The dynamics of tropical fruits market in Pará State, Brazil: an econometrics approach
Lindaura Arouck Falesi
Doctoral Thesis, Post-Graduate Program in Agrarian Sciences, Federal University of Rural Amazonian, Belém (PA), Brazil 2009, E-mail:lindaura@ufpa.br
From 1985 to 2005 fruit growing in Pará State and in the Northeastern Pará region, in Brazil, is compared to regional and Brazilian fruit growing, indicating its level of contribution as an economic activity. Results based on econometric have pointed important State contribution to Brazilian fruit production with significant state and regional index growth. Northeastern Pará development was important and has justified a reference position to fruit culture in the State. The State market of fresh fruit analysis based upon market dynamics has indicated fruit culture to be a promising economic opportunity in continuous expansion. The production is still largely focused on State market, leaving an unsatisfied demand at regional and national level. Except for fruits such as açai, banana, pineapple, passion fruit and cupuaçu, well positioned at national market, the others are cultivated in gardens or small areas as well as directly extracted from the native forest. The performance of fruit market was studied based on simultaneous equation dynamic model, estimated by Generalized Method of Moments – GMM. Results have shown fruit demand in the Pará State as price statics. The Northeast Pará region has shown a high concentration of fresh fruits, being the support to supply fruit pulp for agroindustries with participation in State production around 60%. Effects of studied model varieties and the answer of price-elasticity of demand and offer had an inelastic price behavior. Income elasticity crossed by offer and demand of fruits in Northeastern Pará region in relation to other crops have presented an inelastic price offer including both permanent and temporary tillage. Offer was negative related to rural salary increments and to other tillage prices. Thus, the fruit offer may expand with specific technology insertion or should retract with the increase of employments. Fruit extraction represented by açai and Brazil-nut has indicated delayed demand and offer price inelastic. The growth of fruit culture on the State of Pará, undertaking difficulties such as phytosanitary regulation and monetary variation, has consolidated as great vector of economic development, being the diversity of fruits of its agrarian base for its growth. The fruit market is promising, although there is unbalance between offer and demand, characterized by offer shortage. Incentive to production as well as improvement in society’s life quality in the last decades contributed to valorization of fruits as a source of energy and health. The sustainable development of fruit culture economy in the State of Pará will rely on consolidation of agroindustrial poles integrated to the activity.
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Publication Dates
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Publication in this collection
31 Aug 2010 -
Date of issue
Dec 2009
