SciELO - Scientific Electronic Library Online

vol.7 issue2O troféu "Cara de Pau" da Rádio Eldorado author indexsubject indexarticles search
Home Pagealphabetic serial listing  

Services on Demand




Related links


Opinião Pública

Print version ISSN 0104-6276On-line version ISSN 1807-0191


GEDDES, Barbara. O quê sabemos sobre democratização depois de vinte anos?. Opin. Publica [online]. 2001, vol.7, n.2, pp.221-252. ISSN 0104-6276.

This essay synthesizes the results of the large number of studies of late 20th-century democratization published during the last 20 years. Strong evidence supports the claims that democracy is more likely in more developed countries and that regime transitions of all kinds are more likely during economic downturns. Very few of the other arguments advanced in the transitions literature, however, appear to be generally true. This study proposes a theoretical model, rooted in characteristics of different types of authoritarian regimes, to explain many of the differences in democratization experience across cases in different regions. Evidence drawn from a data set that includes 163 authoritarian regimes offers preliminary support for the model proposed.

Keywords : democratization; transition; authoritarian regime; military.

        · abstract in Portuguese     · text in Portuguese     · Portuguese ( pdf epdf )


Creative Commons License All the contents of this journal, except where otherwise noted, is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License