This paper conducts simulations of the augmented Taylor rule (with an added exchange rate term). It has also been made to analyze the response from external shocks in a simple Inflation Targeting model with trade balance equations. In contrast to Ball (2000), when the exchange rate is included in the Taylor rule, output volatility increases after a negative shock to the capital inflow. The paper also studies the pass-through from the exchange rate devaluation to inflation considering the recent change in the foreign exchange regime in Brazil. Econometric estimations were performed using the specifications of the pass-through suggested by Goldfajn and Werlang (2000).
pass-through; floating exchange rate; Taylor rule