Acessibilidade / Reportar erro

Trends in maternal-infant transmission of AIDS after antiretroviral therapy in Brazil

Abstracts

OBJECTIVE: the increase in the number of AIDS cases among women has lead to an increase in the maternal-infant transmission of human acquired immunodeficiency virus. Measures for the control of this type of transmission were implemented in Brazil in 1996. The aim of the present study was to analyze time trends in maternal-infant transmission of AIDS among Brazilian children. METHODS: The present study included children born in Brazil between 1990 and 2001. We used the database of notified AIDS cases in children 13 years of age or younger between 1990 and 2004. Exponential regression models adjusted to the time series provided the annual variation rates and observed and expected values for the period. RESULTS: We found a significant increasing trend for cases born prior to the year in which anti retroviral therapy was introduced, with an increase rate of about 12% (t<0.003) per year. Rates from different states ranged from 5.9% to 31%. The analysis of expected and observed cases for each of the country's five Regions showed a reduction in the number of cases among children born from 1997 onwards, with a progressive year-to-year reduction. The number of notified cases among children born in 2001 was less than 10% the number of expected cases. CONCLUSIONS: The results obtained suggest a favorable response the implementation of policies for the prevention of maternal-infant HIV transmission in Brazil, as observed in other parts of the world.

Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome; HIV; Disease transmission; Disease transmission; Disease transmission; Disease transmission; Anti-HIV agents; Regression analysis


OBJETIVO: O crescimento de casos de Aids entre mulheres teve como conseqüência o aumento da transmissão vertical da infecção pelo vírus da imunodeficiência adquirida. Medidas de controle dessa modalidade de transmissão foram implementadas a partir de 1996. O objetivo do estudo foi analisar a tendência temporal da transmissão vertical de Aids em crianças brasileiras. MÉTODOS: Foram incluídas no estudo crianças nascidas entre 1990 e 2001 no Brasil. Utilizou-se o banco de casos notificados como Aids em menores de 13 anos, no período de 1990 a 2004. Modelos de regressão exponencial, ajustados à série temporal, forneceram as taxas de variação anual e os valores observados e esperados para todo o período. RESULTADOS: Observou-se tendência significativamente crescente para os casos com ano de nascimento no período anterior à introdução da terapia anti-retroviral, com taxa de crescimento em torno de 12% (t<0,003) ao ano, e com diferenciais entre os Estados entre 5,9% e 31%. A análise dos casos observados e esperados, para cada uma das macrorregiões, mostrou uma redução dos casos para as crianças nascidas a partir de 1997, atingindo cifras consistentemente menores a cada ano. O número de casos notificados para crianças nascidas em 2001 representou menos de 90% dos casos esperados. CONCLUSÕES: Os resultados obtidos sugerem uma resposta favorável à implementação das políticas de intervenção na prevenção da transmissão vertical do HIV, no Brasil, como ocorreu em outras partes do mundo.

Síndrome de imunodeficiência adquirida; HIV; Transmissão vertical de doença; Transmissão vertical de doença; Agentes anti-HIV; Análise de regressão


ORIGINAL ARTICLES

Trends in maternal-infant transmission of AIDS after antiretroviral therapy in Brazil

Ana Maria de BritoI; Jailson Lopes de SousaII; Carlos Feitosa LunaI; Inês DouradoIII

ICentro de Pesquisas Aggeu Magalhães. Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Recife, PE, Brasil

IIFaculdade de Ciências Médicas. Universidade de Pernambuco. Recife, PE, Brasil

IIIInstituto de Saúde Coletiva. Universidade Federal da Bahia. Salvador, BA, Brasil

Correspondence Correspondence: Ana Maria de Brito Av. Moraes Rego, s/n, Cidade Universitária 50670-420 Recife, PE, Brasil E-mail: anabrito@cpqam.fiocruz.br

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: the increase in the number of AIDS cases among women has lead to an increase in the maternal-infant transmission of human acquired immunodeficiency virus. Measures for the control of this type of transmission were implemented in Brazil in 1996. The aim of the present study was to analyze time trends in maternal-infant transmission of AIDS among Brazilian children.

METHODS: The present study included children born in Brazil between 1990 and 2001. We used the database of notified AIDS cases in children 13 years of age or younger between 1990 and 2004. Exponential regression models adjusted to the time series provided the annual variation rates and observed and expected values for the period.

RESULTS: We found a significant increasing trend for cases born prior to the year in which antiretroviral therapy was introduced, with an increase rate of about 12% (t<0.003) per year. Rates from different states ranged from 5.9% to 31%. The analysis of expected and observed cases for each of the country's five Regions showed a reduction in the number of cases among children born from 1997 onwards, with a progressive year-to-year reduction. The number of notified cases among children born in 2001 was less than 10% the number of expected cases.

CONCLUSIONS: The results obtained suggest a favorable response the implementation of policies for the prevention of maternal-infant HIV transmission in Brazil, as observed in other parts of the world.

Keywords: Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome, transmission. HIV. Disease transmission, vertical, statistics & numerical data. Disease transmission, vertical, prevention & control. Anti-HIV agents. Regression analysis.

INTRODUCTION

The patterns of dissemination of infection by the human acquired immunodeficiency virus (HIV) have changed due to the predominance of heterosexual transmission. This has been decisive for the increase in the incidence of the disease among women. In its turn, the increase in the number of cases among women led to an increase in maternal-infant transmission of HIV infection, with consequent increase in the number of cases of AIDS in children worldwide. In Brazil, about 84% of pediatric AIDS cases – that is, cases among children up to 13 years of age – is due to maternal-infant transmission.1

The probability of maternal-infant transmission of HIV infection has been calculated in a number of studies.4-6,10,11 The majority of cases of transmission – roughly 65% – occur during labor and delivery, and the remaining 35% occur during intrauterine life, especially during the last weeks of pregnancy. In addition, breastfeeding represents an additional risk of 7-22%. Studies5,6,10 show that a number of factors are associated with increased risk of maternal-infant transmission of HIV. Of these, major risk factors include the time between the rupture of amniotic membranes and delivery and the amount of virus in the mother's cervical-vaginal secretions and breast milk.

The results of Aids Clinical Trial Group Protocol 076 (ACTG 076), in 1994, have proven the effectiveness of zidovudine (AZT) for the reduction of maternal-infant transmission in 67.5% of cases.5 Based on this evidence, in the same year, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) published a recommendation for the use of AZT by HIV+ women in the second and third trimesters of pregnancy and during labor, and by children during the first six weeks of life.4

Considering the growth of the epidemic in the female population, the Brazilian Ministry of Health published, in 1995, specific regulations on the prevention of maternal-infant transmission, establishing this as one of the priorities of the National Program for STD/AIDS (PN-DST/AIDS).14 However, the recommendations included in this publication were only effectively implemented with their updating and inclusion in the manuals for treatment of adults and children infected with HIV, in 1997 (Ministerial Technical Decree no. 874/971 1 Publicada no Diário Oficial da União de 4/7/97. ). Appropriate conducts for antenatal and delivery care of HIV+ women are included in the "Recommendations for the Prophylaxis of Maternal-Infant transmission of HIV and Antiretroviral Therapy of Pregnant Women," a document periodically revised by the PN-DST/AIDS.3,7,14,2 2 Programa Nacional de DST e Aids. Ministério da Saúde. Disponível em http://www.aids.gov.br/data/Pages/LUMISFB7D5720PTBRIE.htm [acesso em 24 abr 2006]

As an attempt to strengthen this control measure, another strategy9 for the evaluation of the use of the maternal-infant transmission prevention protocol was the inclusion of the surveillance of HIV+ mothers and exposed children as a compulsory notification event, in 2000 (Decree n. 993/2000). Recently, with the intent of implementing measures for the reduction of morbidity and mortality related to congenital syphilis and maternal-infant HIV infection, the Ministry of Health implemented the Projeto Nascer – Maternidades,9 within the scope of the National Unified Healthcare System (Decree n. 2,104 GM, 19 November 2002).

In Brazil, the estimated number of pregnant women infected with HIV is around 16,410, i.e., 0.4% of the population of pregnant women.2 The rate of maternal-infant transmission has fallen in recent years, considering the country as a whole: from 16% in 1997,13 before the introduction of antiretroviral therapy, to 7% in 2002.3 3 Sociedade Brasileira de Pediatria. Resultado de Estudo Multicêntrico Brasileiro. Disponível em http://157.86.8.37/docs/taxa%20de%20transmissao%20vertical.pdf [acesso em 24 abr 2006] A study conducted in Rio de Janeiro in 200111 showed a reduction of about 3% in maternal-infant transmission among pregnant women participating in an intervention program that followed all recommendations made by the Ministry of Health. In 2002, the Sentinela-Parturiente study2 showed an effective coverage of the detection of HIV infection during pregnancy of about 52% for the country as a whole. Sociogeographic inequalities become patent when comparing the country's Northeast (24%) and South (71%) regions; illiterate mothers (19%) with those with schooling above the elementary level (64%); and women who gave birth in small cities (37%) with those that delivered in cities with over 500,000 inhabitants (66%).

Therefore, in order to evaluate current measures for the control and prevention of maternal-infant transmission of HIV infection, the aim of the present study was to analyze trends in cases of AIDS among Brazilian children up to age 13 years.

METHODS

For data analysis, we used the database of notified AIDS cases among children aged 13 years or less considered as due to maternal-infant transmission, registered in the National System for Notification Events (Sistema Nacional de Agravos de Notificação – SINAN), between 1990 and April 2004.

For the time trend analysis, we considered cases occurred in the selected period, according to year of birth. In other words, we considered the cohort of cases of AIDS notified until 2004 with birth dates between 1990 and 2001. The choice of cutoff point for year of birth was due to the concern with avoiding errors due to delays in notification. According to Szwarcwald et al12 (2001), about 30% of HIV-infected children are notified as cases of AIDS only in the two first years following birth.

The use of exponential regression models, adjusted to the time-series of children with birth date between 1990 and 1996 allowed us to calculate annual variation rates and to statistically test time trends. Thus, it was also possible to estimate expected values for the entire period, allowing for a comparison between the observed and expected values for children born between 1997 and 2001.

RESULTS

We analyzed 8,703 cases of AIDS in children aged 13 years or less, notified to SINAN until April 2004. The majority of cases occurred in the Southeast (61.7%) and South (25.2%) Regions, confirming the magnitude of the problem in these Regions in relation to the number of cases of HIV infection and AIDS in the Country.3,15

Table 1 presents observed and expected cases of maternal-child transmission of AIDS for the entire country. We highlight the fact that the rate of increase in the number of cases in the period before the introduction of antiretroviral therapy was of about 12% (mean annual variation rate = 0.12, p=0.003). For children born in 1997, the number of cases notified represented less than 34.8% of the expected cases, a phenomenon which repeats itself progressively, with observed cases representing as little as 10% of the expected number for children born in 2001.

An analysis of time trends in maternal-infant transmission by Region shows that, prior to the introduction of antiretroviral therapy, there was a yearly increase in the number of cases in all Brazilian Regions, with mean annual variation rates ranging from 5.9% to 31%. The states of São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro, both in the Southeast Region, and at the epicenter of the AIDS epidemic in Brazil, showed the smallest increase rates in countrywide (5.9 and 8.9%, respectively). On the other hand, rates in all the States of the South Region were above 20%. The state of Espírito Santo registered the highest mean annual variation rate among all analyzed states (31%) (Table 2).

The analysis of the time series in regard to the number of observed and expected cases for each of the country's Regions shows a reduction in the number of AIDS cases notified among children born from 1997 onwards, with numbers falling progressively every year (Figure 1 and 2).



DISCUSSION

There are still failures in the early detection of HIV among Brazilian pregnant women, as indicated by the Sentinela-Parturiente study.8 Nonetheless, the results obtained in the present study consistently show a progressive reduction in the number of expected cases of AIDS due to maternal-infant transmission among children born from 1997 onwards. This period coincides with the massive and universal introduction of the prophylactic measures recommended by the PN-DST/AIDS, especially with regard to the administration of antiretroviral drugs to HIV+ pregnant women and to exposed newborns. The number of cases notified for children born in 2001 in the entire country represented only 10.1% of the expected number of cases. In other words, if the trend observed between 1990 and 1996 was maintained, with its 12% mean annual growth rate, a total 2,241 cases of AIDS would be expected in children born in 2001; however, only 226 cases of the disease were recorded.

The reduction in the number of expected cases occurred in all Regions. In 2001, for instance, reductions in relation to expected cases ranged from approximately 87% in the North and Northeast Regions to over 93.7% in the South Region. These differences may be partly explained by the findings of a study showing differences in access to antenatal care services between the different Regions.8 In spite the reductions, the rates of maternal-infant transmission of HIV were higher in Regions with more precarious indicators of maternal care, namely the North and Northeast.4 4 Sociedade Brasileira de Pediatria. Resultado de Estudo Multicêntrico Brasileiro. Disponível em http://157.86.8.37/docs/taxa%20de%20transmissao%20vertical.pdf [acesso em 24 abr 2006]

The reduction in the number of children with AIDS after 1997 is due to the increase in the coverage of measures for the prevention and control of AIDS during antenatal care and delivery in Brazil, corroborating the results obtained by other authors.7,11

In conclusion, the universal adoption of antiretroviral therapy for pregnant women and children exposed to HIV has prevented around 6,000 new cases of HIV among Brazilian children born between 1997 and 2001. The results obtained by the analysis of the time series of AIDS cases due to maternal-infant transmission, according to year of birth, allowed for the identification of a decreasing trend in the number of pediatric AIDS cases, which reflects the impact of the prophylactic measures adopted in a global and efficient manner. The greater coverage of these measures, combined with greater adequacy of antenatal, delivery, and puerperal care, will surely contribute in a more rapidly effectively to the interruption of avoidable cases of maternal-infant transmission throughout the Brazilian territory.

REFERENCES

Received: 29/3/2006.

  • 1
    Boletim Epidemiológico - Aids e DST. Ministério da Saúde/Secretaria de Assistência à Saúde. Brasília (DF): 2005;2(1).
  • 2. Brito AM, Castilho EA, Szwarcwald CL. Regional patterns of the temporal evolution of the AIDS epidemic in Brazil following the introduction of antiretroviral therapy. Braz J Infect Dis. 2005;9(1):9-19.
  • 3. Brito AM, Castilho EA, Szwarcwald CL. Aids e infecção pelo HIV no Brasil: uma epidemia multifacetada. Rev Soc Bras Med Tropical. 2001;34(2):207-17.
  • 4. Centers for Diseases Control and Prevention - CDC. Recommendantions of the U.S. public health service task force on the use of zidovudine to reduce perinatal transmission of human immunodeficiency virus. MMWR. 1994;3:RR-11.
  • 5. Connor EM, Sperling SR, Gelber R, Kiselev P, Scoot G, O´sullivan MJ et al. Reduction of maternal-infant transmission of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 with zidovudine treatment. For the Pediatric AIDS Trials Group Protocol 076 Study Group. N Engl J Med. 1994;331(18):1173-80.
  • 6. Cooper ER, Charurat M, Mofenson L, Hanson IC, Pitt J, Diaz C et al. Combination antiretroviral strategies for the treatment of pregnant HIV-1 infected woman and prevention of perinatal HIV-1 transmission. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2002;29:484-94.
  • 7. Ministério da Saúde/Coordenação Nacional de DST/Aids. Implantação da Vigilância do HIV em Gestantes e Crianças Expostas. Bol Epidemiol Aids 2000;12(1).
  • 8. Ministério da Saúde. Programa Nacional de DST e Aids. Oportunidades perdidas na detecção precoce do HIV na gestação: Resultados do Estudo Sentinela-Parturiente, Brasil, 2002. Brasília (DF); 2004.
  • 9. Ministério da Saúde. Programa Nacional de DST e Aids. Recomendações para Profilaxia da Transmissão Vertical do HIV e Terapia Anti-retroviral em Gestantes. Brasília (DF); 2004.
  • 10. Mofenson LM, Fowler MG. Interruption of materno-fetal transmission. AIDS. 1999;13:S205-S14.
  • 11. Nogueira SA, Abreu T, Oliveira R, Araujo L, Costa T, Andrade M et al. Successful prevention of HIV transmission from mother to infant in Brazil using a multidisciplinary team approach. Braz J Infect Dis. 2000;5:78-86.
  • 12. Szwarcwald CL, Barbosa Júnior A, Fonseca MG. Estimativa do número de crianças (0-14 anos) infectadas pelo HIV, Brasil, 2000. Bol Epidemiol Aids. 2001;25(1):49-54.
  • 13. Tess BH, Rodrigues LC, Newell ML, Dunn DT, Lago TD. Breastfeeding, genetic, obstetric and other risk factors associated with mother-to-child transmission of HIV-1 in Sao Paulo State, Brazil. São Paulo Collaborative Study for Vertical Transmission of HIV-1. AIDS. 1998;26:12(5):513-20.
  • 14. Veloso GL, Vasconcelos AL, Grinsztejn B. Prevenção da transmissão vertical no Brasil. Bol Epidemiol Aids 1999;12(3).
  • 15. Vermelho LL, Silva LP, Costa AJL. Epidemiologia da transmissão vertical do HIV no Brasil. Bol Epidemiol Aids. 1999;12(3).
  • Correspondence:
    Ana Maria de Brito
    Av. Moraes Rego, s/n, Cidade Universitária
    50670-420 Recife, PE, Brasil
    E-mail:
  • 1
    Publicada no Diário Oficial da União de 4/7/97.
  • 2
    Programa Nacional de DST e Aids. Ministério da Saúde. Disponível em
  • 3
    Sociedade Brasileira de Pediatria. Resultado de Estudo Multicêntrico Brasileiro. Disponível em
  • 4
    Sociedade Brasileira de Pediatria. Resultado de Estudo Multicêntrico Brasileiro. Disponível em
  • Publication Dates

    • Publication in this collection
      14 Sept 2006
    • Date of issue
      Apr 2006

    History

    • Received
      29 Mar 2006
    Faculdade de Saúde Pública da Universidade de São Paulo Avenida Dr. Arnaldo, 715, 01246-904 São Paulo SP Brazil, Tel./Fax: +55 11 3061-7985 - São Paulo - SP - Brazil
    E-mail: revsp@usp.br