ANÁLISE DAS ASSOCIAÇÕES E DOS FATORES PREDITIVOS DA EFICÁCIA DO LANÇAMENTO NO HANDEBOL FEMININO DE ALTO NÍVEL

Costa, Gustavo De Conti Teixeira; Souza, Nilva Pessoa de; Freire, Auro Barreiros; Moraes, José Cícero; Fonseca, Fabiano de Souza; Gemente, Flórence Rosana Faganello; Guimarães, Juracy da Silva; Castro, Henrique de Oliveira

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Journal of Physical Education

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Original Article • J. Phys. Educ. 31 • 2020 • https://doi.org/10.4025/jphyseduc.v31i1.3158 copiar

ANÁLISE DAS ASSOCIAÇÕES E DOS FATORES PREDITIVOS DA EFICÁCIA DO LANÇAMENTO NO HANDEBOL FEMININO DE ALTO NÍVEL

Autoria SCIMAGO INSTITUTIONS RANKINGS

RESUMO

O estudo objetivou analisar a associação entre a posição da atacante, o local do lançamento e a direção do lançamento com o efeito do lançamento, bem como os fatores preditivos deste. Foram analisadas 6146 ações de ataque de 66 jogos realizados pelas 24 equipes participantes do Campeonato Mundial de Handebol Feminino de 2015. Para a associação entre as variáveis estudadas recorreu-se ao teste do Qui-Quadrado e para análise preditiva utilizou-se à regressão logística multinomial. Adotou-se o valor de significância de p≤0,05 e utilizou-se o software SPSS versão 20.0 para Windows. Os resultados apontaram associação entre o efeito do lançamento e a posição da atacante (𝜒2= 107,39; p=0,0001; ɸ=0,13), entre o efeito do lançamento e o local do lançamento (𝜒2= 715,01; p=0,0001; ɸ=0,34), entre o efeito do lançamento e a direção do lançamento (𝜒2= 587,25; p=0,0001; ɸ=0,34) e que o local do lançamento e a direção do lançamento foram fatores preditivos do efeito do lançamento (𝜒2=854,666; p<0,0001). Assim, a partir dos resultados, pode-se concluir que o efeito do lançamento é predito pelo local do lançamento e pela direção do lançamento, sugerindo que a posição da jogadora não influencia na obtenção do gol.

Palavras-chave:
Análise de jogo; Efeito do lançamento; Fatores preditivos

Attacker’s position		Effect of finalization			Total
		Goals	Goalkeeper’s defense	Error
Center back	Occurrence	733	339	272	1344
	% The athlete’s position	54.50%	25.20%	20.20%	100.00%
	% Effect of finalization	21.00%	22.30%	23.80%	21.90%
	Adjusted residuals	-1.8	0.4	1.8
Right back	Occurrence	579	273	250	1102
	% The athlete’s position	52.50%	24.80%	22.70%	100.00%
	% Effect of finalization	16.60%	17.90%	21,90%	17.90%
	Adjusted residuals	-3.1*	0	3.9*
Left back	Occurrence	817	404	342	1563
	% The athlete’s position	52.30%	25.80%	21.90%	100.00%
	% Effect of finalization	23.50%	26.50%	30.00%	25.40%
	Adjusted residuals	-4.1*	1.1	3.9*
Right wing	Occurrence	495	216	125	836
	% The athlete’s position	59,20%	25,80%	15,00%	100,00%
	% Effect of finalization	14,20%	14,20%	11,00%	13,60%
	Adjusted residuals	1,6	0,8	-2,9*
Left wing	Occurrence	448	167	96	711
	% The athlete’s position	63,00%	23.50%	13.50%	100.00%
	% Effect of finalization	12,90%	11.00%	8.40%	11.60%
	Adjusted residuals	3,6*	-0,8	-3,7*
Pivot	Occurrence	408	120	53	581
	% The athlete’s position	70,20%	20.70%	9.10%	100.00%
	% Effect of finalization	11,70%	7.90%	4.60%	9.50%
	Adjusted residuals	6.9*	-2.4*	-6.2*
Goalkeeper	Occurrence	3	3	3	9
	% The athlete’s position	33,30%	33.30%	33.30%	100.00%
	% Effect of finalization	0,10%	0.20%	0.30%	0.10%
	Adjusted residuals	-1.4	0.6	1.1
Total	Occurrence	3483	1522	1141	6146
Total	% Effect of finalization	56.70%	24.80%	18.60%	100.00%

Location of finalization		Effect of Finalization			Total
Location of finalization		Goal	Goalkeeper’s defense	Error
6C	Counting	1897	561	283	2741
	% Location of finalization	69.2%	20.5%	10.3%	100.0%
	% Effect of Finalization	54.5%	36.9%	24.8%	44.6%
	Adjusted residuals	17.8*	-7.0*	-14.9*
6D	Counting	236	145	69	450
	% Location of finalization	52.4%	32.2%	15.3%	100.0%
	% Effect of Finalization	6.8%	9,5%	6.0%	7.3%
	Adjusted residuals	-1.9	3,8*	-1.8
6E	Counting	238	130	78	446
	% Location of finalization	53.4%	29.1%	17.5%	100.0%
	% Effect of Finalization	6.8%	8.5%	6.8%	7.3%
	Adjusted residuals	-1.5	2.2*	-0.6
9C	Counting	428	379	391	1198
	% Location of finalization	35,7%	31,6%	32,6%	100,0%
	% Effect of Finalization	12,3%	24,9%	34,3%	19,5%
	Adjusted residuals	-16,3	6,1*	14,0*
9E	Counting	145	113	150	408
	% Location of finalization	35.5%	27.7%	36.8%	100.0%
	% Effect of Finalization	4.2%	7.4%	13.1%	6.6%
	Adjusted residuals	-8.9*	1.4	9.8*
9D	Counting	123	106	117	346
	% Location of finalization	35.5%	30.6%	33.8%	100.0%
	% Effect of Finalization	3.5%	7.0%	10.3%	5.6%
	Adjusted residuals	-8.2*	2.6*	7.5*
7M	Counting	416	88	53	557
	% Location of finalization	74.7%	15.8%	9.5%	100.0%
	% Effect of Finalization	11.9%	5.8%	4.6%	9.1%
	Adjusted residuals	9.0*	-5.1*	-5.8*
Total	Counting	3483	1522	1141	6146
Total	% Effect of Finalization	56.7%	24.8%	18.6%	100.0%

Direction of finalization		Effect of finalization		Total
Direction of finalization		Goal	Goalkeeper’s defense
Upper left	Occurrence	459	133	592
	% Direction of finalization	77.5%	22.5%	100.0%
	% Effect of finalization	13.2%	9.1%	12.0%
	Adjusted residuals	4.1*	-4.1*
Upper center	Occurrence	151	87	238
	% Direction of finalization	63.4%	36.6%	100.0%
	% Effect of finalization	4.3%	5.9%	4.8%
	Adjusted residuals	-2.4*	2.4*
Upper right	Occurrence	514	101	615
	% Direction of finalization	83.6%	16.4%	100.0%
	% Effect of finalization	14.8%	6.9%	12.4%
	Adjusted residuals	7.7*	-7.7*
Intermediate left	Occurrence	307	291	598
	% Direction of finalization	51.3%	48.7%	100.0%
	% Effect of finalization	8.8%	19.8%	12.1%
	Adjusted residuals	-10.9*	10.9*
Intermediate center	Occurrence	49	126	175
	% Direction of finalization	28,0%	72.0%	100.0%
	% Effect of finalization	1.4%	8.6%	3.5%
	Adjusted residuals	-12.5*	12.5*
Intermediate right	Occurrence	282	290	572
	% Direction of finalization	49.3%	50.7%	100.0%
	% Effect of finalization	8.1%	19.8%	11.6%
	Adjusted residuals	-11.7*	11.7*
Lower left	Occurred	738	191	929
	% Direction of finalization	79.4%	20.6%	100.0%
	% Effect of finalization	21.2%	13.0%	18.8%
	Adjusted residuals	6.7*	-6.7*
Lower center	Occurrence	224	120	344
	% Direction of finalization	65.1%	34.9%	100.0%
	% Effect of finalization	6.4%	8.2%	6.9%
	Adjusted residuals	-2.2*	2.2*
Lower right	Occurrence	759	128	887
	% Direction of finalization	85.6%	14.4%	100.0%
	% Effect of finalization	21.8%	8.7%	17.9%
	Adjusted residuals	10.9*	-10.9*
Total	Occurrence	3483	1467	4950
Total	% Effect of finalization	70.4%	29.6%	100.0%

Effect of finalization^a		crude p	crude OR	adjusted p	adjusted OR	CI
Effect of finalization^a		crude p	crude OR	adjusted p	adjusted OR	Lower limit	Upper limit
Goal	Center back	0.0010	0.658	0.2514	0.851	0.646	1.121
	Right back	0.0001	0.634	0.2362	0.840	0.630	1.121
	Left back	0.0001	0.600	0.1936	0.834	0.635	1.096
	Right wing	0.0090	0.705	0.8996	0.979	0.708	1.355
	Left wing	0.0980	0.795	0.5429	1.111	0.791	1.562
	Pivot^b
	6C	0.0001	2.920	0.0001	3.154*	2.593	3.836
	6D	0.0070	1.417	0.0243	1.471*	1.051	2.058
	6E	0.0010	1.576	0.1073	1.336	0.939	1.901
	9E	0.5180	1.098	0.8370	1.033	0.759	1.405
	9D	0.7750	0.045	0.8616	1.030	0.742	1.429
	7M	0.0001	4.255	0.0001	4.245*	3.157	5.708
	9C^b
	Upper left	0.0001	9.179	0.0001	10.808*	7.239	16.137
	Center left	0.0001	4.616	0.0001	4.541*	2.924	7.054
	Upper right	0.0001	13.535	0.0001	16.075*	10.653	24.257
	Intermediary left	0.0001	2.797	0.0001	3.009*	2.050	4.418
	Intermediary right	0.0001	2.595	0.0001	2.762*	1.878	4.061
	Lower left	0.0001	10.276	0.0001	11.908*	8.104	17.498
	Lower center	0.0001	5.006	0.0001	5.414*	3.573	8.206
	Lower right	0.0001	15.770	0.0001	17.706*	11.904	26.334
	Intermediary center^b

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E-mail: revdef@uem.br

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[1] Author address: Gustavo De Conti Teixeira Costa: Endereço: Faculdade de Educação Física e Dança na Avenida Esperança s/n, Câmpus Samambaia. E-mail: conti02@ufg.br

2^nd offensive center line (6C)	Finalization occurred in front of the goal at a lateral distance of 3 meters, and between the goal and the free-throw line, that is, between 6 meters and 9 meters from the goal (Figure 2-A)
2^nd offensive right line (6D)	Finalization occurred on the attack right side, bounded by a quarter circle with a 6-9 m radius measured from the inside angle of the right goalpost (Figure 2-B).
2^nd offensive left line (6E)	Finalization occurred on the attack left side, bounded by a quarter circle with a 6-9 m radius from the inside angle of the left goalpost (Figure 2-C).
1^st offensive center line (9C)	Finalization occurred behind the free-throw line and in front of the goal. Thus, this area is bounded by a 3 m line directly in front of the goal (Figure 2-D)
1^st offensive right line (9D)	Finalization occurred behind the free-throw line and to the right of the center area of the 1^st offensive line (Figure 2-E).
1^st offensive left line (9E)	Finalization occurred behind the free-throw line and to the left of the center area of the 1^st offensive line (Figure 2-F).
7-m throw (7M)	Finalization executed with a 7-meter throw (Figure 2-G).