The tomato production has great economic and social importance for many municipalities producers and for all other municipalities participating in the consumer market. The tomato suffers high price changes in the market. This feature exposes producers to risks and uncertainties price. In this sense, the question is what, how, how much, and for whom to produce? This study aimed to analyze the economic feasibility of production of fresh market tomatoes in Cambuci/RJ. For the economic viability indicators were estimated Net Present Value (NPV) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR). To determine the uncertainties of the project was carried out sensitivity analysis. To assess the risk involved in tomato production this municipality Monte Carlo simulation was used. The results showed satisfactory economic indicators for the period analyzed. The sensitivity analysis showed that the selling price of tomato was the variable with the greatest effect on the results of economic activity, followed by the cost of hand labor. The Monte Carlo simulation showed that there is low probability of obtaining negative NPV for tomato growers. Thus, it was concluded that the cultivation of tomato in Cambuci/RJ presents itself as a viable alternative to producers, however, pessimistic variations in prices may derail this activity
Lycopersicum spp.; uncertainties; economic indicators; Cambuci/RJ
