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HEALTH SURVEILLANCE MANAGEMENT TOOLS • Epidemiol. Serv. Saúde 29 (4) • 2020 • https://doi.org/10.1590/s1679-49742020000400023   copy

Forecast UTI: application for predicting intensive care unit beds in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic* * The study project ‘Estimated number of ICU beds needed per day and equipment management during the COVID-19 epidemic in diverse scenarios’ was approved by the Federal University of São Paulo and the São Paulo Hospital National Research Ethics Committee: Protocol No. 6403040420.

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Abstract

In view of the need to manage and forecast the number of Intensive Care Unit (ICU) beds for critically ill COVID-19 patients, the Forecast UTI open access application was developed to enable hospital indicator monitoring based on past health data and the temporal dynamics of the Coronavirus epidemic. Forecast UTI also enables short-term forecasts of the number of beds occupied daily by COVID-19 patients and possible care scenarios to be established. This article presents the functions, mode of access and examples of uses of Forecast UTI, a computational tool intended to assist managers of public and private hospitals within the Brazilian National Health System by supporting quick, strategic and efficient decision-making.

Coronavirus Infections; Public Health Surveillance; Forecasting; Unified Health System; Intensive Care Units

Secretaria de Vigilância em Saúde e Ambiente - Ministério da Saúde do Brasil SRTVN Quadra 701, Via W5 Norte, Lote D, Edifício P0700, CEP: 70719-040, +55 61 3315-3464, Fax: +55 61 3315-3464 - Brasília - DF - Brazil
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