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Estimated prevalence of immunity to poliomyelitis in the city of São Paulo, Brazil: a population-based survey

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: Estimate the prevalence of immunity to poliomyelitis (anti-polio antibodies) in the city of São Paulo/Brazil through a population-based survey. METHODS: A quantitative and inductive method was used to draw a representative sample of the population. Randomization and stratification (based on sex, age and residence region) was done, and 1,059 individuals were studied on a home-visit basis (structured questionnaires and blood samples). A microneutralization test was performed to detect anti-polio antibodies against serotypes 1, 2 and 3. RESULTS: The estimated prevalence of immunity to poliomyelitis was high, with 94.6% prevalence of anti-polio 1 antibodies, 98.8% anti-polio 2 and 91.9% anti-polio 3. Despite this high prevalence, there were significantly lower prevalence levels in some groups, specially among age and residence region groups. DISCUSSION: Routine child immunization and NIDs with OPV have provided excellent levels of serological immunity to poliomyelitis in the population of the city of São Paulo, Brazil. However, there may be specific groups with a lower prevalence of immunity. Estimations of the prevalence of immunity to poliomyelitis were made in a population-based survey, which could be used as an auxiliary tool for supporting the polio eradication program.

Immunity prevalence; poliomyelitis; poliviruses; seroepidemiologic studies; antibodies; viral blood


Estimated prevalence of immunity to poliomyelitis in the city of São Paulo, Brazil: a population-based survey

Carlos Roberto Veiga Kiffer; Orlando Jorge Conceição; Edgar Bortholi Santos; Ester Sabino and Roberto Focaccia

Institute of Infectology Emílio Ribas, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil

Address to correspondence Address to correspondence Dr. Carlos Roberto Veiga Kiffer Alameda dos Guaicanãs 984, Planalto Paulista São Paulo, Brazil, Zip Code: 04064-031 Phone: +55 11 5585 3180 Fax: +55 11 5078 7041 E-mail: kiffer@uninet.com.br

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Estimate the prevalence of immunity to poliomyelitis (anti-polio antibodies) in the city of São Paulo/Brazil through a population-based survey.

METHODS: A quantitative and inductive method was used to draw a representative sample of the population. Randomization and stratification (based on sex, age and residence region) was done, and 1,059 individuals were studied on a home-visit basis (structured questionnaires and blood samples). A microneutralization test was performed to detect anti-polio antibodies against serotypes 1, 2 and 3.

RESULTS: The estimated prevalence of immunity to poliomyelitis was high, with 94.6% prevalence of anti-polio 1 antibodies, 98.8% anti-polio 2 and 91.9% anti-polio 3. Despite this high prevalence, there were significantly lower prevalence levels in some groups, specially among age and residence region groups.

DISCUSSION: Routine child immunization and NIDs with OPV have provided excellent levels of serological immunity to poliomyelitis in the population of the city of São Paulo, Brazil. However, there may be specific groups with a lower prevalence of immunity. Estimations of the prevalence of immunity to poliomyelitis were made in a population-based survey, which could be used as an auxiliary tool for supporting the polio eradication program.

Key Words: Immunity prevalence, poliomyelitis, poliviruses, seroepidemiologic studies, antibodies, viral blood.

The World Health Organization (WHO) decided in 1988 to adopt as a goal the eradication of poliomyelitis caused by wild Poliovirus by the year 2000. In order to achieve this goal, three strategies were adopted: maintenance of a high degree of vaccination coverage, application of supplementary vaccine doses during national vaccination days and development of surveillance programs (epidemiological and laboratory) [1]. Monitoring vaccine coverage is used as a measure of program progress, while monitoring disease incidence through surveillance programs (either with acute flaccid paralysis - AFP - surveillance or viral isolation) is used as a measure of its impact [2].These measures have been proven extremely efficient and there has been a considerable reduction in the number of cases reported worldwide during the last decade [3-7]. Even before the WHO decision, the Pan-American Health Organization (PAHO) presented an even more audacious proposal, with the goal of interrupting thetransmission of wild Poliovirus in the Americas by 1990 [8]. Through a combination of an increment in vaccination coverage and rigorous surveillance, a drastic reduction in the number of poliomyelitis cases in the American continent was achieved. In 1994, the International Commission for the Certification of Poliomyelitis Eradication concluded that the autochthonous transmission of wild Poliovirus had been eradicated in the Americas [9]. Furthermore, new achievements have been constantly announced. In 2000, the Western Pacific region was also certified free from wild Poliovirus transmission by the WHO, and an apparent global interruption of wild Poliovirus type 2 transmission was recently reported [10, 11].

However, wild Poliovirus is still a serious public health problem in several countries [10, 12-14]. Unfortunately, it is not possible to consider any given region completely free of the risk of reintroduction of wild Poliovirus while other regions of the world still have any endemic level. Therefore, the risk of its reintroduction in environments considered free must still be taken into consideration, especially in places where vaccination programs are irregular or where data on vaccine coverage are deficient [10].

In view of those facts, it is fundamental that we strive to extend to other continents the success obtained with the eradication program in the Americas. The ultimate goals of the poliomyelitis eradication program are total interruption of wild Poliovirus transmission and zero poliomyelitis incidence. In order to achieve these goals, the most efficient manner to eradicate transmission of wild polioviruses is to maintain both high vaccine coverage and an adequate system of epidemiological (AFP) and laboratory (viral isolation) surveillance [2, 3, 15, 16].

Objectives

The primary objective of this study was to estimate the prevalence of immunity to poliomyelitis (anti-polio neutralizing antibodiesagainst serotypes 1, 2 and 3) in the city of São Paulo/Brazil, the second largest urban center of the Americas. In order to achieve this goal, a population-based survey was made by sampling a representative population. This kind of study is potentially extendible to the public health system as an auxiliary tool for supporting poliomyelitis eradication.

Material and Methods

This research was carried out in 1996/1997, with previous Ethics Committee approval granted by the Instituto de Infectologia Emílio Ribas - São Paulo/Brazil. Participation was voluntary and each participant or legal guardian signed a consent form, after being properly informed.

Sampling and Population. A quantitative design, with an inductive method of predicting statistical inferences, was applied, making use of a representative sample of the population of São Paulo city, Brazil. This sampling scheme was structured, based on official data on population distribution, according to sex, age and region (city districts) [17-19]. The population sample was drawn at random and stratified according to sex, age and residence region. It was co-conducted by the Datafolha Institute, a private polling research and statistics institute, with a residence-based interview (structured questionnaire) and blood collection.

The city districts were grouped into five geographical regions: North, South, East, West and Downtown. Sampling was carried out in two stages:

1. In the first stage, blocks previously classified into three different population levels - high, medium and low household density - were randomly drawn, giving the same draw probability for each household, based on the household density in each block. The region formed by blocks adjacent to the ones randomly drawn was denominated a "cluster".

2. In the second stage, households were randomly drawn within each block. The number of households per cluster was similar, since the proportion in relation to the population size had been taken into consideration.

Blocks and clusters were covered in a counter-clockwise and centrifugal direction. Home visits were always made at at every third residence, both in cases of refusal and of acceptance to participate. Whenever an individual in a given residence refused to take part in this study, he/she could only be replaced by another person with the same age and sex characteristics (from the third residence in the same block). In collective residences (i.e. Apartment buildings, condominiums, slums and alleys) a maximum of two homes were included. Only one individual per residence participated. The study population was restricted to individuals more than two years old, who had been living for more than two years in the city of São Paulo. Questionnaires were applied and blood samples were collected during visits to the homes. A system of quotas per age group was used, in order to guarantee a representative sampling of each age. One thousand and fifty nine (1,059) individuals were studied in the following age groups (in years): 2-4 (n=61), 5-9 (n=108), 10-14 (n=104), 15-17 (n=58), 18-29 (n=250), 30-39 (n=184), 40-49 (n=123), 50-59 (n=81) and 60 or more (n=90).

All questionnaires were allocated a code that also identified the respective blood sample, and the information obtained was kept in secret by the investigators. Five teams simultaneously conducted home visits from February 25 to May 5, 1996, during weekends and holidays, in order to provide a representative sample [20].

Specimen testing. Blood samples were collected in coded sterile tubes and kept in an ice-filled box until they were taken to the laboratory. Sera were separated and kept in a - 70°C freezer until testing, which was done at a central reference laboratory. A microneutralization test was performed to detect anti-polio antibodies against serotypes 1, 2 and 3. The method that was used is a standard procedure for measuring immunity to Poliovirus, described in the Manual of Laboratory Methods of the WHO Global Program for Vaccines and Immunization [21].

Briefly, sera were inactivated and twofold dilution ranges were made of samples in a test medium. After making the dilutions of the serum samples, equal amounts of diluted serum and challenge poliovirus [approximately 100 TCID50 - (50% tissue culture infective dose)] were mixed and incubated at 36°C in microtiter well plates. After the first incubation period, the cell substrate (Hep-2c) was added to the wells containing the serum-virus mixture. Then these mixtures were incubated at 36°C and observed for 5 days in order to determine (with a microscope) if there were cytopathic effects. A working reference serum with known poliovirus neutralizing capacity for all serotypes was tested in parallel to confirm the validity of the test. Titers of the positive sera did not vary more than twofold from their median titers and the negative serum did not show any degree of neutralization.

The serum antibody titer was the highest serum dilution that protected 50% of cultures against 100 TCID50 of challenge virus. An anti-polio (serotypes 1, 2, 3) antibody titer = 8, expressed as a reciprocal dilution, was considered positive, indicating immunity to poliomyelitis.

Statistical analysis. The estimated prevalence (p) was defined as the number of individuals immune to poliomyelitis for each poliovirus type (presence of anti-polio neutralizing antibodies to serotypes 1, 2 or 3) divided by the total sample size (n). Standard deviations (SD), standard errors (not indicated here, available on request) and 95% confidence interval (where 95%CI = were calculated, without considering losses. Error margins were limited to +/- 3% for every occasionally intervening variable. Losses were equal among groups and the population maintained its representativity.

The significances of the group comparisons within the same strata, were determined by univariate analysis, using a difference test between proportions (one way analysis of variance); P<0.05 were defined as the cut-off for statistical significance for a given comparison. A multivariate analysis was subsequently performed with a logistic regression model (SAS, version 8.01, SAS Institute Inc., North Carolina, USA), including the three stratification variables (age, sex and residence region). This analysis was used to determine significance (P<0.05) and Odds Ratio (OR) of each variable in the model, separately [22].

Results

Graph 1 shows the estimated prevalence of immunity to poliomyelitis in the general population of the city of São Paulo, Brazil. A high prevalence of anti-polio immunity was observed in this population, with 94.6% anti-polio 1, 98.8% anti-polio 2 and 91.9% anti-polio 3 immunity. Graph 2 shows the estimated prevalence of immunity to poliomyelitis for each age group; no age group had less than 84% estimated immunity prevalence.

Estimated prevalence of anti-polio 1 immunity. Univariate analysis showed a significantly lower prevalence of anti-polio 1 immunity among the male population (P = 0.002). Among the age groups, 100% of the children up to 6 years old (n = 88) were immune. Furthermore, individuals under 18 years old were more frequently immune than those 18 years or older (univariate analysis, P = 0.002) (Table 1a). Additionally, there was a a significant difference among the age groups <18, 18-49 and ³50 years-old (P<0.0001). A lower estimated prevalence of anti-polio 1 immunity was detected in the 18-49 age group (0.919, 95% CI = 0.896- 0.942)comparedto the <18 (0.981, 95%CI = 0.966 - 0.996) and to the ³50 (0.971, 95%CI = 0.946 - 0.996) age groups.

Multivariate analysis indicated significance for both age and sex, independently (P=0.003 for both), but not for residence region (P=0.716) (Table 1b). Furthermore, OR was 3.124 for the < 18 year-old age group in comparison with the ³18 year-old group, (95%CI = 1.457 - 6.697) and OR = 2.439 for females, in comparison with males (95%CI = 1.370 - 4.348) (Table 1c ).

Estimated prevalence of immunity anti-polio 2. There was no significant difference in anti-polio 2 immunity between males and females (univariate analysis). However there were significant differences among residence regions (P=0.029) (Table 2a); the lowest prevalence was in the North region. Among age groups, children up to 6 years old were 100% immune (n=88). Moreover, individuals under 18 years old were more frequently immune than those 18 years or older (P=0.011) (Table 2a).

Multivariate analysis was inadequate to evaluate any correlation for anti-polio 2 immunity, since this subgroup had the highest estimated immunity prevalence (98.8%) (Figure 1).


Estimated prevalence of anti-polio 3 immunity. There was no significant difference between male and female anti-polio 3 immunity prevalances. However, there was a significant difference among residence regions (P=0.001); the lowest prevalence was found in the South and Downtown regions (Table 3a). Among the age groups, children up to 6 years old were 100% immune(n = 87).

Residence region had a significant effect on anti-polio 3 immunity prevalence (P=0.002). The East, South and Downtown regions were significantly different (P=0.006, 0.018 and 0.047, respectively). No significant differences were found among the age and sex groups (Table 3b). The OR values for the East region compared to South and Downtown were 3.000 (95% CI = 1.627 - 5.533) and 3.544 (95% CI = 1.484 - 8.459), respectively (Table 3c).

Although the population was not stratified according to color/race, all racial groups had a high immunity prevalence and no significant differences among these groups were observed with univariate analysis. No further analysis was performed.

Discussion

Despite the important achievements worldwide in the polio eradication initiative, particularly the recent eradication of wild Poliovirus in the Western Pacific region and the apparent global interruption of wild Poliovirus type 2 transmission [10, 11], wild Poliovirus transmission is still a severe public health threat in various regions of the world, particularly in Africa and South-east Asia [10, 12-14]. The continued circulation of wild Poliovirus types 1 and 3 poses a reintroduction risk for any polio-free region [10]. Thus, it is fundamental that all countries keep up with polio eradication and control strategies, even in regions considered free of wild poliovirus transmission. Furthermore, various areas with low OPV coverage have documented the circulation of OPV-derived and recombinant Poliovirus, including alarming recent outbreaks in the Dominican Republic and Haiti [16, 23-25]. It is known that the key factor for controlling circulating OPV-derived viruses as well as wild polioviruses is achieving and maintaining high vaccination coverage, as recently reemphasized during the certification of poliomyelitis eradication in the Western Pacific Region [10, 16].As a result, it is of decisive importance to follow adequate control measures through high vaccination coverage and adequate surveillancein order to achieve the ultimate goals of the worldwide polio eradication program [2, 3, 15].

The aim of this study was to detect the prevalence of poliomyelitis immunity in a representative population in a major urban center (São Paulo, Brazil), considered free of wild Poliovirus transmission since 1994 [9]. Poliomyelitis immunity (serotypes 1, 2 and 3 anti-polio antibodies) was highly prevalent (>90%) in a representative population of São Paulo, Brazil, which is in accordance with the high vaccination coverage found for polio during a similar period in the country (96.3%), in São Paulo state (114.7%) and in the city (123.2%) [26]. Also, only two individuals out of 1,037 (0.2%) had no antibody response against any of the three polio types. None of the groups were below the threshold of 80% estimated prevalence of immunity to poliomyelitis.

However, there were some significant variations in immunity prevalence among groups within the same strata. There were significant differences in the prevalence of anti-polio 1 immunity between sexes, which was confirmed by multivariate analysis, with a lower estimated immunity prevalence among men (P = 0.003). The OR was = 2.439 (95%CI = 1.370 - 4.348) for females in comparison with males. Although significant, the actual meaning of this information is uncertain and our model failed to explain this fact. We cannot refute a bias in the sampling methodology. However, the possibility of a real difference between males and females in this population should be further investigated.

Significant differences in the estimated prevalence of anti-polio 2 and 3 immunities were found among residence regions, according to the univariate model (P=0.029 and 0.001, respectively).The validity of the multivariate model applied to anti-polio 2 immunity was inadequate, probably due to the very low prevalence of non-immune individuals in this subgroup. However, this does not seem to be relevant from a public health standpoint, since the immunity prevalence estimate was extremely high. The multivariate model applied to anti-polio 3 immunity indicated significant differences among residence regions (P=0.002). There were significant differences for the East, South and Downtown regions (P=0.006, 0.018 and 0.047, respectively). Additionally, the East region compared to South and Downtown gave OR values of 3,000 (95% CI = 1.627 - 5.533) and 3,544 (95% CI = 1.484 - 8.459), respectively (Table 3c). Though it is not possible to draw any conclusions from the comparisons of immunity prevalence among the various regions , East region residents were more frequently immune to Poliovirus type 3 than South and Downtown residents (OR 3.000 and 3.544, respectively). The North region had the lowest anti-polio 2 immunity prevalence, according to the univariate model. Immunity level differences between regions could have epidemiological significance because of pockets of poverty within distinct city areas [27], however the exact meaning of this finding is still uncertain and is not explained by our study. These data are not conclusive, since the areas we evaluated do not necessarily characterize regions with low immunity prevalence. Also, detailed epidemiological evaluation of poverty regions and socioeconomic level are necessary to allow an objective comparison among distinct geographical areas. Nevertheless, pockets of low vaccination coverage either in geographical areas (poverty zones) or population groups (minorities) have been described within regions with high general coverage [27, 28]. Since these findings might indicate areas with lower immunity prevalence in a resident population, further investigations should be made.

There were no significant differences among color/race stratification groups.

In our opinion, age stratification deserves a more detailed analysis, sincewe found significantly higher prevalence of anti-polio 1 and 2 immunity among individuals <18 years old, compared to individuals ³18years old (P = 0.002 and 0.011, respectively).Additionally, children under 6 years old had a 100% estimated immunity prevalence, which also is in accordance with the high vaccination coverage described [26]. Possibly this group made a strong contribution towards the general differences found for immunity prevalence among age groups. Also, another type of division of age groups (<18, 18-49 and ³50 years) indicated a lower estimated anti-polio 1 immunity prevalence in the 18-49 year-old group (0.919, 95% CI = 0.896-0.942), compared to the <18 and ³50 groups (P < 0.0001), possibly indicating a population with lower naturally acquired and vaccine immunities.Multivariate analysis (P = 0.003), confirmed a higher prevalence of anti-polio 1 immunity with OR = 3.124 (95%CI = 1.457 - 6.697) for the <18 year-old, compared with the ³18 year-old age group. Again, the validity of the multivariate analysis model was inadequate to evaluate any correlation for anti-polio 2 immunity, although as already stated, this does not seem to compromise the general results, since a very high estimated immunity level was observed for this subgroup. Even though support by multivariate analysis for age stratification was only observed for anti-polio 1 immunity, there seem to be sufficient significant findings evidencing differences among age groups. Although it is expected that a larger proportion of younger age groups would be exposed to vaccination campaigns, further investigations regarding age stratification and immunity appear to be necessary, especially among the 18-49 year-old population.

Estimated immunity prevalence against all Poliovirus serotypes was quite high and the data seem to reinforce the idea that the National Vaccination Program was quite successful in the city of São Paulo, Brazil. Excellent levels of protective antibodies were detected in the sera of this population in all age groups, indicating that natural and/or vaccine immunities persist for a long period of time. The Brazilian National Vaccination Program is based solely on OPV use through routine and National Immunization Days (NIDs). These data seem to support the conclusion that this strategy has been sufficient to maintain high levels of serological immunity for a long period, since no age group was below the threshold of 84% estimated immunity prevalence (Graph 2). Nevertheless, this observation is more relevant to the part of the population that is exposed to vaccination campaigns (routine and NIDs), i.e. The younger age groups. Our study could not precisely establish the impact of naturally acquired immunity on this population, but it is reasonable to assume that among the individuals that were not exposed to vaccination efforts, natural immunity, along with passive transfer of OPV virus, have been the primary modes of immunity acquisition [29, 30].

However, there may be lower immunity prevalence within certain groups facing specific conditions and/or with specific viral serotypes [28, 31-33]. These findings could justify further surveys of the National Immunization Program results. A control study of vaccination results would enable the identification of specific population deficiencies and could point out needs for booster vaccines among determined groups [28].

The methodology used was characterized by a sample stratified by sex, age groups and residence region, representative of a large population (9,626,894inhabitants of the city of São Paulo) [17]. This method was co-conducted by a private polling research and statistics institute and has previously been used in many public opinion polls with remarkable accuracy. This population-based sampling method was able to trace poliomyelitis immunity prevalence of an otherwise inaccessible group. Seroprevalence studies have been previously performed in other parts of the world and have proven their importance as a tool in polio eradication [28, 29, 34-36]. Estimation of poliomyelitis immunity prevalence made in a population-based survey could be used as an auxiliary tool for polio eradication programs. Areas close to achieving eradication, or where eradication has been recently achieved, might also benefit from this type of study as an orientation tool. However, further economic evaluations should be made to better establish the use of this method as a support for an eradication effort.Since we are closer to reaching polio eradication on a global scale [10], the development of auxiliary tools may help in evaluations of eradication results.

In conclusion, routine child immunization and NIDs with OPV have provided excellent levels of serologic immunity to poliomyelitis in the population of the city of São Paulo, Brazil, which has been exposed to an immunization program. As confirmed by stratification by age groups, antibodies persist for a long time irrespective of the mode of immunity acquisition. Despite the usefulness of insight into poliomyelitis immunity as an auxiliary tool for eradication, global eradication itself is the ultimate and only means of protecting any area against poliomyelitis.

Aknowledgements

The authors wish to thank Aventis-Pasteur/Brazil (former Pasteur-Merieux-Connaught) for the support given during study planning and development.

Received on 10 June 2002; revised 25 October 2002.

Manuscript Presented in part at: 1st Portuguese-Galician Congress, 5th National Congress, 1st Academic Meeting SÃo Paulo-Santiago de Compostela-Porto of Infectious Diseases. 15th to 19th October, 2000 (2nd prize award winner).

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  • Address to correspondence

    Dr. Carlos Roberto Veiga Kiffer
    Alameda dos Guaicanãs 984, Planalto Paulista
    São Paulo, Brazil, Zip Code: 04064-031
    Phone: +55 11 5585 3180 Fax: +55 11 5078 7041
    E-mail:
  • Publication Dates

    • Publication in this collection
      15 July 2003
    • Date of issue
      Oct 2002

    History

    • Reviewed
      25 Oct 2002
    • Received
      10 June 2002
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