not modifiable during follow-up, proving useful only to guide initial therapeutic measures. In an effort to optimize the follow-up of this patient group, a dynamic risk stratification/restaging was recently developed (1111. Tuttle RM, Leboeuf R. Follow up approaches in thyroid cancer: a risk adapted paradigm. Endocrinol Metab Clin North Am. 2008;37:419-35.). This system has been incorporated into the new ATA guidelines on the management of DTC (44. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26:1-133.).

sTg (in the presence of TSH > 30 mUI/l) is the best means of detecting remnant thyroid tissue after initial treatment in patients with DTC. Elevated TSH, whether endogenous or recombinant, stimulates the uptake of iodine and promotes release of more Tg from thyroid remnants and metastatic lesions (2323. Pacini F Molinaro E, Castagna MG, Agate L, Elisei R, Ceccarelli C, et al. Recombinant human thyrotropin-stimulated serum thyroglobulin combined with neck ultrasonography has the highest sensitivity in monitoring differentiated thyroid carcinoma. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2003;88:3668-73.), thereby improving the accuracy of the scan. However, despite its importance as a biochemical marker for monitoring DTC, serum Tg is not classically used as an initial prognostic value.

Guidelines for DTC management indicate the use of sTg levels at between 6 and 12 months after initial treatment for the diagnosis of disease persistence and/ or recurrence (33. Pacini F, Castagna MG, Brilli L, Pentheroudakis G, ESMO Guidelines Working Group. Thyroid cancer: ESMO Clinical Practice Guidelines for diagnosis, treatment and follow-up. Ann Oncol. 2010;21 Suppl 5:v214-9.,44. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26:1-133.,2424. Gharib H, Papini E, Paschke R, Duick DS, Valcavi R, Hegedüs L, et al. American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists, Associazione Medici Endocrinologi, and European Thyroid Association Medical Guidelines for Clinical Practice for the Diagnosis and Management of Thyroid Nodule. Endocr Pract. 2010;16:1-43.). Thus, this diagnosis is often delayed by up to 1 year. Although the use of sTg before RIT and after surgery was initially questioned, because the remnant healthy thyroid tissue also contributes to its production, a number of studies have shown the prognostic value of sera sTg measured at this time point (1313. de Rosário PW, Guimarães VC, Maia FF, Fagundes TA, Purisch S, Padrao EL, et al. Thyroglobulin before ablation and correlation with posttreatment scanning. Laryngoscope. 2005;115:264-7.

14. Kim TY, Kim WB, Kim ES, Ryu JS, Yeo JS, Kim SC, et al. Serum thyroglobulin levels at the time of 131I remnant ablation just after thyroidectomy are useful for early prediction of clinical recurrence in low-risk patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2005;90:1440-145.

15. Heemstra KA, Liu YY, Stokkel M, Kievit J, Corssmit E, Pereira AM, et al. Serum thyroglobulin concentrations predict disease-free remission and death in differentiated thyroid carcinoma. Clin Endocrinol (Oxf). 2007;66:58-64.

16. Ronga G, Filesi M, Ventroni G, Vestri AR, Signore A. Value of the first serum thyroglobulin level after total thyroidectomy for the diagnosis of metastases from differentiated thyroid carcinoma. Eur J Nucl Med. 1999;26:1448-52.
-1717. Melo M, Costa G, Ribeiro C, Carrilho F Martins MJ, da Rocha AG, et al. Stimulated thyroglobulin at recombinant human TSH-aided ablation predicts disease-free status one year later. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2013;98:4364-72.). The marker can be an early indicator of patient response, allowing treatment to be started immediately in the event of suspected unfavorable outcome.

Heemstra and cols. assessed the prognostic value of sTg at different time points and concluded that sTg before RIT was an independent prognostic marker of remission, while Tg measured after initial therapy (at 6 months, 2 years and 5 years) had utility for predicting death due to the disease (1515. Heemstra KA, Liu YY, Stokkel M, Kievit J, Corssmit E, Pereira AM, et al. Serum thyroglobulin concentrations predict disease-free remission and death in differentiated thyroid carcinoma. Clin Endocrinol (Oxf). 2007;66:58-64.). Studies found that sTg before RIT predicts the presence of metastases and empirically suggests the administration of high doses of I131 if this marker is elevated (1313. de Rosário PW, Guimarães VC, Maia FF, Fagundes TA, Purisch S, Padrao EL, et al. Thyroglobulin before ablation and correlation with posttreatment scanning. Laryngoscope. 2005;115:264-7.,1616. Ronga G, Filesi M, Ventroni G, Vestri AR, Signore A. Value of the first serum thyroglobulin level after total thyroidectomy for the diagnosis of metastases from differentiated thyroid carcinoma. Eur J Nucl Med. 1999;26:1448-52.). Another two studies showed the higher the values of sTg before RIT, the greater the risk of disease persistence/recurrence (1414. Kim TY, Kim WB, Kim ES, Ryu JS, Yeo JS, Kim SC, et al. Serum thyroglobulin levels at the time of 131I remnant ablation just after thyroidectomy are useful for early prediction of clinical recurrence in low-risk patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2005;90:1440-145.,1717. Melo M, Costa G, Ribeiro C, Carrilho F Martins MJ, da Rocha AG, et al. Stimulated thyroglobulin at recombinant human TSH-aided ablation predicts disease-free status one year later. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2013;98:4364-72.).

We report a retrospective study analyzing the relationship between stimulated Tg levels after thyroidectomy and before RIT, and dynamic risk stratification 1 year after therapy in patients with DTC.

Around 80% of patients had papillary carcinoma while the remainder had follicular carcinoma, a similar rate to that found in the literature (11. Aschebrook-Kilfoy B, Ward MH, Sabra MM, Devesa SS. Thyroid cancer incidence patterns in the United States by histologic type, 1992-2006. Thyroid. 2011;21:125-34.).

Most patients had an excellent response (67.3%) according to restaging, an expected outcome given that the majority of patients with DTC has a favorable response after initial therapy (2121. Ito Y, Miyauchi A, Inoue H, Fukushima M, Kihara M, Higashiyama T, et al. An observational trial for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma in Japanese patients. World J Surg. 2010;34:28-35.). A considerable number of patients, however, had an indeterminate or incomplete response, indicating the need for closer follow-up and more aggressive therapeutic measures in these groups.

In the present study, a significant difference in sTg levels before RIT was found among the restaging groups 1 year after therapy. The excellent response group had lower levels, the indeterminate group had intermediate levels of sTg and the incomplete group had higher levels (2.1 ± 3.3 vs. 8.2 ± 9.2 vs. 22.4 ± 28.3 ng/mL, p = 0.01). A statistically difference was detected between the excellent and incomplete groups (p = 0.009). Comparisons involving patients with indeterminate response revealed no statistical significance, results that might be explained by the small number of patients (n = 8) included in this group (p = 0.072 vs. excellent response group; p = 0.385 vs. incomplete response group).

Thus, the higher the sTg value before RIT, the greater the likelihood of the patient having an incomplete, or even an indeterminate response to treatment 1 year after initial therapy.

Analysis of the ROC curve showed good accuracy using a Tg value before RIT of 3.75 ng/mL (area under curve of 0.779), whereas ideally a diagnostic test should have an area under the curve > 0.7 to have at least moderate accuracy (2525. Akobeng AK. Understanding diagnostic tests 3: Receiver operating characteristic curves. Acta Paediatr. 2007;96:644-7.). In this analyzed cohort, another cut-off of Tg value before RIT comparing patients that evolve “better”, that means excellent, indeterminate and biochemical incomplete response, with patients that do not evolve well (structural incomplete response) can't be done due to the low number of patients with structural disease. Further patients must be added to the latest group in order to find a new cut-off to predict structural incomplete disease.

Studies assessing sTg before RIT as a prognostic value have shown different cut-off values for predicting better or worse outcomes. While Ronga and cols. (1616. Ronga G, Filesi M, Ventroni G, Vestri AR, Signore A. Value of the first serum thyroglobulin level after total thyroidectomy for the diagnosis of metastases from differentiated thyroid carcinoma. Eur J Nucl Med. 1999;26:1448-52.) suggested administration of a high dose of I131, claiming a greater risk of metastasis, if the sTg value before RIT exceeds 69.7 ng/mL, other studies suggest a much lower cut-off, namely 5-10 ng/mL, in which greater levels would increase the risk of metastasis and also the rate of failed RIT ablation (2626. Robenshtok E, Grewal RK, Fish S, Sabra M. Tuttle RM. A low postoperative nonstimulated serum thyroglobulin level does not exclude the presence of radioactive iodine avid metastatic foci in intermediate-risk differentiated thyroid cancer patients. Thyroid. 2013;23:436-42.

27. Tamilia M, Al-Kahtani N, Rochon L, Hier MP, Payne RJ, Holcroft CA, et al. Serum thyroglobulin predicts thyroid remnant ablation failure with 30 mCi iodine-131 treatment in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma. Nucl Med Commun, 2011;32:212-20.
-2828. Bernier MO, Morel O, Rodien P, Muratet JP, Giraud P, Rohmer V, et al. Prognostic value of an increase in the serum thyroglobulin level at the time of the first ablative radioiodine treatment in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer. Eur J Nucl Med Mol Imaging. 2005:32:1418-21.). Melo and cols. (1717. Melo M, Costa G, Ribeiro C, Carrilho F Martins MJ, da Rocha AG, et al. Stimulated thyroglobulin at recombinant human TSH-aided ablation predicts disease-free status one year later. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2013;98:4364-72.) established a cut-off of 7.2 ng/mL, in which levels of sTg before RIT lower than this had a high probability of remission after 1 year. Kim and cols. (1414. Kim TY, Kim WB, Kim ES, Ryu JS, Yeo JS, Kim SC, et al. Serum thyroglobulin levels at the time of 131I remnant ablation just after thyroidectomy are useful for early prediction of clinical recurrence in low-risk patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2005;90:1440-145.) suggested a lower cut-off point as an indicator of disease remission (negative predictive value of 98.4% for sTg before RIT ≤ 2 ng/mL), although their study excluded patients with metastasis. Hall and cols. (2929. Hall FT, Beasley NJ, Eski SJ, Witterick IJ, Walfish PG, Freeman JL. Predictive Value of Serum Thyroglobulin After Surgery for Thyroid Carcinoma. Laryngoscope. 2003;113:77-81.) determined that a sTg level above 20 ng/mL is an independent predictor of disease recurrence. Other study found a greater cutoff (50 ng/mL) as a predictor of disease persistence/ recurrence (3030. Piccardo A, Arecco F, Puntoni M, Foppiani L, Cabria M, Corvisieri S, et al. Focus on High-Risk DTC Patients: high postoperative serum thyroglobulin level is a strong predictor of disease persistence and is associated to progression-free survival and overall survival. Clin Nucl Med. 2013;38:18-24.), but this study enrolled only high-risk patients.

Despite the disparity in cut-off values before RIT, most of the related medical literature sees a sTg value ≥ 10 ng/mL as a predictor of negative response to initial treatment (1313. de Rosário PW, Guimarães VC, Maia FF, Fagundes TA, Purisch S, Padrao EL, et al. Thyroglobulin before ablation and correlation with posttreatment scanning. Laryngoscope. 2005;115:264-7.,3131. Webb RC, Howard RS, Stojadinovic A, Gaitonde DY, Wallace MK, Ahmed J, et al. The Utility of Serum Thyroglobulin Measurement at the Time of Remnant Ablation for Predicting Disease-Free Status in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: A Meta-Analysis Involving 3947 Patients. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2012;97:2754-63.

32. Valadão MM, Rosário PW, Borges MA, Costa GB, Rezende LL, Padrão EL, et al. Positive predictive value of detectable stimulated tg during the first year after therapy of thyroid cancer and the value of comparison with Tg-ablation and Tg measured after 24 months. Thyroid. 2006;1:1145-9.

33. Polachek A., Hirsch D, Tzvetov G, Grozinsky-Glasberg S, Slutski I, Singer J, et al. Prognostic value of post-thyroidectomy thyroglobulin levels in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer. J Endocrinol Invest, 2011;34:855-60.

34. Oyen WJ, Verhagen C, Saris E, van den Broek WJ, Pieters GF, Corsten FH. Follow-up regimen of differentiated thyroid carcinoma in thyroidectomized patients after thyroid hormone withdrawal. J Nucl Med. 2000;41:643-6.

35. Lin JD, Huang MJ, Hsu BR, Chao TC, Hsueh C, Liu FH, et al. Significance of postoperative serum thyroglobulin levels in patients with papillary and follicular thyroid carcinomas. J Surg Oncol. 2002;80:45-51.
-3636. Heemstra KA, Liu YY, Stokkel M, Kievit J, Corssmit E, Pereira AM, et al. Serum thyroglobulin concentrations predict disease-free remission and death in differentiated thyroid carcinoma. Clin Endocrinol. 2007;66;58-64.). In our study, we found that a Tg value before RIT ≥ 3.75 ng/mL had good specificity (85.7%) with acceptable sensitivity (66.7%) for predicting a not so good (incomplete or indeterminate) response to initial treatment.

Our results showed that sTg level before RIT can point out the response to initial therapy after 1 year. Therefore, as shown in other studies (1313. de Rosário PW, Guimarães VC, Maia FF, Fagundes TA, Purisch S, Padrao EL, et al. Thyroglobulin before ablation and correlation with posttreatment scanning. Laryngoscope. 2005;115:264-7.,1414. Kim TY, Kim WB, Kim ES, Ryu JS, Yeo JS, Kim SC, et al. Serum thyroglobulin levels at the time of 131I remnant ablation just after thyroidectomy are useful for early prediction of clinical recurrence in low-risk patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2005;90:1440-145.,1616. Ronga G, Filesi M, Ventroni G, Vestri AR, Signore A. Value of the first serum thyroglobulin level after total thyroidectomy for the diagnosis of metastases from differentiated thyroid carcinoma. Eur J Nucl Med. 1999;26:1448-52.,1717. Melo M, Costa G, Ribeiro C, Carrilho F Martins MJ, da Rocha AG, et al. Stimulated thyroglobulin at recombinant human TSH-aided ablation predicts disease-free status one year later. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2013;98:4364-72.), it can be used to indicate prognostic. No previous studies, however, have attempted to associate sTg level before RIT with the new dynamic risk stratification adopted by the ATA.

This study has several limitations. Firstly, although RIT was administered at the same laboratory, using the same protocols and type of preparation, the surgery and follow-up of patients was not carried out at the same center. The laboratory of Nuclear Medicine of the Santa Casa hospital of Sao Paulo, as a referral center, receives patients from a number of other centers in the region specifically to undergo RIT. Consequently, variables such as surgical ability, extent of surgery (with or without lymphadenectomy) and follow-up protocols specific to each service may represent confounding factors. Secondly, the relationship between sTg before RIT and restaging was not tested in patients submitted to partial thyroidectomy or those not receiving RIT after TT, and results reported do not apply to such cases.

It is important to note that anti-Tg antibodies are associated with disease activity (44. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association Management Guidelines for Adult Patients with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: The American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid. 2016;26:1-133.) and interfere the Tg assay (3737. Lupoli GA, Okosieme OE, Evans C, Clark PM, Pickett AJ, Premawardhana LD, et al. Prognostic significance of thyroglobulin antibody epitopes in differentiated thyroid cancer. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2015;100:100-8.). Accordingly, patients testing positive for antibodies were excluded. Of the original sample, 6.6% tested positive for anti-Tg, lower than the rate described in the literature (15-20%) (3838. Rahmoun MN, Bendahmane I. Anti-thyroglobulin antibodies in differentiated thyroid carcinoma patients: Study of the clinical and biological parameters. Ann Endocrinol (Paris). 2014;75:15-8.,3939. Donegan D, McIver B, Algeciras-Schimnich A. Clinical Consequences of a Change in Anti-Thyroglobulin Antibody Assays During the Follow-Up of Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Endocr Pract. 2014;20:1032-6.). This disparity may have occurred because some patients were not referred for therapy straight away and, upon withdrawal of antigenic stimulus after surgery, anti-Tg levels steadily decline (4040. Chiovato L, Latrofa F, Braverman LE, Pacini F, Capezzone M, Masserini L, et al. Disappearance of humoral thyroid autoimmunity after complete removal of thyroid antigens. Ann Intern Med. 2003;139:346-51.,4141. Görges R, Maniecki M, Jentzen W, Sheu SN, Mann K, Bockisch A, et al. Development and clinical impact of thyroglobulin antibodies in patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma during the first 3 years after thyroidectomy. Eur J Endocrinol. 2005;153:49-55.). Another exclusion criterion was for patients submitted to partial thyroidectomy because Tg values for assessing response are higher in these patients given that part of the thyroid remains (4242. Momesso DP, Tuttle RM. Update on differentiated thyroid cancer staging. Endocrinol Metab Clin North Am. 2014;43:401-21.). However, all patients included were submitted to total thyroidectomy or totalization after partial thyroidectomy.

In this study, it was concluded that sTg before RIT is associated with dynamic risk stratification (restaging) at 1 year after therapy in patients with DTC. Higher Tg levels were found in patients that had indeterminate, and particularly incomplete, response. Thus, the higher the Tg level before RIT and after surgery, the greater the likelihood of having an incomplete response to initial treatment. Therefore, we suggest that sTg before RIT can serve as a predictor of response to initial treatment and that a value ≥ 3.75 ng/mL represents a good cut-off for incomplete response.

Acknowledgements:

we are grateful to Heidy and Josi from NUCLIMAGEM Nuclear Medicine Lab for their assistance in the search and organization of patients records, and also to Erika Tiemi Fukunaga for her excellent statistical support.

  • Funding: this research did not receive any specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial or not-for-profit sector.

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    Piccardo A, Arecco F, Puntoni M, Foppiani L, Cabria M, Corvisieri S, et al. Focus on High-Risk DTC Patients: high postoperative serum thyroglobulin level is a strong predictor of disease persistence and is associated to progression-free survival and overall survival. Clin Nucl Med. 2013;38:18-24.
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    Lin JD, Huang MJ, Hsu BR, Chao TC, Hsueh C, Liu FH, et al. Significance of postoperative serum thyroglobulin levels in patients with papillary and follicular thyroid carcinomas. J Surg Oncol. 2002;80:45-51.
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    Heemstra KA, Liu YY, Stokkel M, Kievit J, Corssmit E, Pereira AM, et al. Serum thyroglobulin concentrations predict disease-free remission and death in differentiated thyroid carcinoma. Clin Endocrinol. 2007;66;58-64.
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SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL

Supplemental table 1
Summarized data from all patients.

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    Dec 2017

History

  • Received
    23 Jan 2017
  • Accepted
    23 Aug 2017
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