A seletividade do sistema prisional brasileiro e o perfil da população carcerária: Um debate oportuno

Monteiro, Felipe Mattos; Cardoso, Gabriela Ribeiro

doi:10.15448/1984-7289.2013.1.12592

Acessibilidade / Reportar erro

Brasil

Civitas - Revista de Ciências Sociais

Español English

Brasil

Español English

sumário « anterior atual seguinte »

Sumário

Dossiê: Violência e Sociedade • Civitas, Rev. Ciênc. Soc. 13 (1) • Jan-Apr 2013 • https://doi.org/10.15448/1984-7289.2013.1.12592 copiar

A seletividade do sistema prisional brasileiro e o perfil da população carcerária: Um debate oportuno

The selectivity of Brazilian penitentiary system and the profile of the incarcerated population: An opportune debate

Autoria SCIMAGO INSTITUTIONS RANKINGS

Resumo:

O debate sobre criminalidade e segurança pública no Brasil é bastante vasto e cercado de polêmicas. No que tange ao sistema prisional, os estudos destacam sua fragilidade e seletividade. Por isso, este trabalho tem como objetivo traçar um perfil do encarcerado brasileiro durante o período de 2005 a 2010, levando em consideração diversas questões como a idade, a escolaridade do preso, a cor, o tempo total da pena, o grau de reincidência, a faixa etária e o crime cometido. Na sequência, desenvolvemos a análise de correlações e regressão entre a taxa da população prisional e os tipos de crimes para abordar a relação entre os dois fatores. Concluímos que tem ocorrido no Brasil o privilegiamento de uma ação “repressiva” ao invés de uma “preventiva”, o que contribui para um aumento da população carcerária sem que ocorra um impacto nas taxas de criminalidade.

Palavras-chave:
Sistema prisional; Seletividade; Segurança pública

Model		Unstandardized coefficients		Standardized coeffcients	t	Sig.
Model		B	Std. Error	Beta	t	Sig.
1	(Constant)	82,797	25,591	0,706	3,235	0,004
1	Tentativa de homicídios	4,568	1,001	0,706	4,564	0,000

Model		Beta	t	Sig.	Partial Correlation	Collinearity Statistcs
Model		Beta	t	Sig.	Partial Correlation	Tolerance
1	Crimes violentos não letais	0,333^a a Predictores in the model: (Constant), tentativa de homicídios.	0,868	0,395	0,191	0,164
	Delitos de trânsito	0,194^b b Dependent variable: Taxa de encarceramento 2006.	1,064	0,300	0,231	0,714
	Delitos envolvendo drogas	0,277^a a Predictores in the model: (Constant), tentativa de homicídios.	1,509	0,147	0,320	0,669
	Lesões corporais	0,154^a a Predictores in the model: (Constant), tentativa de homicídios.	0,751	0,461	0,166	0,584
	Estupro	0,157^a a Predictores in the model: (Constant), tentativa de homicídios.	0,830	0,416	0,182	0,680
	Atentado violento ao pudor	0,133^b b Dependent variable: Taxa de encarceramento 2006.	0,754	0,460	0,166	0,780
	Furto	0,282^a a Predictores in the model: (Constant), tentativa de homicídios.	1,493	0,151	0,317	0,634

		Taxa de encarceramento 2006	Crimes violentos letais	Crimes violentos não letais	Delitos de Trânsito	Delitos envolvendo drogas	Homicídios dolosos	Tentativa de homicídios	Lesões corporais	Estupro	Atentado violento ao pudor	Extorsão mediante sequestro	Furto
Taxa de encarceramento 2006	Pearson Correlation	1	,129	,700^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,516^* * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed);	,591^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,129	,706^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,545^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,506^* * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed);	,435^* * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed);	,123	,605^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
	Sig. (2-tailed)		,558	,000	,012	,003	,556	,000	,007	,014	,038	,576	,002
Crimes violentos letais	Pearson correlation	,129	1	-,119	-,168	-,032	,995^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,047	-,243	-,337	-,245	-,268	-,290
	Sig. (2-tailed)	,558		,588	,443	,884	,000	,831	,264	,116	,259	,216	,180
Crimes violentos não letais	Pearson correlation	,700^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	-,119	1	,710^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,656^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	-,106	,914^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,799^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,829^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,760^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,394	,773^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
	Sig. (2-tailed)	,000	,588		,000	,001	,630	,000	,000	,000	,000	,063	,000
Delitos de trânsito	Pearson correlation	,516^* * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed);	-,168	,710^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	1	,707^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	-,185	,534^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,610^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,678^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,742^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,320	,802^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
	Sig. (2-tailed)	,012	,443	,000		,000	,398	,009	,002	,000	,000	,136	,000
Delitos envolvendo drogas	Pearson correlation	,591^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	-,032	,656^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,707^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	1	-,034	,576^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,745^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,516^* * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed);	,602^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,009	,832^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
	Sig. (2-tailed)	,003	,884	,001	,000		,877	,004	,000	,012	,002	,966	,000
Homicídios dolosos	Pearson correlation	,129	,995^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	-,106	-,185	-,034	1	,066	-,241	-,340	-,238	-,240	-,309
	Sig. (2-tailed)	,556	,000	,630	,398	,877		,766	,267	,113	,275	,270	,152
Tentativa de homicídios	Pearson correlation	,706^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,047	,914^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,534^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,576^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,066	1	,645^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,566^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,469^* * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed);	,337	,605^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
	Sig. (2-tailed)	,000	,831	,000	,009	,004	,766		,001	,005	,024	,116	,002
Lesões corporais	Pearson correlation	,545^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	-,243	,799^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,610^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,745^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	-,241	,645^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	1	,777^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,717^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,078	,786^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
	Sig. (2-tailed)	,007	,264	,000	,002	,000	,267	,001		,000	,000	,723	,000
Estupro	Pearson correlation	,506^* * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed);	-,337	,829^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,678^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,516^* * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed);	-,340	,566^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,777^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	1	,796^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,252	,755^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
	Sig. (2-tailed)	,014	,116	,000	,000	,012	,113	,005	,000		,000	,246	,000
Atentado violento ao pudor	Pearson correlation	,435^* * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed);	-,245	,760^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,742^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,602^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	-,238	,469^* * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed);	,717^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,796^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	1	,438^* * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed);	,734^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
	Sig. (2-tailed)	,038	,259	,000	,000	,002	,275	,024	,000	,000		,037	,000
Extorsão mediante sequestro	Pearson correlation	,123	-,268	,394	,320	,009	-,240	,337	,078	,252	,438^* * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed);	1	,213
	Sig. (2-tailed)	,576	,216	,063	,136	,966	,270	,116	,723	,246	,037		,329
Furto	Pearson correlation	,605^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	-,290	,773^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,802^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,832^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	-,309	,605^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,786^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,755^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,734^ Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).	,213	1
	Sig. (2-tailed)	,002	,180	,000	,000	,000	,152	,002	,000	,000	,000	,329

Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio Grande do Sul Av. Ipiranga, 6681 - Partenon, Cep: 90619-900, Tel: +55 51 3320 3681 - Porto Alegre - RS - Brazil
E-mail: civitas@pucrs.br

Acompanhe os números deste periódico no seu leitor de RSS

[1] Autor correspondente: Felipe Mattos Monteiro, Rua Santana, 1690 - Centro 85301-200 Laranjeiras do Sul, PR