An evaluation of farmers’ perception, awareness, and adaptation towards climate change: a study from Punjab province Pakistan.

: Globally, all environmental sectors are threatened by climate change, most especially to the food and agriculture sectors. Pakistan is a developing country that is most vulnerable to extreme and harsh climatic conditions, especially in Southeast Asia. Climate change has often adverse effects on Pakistan because it is often affected by severe weather conditions. Although, some studies have reported on farmers’ perceptiveness regarding climate change adaptation and mitigation, there is still insufficient awareness among Pakistanis’ farmers. Key knowledge is very important for farmers to overcome the harsh climatic conditions for harvesting and saving crops. To bridge this gap, this research discovered the awareness level of climate change, weather conditions, and related factors among Pakistani farmers. Through a stratified random sampling technique, 500 structured questionnaires were distributed among the farmers in four districts of Punjab Pakistan for study analysis. The probit model was used to analyze the farmer’s perception regarding climate change, socio-demographic and economic variables. The findings of this research showed that 75% of farmers are aware of climate change. Perception of climate change between farmers was directly associated with agriculture experience, farmers’ age, land ownership status, level of education, information sources, and access to extension. Also, our research showed that farmers’ assessment of adaptive behavior showed that farmers are actively implementing crop diversification, irrigation, and other adaptation strategies. Results of this study will help government agencies and policymakers in Pakistan and other regions to develop sustainable adaptation measures in the framework of climate change.

Mehmood et al.MASELLI, 2009;HUONg et al., 2019a).There are various aspects (for instance agriculture, ecosystem, water resources, forestry, infrastructure, fisheries, and human health) that are considered essential for livelihoods (BENISTON, 2003;PULHIN et al., 2006).Many ecosystems have been pretentious by climate changes through variations in environment events in the shape of rising temperature, increase in sea level, changing rainfall patterns, glaciers melting and devastation of floods (IPCC, 2007).According to IPCC (2007), in the previous century, the normal temperature has risen by 0.6 ° C and it is estimated that the temperature will rise by 2-3 ° C by the end of this century (IPCC, 2007).Therefore, due to the emission of greenhouse gases, climate change is expected to be greater than in the last century (PACHAURI & SPRENg, 2011).
In developing countries, poverty prevails where people's livelihood mainly depends upon agriculture their climate change is the main concern (FAHAD et al., 2018;HUONg et al., 2019b).Climatic threats such as cyclones, droughts, warm or cold waves, blizzard rises, and floods get occurred due to climatic variations and increasingly all over the world (FIELD et al., 2012;ZHANg et al., 2013;HUONg et al., 2017).The agricultural sector has faced various risks regarding production, marketing, and finance that are linked to climatic risks (VELANDIA et al., 2009).Poor rural communities are vulnerable to climate hazards because of society's factors such as population growth, low literacy rates, lack of settlement management, and a lack of awareness, that are considered as key factors (HUONg et al., 2019a;HUONg et al., 2019b).Climate change impacts vary from region to region.Farmers are suffering more losses in developing regions because of lack of diversification capabilities, limited infrastructure, low awareness, lack of skills, limited financial capabilities, inability to predict extreme climate events, and low adaptability (KURUKULASURIYA & MENDELSOHN, 2007).
Pakistan is one of the most vulnerable countries in the world that are extremely susceptible to climate events.The country has a large population, extreme poverty, and is intensely exposed to the adverse effects of natural calamities.In Pakistan, various climatic pressure like droughts, avalanches, cyclones, floods, landslides, and snowstorms are faced by different areas of the country.In the gross domestic product of Pakistan, the agriculture sector is 22% that is contributing 45% to the total labor force of Pakistan; therefore, any adverse effects of climatic events may affect millions of people's livelihoods (gOP, 2013).The agricultural sector and economy of the country severely affected from the past natural disasters (for example, the last three floods in 2010, 2011, and 2014), that have a lot of harm to various areas including forestry, livestock, fisheries, animal sheds, agricultural equipment, tube wells, fertilizers, seed stocks, houses, and infrastructure.Besides this, approximately two hundred and fifty thousand farming families and nearly 1 million acres of land (cultivation area) were affected (NDMA, 2014;FAHAD & WANg, 2018).
Farmers' awareness level, vulnerability, adaptability, and impacts of climate change on the region have been investigated in various studies.However, this kind of study is worthwhile because Pakistan is very susceptible to climate concerns.According to the region, Climate change and perceptions are different (MANDLENI & ANIM, 2011).Farmers require climate change awareness to deal with their negative impacts.According to the existing literature (HASSAN & NHEMACHENA, 2008;IDRISA et al., 2012;MTAMBANENgWE et al., 2012;AJUANg et al., 2016;HUONg et al., 2019b), Farmers' decisions to adaptation strategies of climate change are directly correlated to farmers' climate change awareness and might reduce vulnerability and improve livelihoods.
Surprisingly, research on climate change awareness, directly related to farmers' adaptation strategies, is at the forefront of Pakistan's Punjab province, which has been hit by the most climaterelated circumstances in Pakistan.To bridge the gap in the study, research is helpful to deliver the evidence of farmers' climate change awareness and the contributing factors that might provide targeted measures for public and private organizations.Therefore, this study assessed the awareness of farmers regarding climate change and its key influencing factors.
The following parts of the manuscript are arranged as section 2 contains methodology, results, and discussion written in section 3 while section 4 has conclusions and recommendations

Sampling design
Most susceptible districts of Punjab province were carefully chosen for a household survey.Data was collected through a structured questionnaire by using a simple random sampling technique.Face to face interviews was conducted in this survey that meets the socioeconomic factors of a farm household in the study area.The questionnaire contained several questions about their climate change awareness, socio-economic, and demographic information.Household farms were convinced that the data will be kept confidential at all stages in the household survey, and according to ethics and moral standards, the information will only be utilized for study objectives.To eliminate the language barriers between the interviewers and farmers, the questionnaires were first written in English and after that interpreted into local languages like Urdu, Saraiki, Punjabi.Before starting household surveys and data collection, the interviewers were properly trained.Under the supervision of the main author, the data of 15 farmers were pre-tested.Final data collection began after removing all the ambiguities from the survey.

Data collection and sampling
Farm households' data was collected through a random sampling technique, but the vulnerable districts of Punjab province of Pakistan were purposively selected based on their vulnerability frequent climatic events (droughts and floods) between 2010 and 2014.The author's main goal is to target vulnerable populations in selected survey areas in Punjab province.First of all, four regions of Bhakkar, Layyah, Muzaffargarh, and Dera Ghazi Khan were purposely selected) because of their agricultural importance, flood history, and severe flood damage caused by climate change.Secondly, flood-affected tehsils were chosen from each district.Thirdly, various flood-affected areas and small towns were selected casually (table 1).Five hundred farmers were chosen to collect data through a structured questionnaire to make a sample size for the study.7% margin error with a confidence level of 95 % used by (FAHAD et al., 2018).Another literature (HUSSAIN & THAPA, 2012), taken around 7% margin error.
(1) n = sample size, N = total no of farm households in an area and e = exactness value, set as ± 7% (0.07).

Socio-economic factors
According to earlier literature (BAYARD et al., 2007;ODUNIYI, 2013;FAHAD et al., 2018), climate change awareness is determined by several socio-economic factors, including agricultural area and geographical features.Assets such as agricultural areas improve alertness of climate change employing participation in agricultural activities.Similarly, climate change awareness through the delivery of information about innovative technologies, access to information, climate challenges, and climate predictions are positively linked to these factors that considered as institutional determinants (BAYARD et al., 2007;MADDISON, 2007;KABUBO-MARIARA, 2008;BRYAN et al., 2009;DERESSA et al., 2009;DERESSA et al., 2011;AYDOgDU & YENIgÜN, 2016;HUONg et al., 2019a).Awareness of climate crises varies depending on what kind of formal services are given by institutions.Contact to extension services has a positive impact on climate change responsiveness through the knowledge given by extension staff.

Probit model
In order to justify the awareness level with different socio-economic determinants of farmers, the probit model was used, which is taken as a binary variable that farmers have to listen to or not about climate change.
(2) The level of awareness is the dependent variable (Y) regarding climate change.Xi is factors that affected the farmers' awareness level of climate change, βi are the coefficients, while Ɛi is the standard errors.

Farmers' awareness about climate change
The farm households were interviewed on their awareness level of the changing climate and extreme weather conditions.The findings revealed that the majority of survey contributors (75%) were aware of climate change.As shown in table 2

Perception of climate change
It is important to know about farmers' views about climate change, for instance, the perception of climatic parameters (like droughts, temperature, floods, cyclones, and rainfall) to design appropriate measures for climate change and other change countermeasures, which are helpful to realize the current and future adaptation behaviors and to make adaptive decisions (ESHAM & gARFORTH, 2013).Our results showed that respondents have intensely noticed the climatic events as displayed in table 3.

Farmers' perceived impact of climate change on productivity
Farmers' perception of the impact of climate change on productivity by the district is shown in table 4. The findings indicated that 84% of the surveyed farm households in Bhakkar District, 73% in Layyah, 72% in Muzaffargarh, and 89% in DG Khan District as shown in figure 2. Similarly, about 75% of Bhakkar farmers, 80% of Layyah respondents, 78% of Muzaffargarh, and 60% of farmers in the Dg Khan region have perceived their future predictions that climate change would likely affect their farm productivity.Most of the farmers said that their farm productivity was affected by climatic change.They had knowledgeable experience about climate change's impact on farmhouse productivity.

Previously practiced and potential future adaptation strategies by farm household
Several adaptation measures were practiced on the farm in response to the unexpected Farmers in surveyed areas of Pakistan's Punjab province also used various advanced practices to protect from natural disasters.Most farmers in the research area are also accustomed to storing unused water because they stated that they are already facing a shortage of irrigation water.The survey results revealed that all farmers in the surveyed area depend on cultivation for livelihoods.Pakistan is an agricultural state where most of the farmers with low living standards.Their land holding capacity is also low, and they are mainly engaged in agriculture activities.Farmers have relatively low living standards are primarily susceptible to climate risks such as droughts and floods.Furthermore, it has also been observed that some farmers were using typical adaptation strategies, which might be a lack of knowledge and literacy about progressive adaptation approaches (AHMAD et al., 2013).
Farmers in South Asia have adopted some primary adaptation measures of climate change, those farmers who are making changes in crop patterns, using different crop varieties, short-term planting (KRUPNIK et al., 2015), dates of sowing to prevent damaging floods, rainfall, and high temperatures (JAIN et al., 2015).Moreover, making the cattle farming a diversified and crop mixed method (THORNTON & HERRERO, 2014).
Results showed that agricultural people are very aware of previous weather changes and recognized that more changes may occur in the future.In addition to increasing resilience, farmers are taking the lead in adapting to farm management adaptation practices that may have been adopted to practice non-climate change with additional farm productivity benefits (STERRETT, 2011).Further efforts are required to better understanding how farmers prioritize and decide to adopt different adaptation measures.This behavioral change may be caused by many factors such as political,
-  2007).ADgER and KELLY (1999) argued that timely adaptation might decrease the adverse climate change effects compared to those who adopt later.

Descriptive analysis
Descriptive analysis, in which the dependent variable was farmers' climate change awareness level, while the farmer is conscious of Table 5 -Farm households' earlier practiced and potential upcoming adaptation strategies.

Probit model results
A multicollinearity test had been performed amongst the descriptive variables, while the value of the variance inflation factor (VIF) was lower than 10.Therefore, the study's finding did not report multicollinearity issues in the descriptive variables.The probit model method is used for factors related to farmers' climate change awareness level.
The results shown in table 7 indicated that between the descriptive determinants, the "age of farm households" was significant (p-value 0.025, coefficient 0.015).For example, with the aging of farmers, farmers are increasingly aware of climate change.It can be said, older farmers have additional information and experience than young farmers.Farm households' education level was very significant (p-value 0.001, coefficient 0.057).That is an indication of a farmer's educational level rises, he or she has more aware of climatic events.The relationship between the family size variable is not significant (p-value is 0.131, the coefficient is -0.057), indicating that different family members and they are involved in different occupations, the farmers' awareness of climate change will be less aware.Farmers' farming experience is significantly positive with dependent variables (the coefficient 0.413 and p-value 0.000).Farmers' knowledge of climate change indicates that experienced farmers have sufficient awareness of climate change than inexperienced farmers.The relationship among variable and agricultural area climate change awareness is not significant (p-value is 0.891, the coefficient is 0.007).
A significant relationship is present between land ownership the climate change awareness at (p-value 0.000 and coefficient 0.601), which shows that farmers who had their land having more knowledge than those who are tenants and had rented land.Off-farmhouse income is also significant at p-value 0.015 but has a negative coefficient -0.390, which showed that farmers who had nonagricultural income having poor awareness about climate change rather than farming.No statistical significance (coefficient 0.109, p-value 0.491) was noted in terms of variable access to credit.The acquisition of extension services showed a positive coefficient (1.122) and the p-value for the dependent variable Ciência Rural, v.52, n.3, 2022. is 0.001, which is significantly correlated.This indicated that farmers with better access to extension services have a better awareness of climate change.
The variable for accessibility of information is statistically significant (p-value is 0.003, the coefficient is 0.557), which means that farmers with proper sources of information are more aware of climate change.It means that the more information sources or knowledge about climate changes are obtained, the stronger the awareness of farmers.

DISCUSSION
The most significant correlation with climate change awareness and age is highly considered among all socio-economic variables.Farmer awareness grows with age.This shows younger farmers are less aware of climate change than that of older once.Prior research (BAYARD et al., 2007;OLAJIDE et al., 2011) supported our results, who specified that older farmers are sufficiently aware of climate change than young farmers.
Education is an essential factor for spreading the awareness of climate change, and our research displayed that variable education is positively connected to farmers' awareness.For example, if farmers receive education for another year, they will become more aware of climate change.Our results are coherent with (MADDISON, 2007;DERESSA et al., 2009;DERESSA et al., 2011), who described that with the improvement of farmers' education may increase the possible chance of climate change adaptation.Conversely,, our results are inconsistent with (BAYARD et al., 2007;KABUBO-MARIARA, 2008) who disclosed the opposite correlation between education and climate change-related awareness.
We have reported that the variable of farming experience strongly influences the awareness of climate change.Like, farmers' climate change awareness increases with growing farming experience.Our research results supported the research of MADDISON (2007), who founded that farmers with more agricultural experience are more informative.However, our research results are opposing the research of OKONYA et al. (2013), who examined the negative correlation among farmer's climate change awareness and experience.
The family size variable specifies that a larger family size reduces farmers' climate change perception.The results are the opposite of ACQUAH (2011), who founded that the farmers' family size is positively correlated with farmers' concept of climate change.
Association between the farming area and the awareness of farmers about climate change is not significant.For example, as the farming area increases, farmers are less expected to be familiar with climate change.In other words, farmers with a large cultivated area are less aware than farmers with a less cultivated area.Our results differ from ODUNIYI (2013).
The research results showed that the status of land ownership is a positive correlation with climate change awareness.For example, farmers who had their landholding are more aware of climate change than farmers who have renter status or lease land.Our results are similar to the earlier study of ODUNIYI ( 2013), who defined that landowners as a greater extent of climate change awareness than a farmer with tenant status or leased land.The off-farm wage is negatively correlated with climate change awareness.For example, if members of a farmer's family engaged in occupations other than agriculture, the lower is the farmers' understanding of climate change.Results are very consistent with (HUONg et al., 2019a;HUONg et al., 2019b), who stated that the correlation between off-farm earning and climate change awareness is not significant.
Access to the credit of our research findings support the research findings of MUDOMBI et al. (2014), they reported a negative association between farmers' awareness of climate change and the source of credit.Small, self-sufficient farmers with insufficient wealth are susceptible to climate change than other big farmers with more properties and resources.
Our research results showed that farmers' availability to extension services is positively linked with their climate change awareness.Our findings are consistent with (BRYAN et al., 2009;DERESSA et al., 2011), indicating a positive relationship between each other extensive contribution and climate change awareness.Similarly, prior research on the relationship between extension services access and level of awareness about climate changed (LUSENO et al., 2003;DERESSA et al., 2011;MUDOMBI et al., 2014), also showed that access to extension services encouraged farmers in their farms to adopt new technologies, which may lead to agricultural productivity.Also, the close correlation between the extension services availability and the dependent variable suggested that farmers who contact extension officers may increase their climate change concepts.
There is a significant connection between information access and the farmers' awareness, which indicated that farmers with sufficient info material gain access to or understanding about climate change, being highly conscious of climatic events.Farmers stated that the government was the central information source in the study area.Our results are consistent with DERESSA et al. (2009) who defined an as beneficial linkage between awareness of climate change and information sources access.For example, as farmers obtain information sources, their capability to adapt climate change increases.We have found that farmers who rely solely on government agencies as their primary information source/knowledge about climate change were better aware of climate change.

CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
The awareness level of farmers is influenced by many factors, including socioeconomic and demographic factors.In this study, 500 farmer's households in Punjab Province, Pakistan were selected through a random sampling method.Our results showed that the majority of farmers in the study area are aware of climate change.Results indicated that farmers perceived that their agriculture productivity previously affected with climate change.Socioeconomic factors like farmers' age, education level, agricultural experience, landholding, and access to extension & information services have positive significant impact on awareness level of climate change.Our findings showed that the farmers are already involved in vigorous adaptation strategies.Moreover, studying and analyzing the adaptation and perceptions of farmers' behavior also helps provided a complete significant awareness of climate change in determining agricultural programs' importance.Our findings could also benefit government organizers and agricultural expansion employees to increase their climate change awareness services in vulnerable areas that are least protected.Although, this study was limited to Punjab, Pakistan, the research outcomes can be applied in other districts where climate change adaptations and mitigations are still unproductive.This study recommends a useful path for legislators and scholars to develop the essential strategies and provide various facilities to farmers that could handle different climatic hazards.However, we need to take the necessary actions to raise awareness of climate change.The focus on these research efforts can in grain crop diversification and high-yield varieties.To strengthen such actions, it is necessary to vigorously implement policies and adopt fully supported methods to improve the ability of farmers to participate in adaptation plans.It is also suggested that farmers' climate change awareness must be encouraged by information technology and mass communication.However, future research is needed to realize how the IT sector can help farm households raise awareness of climate change in other developing countries.

DECLARATION OF CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare no conflict of interest.

BIOETHICS AND BIOSSECURITY COMMITTEE APPROVAL
We authors of the article entitled " An Evaluation of Farmers' Perception, Awareness, and adaptation towards climate change: A Study from Punjab Province Pakistan " declared, for all due purposes, the project that gave rise to the present data of the same has not been submitted for evaluation to the Ethics

Figure 2 -
Figure 2 -Perceived impact of climate change on productivity.

Table 1 -
Surveyed areas of study.
, almost 25% of survey participants have inadequate knowledge of climate change.Our results are consistent with the Pakistan bureau of statistics (gOP, 2013) and most of the regions have a hot climate.

Table 2 -
Awareness of farmers regarding climate change.

Table 3 -
Famers' perception regarding climate change in surveyed districts.
change is denoted by zero and does not aware is by one.Ten (10) independent variables were used in this study are shown in table 6.The share of land owned is part of the total agricultural area.Dummy variables are used for non-agricultural incomes.

Table 6 -
Descriptive statistics of the selected variables.An evaluation of farmers' perception, awareness, and adaptation towards climate change: a study from Punjab province Pakistan.

Table 7 -
Probit model values of relationship between the farmers' awareness of climate change and socioeconomic characteristics., ** , and *** are significant at level of 10%, 5% and 1% respectively.Source: Field survey.An evaluation of farmers' perception, awareness, and adaptation towards climate change: a study from Punjab province Pakistan.