Abstract

PEIXOTO, Vitor  and  RENNO, Lucio. Mobilidade social ascendente e voto: as eleições presidenciais de 2010 no Brasil. Opin. Publica [online]. 2011, vol.17, n.2, pp. 304-332. ISSN 0104-6276.  http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0104-62762011000200002.

This paper analises the determinants of vote for Dilma Rousseff in the first and second rounds of the 2010 Brazilian presidential elections, based on various political, economic and social indicators. The study tests the traditional hypotheses about vote choice in Brazil, such as sociotropic economic voting, party identification, government evaluation, perceptions of corruption and religion. Our contribution comes from the adition of a new explanation for vote choice: perceptions of social mobility. Therefore, the present study captures a political effect of the upward social mobility of sectors of the Brazilian population, the so called "new middle class". The article uses data from the CSES Brazilian Electoral Study (ESEB).

Keywords : Elections; vote; social mobility; CSES - ESEB 2010.