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vol.18 issue3GOVERNANCE, NETWORKS AND SOCIAL CAPITAL IN THE PLENARY OF THE BRAZILIAN NATIONAL COUNCIL ON WATER RESOURCESA HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE OF EARLY WATER POLICY AND WATER AND SANITATION POLICY IN BRAZIL author indexsubject indexarticles search
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Ambiente & Sociedade

Print version ISSN 1414-753XOn-line version ISSN 1809-4422

Abstract

VIEIRA, ADRIANA CARVALHO PINTO; GARCIA, JUNIOR RUIZ  and  BRUCH, KELLY LISSANDRA. EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS OF POTENTIAL EFFECTS OF CLIMATIC CHANGE IN THE "VALES DA UVA GOETHE". Ambient. soc. [online]. 2015, vol.18, n.3, pp.171-192. ISSN 1414-753X.  https://doi.org/10.1590/1809-4422ASOC885V1832015.

The future of agriculture has been conditioned by uncertainties about the effects of climate change. Thus, the main goal of this work is to develop an exploratory analysis of the potential impacts of climate change in dynamics in the vitiviniculture in the region bounded by the Indication of Origin of Vales da Uva Goethe. The analysis was developed based on direct consultation at producers and production and climate data. The results indicate that only share of producers has related changes in the quantity and quality of the grapes to the effects of climate change. However, there was an actual change in climate. The average monthly minimum temperatures increased from 5.75°C to 8.30°C 1924-2012, which can increase the probability of occurrence of disease and pests associated with high average temperatures.

Keywords : Climate change; Vales da Uva Goethe; Vitiviniculture.

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