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Brazilian Journal of Political Economy

versão impressa ISSN 0101-3157

Resumo

VERISSIMO, Michele Polline  e  XAVIER, Clésio Lourenço. Exchange rate, exports and growth: an investigation on the hypothesis of Dutch disease in Brazil. Rev. Econ. Polit. [online]. 2013, vol.33, n.1, pp.82-101. ISSN 0101-3157.  https://doi.org/10.1590/S0101-31572013000100005.

This paper investigates the hypothesis of Dutch disease in Brazil by the existence of a negative relationship between commodity exports and the real exchange rate, and the effects of export specialization in commodities on the Brazilian economic growth from 1999 to 2010 based on VAR model. The evidences suggested an expressive importance of commodities exports in explaining the real exchange rate changes. Moreover, commodities exports shocks were relevant to explain Brazilian economic growth rate changes, which supports the "curse" of natural resources literature.

Palavras-chave : exports; commodities; exchange rate; growth; Brazil.

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