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In- and Out-of-Hospital Deaths by Acute Myocardial Infarction in Brazilian State Capitals

Abstract

Background:

Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is the main cause of death in Brazil and the world. Approximately half of these deaths occur outside the hospital.

Objectives:

To analyze the distribution, temporal evolution, and sociodemographic characteristics (SDC) of in- and out-of-hospital deaths by AMI in Brazilian state capitals and their relationship with municipal development indicators (MDI).

Methods:

This is an ecological study of the number of deaths due to AMI reported annually by the 27 Brazilian state capitals from 2007 to 2016; these were divided into 2 groups: in-hospital (H) and out-of-hospital (OH). We evaluated the temporal evolution of mortality rates in each group and differences in SDC. Negative binomial regression models were used to compare the temporal evolution of the number of deaths in each group with the following variables: residing in the South/Southeast regions (S/SE), municipal human development index (MHDI), Gini coefficient, and expected years of schooling (EYS). We considered p-values<0.05 as statisticallysignificant.

Results:

The OH mortality rate increased with time for all state capitals. All studied SDC were different between groups (p<0.001). In the OH group, most deaths were of men and patients aged 80 years or older and not married. S/SE increased the incidence of OH deaths (incidence rate ratio [IRR]=2.84; 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.67–4.85), while higher EYS reduced it (IRR=0.86; 95% CI=0.77–0.97). In the H group, higher MHDI reduced the incidence of deaths (IRR=0.44; 95% CI=0.33–0.58), while higher EYS increased it (IRR=1.09; 95% CI=1.03–1.15).

Conclusions:

In- and out-of-hospital deaths due to AMI in Brazilian state capitals were influenced by MDI, presented sociodemographic differences and a progressive increase in out-of-hospital occurrences.

Keywords:
Myocardial Infarction; Out-of-Hospital; Epidemiology; Deaths; Demographic Indicators; Social Indicators; Mortality; Death; Sudden Cardiac

Resumo

Fundamento:

O infarto agudo do miocárdio (IAM) é a principal causa de óbito no Brasil e no mundo. Aproximadamente metade dos óbitos ocorrem fora do ambiente hospitalar.

Objetivos:

Analisar a distribuição, a evolução temporal e as características sociodemográficas (CSD) dos óbitos intra e extra-hospitalares por IAM nas capitais brasileiras e a sua relação com indicadores municipais de desenvolvimento (IMD).

Métodos:

Estudo ecológico com contagem anual dos óbitos por IAM nas 27 capitais brasileiras de 2007 a 2016, os quais foram divididos em dois grupos, intra-hospitalar (H) e extra-hospitalar (EH). Avaliou-se a evolução temporal das taxas de mortalidade em cada grupo e as diferenças das CSD. Modelos de regressão binominal negativa compararam temporalmente a contagem de óbitos em cada grupo com as seguintes variáveis: residir nas regiões Sul e Sudeste (S/SE), índice de desenvolvimento humano municipal (IDHM), índice de Gini e expectativa de anos de estudo (EAE). Considerou-se estatisticamente valores significativos de p < 0,05.

Resultados:

A taxa de mortalidade EH para o conjunto das capitais aumentou ao longo do tempo. Todas as CSD pesquisadas foram difententes entre os grupos (p < 0,001). No grupo EH prevaleceram os óbitos em homens, em pacientes ≥ 80 anos e em solteiros. O S/SE elevou a incidência de óbitos extra-hospitalares (IRR = 2,84; IC 95% = 1,67-4,85), enquanto o maior EAE registrou queda (IRR = 0,86; IC 95% = 0,77-0,97). Para o grupo H, o maior IDHM reduziu a incidência de óbitos (IRR = 0,44; IC 95% = 0,33-0,58), enquanto o maior EAE apresentou crescimento (IRR = 1,09; IC 95% = 1,03-1,15).

Conclusão:

Os óbitos intra e extra-hospitalares por IAM nas capitais apresentam diferenças sociodemográficas, incidência influenciada por IMD e progressivo aumento da ocorrência extra-hospitalar.

Palavras-chave:
Infarto do Miocárdio; Extra-Hospitalar; Epidemiologa; Óbitos; Indicadores Demográficos; Indicadores Sociais; Mortalidade; Morte Súbita

Introduction

Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is the main individual cause of death in Brazil and the world.11. World Health Organization. WHO.\ Disease burden and mortality estimates. World Health Organization; 2018. Disponível em: http://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_burden_disease/estimates/en/. Acesso em: 16 set. 2018.
http://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_bur...
,22. Brasil. Ministerio da Saúde. Minsitério da Sáude. Informações em saúde – Tabnet. Estatísticas vitais. Departamento de Informática do SUS. Disponível em: http://tabnet.datasus.gov.br/cgi/deftohtm.exe?sim/cnv/obt10br.def. Acesso em: 16 set. 2018.
http://tabnet.datasus.gov.br/cgi/deftoht...
It has a mean mortality of 30% when untreated and of less than 6% when appropriate treatment is administered in time.33. Reed GW, Rossi JE, Cannon CP. Acute myocardial infarction. Lancet. 2017; 389(10.065): 197-210. Half of these deaths occur within the first 2 hours of symptom onset and 80% happen in the first 24 hours, resulting in many deaths before any hospital care.44. Piegas L, Timerman A, Feitosa G et al. V Diretriz da Sociedade Brasileira de Cardiologia sobre tratamento do infarto agudo do miocárdio com supradesnível do segmento ST. Arq Bras Cardiol. 2015; 105(2): 1-105.:1-105.

Appropriate treatment of high-risk AMI is costly, and its availability is concentrated in large urban areas, mainly in state capitals; this is especially true in the North, Northeast, and Central-West regions of Brazil.55. Feres F, Costa R, Siqueira D et al. Diretriz da Sociedade Brasileira de Cardiologia e da Sociedade Brasileira de Hemodinâmica e Cardiologia Intervencionista sobre intervenção coronária percutânea. Arq Bras Cardiol. 2017; 109(1)1-81:.1-81. Although epidemiological studies have shown that mortality due to AMI is slowly decreasing worldwide, this reduction is smaller in countries with lower Gross Domestic Products (GDPs), lower social classes, and socioeconomically disadvantaged regions.66. Godoy MF, Lucena JM, Miquelin AR et al. Mortalidade por doenças cardiovasculares e níveis socioeconômicos na população de São José do Rio Preto, estado de São Paulo, Brasil. Arq Bras Cardiol.2007; 88(2): 200-6.88. Baena CP, Luhm KR, Costantini CO. Tendência de mortalidade por infarto agudo do Miocárdio em Curitiba (PR) no Período de 1998 a 2009. Arq Bras Cardiol. 2012;98(3) 98(3): 211-7.

Few studies have been published on out-of-hospital deaths due to AMI. Most of them consider general mortality without distinguishing between in-hospital and out-of-hospital deaths. Clinical studies on risk factors have been performed with patients who received hospital care. It is unknown whether deaths occurring out of the hospital environment presented sociodemographic differences in comparison with those who happened within a hospital, and the association of local and environmental factors with out-of-hospital mortality is still not well defined.99. Dudas K, Lappas G, Stewart S, Rosengren A. Trends in out-of-hospital deaths due to coronary heart disease in Sweden (1991 to 2006). Circulation. 2011; 123(1): 46-52.,1010. Fathi M, Rahiminiya A, Zare MA, Tavakoli N. Risk factors of delayed pre-hospital treatment seeking in patients with acute coronary syndrome: A prospective study. Turkiye Acil Tip Derg. 2015; 15(4):163-7.

The aim of this study was to temporally analyze in- and out-of-hospital deaths due to AMI in Brazilian state capitals, identifying sociodemographic differences and considering municipal development indices. We chose to assess only the state capitals because all of them currently provide advanced treatment of AMI.1111. Brasil. Ministério da Saúde. Informações em Saúde – Tabnet. CNES – Estabelecimentos. Classificação do Serviço. 2018. Disponível em: http://tabnet.datasus.gov.br/cgi/deftohtm.exe?cnes/cnv/servc2br.def. Acesso em: 16 set. 2018.
http://tabnet.datasus.gov.br/cgi/deftoht...

Method

This is an ecological study of deaths due to AMI occurred in the 27 Brazilian state capitals between 2007 and 2016. Data on deaths per state capital (in- or out-of-hospital occurrence, sex, age group, schooling, marital status, and skin color) were obtained from the Mortality Information System (SIM), an online platform created by the informatics department of the Unified Health System (DATASUS) for regular retrieval of mortality data in Brazil. Deaths were divided into 2 groups according to the place of occurrence: in-hospital or out-of-hospital.

For selecting deaths due to AMI in the SIM, we considered entries that had AMI as the primary cause of death (International Classification of Diseases [ICD]-10: I21). Deaths with unknown place of occurrence were not included in this study.

In- and out-of-hospital mortality rates were obtained by calculating the rate between deaths due to AMI and the population of each state capital (per 100 000 inhabitants). These rates are presented as means, standard deviations (SDs), and minimum and maximum values.

To assess the temporal evolution of mortality rates in both groups, we calculated annual in- and out-of-hospital mortality rates for all Brazilian state capitals. The population was corrected by linear interpolation and extrapolation using data from demographic census of 2000, 2010, and the 2017 projection made by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). Rates were presented as deaths per 100 000 inhabitants and expressed as a line graph.

The Atlas Brasil platform of the United Nations Development Program (PNUD) was used for obtaining independent variables (municipal human development index [MHDI], Gini coefficient, and expected years of schooling), as well as information on the population of each state capital.1212. Brasil. Ministério da Saúde. Download | Atlas do Desenvolvimento Humano no Brasil. 2013. Disponível em: http://www.atlasbrasil.org.br/2013/pt/download/. Acesso em: 16 set. 2018.
http://www.atlasbrasil.org.br/2013/pt/do...

Statistical analysis

For comparing the number of deaths in both groups according to sociodemographic characteristics (sex, age group, schooling, marital status, and skin color), we used the chi-squared test. Sociodemographic characteristics were presented as absolute and relative frequencies. To demonstrate the impact of each characteristic, we calculated the standardized residuals of chi-squared tests, which are presented as Z in Table 2. Considering a significance level of 5%, Z-values > +1.96 or < −1.96 were statistically significant and the plus and minus signs showed the direction of differences between groups.

To verify which independent variables were associated with the number of deaths in both groups, we used the panel data methodology, in which information from various sampling units (each state capital) was assessed through time, that is, observations were considered in 2 dimensions: the sampling unit and time.1313. Diggle PJ, Heagerty P, Liang KY, Zeger S. Analysis of longitudinal data. Oxford Univesity Press. 2002; 90(431): 1-20. Therefore, we used Poisson and negative binomial regression models with temporal adjustment and weighted by the population of each capital for each of the groups. Weighting was performed according to the population of each capital so that each sampling unit had the same weight when evaluating associations.

The models were tested with fixed and random effects. Those with fixed effects led to each capital having its own intercept, serving as its own control, which allowed the adjustment for unmeasured variables that did not change with time (such as census data, which are updated every 10 years).1313. Diggle PJ, Heagerty P, Liang KY, Zeger S. Analysis of longitudinal data. Oxford Univesity Press. 2002; 90(431): 1-20.

For choosing the model with the best fit, we considered the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC).1414. Cameron AC, Trivedi PK. Regression analysis of count data book. Cambridge university press. 2013;53. The lower the AIC, the better the fit. We also estimated the incidence rate ratio (IRR) and its respective confidence interval, considering as reference a 95% confidence interval (95% CI). Statistical analysis was performed using Stata software, version 14.0. This study only used data available in the public domain, thus not requiring assessment by a research and ethics committee as it does not fit the terms of Resolution 466, of December 2012.1515. Brasil. Ministério da Saúde. Resolução nº 466, de 12 de Setembro de 2012. Diário Oficial da Republica Federativa do Brasil. 2012. p. 59. Disponível em: http://bvsms.saude.gov.br/bvs/saudelegis/cns/2013/res0466_12_12_2012.html. Acesso em: 16 set. 2018.
http://bvsms.saude.gov.br/bvs/saudelegis...

Results

Between 2007 and 2016, 189 634 deaths due to AMI were reported in Brazilian state capitals; 41.7% of them were out-of-hospital deaths. The mean mortality rate per 100 000 inhabitants in state capitals was 25.2 ± 1.3 for in-hospital deaths and 18 ± 1.2 for out-of-hospital deaths. The temporal evolution of the annual rate for all capitals in both groups is demonstrated in Figure 1.

Figure 1
Temporal evolution of in- and out-of-hospital mortality rates due to acute myocardial infarction (AMI) per 100 000 inhabitants. Brazilian state capitals, 2007–2016. IBGE: Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics.

The highest and lowest mean death rates were reported in Recife (43.2%) and Palmas (8.7%), respectively, for the in-hospital group, and in Rio de Janeiro (33.8%) and Macapá (4.7%) for the out-of-hospital group (Table 1). In many state capitals, out-of-hospital deaths were more prevalent than in-hospital deaths: Palmas, São Luís, Rio de Janeiro, Curitiba, Florianópolis, Porto Alegre, and Campo Grande.

Table 1
Mortality rates due to acute myocardial infarction in Brazilian state capitals from 2007 to 2016 (deaths/100 000 inhabitants). Mean, standard deviation (SD), and minimum (Min) and maximum (Max) recorded values

Both groups were statistically different for all the studied sociodemographic characteristics (Table 2). When comparing groups, deaths of male patients were more frequent in the out-of-hospital group (57.4% vs 55.5%). Regarding age groups, the out-of-hospital group presented more deaths of individuals aged over 80 years (29.7% vs 26.3%). Married patients had fewer out-of-hospital deaths (38% vs 46%) (Table 2).

Table 2
Sociodemographic distribution of in- and out-of-hospital deaths due to acute myocardial infarction. Brazilian state capitals, 2007–2016

Deaths of people with higher levels of schooling (> 12 years) were less prevalent in the in-hospital group than in the out-of-hospital group (11.5% vs 12.8%). Skin color was the characteristic with the smallest difference between groups: a discrete reduction in black individuals was observed in the out-of-hospital group (Table 2).

The negative binomial regression models with fixed effects provided better fit for both groups. AIC values for each model with fixed and random effects are described in Table 3.

Table 3
Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) values for the Poisson and negative binomial regression models* * Independent variables: residing in the South and Southeast regions, municipal human development index, expected years of schooling, and Gini coefficient. regarding deaths due to acute myocardial infarction occurred in Brazilian state capitals from 2007 to 2016 in the in- and out-of-hospital groups

For the in-hospital group, the regression model showed that a higher MHDI reduced the incidence of deaths (IRR = 0.44; 95% CI = 0.33–0.58), while higher expected years of schooling were associated with higher incidence (IRR = 1.09; 95% CI = 1.03–1.15).

For the out-of-hospital group, residing in the South and Southeast regions increased the incidence of deaths (IRR = 2.84; 95% CI = 1.67–4.85), while higher expected years of schooling were associated with a reduction in deaths (IRR = 0.86; 95% CI = 0.77–0.97).

The Gini coefficient did not present statistically significant differences between groups. The results of regression models for both groups are presented in Table 4.

Table 4
Results of negative binomial multiple regression models with temporal adjustment according to the place of occurrence of deaths due to acute myocardial infarction in each of the Brazilian state capitals from 2007 to 2016. Models were weighted by the population of each capital and analyzed with fixed effects.

Discussion

In- and out-of-hospital deaths due to AMI presented differences regarding the sociodemographic characteristics and municipal development indices considered in this study. The assessment of Brazilian state capitals guaranteed that deaths did not happen due to unavailability of specialized care and characterized a nation-wide coverage of the sample, since state capitals account for 23.8% of the Brazilian population.1616. Instituto Brasileiro de Geografa e Estatística. Agência de Notícias | IBGE divulga as estimativas populacionais dos municípios para 2017. 2017. Disponível em: https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/agencia-sala-de-imprensa/2013-agencia-de-noticias/releases/16131-ibge-divulga-as-estimativas-populacionais-dos-municipios-para-2017. Acesso em: 30 set. 2018.
https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/ag...

The prevalence of deaths due to AMI is high. Anatomopathological studies show that, of all out-of-hospital cardiac arrests, AMI is responsible for almost half the deaths when considering all ages; this proportion increases progressively with age.1717. Wu Q, Zhang L, Zheng J et al. Forensic pathological study of 1656 cases of sudden cardiac death in Southern China. Med (United States). 2016; 95(5): 1-8. In addition, the association of precordial pain with subsequent cardiac arrest shows near 100% accuracy for AMI diagnosis in some anatomopathological studies.1818. Stalioraityte E, Bluzas J, Mackiewicz Z et al. Out-of-hospital coronary heart disease death: acute pathological lesions. Acta Cardiol. 2008; 63(4): 423-9. In clinical practice, it is known that aortic dissection, pulmonary thromboembolism, and other acute or potentially acute causes can also progress with precordial pain and death in a short period of time and could be misclassified, but these are much less prevalent than AMI.33. Reed GW, Rossi JE, Cannon CP. Acute myocardial infarction. Lancet. 2017; 389(10.065): 197-210.,44. Piegas L, Timerman A, Feitosa G et al. V Diretriz da Sociedade Brasileira de Cardiologia sobre tratamento do infarto agudo do miocárdio com supradesnível do segmento ST. Arq Bras Cardiol. 2015; 105(2): 1-105.:1-105.

Few studies have specifically approached out-of-hospital deaths precisely due to the lack of medical records and difficulties in validating data. Most authors consider the SIM as a reliable system1919. Haraki CA, Gotlieb SL, Laurenti R. Confiabilidade do Sistema de Informações sobre Mortalidade em município do Sul do Estado de São Paulo. Rev Bras Epidemiol. 2005; 8(1): 19-24.,2020. Nogueira LT, Rêgo CF, Gomes KR, Campelo V. Confiabilidade e validade das Declarações de Óbito por câncer de boca no Município de Teresina, Piauí, Brasil, no período de 2004 e 2005. Cad Saúde Publ. 2009; 25(2): 366-74. even though out-of-hospital deaths are more frequently reported as having ill-defined causes, which could represent a lower accuracy of the SIM regarding these events.2121. De Abreu DM, Sakurai E, Campos LN. A evolução da mortalidade por causas mal definidas na população idosa em quatro capitais brasileiras, 1996-2007. Rev Bras Estud Popul. 2010; 27(1): 75-88. It is also known that SIM does not provide, as open data, whether the causa mortis was confirmed by the Death Verification Service (SVO), and some state capitals such as Rio de Janeiro, Brasília, and Belo Horizonte had not implemented their own SVO until late 2016.2222. Conselho Federal de Medicina CFM. Serviços de verificação de óbito: após 10 anos, Brasil não cumpre meta, diz CFM. 2016. Disponível em: https://portal.cfm.org.br/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=26393:2016. Acesso em: 19 set. 2018.
https://portal.cfm.org.br/index.php?opti...

The literature shows a trend of reduction in mortality rates due to AMI since the 1960s worldwide and since the 1990s in Brazil.11. World Health Organization. WHO.\ Disease burden and mortality estimates. World Health Organization; 2018. Disponível em: http://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_burden_disease/estimates/en/. Acesso em: 16 set. 2018.
http://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_bur...
,33. Reed GW, Rossi JE, Cannon CP. Acute myocardial infarction. Lancet. 2017; 389(10.065): 197-210. However, in this study, analysis of the trend curve showed that in-hospital mortality due to AMI is stable, with a slight trend of reduction, while out-of-hospital mortality increased in the studied period. A detailed analysis of these trends can be performed with specific analytic tools, which is not within the scope of this study.

In-hospital mortality rates are higher in the Southeast region, in some capitals of the Northeast region (Natal, João Pessoa, and Recife), and in Porto Alegre. On the other hand, out-of-hospital mortality is higher in the South region, in Rio de Janeiro, Campo Grande, and the same northeastern capitals where in-hospital mortality is higher. Recife stood out with a notably high mortality when compared to other northeastern capitals, with a global death rate that was only lower than that of Rio de Janeiro among all capitals.

The main hypothesis of studies explaining higher out-of-hospital mortality is a longer time between symptom onset and arrival at the hospital. A systematic review published in 2010 considered 42 studies and observed that women and older patients took longer to receive hospital treatment.2323. Nguyen HL, Saczynski JS, Gore JM, Goldberg RJ. Age and sex differences in duration of prehospital delay in patients with acute myocardial infarction a systematic review. Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes. 2010; 3(1): 82-92. Paradoxically, in our study we observed that out-of-hospital mortality was higher in men and in patients aged over 80 years. More than 70% of deaths occurred among older people (> 60 years), and men presented higher mortality due to AMI in both groups.

Other studies observed that married patients took less time to arrive at the hospital.2424. Franco B, Rabelo ER, Goldemeyer S, Souza EN. Patients with acute myocardial infarction and interfering factors when seeking emergency care: implications for health education. Rev Lat Am Enfermagem. 2008; 16(3): 414-8.,2525. Bastos AS, Beccaria LM, Contrin LM, Cesarino CB. Time of arrival of patients with acute myocardial infarction to the emergency department. Rev Bras Cir Cardiovasc. 2012; 27(3): 411-8. Our results indicated that out-of-hospital mortality was lower in married patients, probably because these had a partner that could help them access hospital care.

Out-of-hospital mortality was slightly higher in patients with higher levels of schooling. Although people with higher levels of schooling have higher survival rates after an AMI,2626 Consuegra-Sánchez L, Melgarejo-Moreno A, Galcerá-Tomás J et al. Nivel de estudios y mortalidad a largo plazo en pacientes con infarto agudo de miocardio. Rev Esp Cardiol. 2015;68(11): 935-42.,2727. Koopman C, Bots ML, Van Oeffelen AA et al. Population trends and inequalities in incidence and short-term outcome of acute myocardial infarction between 1998 and 2007. Int J Cardiol. 2013; 168(2): 993-8. this may not significantly affect the acute episode, since initial care by a non-specialist and even self-medication may delay proper care.2828. Farshidi H, Rahimi S, Abdi A et al. Factors associated with pre-hospital delay in patients with acute myocardial infarction. Iran Red Crescent Med J. 2013; 15(4): 312-6.,2929. Nilsson G, Mooe T, Söderström L, Samuelsson E. Pre-hospital delay in patients with first time myocardial infarction: an observational study in a northern swedish population. BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2016; 16(1): 1-10.

A higher MHDI is associated with a reduction in in-hospital mortality (IRR = 0.44; 95% CI = 0.33–0.58), with no effect on out-of-hospital mortality. Cities with higher MHDI probably have greater availability and quality of therapeutic resources. Studies that compared countries showed that countries with higher GDP had higher availability of therapeutic resources and lower mortality by AMI.3030. Orlandini A, Díaz R, Wojdyla D et al. Outcomes of patients in clinical trials with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction among countries with different gross national incomes. Eur Heart J. 2006; 27(5): 527-33. Similarly, spatial analyses performed in Brazilian cities showed an increase in mortality by AMI in poorer neighborhoods.77. Melo E, Carvalho M, Travassos C. Distribuição espacial da mortalidade por infarto agudo do miocárdio no Município do Rio de Janeiro, Brasil. Cad Saude Publ. 2006; 22(6): 1.225-36.,3131. Caetano E, Melo P. Infarto agudo do miocárdio no município do Rio de Janeiro: qualidade dos dados, sobrevida e distribuição espacial por infarto agudo do miocárdio no município do Rio de Janeiro: qualidade. 2004; 16: 121-3.,3232. Luiz SB, Achutti A, Inês AM, Azambuja MI, Bassanesi SL. Mortalidade precoce por doenças cardiovasculares e desigualdades sociais em Porto Alegre: da evidência à ação. Arq Bras Cardiol. 2007; 90(6): 403-12. A spatial analysis performed in Rio de Janeiro observed that lower HDI, calculated for each neighborhood, was an important risk factor for deaths due to cerebrovascular diseases, which share their physiopathology and risk factors with AMI.88. Baena CP, Luhm KR, Costantini CO. Tendência de mortalidade por infarto agudo do Miocárdio em Curitiba (PR) no Período de 1998 a 2009. Arq Bras Cardiol. 2012;98(3) 98(3): 211-7.

Residing in the South and Southeast regions increased the incidence of out-of-hospital deaths (IRR = 2.84; 95% CI = 1.67–4.85). We observed that, in all capitals of the South region and in Rio de Janeiro, out-of-hospital deaths were more prevalent than in-hospital deaths. This finding can be explained by various hypotheses. One of them is that health care services in these regions are better equipped, which could partially explain the reduction in in-hospital deaths in cities with a higher MHDI. Since the in-hospital mortality rate is lower, deaths of patients that could not receive timely care prevailed.

Another hypothesis is that some of these capitals present a larger older population, more susceptible to AMI and with lower locomotion abilities, in addition to the fact that these cities are larger and more densely populated, which could represent a great logistical challenge regarding the access to health care services and fast transportation of sick patients.2121. De Abreu DM, Sakurai E, Campos LN. A evolução da mortalidade por causas mal definidas na população idosa em quatro capitais brasileiras, 1996-2007. Rev Bras Estud Popul. 2010; 27(1): 75-88.,3333. Beig JR, Tramboo NA, Kumar K et al. Components and determinants of therapeutic delay in patients with acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction: a tertiary care hospital-based study. J Saudi Hear Assoc. 2017; 29(1): 7-14. Moreover, the unhealthy lifestyle, inadequate diet, and higher smoking rate, daily stress, and physical inactivity rate associated with excessive urbanization may increase the risk of AMI,3434. Ribeiro AG. The promotion of health and integrated prevention of risk factors for cardiovascular diseases. Cien Saude Colet. 2012; 17(1): 7-17.3636. Gama LC, Biasi LC, Ruas A. Prevalência dos fatores de risco para as doenças cardiovasculares em pacientes da rede SUS da UBS Progresso da cidade de Erechim. Perspect Erechim. 2012; 36(133): 63-72. which could also justify higher mortality rates due to AMI in these cities.

Expected years of schooling showed opposite results between in- and out-of-hospital groups. Capitals with higher expected years of schooling presented more in-hospital deaths (IRR = 1.09; 95% CI = 1.03–1.15) and less out-of-hospital deaths (IRR = 0.86; 95% CI = 0.77–0.97). The AFIRMAR study considered risk factors for AMI in Brazil and showed that higher schooling was correlated with a lower risk of AMI (odds ratio [OR] = 0.68; p = 0.0239) only when the patient's income was higher.3737. Piegas LS, Avezum A, Pereira JC et al. Risk factors for myocardial infarction in Brazil. Am Heart J. 2003; 146(2): 331-8. Although in our study there were more out-of-hospital deaths among patients with higher levels of schooling, the inhabitants of a city with higher expected years of schooling probably have better access to information, with better knowledge on signs and symptoms, resulting in a change from out-of-hospital deaths to in-hospital deaths.

Strengths of this study include new contributions to understanding the dynamics of deaths by AMI, especially the out-of-hospital ones, which are little known. The choice of state capitals as sample guarantees the representation of every Brazilian federative unit and coverage of 23.8% of the Brazilian population.

The use of negative binomial regression models with temporal adjustment and weighted by population size has the advantage of letting each capital have its own intercept, serving as its own control, which allows the adjustment for unmeasured variables that do not change with time, in addition to the possibility of directly modelling the number of events instead of rates, which can suffer variations according to changes in numerators and denominators.

Limitations of this study include the use of an ecological and convenience approach for analyzing a time series, in addition to the lower quality of data regarding out-of-hospital deaths. Another limitation involved the use of municipal development indices obtained by the demographic census that, although consist of an alternative for estimation, do not consider the variations and fluctuations that occurred during the interval between data collections.

Conclusion

This study brought new information regarding deaths by AMI in state capitals. In- and out-of-hospital deaths presented differences in temporal trends, sociodemographic characteristics, MHDI, expected years of schooling, and whether patients resided in the South and Southeast regions.

As opposed to what is reported by the literature regarding global mortality by AMI, out-of-hospital mortality is increasing in Brazilian capitals. In comparison with the in-hospital group, out-of-hospital mortality affected more men, people older than 80 years, and unmarried people. Schooling was a factor that converted out-of-hospital mortality into in-hospital mortality. Residing in the South and Southeast regions was associated with a higher incidence of out-of-hospital deaths, while higher MHDI was associated with a lower incidence of in-hospital deaths with no statistically significant effect on out-of-hospital deaths. Further studies are necessary to verity if these differences also happen in other cities, where conditions for AMI treatment are generally more precarious.

Data presented in this study have helped us better understand the reality and trends of mortality in Brazilian state capitals and may contribute to guiding public policies for reducing mortality due to the most prevalent cause of death.

  • Sources of Funding
    There were no external funding sources for this study.
  • Study Association
    This article is part of the thesis of master submitted by Sterffeson Lamare Lucena de Abreu, from Programa de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva da Universidade Federal do Maranhão.

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Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    06 Sept 2021
  • Date of issue
    Aug 2021

History

  • Received
    26 Jan 2020
  • Reviewed
    21 June 2020
  • Accepted
    12 Aug 2020
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