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DEFINING MANAGEMENT ZONES BASED ON SOIL ATTRIBUTES AND SOYBEAN PRODUCTIVITY1 1 Paper extracted from the doctoral thesis of the first author, funded by Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel.

DEFINIÇÃO DE ZONAS DE MANEJOS A PARTIR DE ATRIBUTOS DO SOLO E PRODUTIVIDADE DE SOJA

ABSTRACT

Demarcating soil management zones can be useful, for instance, delimiting homogeneous areas and selecting attributes that are generally correlated with plant productivity, but doing so involves several different steps. The objective of this study was to identify the chemical and physical attributes of soil and soybean plants that explain crop productivity, in addition to suggesting and testing a methodological procedure for defining soil management zones. The procedure consisted of six steps: sample collection, data filtering, variable selection, interpolation, grouping, and evaluation of management zones. The samples were collected in an experimental area of 12.5 ha cultivated with soybean during the 2013/14 crop in Dystrophic Red Latosol, in Mato Grosso, Brazil. A total of 117 pairs of plant and soil samples were collected. Student’s t-test was used (α = 0.02) to verify that the number of samples was adequate for correlation analysis. Results showed that only the P and Mn content in the grains explained (based on R2 values) the variation in soybean grain productivity the area. Based on the interpolation of these contents by ordinary kriging, the fuzzy C-means algorithm was used to separate them into groups by similarity. Division into two groups was the best option, which could be differentiated by Mann-Whitney test (P < 0.05), resulting in a map with 10 management zones.

Keywords:
Glycine max L.; Direct seeding; Precision agriculture.

RESUMO

Zonas de manejo do solo são usadas, por exemplo, para delimitar áreas homogêneas, selecionando atributos que no geral correlacionam com a produtividade das plantas, mas, defini-las requer diferentes etapas. Objetivou-se neste trabalho identificar atributos químicos e físicos do solo e de plantas de soja que explicaram a produtividade de grãos da cultura e, também, sugerir e testar um procedimento metodológico para definir zonas de manejo do solo. O procedimento consistiu de seis etapas: coleta de amostras, filtragem dos dados, seleção das variáveis, interpolação, agrupamento e avaliação das zonas de manejo. As amostras foram coletadas em uma área experimental de 12,5 ha, cultivada com soja na safra 2013/14, em um Latossolo Vermelho Distrófico, em Mato Grosso, onde foram coletados 117 pares de amostras de plantas e de solo. Utilizando -se o teste de Student (α = 0,02), verificou-se que o número de amostras foi adequado para a análise de correlação. Entretanto, apenas os teores de P e Mn dos grãos explicaram (R2) a variação da produtividade de grãos de soja na área. Com base na interpolação destes teores por krigagem ordinária utilizou-se o algoritmo fuzzy C-means para separá-los em grupos por similaridade, em que a divisão em 2 grupos foi a melhor opção, que diferiram pelo teste de Mann-Whitney (P < 0,05), resultando em um mapa com 10 zonas de manejo.

Palavras-chave:
Glycine max L.; Plantio direto; Agricultura de precisão.

INTRODUCTION

Farmers in the state of Mato Grosso, Brazil are increasingly adopting precision agriculture techniques, such as variable rate fertilization using agricultural equipment with a global positioning system. However, care must be taken during automatic defining of management zones based on precision agriculture software, because according to Yamamoto and Landim (2013YAMAMOTO, J. K., LANDIM, P. M. B. Geoestatística: Conceitos e aplicações. São Paulo, SP: Oficina de Textos, 2013. 215 p.), instead of homogenizing soil fertility, it might increase its spatial variability.

Variable rate fertilization is useful to avoid underestimation or overestimation of limestone and fertilizer dosages. However, some issues might need attention, for example, (i) poorly performed field sampling could lead to errors in the interpretation of analysis results; therefore, no matter how sophisticated the laboratory analyses are, they would be unable to correct the shortcomings of inadequate data collection or sampling methods that do not effectively isolate the sources of variation (YAMAMOTO; LANDIM, 2013YAMAMOTO, J. K., LANDIM, P. M. B. Geoestatística: Conceitos e aplicações. São Paulo, SP: Oficina de Textos, 2013. 215 p.; FU et al., 2016FU, W. et al. Outlier identification of soil phosphorus and its implication for spatial structure modeling. Precision Agriculture , Dayton, v. 17, n.17, p. 121-135, 2016.); (ii) during geostatistical analysis, the ideal quantity of samples needed for routine analysis vs. the number judged by the farmer as economically viable for sending to the laboratory might differ, and therefore, the veracity of the georeferenced maps could be compromised (TEY; BRINDAL, 2012TEY, Y. S.; BRINDAL, M. Factors influencing the adoption of precision agricultural technologies: a review for policy implications. Precision Agriculture , Dayton, v. 13, n. 6, p. 713-730, 2012.; YAMAMOTO; LANDIM, 2013); and (iii) even if the sampling is representative and judicious, there could be other problems related to the initial diagnosis of errors and methodical statistical processing of raw data (HAIR JR. et al., 2009HAIR JR., J. F. et al. Análise Multivariada de Dados. 6. ed. Porto Alegre, RS: Bookman, 2009. 688 p.; TAYLOR; BATES, 2013TAYLOR, J. A.; BATES, T. R. A discussion on the significance associated with Pearson’s correlation in precision agriculture studies. Precision Agriculture , Dayton, v. 14, n. 5, p. 558-564, 2013.; FU et al., 2016). Thus, factors that can affect the quality of maps processed without minimum criteria with respect to statistical analysis and geostatistics should be kept in mind.

Another issue concerns the costs involved in sampling schemes and soil and plant analyses, which were questioned by farmers in Mato Grosso with respect to their practical and economic viability. Defining management zones requires various steps, from data collection to map evaluation, based on which the cultivation area is divided into subareas that have homogeneity with respect to the evaluated attributes (RODRIGUES; CORÁ; FERNANDES, 2012RODRIGUES, M. S.; CORÁ, J. E.; FERNANDES, C. Spatial relationships between soil attributes and corn yield in no-tillage system. Revista Brasileira de Ciência do Solo, Viçosa, v. 36, n. 2, p. 599-609,2012.; ALVES et al., 2013ALVES, S. M. et al. Definição de zonas de manejo a partir de mapas de condutividade elétrica e matéria orgânica. Bioscience Journal, Uberlândia, v. 29, n.1, p. 104-114, 2013.; FARID et al., 2013FARID, H. U. et al. Evaluation of Management Zones for Site-Specific Application of Crop Inputs. Pakistan Journal of Life and Social Sciences, Multan, v. 11, n. 1, p. 29-35, 2013.; DALCHIAVON et al., 2013DALCHIAVON, F. C. et al. Produtividade da cana-de-açúcar e definição de zonas específicas de manejo do solo. Semina: Ciências Agrárias, Londrina, v. 34, n. 5, p. 2077-2088, 2013.; BAZZI et al., 2015BAZZI, C. L. et al. Zonas de manejo aplicadas à cultura do milho. Revista de Engenharia e Tecnologia, Ponta Grossa, v. 7, n. 7, p. 87-99, 2015.; SANTOS et al., 2015SANTOS, R. T.; SARAIVA, A. M. A Reference Process for Management Zones Delineation in Precision Agriculture. Revista IEEE América Latina, v. 13, n. 3, p. 727-738, 2015.; SANTOS; SARAIVA, 2015). This allows the application of inputs at appropriate rates for improving the productivity of a crop (BREDEMEIER et al., 2013BREDEMEIER, C. et al. Estimativa do potencial produtivo em trigo utilizando sensor óptico ativo para adubação nitrogenada em taxa variável. Ciência Rural, Santa Maria, v. 43, n. 7, p. 1147-1154, 2013.; BAGHERI et al., 2013BAGHERI, N. et al. Multispectral remote sensing for site-specific nitrogen fertilizer management. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, Brasília, v. 48, n. 10, p. 1394-1401, 2013.; COSTA et al., 2014COSTA, N. R. et al. Produtividade de laranja correlacionada com atributos químicos do solo visando a zonas específicas de manejo. Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical, Goiânia, v. 44, n. 4, p.391-398, 2014.). However, it is common to see variations in sampling methods, laboratory analyses, statistics, and geostatistics, irrespective of their correlation with plant productivity (ALVES et al. 2013; BREDEMEIER et al., 2013; URRETAVIZCAYA et al., 2014URRETAVIZCAYA, I. et al. Oenological significance of vineyard management zones delineated using early grape sampling. Precision Agriculture , Cham, v. 15, n. 1, p. 111-129, 2014.).

Because of variations in the stages of analysis for defining management zones and considering the reference processes proposed by Santos and Saraiva (2015SANTOS, R. T.; SARAIVA, A. M. A Reference Process for Management Zones Delineation in Precision Agriculture. Revista IEEE América Latina, v. 13, n. 3, p. 727-738, 2015.), it can be assumed that formalization of a general support model is possible, that is, a flowchart to assist in the definition of soil management zones.

This flowchart is initially intended to represent the essential basic steps for defining management zones, considering only the variables controllable by the farmer, which relate to the productivity of the plants. The objective of this work was to identify chemical and physical attributes of soil and soybean plants that explain the grain productivity of the crop, and to suggest and test a methodological support procedure to define soil management zones.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Location description

This study was carried out on a farm in the city of Diamantino-MT, Brazil (latitude 14° 07′ 40′′ S, longitude 56° 58′ 39′′ W), at an altitude of 539 m. The climate of the region is Aw according the classification of Köppen. The average annual precipitation is 1816.9 mm. The average annual temperature is 25.5 °C. The soil of the experimental unit was classified as typical Dystrophic Red Latosol, moderate A, very clayey texture, semi-deciduous tropical forest and flat relief (SANTOS et al., 2013SANTOS, H. G. et al. Sistema Brasileira de Classificação do solo. 3. ed. Brasília, DF: Embrapa Solos, 2013. 353 p.).

In 1987, the native vegetation was cleared and rice was sown in the 1987/88 crop. From 1989/90 until the 1999/2000 crop, soybean and corn were grown in succession, with fertilizers applied in the seeding row. From 2000/01 until the 2003/04 crop, cotton was grown. From 2004/05 to the 2013/14 crop, soybean and corn were grown in succession, without ploughing the soil, with limestone and fertilizers applied by broadcasting. For the present study, in the 2013/14 crop, the soybean crop was evaluated (Glycine max L.). On an experimental unit of approximately 12.5 ha of a 55-ha-plot, cultivar MONSOY 7639 RR was cultivated with a spacing of 0.45 m between rows and an average of 15 plants m-1. The sowing was done on October 23, 2013 and harvest on February 5, 2014.

To create management zones, the analyses were divided into six general steps: sample collection, data filtering, variable selection, interpolation, grouping, and evaluation of management zones. With this information, a flowchart was created, showing the steps and subprocesses (Figure 1).

Figure 1
Support model for defining management zones.

Sample collection

Soil and plant sampling was of the irregular mesh type, because of deviations of the contour lines of the culture, totaling 117 collection points. According to Yamamoto and Landin (2013YAMAMOTO, J. K., LANDIM, P. M. B. Geoestatística: Conceitos e aplicações. São Paulo, SP: Oficina de Textos, 2013. 215 p.), a minimum of 100 observations is recommended. The collection areas were georeferenced with maximum horizontal and vertical error of 0.05 m using a global positioning apparatus (brand Topcon Hiper®, Pro model).

The choice of attributes for the analyzed soil and plants, which are discussed below, was based on factors related to plant productivity (RODRIGUES; CORÁ; FERNANDES, 2012RODRIGUES, M. S.; CORÁ, J. E.; FERNANDES, C. Spatial relationships between soil attributes and corn yield in no-tillage system. Revista Brasileira de Ciência do Solo, Viçosa, v. 36, n. 2, p. 599-609,2012.; ALVES et al., 2013ALVES, S. M. et al. Definição de zonas de manejo a partir de mapas de condutividade elétrica e matéria orgânica. Bioscience Journal, Uberlândia, v. 29, n.1, p. 104-114, 2013.; COSTA et al., 2014COSTA, N. R. et al. Produtividade de laranja correlacionada com atributos químicos do solo visando a zonas específicas de manejo. Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical, Goiânia, v. 44, n. 4, p.391-398, 2014.; BAZZI et al., 2015BAZZI, C. L. et al. Zonas de manejo aplicadas à cultura do milho. Revista de Engenharia e Tecnologia, Ponta Grossa, v. 7, n. 7, p. 87-99, 2015.). Disturbed and undisturbed soil samples were collected, along with samples of plants during the phenological cycle of the crop. At R7.2 stage of the crop, taking into account the area explored by soybean roots, disturbed soil samples were collected from the 0 to 0.20 m layer, using a Dutch auger with a 0.20 m bucket, to determine the following attributes: sand, silt, and clay contents, using the pipette method (DONAGEMA et al., 2011DONAGEMA, G. K. et al. Manual de Métodos de Análise de Solo. 2. ed. Rio de Janeiro, RJ: Embrapa Solos, 2011. 230 p.), soil organic matter content, using the method of oxidation with potassium dichromate and colorimetric determination, pH in 0.01 M CaCl2 in 1:2.5 proportion (soil:CaCl2) exchangeable P and K, extracted with solution of 0.05 M HCl and 0.025 M H2SO4 (Mehlich I), exchangeable Ca, Mg, and Al, extracted with 1 M KCl solution, and H and Al, extracted with calcium acetate solution at pH 7 (SILVA, 2009SILVA, F. C. Manual de análises químicas de solos, plantas e fertilizantes. 2. ed. Brasília, DF: Embrapa Informação Tecnológica, 2009. 627 p.).

Undisturbed soil samples were collected using a kopeck sampler to insert steel cylinders (50 mm in diameter and 50 mm in height) into the intermediate portion of 0 to 0.10 and 0.10 to 0.20 m layers to obtain average values for 0 to 0.20 m layer. A flat auger was used to level and control the sampling depth. The microporosity was determined in the laboratory with the aid of a tension table at 10 kPa, in addition to soil density, total porosity of the soil using particle density of each sampling point, and soil macroporosity using the difference between total porosity and microporosity (DONAGEMA et al., 2011DONAGEMA, G. K. et al. Manual de Métodos de Análise de Solo. 2. ed. Rio de Janeiro, RJ: Embrapa Solos, 2011. 230 p.).

Finally, soybean grain productivity (kg ha-1) at the R8 stage was estimated by harvesting 4 m of plants at each sampling point and correcting the grain moisture values to 14%. In the grain samples, the N content were determined by acid digestion, distillation, and titration (Kjeldahl method), in addition to P, K, Ca, Mg, S, Zn, Cu, Fe, Mn, and B concentrations, through simultaneous determination of multi-elements by atomic emission spectrometry with plasma induction (EEA-ICP) (SILVA, 2009SILVA, F. C. Manual de análises químicas de solos, plantas e fertilizantes. 2. ed. Brasília, DF: Embrapa Informação Tecnológica, 2009. 627 p.).

Data Filtering

The measured variables were transformed into standardized scores (Z), such that scores greater than 3 and less than -3 were indicative of outliers (HAIR JR. et al., 2009HAIR JR., J. F. et al. Análise Multivariada de Dados. 6. ed. Porto Alegre, RS: Bookman, 2009. 688 p.). To confirm the normality of the data, Shapiro-Wilk test was used (α = 0.05) before and after the removal of possible outliers, following Hair Jr. et al. (2009).

Variable selection

The statistical assumptions inherent to the analyses of statistical correlation and linear regression (adequacy of sample size, linearity, homoscedasticity, and residual normality) were verified, following Hair Jr. et al. (2009).

The adequacy of the sample size was calculated according to the protocol of Hair Jr. et al. (2009), using the Student’s t distribution table at 2% error probability. Next, the independent variables were verified to determine the ones that explain the dependent variable, grain productivity (kg ha-1). For this, best subset regression analysis was done in Sigma Plot version 12.5, which avoids the occurrence of collinearity. The criteria used to select the best multiple linear regression model, following Hair Jr. et al. (2009), were variance inflation factor (VIFi), adjusted coefficient of determination (R2 Aj.), and beta coefficient (β).

The accuracy of the multiple linear regression analysis, following Hair Jr. et al. (2009), was evaluated by the significance level of the fit using F-test (α = 0.05), regression coefficient (R²), and standard error of the estimate. The homoscedasticity was evaluated by Spearman rank correlation (P > 0.05). The residual normality was evaluated using Shapiro-Wilk test (P > 0.05) in Sigma Plot version 12.5.

Interpolation

The modeled semivariograms were verified as isotropic using the software Gamma Design version 10.0, with the data interpolated, following Yamamoto and Landin (2013YAMAMOTO, J. K., LANDIM, P. M. B. Geoestatística: Conceitos e aplicações. São Paulo, SP: Oficina de Textos, 2013. 215 p.), through ordinary kriging in 2 m × 2 m blocks. Cross-validation was done using linear regression analysis (P < 0.05) to validate the interpolation. After the cross validation was accepted, the interpolations were done using a pixel size of 1 m × 1 m for the X and Y coordinates and with the same contour polygon. According to Alves et al. (2013ALVES, S. M. et al. Definição de zonas de manejo a partir de mapas de condutividade elétrica e matéria orgânica. Bioscience Journal, Uberlândia, v. 29, n.1, p. 104-114, 2013.), this standardization ensures that all generated maps have the same number of pixels, allowing them to overlap.

Data grouping

The fuzzy C-means algorithm was used to combine the interpolated values, and then they were separated into groups by similarity based on Euclidean distance (FU; WANG; JIANG, 2010FU, Q.; WANG, Z.; JIANG, Q. Delineating soil nutrient management zones based on fuzzy clustering optimized by PSO. Mathematical and Computer Modelling, Lisse, v. 51, n. 11, p. 1299-1305, 2010.; RODRIGUES JUNIOR et al., 2011RODRIGUES JUNIOR, F. A. et al. Geração de zonas de manejo para cafeicultura empregando-se sensor SPAD e análise foliar. Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental , Campina Grande, v. 15, n. 8, p. 778-787, 2011.; DAVATGAR; NEISHABOURI; SEPASKHAH, 2012DAVATGAR, N.; NEISHABOURI, M. R.; SEPASKHAH, A. R. Delineation of site specific nutrient management zones for a paddy cultivated area based on soil fertility using fuzzy clustering. Geoderma, New South Wales, v. 173, n. 1, p.111-118, 2012.). The values were standardized to the interval [0, 1], so that all the sampled values had the same scale of magnitude, defining in 100 the maximum number of interactions and in 1.3 the degree of ‘fuzzification’. The software R (The R Project for Statistical Computing) and the e1071 package (MEYER et al., 2015MEYER, A. D. et al. C. e1071: Misc Functions of the Department of Statistics, Probability Theory Group (Formerly: E1071). R package version 1.6-7, TU Wien: Vienna, 2015.) were used for this purpose. Maps were generated with group numbers 2 through 6.

To determine the most appropriate number of groups, the Fuzzy Performance Index (FPI) and Normalized classification entropy (NCE) were used, which should converge to minimum values corresponding to the same class (FRIDGEN et al., 2004FRIDGEN, J. J. et al. Management zone analyst (MZA): software for subfield management zone delineation. Agronomy Journal, Columbia, v. 96, n.1, p. 100-108, 2004.). The indices available in the fclustindex function of the e1071 package were also used: fuzzy hypervolume (Fhv), xie beni (Xb), partition entropy (Pe), where the lowest value indicates the best division or most similarity among the groups, and the average partition density (Apd) and partition density (Pd) indices, where the best division corresponds to the highest value (MEYER et al., 2015MEYER, A. D. et al. C. e1071: Misc Functions of the Department of Statistics, Probability Theory Group (Formerly: E1071). R package version 1.6-7, TU Wien: Vienna, 2015.). Additionally, the cluster validation index (CVI) was used, where the smallest value indicates the best division (SCHENATTO et al., 2016SCHENATTO, K. et al. Data interpolation in the definition of management zones. Acta Scientiarum Technology, Maringá, v. 38, n. 1, p. 31-40, 2016.).

Evaluation of management zones

To compare the values of the management zones, Hair Jr. et al. 2009 suggested that in case of observed unpaired values with a normal distribution, Student’s t-test should be used to compare the average values. Otherwise, in the absence of normality, the Mann-Whitney nonparametric test should be used to compare the average values, or the Kruskal-Wallis test, which is an extension of the Wilcoxon-Whitney test, for comparing three or more groups of unpaired values that do not meet the requirements for the analysis of variance (α = 0.05) (HAIR JR. et al., 2009HAIR JR., J. F. et al. Análise Multivariada de Dados. 6. ed. Porto Alegre, RS: Bookman, 2009. 688 p.). Therefore, the present study used the Mann-Whitney test.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

After the removal of discrepant data, the chemical and physical attributes of the soil (Table 1) and plants (Table 2) met the statistical requirements of normal distribution and sample adequacy. Therefore, after removing the outliers, of the initial 117 paired values, there were n = 113 collected samples, representative of the population of interest. This is important according to Hair Jr. et al. (2009), because a low sample size might not be sufficient to obtain a significant correlation between the analyzed attributes.

Table 1
Descriptive statistics for the analyzed attributes of soil.

Table 2
Descriptive statistics for the analyzed attributes of soybean grains.

From the analyzed attributes of the soil (Table 1) and plants (Table 2) for the 113 samples, the grain productivity was found to be significantly correlated with the P and Mn content in the soybean grains. There was a positive correlation with the P content (r = 0.35; P < 0.01) and a negative correlation with the Mn content (r = - 0.33; P < 0.01). Therefore, during multiple regression analysis with the P and Mn contents of the grains, it was verified that soybean grain productivity was explained in 19%, based on the coefficient of determination and with a standard error of estimate of only 4.7 kg ha-1 (Table 3).

Table 3
Results of multiple linear regression analysis between phosphorus and manganese content in the soybean grains and soybean grain productivity.

Therefore, P and Mn contents of the grains were the only attributes used to define the management zones in the present study. Dalchiavon et al. (2013DALCHIAVON, F. C. et al. Produtividade da cana-de-açúcar e definição de zonas específicas de manejo do solo. Semina: Ciências Agrárias, Londrina, v. 34, n. 5, p. 2077-2088, 2013.), Costa et al. (2014COSTA, N. R. et al. Produtividade de laranja correlacionada com atributos químicos do solo visando a zonas específicas de manejo. Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical, Goiânia, v. 44, n. 4, p.391-398, 2014.), and Bazzi et al. (2015BAZZI, C. L. et al. Zonas de manejo aplicadas à cultura do milho. Revista de Engenharia e Tecnologia, Ponta Grossa, v. 7, n. 7, p. 87-99, 2015.) also used only those attributes that showed significant correlation with crop productivity. As for the positive correlation between the grain P content and grain productivity, since the phosphate fertilization was applied by broadcasting from 2004/05 until 2013/14, according to Barbosa et al. (2015BARBOSA, N. C. et al. Distribuição vertical do fósforo no solo em função dos modos de aplicação. Bioscience Journal , Uberlândia, v. 31, n. 1, p.87-95, 2015.), a deficiency in P absorption by the plants could be occurring, since it concentrates on the soil surface. As a result, the availability of P has decreased in the soil to the extent that the correlation between its soil content and grain content is significant. This indicates that for producing more grains, it is necessary to correct this low availability of P. In the case of the observed negative correlation for Mn, a high availability of this element in the soil could be an explanation, as described by Millaleo et al. (2010MILLALEO, R. et al. Manganese as Essential and Toxic Element for Plants: Transport, Accumulation and Resistance Mechanisms. Journal of Soil Science and Plant Nutritio, Temuco, v. 10, n. 10, p.476-494, 2010.). The excess water in the soil that can transform Fe and Mn into soluble chemical forms that accumulate in the plant biomass, reaching toxic levels. When the plants absorb greater-than-adequate concentrations of Mn, it causes a reduction in grain productivity.

While analyzing the variability in the grain P content, a degree of spatial dependence of approximately 62% was observed, because of the nugget effect, and this variance was not explained by the geostatistical model. As for the variability in the grain Mn content, a high degree of spatial dependence of approximately 95% was observed and, therefore, there was little evidence for the nugget effect (Table 4).

Table 4
Results of the semivariogram adjustment of the P and Mn content in soybean grains.

It was observed that the distance (A), on which the points were spatially dependent, was higher for the grain P content, although with a degree of spatial dependence lower than the grain Mn content (C/Co+C = 0.955) (Table 4). According to Salviano, Vieira, and Sparovek (1998SALVIANO, A. A. C.; VIEIRA, S. R.; SPAROVEK, G. Variabilidade espacial de atributos de solo e de Crotalaria juncea L. em área severamente erodida. Revista Brasileira de Ciência do Solo , Viçosa, v. 22, n. 1, p. 115-122, 1998.), this suggests that the samples in the case of P content should have been taken at even shorter distances to reduce the nugget effect, in contrast to the Mn content. Next, cross-validation analysis of the observed data versus the data estimated by kriging was done (Table 5).

Table 5
Results of the cross-validation analysis using linear regression.

Studies that contain cross validation information are rare, but cross validation is essential to evaluate the interpolation capacity of the model (ALVES; VECCHIA, 2011ALVES, E. D. L.; VECCHIA, F. A. S. Análise de diferentes métodos de interpolação para a precipitação pluvial no Estado de Goiás. Acta Scientiarum, Maringá, v. 33, n. 2, p. 193-197, 2011.; COSTA et al. 2014COSTA, N. R. et al. Produtividade de laranja correlacionada com atributos químicos do solo visando a zonas específicas de manejo. Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical, Goiânia, v. 44, n. 4, p.391-398, 2014.; BOTTEGA et al., 2014BOTTEGA, E. L. et al. Sampling grid density and lime recommendation in an Oxisol. Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental, Campina Grande, v. 18, n. 11, p. 1142-1148, 2014.). Therefore, from the Kriging cross-validation of the observed data for grain P content, an intermediate explanation of variance was obtained (R2 ≈ 0.5), and for the grain Mn content, a low explanation was obtained (R2 ≈ 0.14), both with a low estimation error. According to Yamamoto and Landin (2013YAMAMOTO, J. K., LANDIM, P. M. B. Geoestatística: Conceitos e aplicações. São Paulo, SP: Oficina de Textos, 2013. 215 p.), the explanation of cross-validation depends on the quantity and variability of the data. Thus, in the present study, since the linear regressions were significant (P < 0.05), the cross validations were accepted and the observed data were interpolated.

Subsequently, based on the interpolated data for the P and Mn content in grains, the fuzzy C-means algorithm was used to group the data by similarity. However, since the FPI and NCE indices did not converge to the same number of groups, we decided to independently analyze each of the indices used, choosing the map indicated by most indices. This way, most of the indices described in the methods (NCE, Fhv, Apd, Pd, Xb, Pc, Pe, and VCI), which were used to define the appropriate number of groups, indicated that division into two groups was the best option; only the FPI indicated three groups as the best division (Table 6).

Table 6
Calculated indices for different groups of management zones.

As the number of groups increases, the management zones become more irregular, and if they present a small area, management might be unfeasible due to technical and economic limitations. Therefore, the final decision depends on the adequacy indices and results of successive tests of averages, as the number of data groups generated by the fuzzy C-means algorithm increases arbitrarily. In the present study, the division into two groups or interval classes of similar values resulted in a map with 10 management zones (Figure 2).

Figure 2
Management zones defined on the basis of interpolated and combined data for the P and Mn content in soybean grains, using the fuzzy C-means algorithm.

According to Taylor, Mcbratney, and Whelan (2007TAYLOR, J. A.; MCBRATNEY, A. B.; WHELAN, B. M. Establishing management classes for broadacre agricultural production. Agronomy Journal , Columbia, v. 99, n. 5, p. 1366-1376, 2007.), a management zone is a spatially continuous area, in which a particular treatment can be applied. Therefore, management zones are understood as the number of continuous subareas delimited within the experimental unit, which were ten in numbers in the present study. However, a given color indicates a class or group requiring the same treatment, within a range of values, which are the grouped contents of P and Mn of the grains, that is, group 1 (green color) and group 2 (red color). The two groups that resulted in 10 management zones showed a significant difference in their median values, by Mann-Whitney test (P < 0.05) (Table 7). Thus, two groups or class intervals of distinct values were obtained, totaling ten management zones or homogeneous subareas in the study area.

Table 7
Comparison of the P and Mn content in soybean grains between the two data groups, which defined 10 management zones.

Regarding the implications of the obtained results, there are some caveats. According to Table 3, grain productivity was affected by 19%, because of the spatial variability of P and Mn content in soybean grains. According to Table 7, comparing groups 1 and 2 indicated an average difference of 0.44 g kg-1 for P and of 0.271 g kg-1 for Mn. If an average 3500 kg of soybeans per hectare are harvested, 19% of that is 665 kg. In other words, if a 60 kg sack of soybeans is sold at R$ 65.00, 665 kg equal a loss of 665/60 = 11.08 sacks or 11.08 × R$ 65.00, which means a difference of R$ 720.00 between groups 1 and 2 (Figure 2) . Based on such an analysis, it can be inferred whether the economic gain from the correction of management zones is viable or not. Therefore, it is important to evaluate the costs of inputs and application with respect to the profitability of the production sale. According to Caires, Wuddivira, and Bekele (2015CAIRES, S. A.; WUDDIVIRA, M. N.; BEKELE, I. Spatial analysis for management zone delineation in a humid tropic cocoa plantation. Precision Agriculture, Dayton, v. 16, n. 2, p.12-147, 2015.), it is necessary to judge and consider the cost-benefit ratio, environmental sustainability, and expenditures with corrective operations in the field.

CONCLUSIONS

If the availability of phosphorus in the soil for the plants decreases, the correlation of grain P content with crop productivity is positive. Thus, a way of increasing productivity is to improve P availability, suggesting that phosphate fertilization by broadcasting is not adequate to supply P to the plant. If the availability of Mn in the soil for the plants increases, the correlation of grain Mn content with crop productivity is negative. Therefore, a way to increase productivity is to decrease the availability of this element, suggesting that the increase in macropores and biopores induced by management might increase soil drainage during heavy rains or under prolonged periods of rainfall.

The best subset regression analysis is recommended to determine the best attributes that need to be combined in a multiple linear regression analysis to explain the productivity of a crop.

The suggested steps for defining soil management zones are simple and useful as a guide, as it considers only the attributes that correlate with plant productivity. Further investigation is recommended in order to formalize a general support model for the definition of management zones, considering possible variations in the flowchart used in this study.

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  • 1
    Paper extracted from the doctoral thesis of the first author, funded by Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel.

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    Apr-Jun 2017

History

  • Received
    30 Apr 2016
  • Accepted
    28 Nov 2016
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