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Arquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia

Print version ISSN 0066-782X

Arq. Bras. Cardiol. vol.100 no.6 São Paulo June 2013  Epub May 14, 2013

http://dx.doi.org/10.5935/abc.20130105 

World soccer cup as a trigger of cardiovascular events

 

 

Daniel Guilherme Suzuki BorgesI; Rosane Aparecida MonteiroII; André SchmidtIII; Antonio Pazin-FilhoIV

IHospital das Clínicas, Faculdade de Medicina de Ribeirão Preto, Universidade de São Paulo (USP), Ribeirão Preto
IIDepartamento de Medicina Social, Faculdade de Medicina de Ribeirão Preto, USP, Ribeirão Preto
IIIDivisão de Cardiologia, Departamento de Clínica Médica, Faculdade de Medicina de Ribeirão Preto, USP, Ribeirão Preto
IVDivisão de Emergências Clínicas, Departamento de Clínica Médica, Faculdade de Medicina de Ribeirão Preto, USP, Ribeirão Preto, SP - Brazil

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ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Acute coronary syndromes are the major cause of death in Brazil and in the world. External stimuli, known also as triggers, such as emotional state and activity, may generate physiopathological changes that can trigger acute coronary syndromes. Among the studied triggers, the impact of stressful events, such as soccer championships, are controversial in literature and there is no effective data on the Brazilian population.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the acute effects of environmental stress induced by soccer games of the World Soccer Cup on increased incidence of cardiovascular diseases in Brazil.
METHODS: Public data were obtained from the Unified Health System (Sistema Único de Saúde), regarding hospital admissions that had the International Code Disease of acute coronary syndromes from May to August, in 1998, 2002, 2006 and 2010 (155,992 admissions). Analysis was restricted to patients older than 35 years and admitted by clinical specialties. The incidence of myocardial infarction, angina and mortality were compared among days without World Cup soccer games (Group I: 144,166; 61.7 ± 12.3; 59.4% males); on days when there were no Brazil's soccer team matches (Group II: 9,768; 61.8±12.3; 60.0% males); and days when there were Brazil's soccer team matches (Group III; 2,058; 61.6±12.6; 57.8% males). Logistic regression was used to adjust to age, gender, population density and number of medical assistance units.
RESULTS: The incidence of myocardial infarction increased during the period of World Cup soccer games (1.09; 95%CI = 1.05-1.15) and days when there were Brazil's matches (1.16; 95%CI = 1.06-1.27). There was no impact on mortality during the Cup (1.00; CI95% = 0.93-1.08) and Brazil's matches (1.04; 95%CI = 0.93-1.22).
CONCLUSION: World Cup soccer games and, specially, Brazil's matches have an impact on the incidence of myocardial infarction, but not on in-hospital mortality.

Keywords: Cardiovascular Diseases; Acute Coronary Syndrome; Myocardial Infarction; Sports, Athletes; Soccer.


 

 

Introduction

Atherosclerosis is the major cause of morbidity and mortality in the western world, with Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS) being one of its main manifestations. Although many risk factors have already been well-established, triggering factors are still debatable, i.e., those factors that imply that ACS is triggered at a specific moment in time. These factors are known as "triggers" and can be defined as an external stimulus, emotional state or activity that produces physiopathological changes leading to a vascular event1.Situations such as acute exposure to pollutants, cold and wet weather, behavioral factors and exposure to stressful situations have been investigated2-7.

Among the events assessed as potential triggers of emotional stress, sports matches are interesting objects of study, considering their broad population impact. Reported associations between soccer matches and rates of illness and death from cardiac causes have been controversial8-18.

It is assumed that in a country such as Brazil, where soccer is particularly popular, World Cup matches involving the Brazilian team could be a strong enough trigger to increase the incidence of cardiovascular emergencies.

 

Methods

This is a descriptive, observational study and data were obtained from the Hospital Information Systems of the Unified Health System (SIH/SUS), managed by the Ministry of Health and available at the internet with free access.

Data on hospitalizations and in-hospital deaths were obtained from Hospitalization Admission Authorization (HAA) records, which contain information on treatment, with the diagnosis at admission and discharge (coded according to ICD 10), data on the individual's characteristics (age and gender), time and place (origin of the patient) of hospitalizations, procedures performed, amounts paid and registration data from health facilities, among others, which allow their use for epidemiological purposes. As the number of HAA can be repeated according to the year (single numerical series issued annually by ministerial order), possible duplicates were discarded, keeping the HAA of which there was only one per year of birth, year of hospital admission and hospital identification number (CGC) (Figure 1).

 

 

The analysis units were hospitalizations and in-hospital deaths aggregated by year of occurrence of the event, from May 1 to August 31 of the years 1998-2010, in order to cover approximately one month before and one month after the completion of the World Soccer Cup, held every four years between June and July, and also to ensure the same weather conditions. The analysis was restricted to ACS that culminated in hospital admission or in-hospital death and that were diagnosed as angina and acute myocardial infarction (AMI), corresponding to chapters I20, I21 and I22 of ICD-10.

The years 1998, 2002, 2006 and 2010 were defined as exposure periods to World Soccer Cup and the respective dates of Brazil's matches (Group 3) were compared with days without World Cup games (Group 1) and without Brazil's matches as control (Group 2). This variable was used in both models continuously, assuming a constant increment of the trigger as categorical variable, to explore multiplicative impact.

All statistical analyses were performed using the STATA package, release 10. Categorical variables were expressed as percentages, using the Chi-square test for differences between groups. Analysis of variance (ANOVA) was used for comparison of continuous variables. Logistic regression analysis was used to correct for age, gender, population density and total population of the state of São Paulo the association between exposure (days on which there were World Soccer Cup games) and the outcomes (death and AMI), according to Table 1.

The number of events per day of infarctions and deaths was used as the outcome for the Poisson regression analysis, correcting the association with exposure for gender and age, in relation to the population of the state of São Paulo estimated for each year (obtained from official sources available at the internet), as shown in Table 2. Sensitivity analysis to assess data consistency was performed in two different ways. For logistic regression, we used stratification by gender for comparison with some findings in the literature (Table 1). The second strategy was to disregard the years when there was no World Cup and recalculate the estimates (Tables 1 and 2). In a third strategy, we included one variable for each year of occurrence of the event, due to the fact that an increased incidence of myocardial infarction and death was observed throughout the study period (Figure 2). Finally, we calculated the values for each Cup year alone. For all tests, a p value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant and the 95% confidence intervals were also shown, whenever possible.

The study was approved by the Ethics Committee in Research of Hospital das Clínicas da Faculdade de Medicina de Ribeirão Preto da Universidade de São Paulo (HCFMRP-USP process # 4.308/2010; CAAE 0121.0.004.000-10). Considering that the study used publicly available information from SUS and the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística - IBGE), therefore not directly involving subjects' confidential data, the signing of the free and informed consent form was not necessary. This study received funding from the Institutional Program for Scientific Initiation Scholarships (PIBIC) of the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq).

 

Results

A total of 469,679 admissions from ICD related to ACS between 1998 and 2010, the study population consisted of 155,592 individuals (33.1%), after considering those that occurred between May and August of each year, discarding potential duplicates (3,652) and inadequate codes (3,600), as shown in Figure 1. Of the resulting population, 71,754 HAA were identified as AMI (45.0%) and 13,181 (8.4%) died in the hospital.

In the univariate analysis, 996 (48.4%) of hospital admissions were diagnosed as AMI and 190 (9.2%) died on the days when Brazil's matches were held. This number of hospitalizations with AMI diagnosis significantly different from the other groups; when compared to the total population, it was significant (p <0.01) and showed a trend when the analysis was restricted to the World Cup years (p = 0.06). There was no difference in mortality from ACS (Table 3).

This difference in the number of infarctions among the groups persisted after correcting for possible confounding factors and resisted the sensitivity analysis, in which the analysis was restricted to the World Cup years (Table 1). The same pattern was maintained when the analysis was stratified by gender. Considering that increased rates of incidence and mortality were observed throughout the study years, the variable "year" was included in the adjusted models (Figure 2 and Table 2). When calculating the impact for each year of World Cup alone, significance was observed only for the year 2006 (1.13 - 1.06; 1.21), whereas the same was not observed the same for the other years - 1998 (1.07 - 0.99; 1.16); 2002 (0.99 - 0.93; 1.03) and 2010 (1.01 - 0.95; 1.07).

 

Discussion

Regarding the increase in the number of events as the outcome of Poisson analysis, the same finding was observed for the increased incidence of myocardial infarction, although, when the "World Cup" variable was used as categorical variable, there was only a trend toward the increase on days of Brazil's matches (Table 4). In relation to the increased incidence of in-hospital deaths, there was no difference between the groups.

World Cup games are associated with an increased occurrence of AMI among Brazilians, ranging between 4 and 8%, depending on the stringency of the criteria used in the analysis. When using the variable "World Cup" as a distinct category, these estimates may increase to 9-16% for general and 0-10% for more careful analysis. Regarding the occurrence of in-hospital mortality, no consistent behavioral difference was observed between the groups.

Sports events as cardiovascular event triggers have been studied for over a decade, with controversial results. Some studies have found increased incidence of infarctions, at much higher numbers than those shown in this study10,11,13,15,16. Particularly, Spitters15 showed an odds ratio of 2.66, but even the other studies that showed an association demonstrated higher numbers than those found herein, being around 25%. A single study showed a decrease in the occurrence of events during the games, being attributed to the fact that the country of the study won the World Cup14. Finally, other studies did not show any association8,9,12,18. A noteworthy point is that two studies showed controversial results, using a population exposed to the same international event, but held in different countries12,13.

An important point that differentiates between studies is the outcome used. This study was able to show that the chance of a patient with chest pain having an AMI when admitted to the hospital was higher on the World Cup game days, especially if they were Brazil's matches, but there was no difference in in-hospital mortality. In this sense, the data from this study are comparable to those of Carroll et al10, with similar design, albeit with a smaller magnitude. Regarding the magnitude of the effect, the estimates from this study seem to be more comparable to other studies, with the exception of the one by Katz et al16 and Wilbert-Lampen et al8.

Unlike other studies, the occurrence of ACS was observed in four world events. This may be the explanation of a more robust estimate than that observed in isolated events. When the events are studied separately, a significant increase in the number of events was observed only in 2006, which may partly explain the variation observed in other studies.

Even separately, there was no protective effect in the 2002 World Cup, when Brazil became five-time world champion, which is in disagreement with data from Berthier et al14. Another noteworthy point is that the obtained estimates resisted the sensitivity analysis with more specific criteria, with no differences regarding gender and after being corrected by the estimated population for each year.

Data of the present study on mortality are restricted to in-hospital death. Thus, it does not seem strange that the sports event will not work as a trigger after hospital admission, which is an environment where the patient is better protected. This may explain the differences found in other studies that observed increased prehospital mortality8,11-13. Perhaps the same limitations might explain the fact that there were no differences between genders in this study.

A limiting factor in all studies, including the present one, was the fact that they start from the premise that an event can have an impact on the entire population, even though the exposure may not be homogenous (part of the population may not be watching the game). This limitation would only be possible to circumvent with studies such as the one by Sierra Grima et al17 that studied the occurrence of infarction, cardiovascular emergencies and cardiac arrest directly in the stadiums during the season of Barcelona games in 2000-2001, verifying a risk of 0.0056 episodes per 100,000 person-hours. Considering the 1990 infarction rate, which was 165 per 100,000 (world's) and 278 per 100,000 inhabitants (developed countries) and that the occurrence was homogeneous as a function of time, the authors hypothesized that the occurrence should have been much lower. Likewise, prospective prehospital data would be interesting in future events.

Taking into account dissimilar data, considering that sports events are associated with increased incidence of cardiovascular events, probably similar to other emotional triggers, and that these events occur in distinct populations and constitute the best available evidence, it seems reasonable to increment the public policy of defibrillation and population training19. In two years, Brazil will host a World Cup and our health care conditions are precarious. The trigger effect of sports events is expected to be maximized, as the Cup will be held in Brazil and it would be neglectful if our stadiums were not prepared to deal with such situations of high population concentration20,21.

As previously mentioned, this study has several limitations. This is a retrospective study, based on data of which verification is limited by the preservation of individual confidentiality and, additionally, other triggers may have an impact on the studied outcomes, which were not evaluated. Another factor may be the day of event notification, as, due to administrative problems, they are often made on working days only and the matches are held on holidays or weekends. Although the strategy of restricting the analysis to a single period of the year sought to correct environmental triggers, the increased incidence of myocardial infarction and the absence of objective data on the level of pollution in the state of São Paulo are limitations that cannot be corrected.

 

Conclusion

In summary, the World Cup soccer games can act as triggers to generate AMI in Brazil, but there were no differences regarding gender or in-hospital mortality. Additional prospective studies are needed, but, considering the risk to which the population may be exposed when Brazil hosts the World Cup in 2014, training and structural measures should be implemented in stadiums for basic life support.

 

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