Modelo de quatro etapas aplicado ao planejamento de transporte de carga

Souza, Cristiane Duarte Ribeiro de; D'Agosto, Márcio de Almeida

Resumos

Este artigo tem como objetivo analisar estudos de planejamento de transporte de carga que utilizam o modelo de quatro etapas, ferramenta capaz de estimar o fluxo de tráfego interzonal, considerando a geração e distribuição de viagens, a escolha modal e a alocação de fluxo, destacando sua abrangência e utilidade em apoiar o desenvolvimento socioeconômico do país. Foi realizada revisão bibliográfica em periódicos indexados, teses, dissertações e relatórios técnicos, selecionando-se 44 trabalhos com destacando para 7 trabalhos que enfocam o modelo de quatro etapas integralmente. Verificou-se que este modelo é versátil, pode ser empregado de forma integral ou parcial, considerando fluxos de unidade de massa ou de veículos, no caso destes últimos diretamente aplicáveis ao dimensionamento de infraestrutura de tráfego, em todos os níveis de abrangência geográfica (de municípios a países), sem limitação do tipo de carga que pode ser transportada por qualquer dos cinco modos de transporte ou suas combinações, configurando ferramenta de planejamento estratégico e apoio ao desenvolvimento socioeconômico do país.

planejamento; transporte de carga; modelo de quatro etapas

This paper aims to analyze existing studies on freight transport planning that use the four step model, a tool that estimates inter-zonal traffic flows considering trip generation and distribution, modal choice and flow allocation; highlighting its comprehensiveness and usefulness in supporting the country's socioeconomic development. A literature review was performed in indexed journals, theses, dissertations and technical reports, selecting 44 papers and highlighting 7 papers that fully focus on the four step model. It was verified that this model is versatile and can be used in full or partially; considering mass or vehicle flows, the latter being directly applicable to the design of traffic infrastructure; at all levels of geographical coverage (from municipalities to countries); and without limitations on the type of freight that can be transported by any of the five modes of transport or their combinations. Therefore, this model is a strategic planning tool and a support for the socioeconomic development of the country.

planning; freight transportation; four-step model

Abdelwahab, W. M. (1998) Elasticities of mode choice probabilities and market elasticities of demand: evidence from a simultaneous mode choice/shipment-size freight transport model. Transportation Research Part E, vol. 34, n. 4, pp. 257-266.
Adler, H. A. (1978) Avaliação econômica dos projetos de transporte: metodologia e exemplos. Livros Técnicos e Científicos, RJ.
Allen, W. G. (2002) Development of truck models
Anderson, M. D. (1994) Manual of transportation engineering studies Englewood Cliffs: Prentice Hall.
Arnold, P., Peeters, D. e Thomas, I. (2004) Modelling a rail/road intermodal transportation system. Transportation Research Part E, vol. 40, pp. 255-270.
Ballou, R. H. (2001) Gerenciamento da Cadeia de Suprimentos: Planejamento, Organização e Logística Empresarial Trad. Elias Pereira, 4a. ed. Porto Alegre: Bookman.
Beuthe, M., Jourquina, B. Geertsc, J. F., Ha, C. K. (2001) Freight transportation demand elasticities: a geographic multimodal transportation network analysis. Transportation Research Part E, vol. 37, n. 4, pp. 253-266.
Black, W. R. (1999) Commodity flow modeling. Transportation Research Board, n. E-C011.
Broga, J. J., Brich, S. C. e Demetsky, M. J. (2001) Application of a statewide intermodal freight planning methodology.
California Environmental Protection Agency e Business -CEPA (2007) Goods movement action plan
Caris, A., Macharis, C. e Janssens, G., K. (2008) Planning problems in intermodal freight transport: accomplishments and prospects - Transportation Planning and Technology, vol. 31, pp. 277-302.
Celik, H. M. e Guldmann, J-M. (2002) Spatial interaction modeling of interregional commodity flows. 42nd European Congress of the Regional Science Association, Dortmund.
Center for Urban Transportation Studies -CETU (1999) Guidebook on statewide travel forecasting University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee.
Combes, F. e Leurent, F. (2007) Advances in freight transport demand modeling: an assessment with research perspectives, European Transport Conference.
Crainic, P. e Laporte, G. (1997) Planning models for freight transportation. European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 97, n. 3, pp.409 -438.
D'Este, G. (1996) As event-based approach to modeling intermodal freight system. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, vol. 26, n. 6, pp. 4-15.
Federal Highway Administration -FHA, (1999) Guidebook on statewide travel forecasting Center for Urban Transportation Studies, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee.
Garrido, R. A. e Mahmassani, H. S. (1999) Forecasting freight transportation demand with the spacetime multinomial probit model - Transportation Research Part B, vol. 34, pp.403-418.
Harker, P. T. (1985) The state of art in the predictive analysis of freight transport system. Transport Reviews, vol. 5, pp. 143-164.
Hoeguin-Veras, J., Thorson, E. (2000) Trip length distributions in commodity-based and trip-based freight demand modeling-investigations of relationships. Transportation Research Board, n. 1707, pp. 37-48.
Ichihara, S. M. (2007) O impacto do crescimento econômico sobre as rodovias de São Paulo: uma aplicação do modelo de insumo-produto combinado ao geoprocessamento. Revista Economia, vol. 8, n. 4, pp. 199-231.
Janic, M. (2007) Modelling the full costs of an intermodal and road freight transport network. Transportation Research Part D, vol. 12, n. 1, pp. 33-44.
Jiang, F., Johnson, P. e Calzada, C. (1999) Freight demand characteristics and mode choice: an analysis of the results of modeling with disaggregate revealed preference data. Journal of Transportation and Statistics, vol. 2, n. 2, pp. 149-158.
Jong, G., Gunn, H. e Ben-Akiva, M. (2004) A meta-model for passenger and freight transport in Europe. Transport Policy, vol. 11, pp. 324-344.
Kanashiro, K. (2003) Um novo olhar para o planejamento de transportes no Brasil Sindicato dos Terminais Marítimos do Rio Grande do Sul. Disponível em www.sintermar.com.br
Kawamura, K., Chandler, D., West, N. e Benedict, A. (2006) Development and testing of model planning process for freight oriented development. Urban Planning International, vol. 4.
Kenneth, E. P., Johnson, T., Gilles, J., Fulcher, C., Wilson-Orndoff, C. (2003) Benefits of highway improvements on rural communities in Missouri: economic development considerations - Missouri Department of Transportation - Technical Report
Kveiborg, O. e Fosgerau, M. (2006) Decomposing the decoupling of Danish road freight traffic growth and economic growth. Transport Policy, vol. 14, pp. 39-48.
Loureiro, K. D. (2010). Uso de contagens volumétricas na estimativa de matrizes de origem-destino de veículos leves em redes interurbanas. Tese (Doutorado) -Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Florianópolis.
Macharis, C. e Bontekoning, Y. M. (2004). Opportunities for OR in intermodal freight transport research: a review. European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 153, pp. 400-416.
Magalhães, S. L. M. (2008) Planejamento de transporte de um aglomerado urbano com intermodalidade por meio de transportes integrados. Tese (Doutorado em Engenharia de Transportes), Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro.
Makridakis, S., Wheelwrigt, S. e Hyndman, R. J. Forecasting Methods and Applications, 3a ed. Hoboken: Wiley.
Malchow, M. B. e Kanafani, A. (2004) A disaggregate analysis of port selection. Transportation Research Part E, vol. 40, pp. 317-337.
Marins, F. A. S. (2011) Técnicas de previsão de demanda. Material de aula. Universidade Estadual Paulista
Marra, C. (1999) Caracterização de demanda de movimentações urbanas de carga. Dissertação de Mestrado em Engenharia Civil, Universidade Estadual de Campinas, SP.
Menezes, U. R. (1971) Introdução ao planejamento de transportes urbano. Recife.
Miller, J. S., Hoel, L. A., Dalton, F. T. e Mccray, D. (2008) Linking transportation planning to program implementation. Journal of Urban Planning and Development, vol. 134, n. 2, pp. 88-95.
Ministério dos Transportes (2007) Plano nacional de logística e transporte Brasil.
Morlok, E. K. (1978) Introduction to transportation engineering and planning McGraw-Hill, US.
Muñuzuri, J., Cortés, P., Onieva, L. e Guadix, J. (2009) Modeling freight delivery flows: the missing link of urban transport analysis. Journal of Urban Planning and Development Vol. 135, n. 3, pp. 91-99.
Ogden, K. W. (1977) Modeling urban freight generation . Traffic Engineering & Control vol. 18, pp. 106-109.
Ogden, K. W. (1992) Urban goods movement: a guide to policy and planning Ashgate Publishing Limited, London.
Oliveira, R., L. M. e Cury, M., V., Q. (2004) A escolha modal no transporte de cargas sob a ótica da modelagem Neuro-Fuzzy: um estudo de caso. XVIII Congresso de Pesquisa e Ensino em Transportes.
Patterson, Z., Ewing, G. O. e Haider, M. (2008) The potential for premium-intermodal services to reduce freight CO2 emissions in the Quebec City-Windsor Corridor. Transportation Research Part D, vol 13, pp. 1-9
Perry, E. (2003) Transportation and economic development: which comes first? Supplemental Material for RDT Report, n. 03-013
Regan, A. C. e Garrido, R. A. (2002) Modeling freight demand and shipper behavior: state of the art, future directions. In: Hensher, D. e King, J. (eds.) The Leading Edge of Travel Behavior Research, Oxford: Pergamon.
Ricci, A. e Black, I. (2005) The social cost of intermodal freight transport. Research in Transportation Economics, vol. 14, pp. 245-285.
Shannon, C. E. (1948). A mathematical theory of communication. Bell System Technical Journal, vol. 27, pp. 379-423.
Sorrati J. A. e Smith, R. L. (2000) Development of a statewide truck trip forecasting model based on commodity flows and input-output coefficients. Transportation Research Board, n. 1707.
Souleyrette, R., Maze, T. H., Strauss, T., Preissig, D., Smadi, A. G. (1998) Freight planning typology. Transportation Research Board, n. 1613.
Southwestern Pennsylvania Commission -SPC (2002) The southwestern Pennsylvania freight transport guidebook, Pennsylvania, USA.
Swedish Model System for Planing -SAMPLAN (2001) The Swedish model system for goods transportation - Samgods. A brief introductory overview, SAMPLAN Rapport, n. 2000:1.
Tavasszy L. A., van de Vlist, M. J. M., van Haselen e H. W. J., van der Rest, H. (1997) Freight transportation system modelling: chains, chains and chains European Transport Conference.
Tedesco, G. M. I. (2008) Metodologia para elaboração do diagnóstico de um sistema de transporte. Dissertação (Mestrado) -Universidade de Brasília, Brasília.
Villalobos, J. R., Maltz, A., Ahumada, O., Treviño, G., Sánches, O. e Garcia, H. C. (2006) Logistics capacity study of the guaymas-tucson corridor.
Wilson, A. G. (1967). A statistical theory of spacial distribution models. Transportation Research, pp. 253-269.
Wilson, A. G. (1970). Entropy in urban and regional modelling London: Pion.

Datas de Publicação

Publicação nesta coleção
11 Out 2013
Data do Fascículo
Abr 2013

Histórico

Recebido
02 Jul 2012
Aceito
11 Jul 2012

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

[1] Abdelwahab, W. M. (1998) Elasticities of mode choice probabilities and market elasticities of demand: evidence from a simultaneous mode choice/shipment-size freight transport model. Transportation Research Part E, vol. 34, n. 4, pp. 257-266.

[2] Adler, H. A. (1978) Avaliação econômica dos projetos de transporte: metodologia e exemplos. Livros Técnicos e Científicos, RJ.

[5] Allen, W. G. (2002) Development of truck models

[6] Anderson, M. D. (1994) Manual of transportation engineering studies Englewood Cliffs: Prentice Hall.

[7] Arnold, P., Peeters, D. e Thomas, I. (2004) Modelling a rail/road intermodal transportation system. Transportation Research Part E, vol. 40, pp. 255-270.

[8] Ballou, R. H. (2001) Gerenciamento da Cadeia de Suprimentos: Planejamento, Organização e Logística Empresarial Trad. Elias Pereira, 4a. ed. Porto Alegre: Bookman.

[9] Beuthe, M., Jourquina, B. Geertsc, J. F., Ha, C. K. (2001) Freight transportation demand elasticities: a geographic multimodal transportation network analysis. Transportation Research Part E, vol. 37, n. 4, pp. 253-266.

[10] Black, W. R. (1999) Commodity flow modeling. Transportation Research Board, n. E-C011.

[11] Broga, J. J., Brich, S. C. e Demetsky, M. J. (2001) Application of a statewide intermodal freight planning methodology.

[12] California Environmental Protection Agency e Business -CEPA (2007) Goods movement action plan

[13] Caris, A., Macharis, C. e Janssens, G., K. (2008) Planning problems in intermodal freight transport: accomplishments and prospects - Transportation Planning and Technology, vol. 31, pp. 277-302.

[14] Celik, H. M. e Guldmann, J-M. (2002) Spatial interaction modeling of interregional commodity flows. 42nd European Congress of the Regional Science Association, Dortmund.

[15] Center for Urban Transportation Studies -CETU (1999) Guidebook on statewide travel forecasting University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee.

[16] Combes, F. e Leurent, F. (2007) Advances in freight transport demand modeling: an assessment with research perspectives, European Transport Conference.

[17] Crainic, P. e Laporte, G. (1997) Planning models for freight transportation. European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 97, n. 3, pp.409 -438.

[18] D'Este, G. (1996) As event-based approach to modeling intermodal freight system. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, vol. 26, n. 6, pp. 4-15.

[19] Federal Highway Administration -FHA, (1999) Guidebook on statewide travel forecasting Center for Urban Transportation Studies, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee.

[20] Garrido, R. A. e Mahmassani, H. S. (1999) Forecasting freight transportation demand with the spacetime multinomial probit model - Transportation Research Part B, vol. 34, pp.403-418.

[21] Harker, P. T. (1985) The state of art in the predictive analysis of freight transport system. Transport Reviews, vol. 5, pp. 143-164.

[22] Hoeguin-Veras, J., Thorson, E. (2000) Trip length distributions in commodity-based and trip-based freight demand modeling-investigations of relationships. Transportation Research Board, n. 1707, pp. 37-48.

[23] Ichihara, S. M. (2007) O impacto do crescimento econômico sobre as rodovias de São Paulo: uma aplicação do modelo de insumo-produto combinado ao geoprocessamento. Revista Economia, vol. 8, n. 4, pp. 199-231.

[25] Janic, M. (2007) Modelling the full costs of an intermodal and road freight transport network. Transportation Research Part D, vol. 12, n. 1, pp. 33-44.

[26] Jiang, F., Johnson, P. e Calzada, C. (1999) Freight demand characteristics and mode choice: an analysis of the results of modeling with disaggregate revealed preference data. Journal of Transportation and Statistics, vol. 2, n. 2, pp. 149-158.

[27] Jong, G., Gunn, H. e Ben-Akiva, M. (2004) A meta-model for passenger and freight transport in Europe. Transport Policy, vol. 11, pp. 324-344.

[28] Kanashiro, K. (2003) Um novo olhar para o planejamento de transportes no Brasil Sindicato dos Terminais Marítimos do Rio Grande do Sul. Disponível em www.sintermar.com.br

[29] Kawamura, K., Chandler, D., West, N. e Benedict, A. (2006) Development and testing of model planning process for freight oriented development. Urban Planning International, vol. 4.

[30] Kenneth, E. P., Johnson, T., Gilles, J., Fulcher, C., Wilson-Orndoff, C. (2003) Benefits of highway improvements on rural communities in Missouri: economic development considerations - Missouri Department of Transportation - Technical Report

[31] Kveiborg, O. e Fosgerau, M. (2006) Decomposing the decoupling of Danish road freight traffic growth and economic growth. Transport Policy, vol. 14, pp. 39-48.

[32] Loureiro, K. D. (2010). Uso de contagens volumétricas na estimativa de matrizes de origem-destino de veículos leves em redes interurbanas. Tese (Doutorado) -Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Florianópolis.

[33] Macharis, C. e Bontekoning, Y. M. (2004). Opportunities for OR in intermodal freight transport research: a review. European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 153, pp. 400-416.

[34] Magalhães, S. L. M. (2008) Planejamento de transporte de um aglomerado urbano com intermodalidade por meio de transportes integrados. Tese (Doutorado em Engenharia de Transportes), Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro.

[35] Makridakis, S., Wheelwrigt, S. e Hyndman, R. J. Forecasting Methods and Applications, 3a ed. Hoboken: Wiley.

[36] Malchow, M. B. e Kanafani, A. (2004) A disaggregate analysis of port selection. Transportation Research Part E, vol. 40, pp. 317-337.

[37] Marins, F. A. S. (2011) Técnicas de previsão de demanda. Material de aula. Universidade Estadual Paulista

[38] Marra, C. (1999) Caracterização de demanda de movimentações urbanas de carga. Dissertação de Mestrado em Engenharia Civil, Universidade Estadual de Campinas, SP.

[39] Menezes, U. R. (1971) Introdução ao planejamento de transportes urbano. Recife.

[40] Miller, J. S., Hoel, L. A., Dalton, F. T. e Mccray, D. (2008) Linking transportation planning to program implementation. Journal of Urban Planning and Development, vol. 134, n. 2, pp. 88-95.

[41] Ministério dos Transportes (2007) Plano nacional de logística e transporte Brasil.

[42] Morlok, E. K. (1978) Introduction to transportation engineering and planning McGraw-Hill, US.

[43] Muñuzuri, J., Cortés, P., Onieva, L. e Guadix, J. (2009) Modeling freight delivery flows: the missing link of urban transport analysis. Journal of Urban Planning and Development Vol. 135, n. 3, pp. 91-99.

[44] Ogden, K. W. (1977) Modeling urban freight generation . Traffic Engineering & Control vol. 18, pp. 106-109.

[45] Ogden, K. W. (1992) Urban goods movement: a guide to policy and planning Ashgate Publishing Limited, London.

[46] Oliveira, R., L. M. e Cury, M., V., Q. (2004) A escolha modal no transporte de cargas sob a ótica da modelagem Neuro-Fuzzy: um estudo de caso. XVIII Congresso de Pesquisa e Ensino em Transportes.

[47] Patterson, Z., Ewing, G. O. e Haider, M. (2008) The potential for premium-intermodal services to reduce freight CO2 emissions in the Quebec City-Windsor Corridor. Transportation Research Part D, vol 13, pp. 1-9

[48] Perry, E. (2003) Transportation and economic development: which comes first? Supplemental Material for RDT Report, n. 03-013

[49] Regan, A. C. e Garrido, R. A. (2002) Modeling freight demand and shipper behavior: state of the art, future directions. In: Hensher, D. e King, J. (eds.) The Leading Edge of Travel Behavior Research, Oxford: Pergamon.

[50] Ricci, A. e Black, I. (2005) The social cost of intermodal freight transport. Research in Transportation Economics, vol. 14, pp. 245-285.

[51] Shannon, C. E. (1948). A mathematical theory of communication. Bell System Technical Journal, vol. 27, pp. 379-423.

[52] Sorrati J. A. e Smith, R. L. (2000) Development of a statewide truck trip forecasting model based on commodity flows and input-output coefficients. Transportation Research Board, n. 1707.

[53] Souleyrette, R., Maze, T. H., Strauss, T., Preissig, D., Smadi, A. G. (1998) Freight planning typology. Transportation Research Board, n. 1613.

[54] Southwestern Pennsylvania Commission -SPC (2002) The southwestern Pennsylvania freight transport guidebook, Pennsylvania, USA.

[55] Swedish Model System for Planing -SAMPLAN (2001) The Swedish model system for goods transportation - Samgods. A brief introductory overview, SAMPLAN Rapport, n. 2000:1.

[56] Tavasszy L. A., van de Vlist, M. J. M., van Haselen e H. W. J., van der Rest, H. (1997) Freight transportation system modelling: chains, chains and chains European Transport Conference.

[57] Tedesco, G. M. I. (2008) Metodologia para elaboração do diagnóstico de um sistema de transporte. Dissertação (Mestrado) -Universidade de Brasília, Brasília.

[58] Villalobos, J. R., Maltz, A., Ahumada, O., Treviño, G., Sánches, O. e Garcia, H. C. (2006) Logistics capacity study of the guaymas-tucson corridor.

[59] Wilson, A. G. (1967). A statistical theory of spacial distribution models. Transportation Research, pp. 253-269.

[60] Wilson, A. G. (1970). Entropy in urban and regional modelling London: Pion.

Brasil

Brasil

Modelo de quatro etapas aplicado ao planejamento de transporte de carga

Four-step model applied for freight transportation planning

Resumos

Datas de Publicação

Histórico