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Rivaroxaban in Outpatients with Mild or Moderate COVID-19: Rationale and Design of the Study CARE (CARE – Coalition COVID-19 Brazil VIII)

Abstract

Background

Previous studies have demonstrated a high risk of arterial and venous thromboembolic events as a consequence of direct viral damage to endothelial cells by SARS-CoV-2 and a procoagulant milieu due to increased biomarkers, such as D-dimer, fibrinogen, and factor VIII. Although randomized controlled trials of antithrombotic therapies have been conducted in hospitalized patients, few have evaluated the role of thromboprophylaxis in an outpatient setting.

Objective

To assess whether antithrombotic prophylaxis with rivaroxaban reduces the risk of venous or arterial thrombotic events, invasive ventilatory support, and death in COVID-19 outpatients.

Methods

The COVID Antithrombotic Rivaroxaban Evaluation (CARE) study, a multicenter, randomized, open-label, controlled trial of rivaroxaban 10 mg once daily for 14 days or local standard treatment alone to prevent adverse outcomes, is registered in clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04757857). The inclusion criteria are adults with confirmed or suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection and mild or moderate symptoms without indication for hospitalization, within 7 days of symptom onset, and 1 risk factor for COVID-19 complication (> 65 years, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or other chronic lung diseases, smoking, immunosuppression, or obesity). The primary composite endpoint, which includes venous thromboembolism, invasive mechanical ventilation, major acute cardiovascular events, and mortality within 30 days of randomization, will be assessed according to the intention-to-treat principle. All patients will provide informed consent. A significance level of 5% will be used for all statistical tests.

Results

Major thrombotic and bleeding outcomes, hospitalizations, and deaths will be centrally adjudicated by an independent clinical events committee blinded to the assigned treatment groups.

Conclusion

The CARE study will provide relevant and contemporary information about the potential role of thromboprophylaxis in outpatients with COVID-19.

COVID-19; Thrombosis; Treatment Outcome; Rivaroxaban; Outpatient Clinics, Hospital

Resumo

Fundamento

Estudos anteriores revelaram alto risco de eventos tromboembólicos arteriais e venosos como consequência de danos virais diretos do SARS-CoV-2 em células endoteliais e um meio procoagulante devido ao aumento de biomarcadores como o D-dímero, fibrinogênio, fator VIII. Foram realizados ensaios controlados randomizados de terapias antitrombóticas em pacientes internados, no entanto, poucos estudos avaliaram o papel da tromboprofilaxia no ambiente ambulatorial.

Objetivo

Avaliar se a profilaxia antitrombótica com rivaroxabana reduz o risco de eventos trombóticos venosos ou arteriais, suporte ventilatório invasivo e morte em pacientes ambulatoriais com COVID-19.

Métodos

O estudo CARE é um ensaio randomizado, aberto, multicêntrico e controlado por rivaroxabana 10 mg uma vez por dia durante 14 dias ou tratamento local padrão isolado, para a prevenção de resultados adversos, registrado no Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04757857). Os critérios de inclusão são adultos com infecção confirmada ou suspeita do SARS-CoV-2, com sintomas leves ou moderados, sem indicação de hospitalização, no prazo de 7 dias após o início dos sintomas e um fator de risco de complicação da COVID-19 (>65 anos, hipertensão, diabetes, asma, doença pulmonar obstrutiva crônica ou outras doenças pulmonares crônicas, tabagismo, imunossupressão ou obesidade). O desfecho primário composto inclui tromboembolismo venoso, necessidade de ventilação mecânica invasiva, eventos cardiovasculares agudos maiores e mortalidade no prazo de 30 dias após a randomização, sendo avaliado segundo o princípio da intenção de tratar. Todos os pacientes assinaram termo de consentimento. Foi estabelecido um nível de significância de 5% para todos os testes estatísticos.

Resultados

Os principais desfechos trombóticos e hemorrágicos, hospitalizações e mortes serão avaliados centralmente por um comitê de eventos clínicos independente, sob a condição cega para a alocação dos grupos de tratamento.

Conclusão

O estudo CARE fornecerá informação relevante e contemporânea sobre o possível papel da tromboprofilaxia em pacientes ambulatoriais com COVID-19.

COVID-19; Trombose; Resultado do Tratamento; Rivaroxabana; Ambulatório Hospitalar

Clinical trials registration: <ext-link ext-link-type="clinical-trial" xlink:href="https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04757857">NCT04757857</ext-link>.

Introduction

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31. Ramacciotti E, Barile Agati L, Calderaro D, Aguiar VCR, Spyropoulos AC, de Oliveira CCC, et al. Rivaroxaban Versus No Anticoagulation for Post-Discharge Thromboprophylaxis After Hospitalisation for COVID-19 (MICHELLE): An Open-Label, Multicentre, Randomised, Controlled Trial. Lancet. 2022;399(10319):50-9. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02392-8.

32. REMAP-CAP Investigators, ACTIV-4a Investigators, ATTACC Investigators, Goligher EC, Bradbury CA, McVerry BJ, et al. Therapeutic Anticoagulation with Heparin in Critically Ill Patients with Covid-19. N Engl J Med. 2021;385(9):777-89. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2103417.

33. Spyropoulos AC, Goldin M, Giannis D, Diab W, Wang J, Khanijo S, et al. Efficacy and Safety of Therapeutic-Dose Heparin vs Standard Prophylactic or Intermediate-Dose Heparins for Thromboprophylaxis in High-risk Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19: The HEP-COVID Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA Intern Med. 2021;181(12):1612-20. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2021.6203.

34. Sholzberg M, Tang GH, Rahhal H, AlHamzah M, Kreuziger LB, Áinle FN, et al. Effectiveness of Therapeutic Heparin Versus Prophylactic Heparin on Death, Mechanical Ventilation, Or Intensive Care Unit Admission in Moderately Ill Patients with Covid-19 Admitted to Hospital: RAPID Randomised Clinical Trial. BMJ. 2021;375:n2400. doi: 10.1136/bmj.n2400.
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39. Barnes GD, Burnett A, Allen A, Blumenstein M, Clark NP, Cuker A, et al. Thromboembolism and Anticoagulant Therapy During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Interim Clinical Guidance from the Anticoagulation Forum. J Thromb Thrombolysis. 2020;50(1):72-81. doi: 10.1007/s11239-020-02138-z.
-4040. Moores LK, Tritschler T, Brosnahan S, Carrier M, Collen JF, Doerschug K, et al. Thromboprophylaxis in Patients with COVID-19: A Brief Update to the CHEST Guideline and Expert Panel Report. Chest. 2022;162(1):213-25. doi: 10.1016/j.chest.2022.02.006.However, despite reports of thrombotic events in outpatients,4141. Gervaise A, Bouzad C, Peroux E, Helissey C. Acute Pulmonary Embolism in Non-Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients Referred to CTPA by Emergency Department. Eur Radiol. 2020;30(11):6170-7. doi: 10.1007/s00330-020-06977-5. few studies have been published on the frequency and the potential role of thromboprophylaxis.3030. Connors JM, Brooks MM, Sciurba FC, Krishnan JA, Bledsoe JR, Kindzelski A, et al. Effect of Antithrombotic Therapy on Clinical Outcomes in Outpatients with Clinically Stable Symptomatic COVID-19: The ACTIV-4B Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA. 2021;326(17):1703-12. doi: 10.1001/jama.2021.17272.Rivaroxaban is a highly selective, direct inhibitor of factor Xa with proven efficacy against thromboprophylaxis4242. Lewis S, Glen J, Dawoud D, Dias S, Cobb J, Griffin X, et al. Venous Thromboembolism Prophylaxis Strategies for People Undergoing Elective Total Hip Replacement: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis. Value Health. 2019;22(8):953-69. doi: 10.1016/j.jval.2019.02.013.,4343. Perrotta C, Chahla J, Badariotti G, Ramos J. Interventions for Preventing Venous Thromboembolism in Adults Undergoing Knee Arthroscopy. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2020;5(5):CD005259. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD005259.pub4. and secondary cardiovascular events.4444. Bhatt DL, Eikelboom JW, Connolly SJ, Steg PG, Anand SS, Verma S, et al. Role of Combination Antiplatelet and Anticoagulation Therapy in Diabetes Mellitus and Cardiovascular Disease: Insights From the COMPASS Trial. Circulation. 2020;141(23):1841-54. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.120.046448. Selective FXa inhibitors may stop amplified bursts of thrombin production.4545. Bayer S.A. Xarelto - Rivaroxabanaa 2,5 mg. Farm. Resp.: Dra. Dirce Eiko Mimura CRF-SP no 16532. Importado por: Bayer S.A. Rua Domingos Jorge, 1.100 04779-900 - Socorro - São Paulo; 2020.

The aim of this study is to determine whether rivaroxaban reduces the composite endpoint of VTE, invasive mechanical ventilation, major acute cardiovascular events (defined as acute myocardial infarction, stroke or acute limb ischemia), and death (in or out of the hospital) within 30 days of randomization in COVID-19 outpatients who do not clearly require hospitalization upon initial presentation.

Methods

Coalition COVID-19 Brazil

Coalition COVID-19 Brazil is a multicenter research initiative by Brazilian investigators to evaluate the benefits of different drugs on a range of COVID-19 severities. Several studies have been published through this network on the effects of treatments such as azithromycin, hydroxychloroquine, dexamethasone, tocilizumab, and rivaroxaban in moderate to severe patients.4646. Lopes RD, Barros e Silva PGM, Furtado RHM, Macedo AVS, Bronhara B, Damiani LP, et al. Therapeutic Versus Prophylactic Anticoagulation for Patients Admitted to Hospital with COVID-19 and Elevated D-Dimer Concentration (ACTION): An Open-Label, Multicentre, Randomised, Controlled Trial. Lancet. 2021;397(10291):2253-63. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01203-4.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01...

47. Tomazini BM, Maia IS, Cavalcanti AB, Berwanger O, Rosa RG, Veiga VC, et al. Effect of Dexamethasone on Days Alive and Ventilator-Free in Patients with Moderate or Severe Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome and COVID-19: The CoDEX Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA. 2020;324(13):1307-16. doi: 10.1001/jama.2020.17021.

48. Cavalcanti AB, Zampieri FG, Rosa RG, Azevedo LCP, Veiga VC, Avezum A, et al. Hydroxychloroquine with or Without Azithromycin in Mild-to-Moderate Covid-19. N Engl J Med. 2020;383(21):2041-52. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2019014.

49. Tomazini BM, Maia IS, Cavalcanti AB, Berwanger O, Rosa RG, Veiga VC, et al. Effect of Dexamethasone on Days Alive and Ventilator-Free in Patients with Moderate or Severe Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome and COVID-19: The CoDEX Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA. 2020;324(13):1307-16. doi: 10.1001/jama.2020.17021.

50. Furtado RHM, Berwanger O, Fonseca HA, Corrêa TD, Ferraz LR, Lapa MG, et al. Azithromycin in Addition to Standard of Care Versus Standard of Care Alone in the Treatment of Patients Admitted to the Hospital with Severe COVID-19 in Brazil (COALITION II): A Randomised Clinical Trial. Lancet. 2020;396(10256):959-67. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31862-6.
-5151. Avezum Á, Oliveira GBF, Oliveira H, Lucchetta RC, Pereira VFA, Dabarian AL, et al. Hydroxychloroquine Versus Placebo in the Treatment of Non-Hospitalised Patients with COVID-19 (COPE - Coalition V): A Double-Blind, Multicentre, Randomised, Controlled Trial. Lancet Reg Health Am. 2022;11:100243. doi: 10.1016/j.lana.2022.100243.

Study Design

This multicenter, randomized, open-label, controlled trial with an allocation ratio 1:1 will test whether rivaroxaban (10 mg per os once daily for 14 days) vs. local standard treatment within 7 days of symptom onset will reduce the composite endpoint of VTE, invasive mechanical ventilation, major acute cardiovascular events, and mortality due to COVID-19 within 30 days of randomization. The study will be conducted at 47 sites, based a favorable feasibility assessment, compliance with good clinical practice, and ethics approval. This protocol follows the Standard Protocol Items: Recommendations for Interventional Trials statement.5252. Chan AW, Tetzlaff JM, Altman DG, Laupacis A, Gøtzsche PC, Krleža-Jerić K, et al. SPIRIT 2013 Statement: Defining Standard Protocol Items for Clinical Trials. Ann Intern Med. 2013;158(3):200-7. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-158-3-201302050-00583. The central Illustration shows the study workflow.

Central Illustration
: Rivaroxaban in Outpatients with Mild or Moderate COVID-19: Rationale and Design of the Study CARE (CARE – Coalition COVID-19 Brazil VIII)

CONSORT diagram showing the study workflow and planned recruitment.


Primary and Secondary Outcomes

We will assess the composite efficacy endpoint of VTE, invasive mechanical ventilation, major acute cardiovascular events, and 30-day mortality (in or out of the hospital). We also plan to evaluate the time from randomization to hospitalization, length of hospital stay, admission to the intensive care unit, clinical requirements, duration of mechanical ventilation, composite vascular endpoint I (ie, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal ischemic stroke, cardiovascular death, or VTE), composite vascular endpoint II (ie, cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal ischemic stroke, acute limb ischemia, or VTE), major bleeding, defined according to International Society on Thrombosis and Hemostasis criteria:5353. Schulman S, Kearon C, Subcommittee on Control of Anticoagulation of the Scientific and Standardization Committee of the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis. Definition of Major Bleeding in Clinical Investigations of Antihemostatic Medicinal Products in Non-Surgical Patients. J Thromb Haemost. 2005;3(4):692-4. doi: 10.1111/j.1538-7836.2005.01204.x. a) any sign or symptom of hemorrhage (more bleeding than would be expected for a clinical circumstance, including bleeding found by imaging alone) that does not fit the criteria for major bleeding but meets at least one of the following: i) requiring medical intervention; ii) leading to hospitalization or a higher level of care; iii) prompting a face-to-face evaluation (not by telephone or electronic means); b) major bleeding in non-surgical patients, defined as having a symptomatic presentation, and: i) fatal bleeding, and/or ii) bleeding in a critical area or organ, eg, intracranial, intraspinal, intraocular, retroperitoneal, intra-articular or pericardial, or intramuscular with compartment syndrome, and/or iii) bleeding that causes a ≥ 20 g.L1 (1.24 mmol.L1) decrease in hemoglobin level or that leads to a transfusion of ≥ 2 units of whole blood or red cells; in addition to all-cause mortality.

Eligibility Criteria

Suspected and confirmed COVID-19 cases will be initially assessed based on Brazilian Ministry of Health guidelines and WHO recommendations5454. Brasil. Ministério da Saúde. Diretrizes para diagnóstico e tratamento da covid-19 (Clinical Guideline Covid-19) [Internet]. Brasília: Ministério da Saúde; 2020 [cited 2021 Mar 18]. Available from: https://portaldeboaspraticas.iff.fiocruz.br/atencao-mulher/diretrizes-para-diagnostico-e-tratamento-da-covid-19-ms/
https://portaldeboaspraticas.iff.fiocruz...
,5555. World Health Organization. Country & Technical Guidance - Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) [Internet]. Geneva: WHO; 2021 [cited 2021 Mar 18]. Available from: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/technical-guidance
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases...
and modified to the outpatient setting (Table 1). The inclusion and exclusion criteria are described in Table 2.

Table 1
– COVID-19 case definition for the CARE Study according to Brazilian Ministry of Health and World Health Organization criteria
Table 2
– Inclusion and exclusion criteria

Trial Interventions and Follow-up Assessment

Both arms will receive local standard treatment, which includes general advice and medications for symptom relief (left to the physician’s discretion). Patients in the rivaroxaban group will receive 10 mg once daily per oral administration for 14 days. Patients in the control group are not expected to receive additional treatment beyond local care, as previously mentioned. Two follow-up visits are planned via telephone to evaluate adherence to rivaroxaban and to detect disease progression or adverse events.

Discontinuation of the study medication and patient follow-up

The investigator will discontinue the study drug and the patient should be followed up for 30 days, with all of the following procedures carried out:

  1. any medical condition that, at the sponsor’s or investigator’s discretion, prevents the patient from continuing treatment, describing the reason and providing proof thereof;

  2. patients who develop a serious adverse event that compromises adherence and safety. The investigator will follow up such patients until the adverse event is resolved or stabilized and considered clinically irrelevant.

  3. Patients with negative SARS-CoV-2 results in a real-time polymerase chain reaction.

When the SARS-Cov-2 test is performed at the hospital where the patient is randomized, the center’s principal investigator will obtain the results and send them to the coordinating center (International Research Center at the Hospital Alemão Oswaldo Cruz); the patient will be asked to discontinue treatment and will be followed-up until the end of the 30-day period.

When the real-time polymerase chain reaction test for SARS-Cov-2 is performed at another laboratory, patients will inform the center to which they are randomized. This center will then inform the International Research Center so that the study team can indicate interrupting the study drug, with follow-up continuing for up to 30 days.

The study will be interrupted if the intervention shows clear benefits at the primary efficacy endpoint or if the frequency of major bleeding events increases. The Data and Safety Monitoring Board will closely monitor any serious adverse events and, using statistical assumptions, could recommend ending the study to ensure patient safety.

Adverse Event Reporting and Management

The retrieved information should include the medical history and comorbidities, and clinical diagnosis of COVID-19, in addition to its severity, start date, main cause and the likelihood of a causal relationship, medical decisions, adverse outcomes, the criteria used to classify the severity of the event, and the end date.

Endpoint Reporting and Adjudication

The primary efficacy endpoint will be evaluated by physicians with longstanding experience in clinical event adjudication. Hospital admissions for causes related to COVID-19 will be documented by the medical team, with the information collected for clinical analysis under blinded allocation according to standardized criteria similar to those used in the Prospective Urban and Rural Epidemiology study.

Data Collection and Management

Data will be collected using an online case report form and entered at each participating site. Training and support will be provided by the coordinating center to ensure data quality. Data to be collected from the patient and/or family during study visits include:

  • 1. Admission (Baseline)

  1. Age, sex, marital status, race, education, family income, and comorbidities

  2. The results of molecular or serological tests for COVID-19 (depending on the time since symptom onset/clinical diagnosis)

  3. Concomitant medications at baseline

  4. Symptom duration

  • 2. On the 15th day post-randomization

  1. Safety assessment (Adverse event monitoring)

  2. Medication adherence

  • 3. On the 30th day post-randomization

  1. Efficacy assessment (primary outcome events)

  2. Safety assessment (adverse event monitoring)

The data collection and participant follow-up plans are shown in Figure 1.

Figure 1
– Data collection and patient follow-up plan.

Statistical Analysis

Sample size calculation and randomization procedure

We estimated that a sample size of 932 patients (466 per group) would provide 80% statistical power to detect a relative risk reduction of 30%, assuming a primary endpoint rate of 25% in the control group and 17.5% in the rivaroxaban group, a two-sided hypothesis test, and 5% significance level using the chi-square test. With an estimated follow-up loss of 5% per group, the total would increase 982 patients, therefore 1000 patients will be randomized. The sample size was calculated using SAS 9.4 (PROC POWER procedure).5656. Chow S-C, Wang H, Shao J. Sample Size Calculations in Clinical Research. 2nd Ed. New York: Chapman and Hall/CRC; 2007. doi: 10.1201/9781584889830.
https://doi.org/10.1201/9781584889830...
,5757. Ryan TP. Sample Size Determination and Power. New Jersey: Wiley; 2013. doi: 10.1002/9781118439241. A permuted-block randomization technique will be applied with fixed block size of 8 through a randomization list produced electronically using appropriate software.5858. Matts JP, Lachin JM. Properties of Permuted-Block Randomization in Clinical Trials. Control Clin Trials. 1988;9(4):327-44. doi: 10.1016/0197-2456(88)90047-5.,5959. Machin D, Fayers PM. Randomized Clinical Trials: Design, Practice and Reporting. New Jersey: Wiley; 2010. doi: 10.1002/9780470686232.
https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470686232...
Randomization concealment will be maintained through a 24-hour, centralized, automated, Internet-based system developed by the Hospital Alemão Oswaldo Cruz.

Interim analyses

Three interim analyses are planned by an independent Data and Safety Monitoring Board when the sample size reaches 25% (250 individuals), 50% (500 individuals), and 75% (750 individuals), according to Haybittle–Peto analysis.6060. Haybittle JL. Repeated Assessment of Results in Clinical Trials of Cancer Treatment. Br J Radiol. 1971;44(526):793-7. doi: 10.1259/0007-1285-44-526-793.,6161. Peto R, Pike MC, Armitage P, Breslow NE, Cox DR, Howard SV, et al. Design and Analysis of Randomized Clinical Trials Requiring Prolonged Observation of Each Patient. I. Introduction and Design. Br J Cancer. 1976;34(6):585-612. doi: 10.1038/bjc.1976.220. After the safety analysis, the study may be interrupted if there is a sign of harm with p < 0.01 (in each interim analysis). In the efficacy analysis, the study may be interrupted if there is a sign of benefit (primary outcome) with p < 0.001 (in each interim analysis).6262. Blenkinsop A, Parmar MK, Choodari-Oskooei B. Assessing the Impact of Efficacy Stopping Rules on the Error Rates Under the Multi-Arm Multi-Stage Framework. Clin Trials. 2019;16(2):132-41. doi: 10.1177/1740774518823551.

Statistical Methods

Baseline characteristics will be reported as counts, percentages, and means and standard deviations or medians and interquartile ranges, when appropriate.6363. Lang TA. How to Report Statistics in Medicine: Annotated Guidelines for Authors, Editors, and Reviewers. 2nd ed. Philadelphia: American College of Physicians; 2006. The effect of rivaroxaban on the primary and secondary endpoints will be estimated using risk ratios and 95% confidence intervals. All endpoints will be assessed in the intent-to-treat population. The chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test will be used for hypothesis testing. Absolute differences between two proportions with 95% CI will be also estimated according to Newcombe’s method.6464. Fagerland MW, Lydersen S, Laake P. Recommended Confidence Intervals for two Independent Binomial Proportions. Stat Methods Med Res. 2015;24(2):224-54. doi: 10.1177/0962280211415469.,6565. Newcombe RG. Interval Estimation for the Difference Between Independent Proportions: Comparison of Eleven Methods. Stat Med. 1998;17(8):873-90. doi: 10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(19980430)17:8<873::aid-sim779>3.0.co;2-i.
https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(...
Exploratory analyses for the primary outcome will be performed considering the intervention effect in prespecified or post-hoc subgroups, according to observations throughout the study, and dynamic changes in SARS-CoV-2 variants. Interaction tests will be conducted using binary logistic regression models that include the treatment effect, the factor of interest, and an interaction term between the 2 variables (treatment-by-subgroup interaction term) using the full patient set, reporting the p-value for the interaction term.6666. Lin T, Huang J. Generating Model Based Subgroup Analysis Using SAS® Procedures. Merck & Co., Inc., Upper Gwynnedd, PA. The effect of the intervention on mortality will be assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves and univariate Cox proportional hazard regression modeling, with hazard ratios and 95% CI. Survival curves will be compared using log-rank tests. Proportional hazard assumptions will be checked using cumulative sums of martingale residuals and a Kolmogorov-type supremum test based on a sample of 1000 simulated residual patterns.6767. Lin DY, Wei LJ, Ying Z. Checking the Cox Model with Cumulative Sums of Martingale-Based Residuals. Biometrika.1993;80(3):557-72. doi: 10.1093/biomet/80.3.557.,6868. Liu X. Survival Analysis: Models and Applications.Wiley: New Jersey; 2012. If the phenomenon of monotone likelihood occurs or few events are observed, Firth’s penalized partial likelihood approach will be applied in a Cox regression model, with hazard ratios and 95% profile-likelihood confidence limits.6969. Reutzel K, Reutzel K, Corcoran C, Sun Y, Coster D. Survival Analysis: An Exact Method for Rare Events Survival Analysis [Internet]. Utah: Utah State University; 2020 [cited 2022 Mar 5]. Available from: https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/gradreports
https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/gradrepor...
,7070. Nagashima K, Sato Y. Information Criteria for Firth’s Penalized Partial Likelihood Approach in Cox Regression Models. Stat Med. 2017;36(21):3422-36. doi: 10.1002/sim.7368. Based on patient recruitment and epidemiological data (continuously updated by the Ministry of Health and local reports), we plan to include three additional methods that might contribute to the overall clinical efficacy assessment: a) the primary efficacy endpoint plus hospitalizations due to COVID-19, b) the win ratio for the primary efficacy endpoint, and c) the win ratio for the primary efficacy endpoint plus hospitalizations due to COVID-19.7171. Ferreira JP, Jhund PS, Duarte K, Claggett BL, Solomon SD, Pocock S, et al. Use of the Win Ratio in Cardiovascular Trials. JACC Heart Fail. 2020;8(6):441-50. doi: 10.1016/j.jchf.2020.02.010.,7272. Pocock SJ, Ariti CA, Collier TJ, Wang D. The Win Ratio: A New Approach to the Analysis of Composite Endpoints in Clinical Trials Based on Clinical Priorities. Eur Heart J. 2012;33(2):176-82. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehr352.Secondary outcomes, defined by quantitative variables, will be compared between the groups using an unpaired Student’s t-test or the Mann-Whitney test for non-normally distributed variables, when appropriate. Adverse events will be compared between the treatment groups using the chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test. Additionally, if the proportion of missing data exceeds 5% for the primary outcome,7373. Little RJ, D’Agostino R, Cohen ML, Dickersin K, Emerson SS, Farrar JT, et al. The Prevention and Treatment of Missing Data in Clinical Trials. N Engl J Med. 2012;367(14):1355-60. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsr1203730.,7474. Jakobsen JC, Gluud C, Wetterslev J, Winkel P. When and How Should Multiple Imputation Be Used for Handling Missing Data in Randomised Clinical Trials - A Practical Guide with Flowcharts. BMC Med Res Methodol. 2017;17(1):162. doi: 10.1186/s12874-017-0442-1. a sensitivity analysis will be conducted using a multiple data imputation technique.7575. Berglund P, Heeringa S. Multiple Imputation of Missing Data Using SAS®. North Carolina: SAS Institute; 2014.,7676. O’Kelly M, Ratitch B. Clinical Trials with Missing Data: A Guide for Practitioners. New Jersey: Wiley; 2014. Normality will be assessed through visual inspection of histograms and the application of normality tests, such as the Shapiro-Wilk or D’Agostino-Pearson test, when appropriate.7777. Yap BW, Sim CH. Comparisons of various types of normality tests. J Stat Comput Simul. 2011;81(12):2141-55. doi: 10.1080/009496552010520163.
https://doi.org/10.1080/0094965520105201...
,7878. Romão X, Delgado R, Costa A. An empirical power comparison of univariate goodness-of-fit tests for normality. J Stat Comput Simul. 2008;80(5):545-91. doi: 10.1080/00949650902740824. All hypothesis tests will be two-sided, with p < 0.05 considered statistically significant. Statistical analyses will be conducted using SAS version 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA) or R Statistical Software (R Foundation, Vienna, Austria).

Database lock

Database lock will occur after completing the 30-day follow-up of all patients, final clinical monitoring, and data cleaning. All interim analyses will be made available to local regulatory agencies in Brazil. Database access will be granted only to the Steering Committee members and statisticians before the main results are published.

Trial oversight

An Executive/Steering Committee will be responsible for general supervision of the study, developing the study protocol, and writing the manuscript. The Data and Safety Monitoring Board will assess the effects of rivaroxaban compared to local standard treatment in relation to the primary and secondary endpoints. This committee will monitor serious adverse events and may recommend treatment interruption, if necessary, to ensure patient safety.

Ethics and dissemination

The records of all patients will be kept confidential and with restricted access. Each patient or legal representative will sign an informed consent form after the study’s risks/benefits and procedures have been fully explained. The initial protocol and all amendments have been approved by local institutional review boards and the Brazilian National Ethics Research Commission, in compliance with the ethics Resolution CNS 466/2012. This trial has been registered at clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04757857) and will be submitted for publication, regardless of its results.

Perspective

The CARE study will provide relevant and contemporary information about the potential role of thromboprophylaxis in outpatients with COVID-19.

Funding sources

This investigator-initiated study has received financial support from the COALITION COVID-19 Brazil and Bayer S.A., who provided the study drug and partial financial support. The funding sources had no role in the study design, data analysis and interpretation, or the decision to publish the results.

Data Sharing Statement

All information regarding this clinical trial protocol has been provided in this publication.

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  • Study association
    This study is not associated with any thesis or dissertation work.
    Ethics approval and consent to participate
    This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the CONEP under the protocol number CAAE: 36066320.5.101.0070. All the procedures in this study were in accordance with the 1975 Helsinki Declaration, updated in 2013. Informed consent was obtained from all participants included in the study.
  • Sources of funding
    This study was partially funded by Coalisão COVID-19 Brasil and partially funded by Bayer S.A

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    03 Apr 2023
  • Date of issue
    Mar 2023

History

  • Received
    04 July 2022
  • Reviewed
    28 Oct 2022
  • Accepted
    23 Nov 2022
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