Open-access Use of Circulating Tumor DNA in Prognostic Analysis of Patients with Solid Malignant Tumors of the Gastrointestinal Tract: Systematic Review

ABSTRACT

Introduction:  The circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), one of the main exponents of liquid biopsy, constitutes a promising tool in the field of oncology. However, its use in clinical practice, despite being varied, requires further support.

Objective:  To evaluate the impact of using ctDNA as a tool to qualify the prognosis of patients with solid malignant tumors of the gastrointestinal tract.

Method:  Systematic review based on cohort studies, using the MEDLINE, LILACS, SciELO, Science Direct and BASE databases. The assessment of methodological quality was carried out by the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale.

Results:  Of the 557 articles initially found, the final sample of the present study included 13 articles. Higher rates of tumor recurrence and lower survival rates were observed in ctDNA-positive patients with tumors from all main sites of the gastrointestinal tract, compared to those who were ctDNA-negative. This correlation was consistent across all tumor stages. Furthermore, ctDNA proved to be more effective in predicting tumor recurrence proven by radiological examination when compared to carcinoembryonic antigen, typically used in this context.

Conclusion:  The results found support the use of ctDNA in the described scenario, in a complementary way to the prognostic assessment tools commonly used in current clinical practice.

Keywords:
Liquid biopsy/methods; Circulating Tumor DNA; Prognosis; Gastrointestinal Tract/pathology

RESUMO

Introdução:  O DNA tumoral circulante (ctDNA), um dos principais expoentes da biópsia líquida, constitui uma ferramenta promissora na área da oncologia. Contudo, seu uso na prática clínica, apesar de variado, necessita de maiores embasamentos.

Objetivo:  Avaliar o impacto da utilização do ctDNA como ferramenta para qualificar o prognóstico de pacientes com tumores malignos sólidos do trato gastrintestinal.

Método:  Revisão sistemática baseada em estudos do tipo coorte, utilizando as bases de dados MEDLINE, LILACS, SciELO, Science Direct e BASE. A avaliação da qualidade metodológica foi feita pela Newcaslte-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale.

Resultados:  Dos 557 artigos encontrados inicialmente, a amostra final do presente estudo contou com 13 artigos. Observaram-se maiores taxas de recidiva tumoral e menores taxas de sobrevida em pacientes ctDNA-positivos com tumores de todos os principais sítios do trato gastrintestinal, em relação àqueles ctDNA-negativos. Essa correlação foi consistente ao longo de todos os estádios tumorais. Ademais, o ctDNA se mostrou mais eficaz na predição de recidiva tumoral comprovada por exame radiológico quando comparado ao antígeno carcinoembrionário, tipicamente utilizado nesse contexto.

Conclusão:  Os resultados encontrados apoiam a utilização do ctDNA no cenário descrito, de modo complementar às ferramentas de avaliação de prognóstico comumente utilizadas na prática clínica atual.

Palavras-chave:
Biópsia líquida/métodos; DNA Tumoral Circulante; Prognóstico; Trato gastrintestinal/patologia

RESUMEN

Introducción:  El ADN circulante tumoral (ADNct), uno de los principales exponentes de la biopsia líquida, constituye una herramienta prometedora en el campo de la oncología. Sin embargo, su uso en la práctica clínica, a pesar de ser variado, requiere mayor sustento.

Objetivo:  Evaluar el impacto del uso del ADNct como herramienta para calificar el pronóstico de pacientes con tumores sólidos malignos del tracto gastrointestinal.

Método:  Revisión sistemática basada en estudios de cohortes, utilizando las bases de datos MEDLINE, LILACS, SciELO, Science Direct y BASE. La evaluación de la calidad metodológica se realizó mediante la Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale.

Resultados:  De los 557 artículos encontrados inicialmente, la muestra final del presente estudio incluyó 13 artículos. Se observaron tasas más altas de recurrencia tumoral y tasas de supervivencia más bajas en pacientes con ADNct positivo con tumores de todos los sitios principales del tracto gastrointestinal, en comparación con aquellos con ADNct negativo. Esta correlación fue consistente en todas las etapas del tumor. Además, el ADNct demostró ser más eficaz para predecir la recurrencia del tumor verificada mediante examen radiológico en comparación con el antígeno carcinoembrionario, típicamente utilizado en este contexto.

Conclusión:  Los resultados encontrados apoyan el uso de ADNct en el escenario descrito, de forma complementaria a las herramientas de evaluación pronóstica habitualmente utilizadas en la práctica clínica actual.

Palabras clave:
Biopsia líquida/métodos; ADN Circulante Tumoral; Pronóstico; Tracto Gastrointestinal/patología

INTRODUCTION

In 2022, about 20 million cancer cases and 9.7 million deaths caused by the disease were recorded globally1. In Brazil, there is a similar scenario, with more than 16% of deaths occurring due to malignant tumors2.

This epidemiological scenario can be partially explained by the broad exposure of the population to risk factors determining the emergence of diseases, such as chemical, physical, and biological agents with carcinogenic potential. In addition, the gradual reversal of the age pyramid, resulting from continuous improvements in the health, pharmacology, and infrastructure sectors, has provided an increasing life expectancy. Although this phenomenon is essentially positive, advanced age is known to be one of the main risk factors for several types of cancer2.

Therefore, while the field of oncology has grown significantly in recent decades, there is a growing need for understanding the physiopathological processes that lead to malignancy, as well as different forms of screening, diagnosis, prognosis assessment, and treatment of the disease. In this scenario, biomarkers arise as a powerful tool for evaluating the oncological patient, being able to circumvent some of the greatest difficulties of the main methods still used, such as traditional biopsies3.

In the biomarker spectrum, liquid biopsy has gained prominence because of its promising potential in the evaluation of cancer patients in all the aforementioned steps. This non-invasive technique allows not only the analysis of circulating tumor cells (CTC) but also the evaluation of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA). CtDNA represents one of the main strands of this procedure, able to correlate the activity of the disease with the levels of DNA molecules derived from tumor cells present in the blood circulation, due to a variety of biochemical mechanisms4.

The use of ctDNA as an oncological evaluation tool is particularly useful in cases of gastrointestinal tract tumors (GIT). In addition to the high epidemiological relevance, manifested by high incidence and mortality rates in Brazil and worldwide, GIT tumors are difficult to detect early, due to their scarce and unspecific symptomatology in their early stages5.

It is important to highlight that the accuracy of this correlation is not uniform between distinct types of tumors and in the various phases of oncological evaluation. Therefore, the need to conduct additional studies in order to clarify the most effective applications of this technology becomes evident. The objective of this study is to evaluate the impact of the use of ctDNA as a tool to qualify the prognosis of patients with solid malignant tumors of the gastrointestinal tract.

METHOD

Systematic literature review, whose writing basis was the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses protocol (PRISMA)6. This systematic review was recorded in the International PROSPECTIVE Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO)7 database, identified by number CRD42023460611.

Because it is a prognostic study, the strategy adopted was based on the PECO acronym, which consists of the initials Population, Exposure, Comparison, and Outcome, with the following research question: What is the benefit of using ctDNA as a tool to qualify the prognosis of patients with solid malignant tumors of the gastrointestinal tract?

This review used the following databases: Medical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System Online (MEDLINE), Latin American and Caribbean Health Sciences Literature (LILACS), Scientific Electronic Library Online (SciELO), and Science Direct, in addition to the Bielefeld Academic Search Engine.

The descriptors used to search for scientific articles in this study consisted of the controlled terms of the Medical Subject Headings (MeSH): "circulating tumor dna", "liquid biopsy", "prognosis", "gastrointestinal cancer", "esophageal cancer", "gastric cancer", "intestinal cancer" and "rectal cancer". Their alternative terms were also searched. The Boolean operator "OR" was used between the controlled terms and their alternative terms, while the "AND" operator was used among the components of the PECO acronym explained earlier, being this strategy applied in the advanced search fields in each database. There was no restriction on the year of publication, language, or geographic location.

This study included case-control and cohort-type articles that evaluated the effectiveness of the measurement of ctDNA values in determining the prognosis of patients with solid malignant tumors of the gastrointestinal tract (esophageal, stomach, intestines, and rectum cancers), without distinction of age or sex.

Qualitative research, as well as other types of literature review, were excluded, in addition to articles in which ctDNA levels were related to metastatic processes or neoplasms of GIT accessory glands. Two independent researchers conducted the selection of studies. In case of disagreement between them regarding the inclusion or exclusion of articles, a third reviewer intervened.

After the database search, the retrieved works were allocated to the Rayyan application, whose purpose is to assist in the construction of systematic reviews with meta-analysis8. After deleting duplicate works, a reading of titles and abstracts was conducted initially, followed by the evaluation of the full text. The studies were blindly selected following the aforementioned strategy. All those steps were conducted independently.

The data extraction, compiled in a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet, was also blindly performed by two independent researchers. The data obtained were authors, year of publication, journal name, country, objective, study design, location and period of collection, sample size and control, prognostic tools, and main results.

The assessment of the methodological quality of the articles was conducted according to the Newcastle-Ottawa criteria. This assessment was made by two authors independently for each of the studies. For presenting the results, a synthesis of the qualitative data of included studies was elaborated using charts and tables.

RESULTS

The initial search in the databases found 557 articles, of which 555 remained after the removal of duplicates. Another 454 studies were excluded after reading the title and abstract. Of the 101 articles read in full, eight met the eligibility criteria. In addition, five new articles were incorporated into the final review, identified by analyzing the relevant references from the reviews leveraged in the initial research, composing a final sample of 13 articles included in this review. The process is illustrated in the flowchart proposed by the PRISMA protocol (Figure 1), in which the description of the results of the search and selection process is assumed, including number of studies identified in the initial search up to the number of studies included in the review9.

Figure 1
PRISMA flowchart

Most of the selected studies were carried out in China (30%), followed by Australia (23%), the United States (15%) and Denmark (15%), and published in the years 2022, 2021 and 2019 (69%), with the most recent published in 2023 (7.6%) and the oldest in 2016 (7.6%). The sample size of the studies varied from 29 to 295 participants. Colorectal cancer (84.6%), followed by gastric cancer (15%), was the most frequently approached neoplasm. Only one study analyzed esophageal cancer (7.6%). The general characteristics of the studies are identified in Chart 11022.

Chart 1
General characteristics of the studies included

Regarding prognostic tools, all 13 articles (100%) used at least one tool in addition to ctDNA evaluation, the main ones being carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), present in nine studies (69%)1018, and computed tomography (CT), present in all 13 studies (100)1022. This information can be viewed in Chart 21022.

Chart 2
Prognostic tools and main results of the included studies

Regarding gastroesophageal tumors, a significantly higher recurrence rate was found in ctDNA-positive patients in relation to ctDNA-negative patients in the context of the minimal residual disease (MRD) window (within 16 weeks after tumor resection surgery before the onset of adjuvant therapy)19, as well as a worse three-year survival in patients with detectable ctDNA, both in the post-surgical context and after neoadjuvant therapy. Patients who were initially ctDNA-negative and became ctDNA-positive after neoadjuvant therapy presented worse overall survival20.

The same trend was observed in cases of colon cancer, in which ctDNA positivity was related to worse survival in three years, compared to the negativity of the biomarker15,21. Li et al.21 proposed a new form of risk stratification in patients with colon neoplasms based on the inclusion of ctDNA to the other previously used factors, finding an effective correlation between risk levels and tumor recurrence.

Additionally, CEA was less present than ctDNA at the time of recurrence in patients with colon tumors in stage II, with a significantly greater interval between ctDNA elevation and radiological evidence of tumor recurrence compared to CEA elevation time14.

In studies that evaluated colorectal cancer, a higher ctDNA positivity was found consistently in tumors at stages II and III compared to those at stage I. However, in general, detectable levels of ctDNA in these patients were associated with worse recurrence rates in at least two years10,13. In addition, a minimal risk of tumor recurrence was found for ctDNA-negative patients, regardless of whether they had undergone adjuvant therapy or not13. In this context, the possible advantage of the use of ctDNA in the prediction of relapses before its radiological proof is highlighted in comparison to CEA13,17.

Regarding rectal cancers, the detection of ctDNA was also associated with the worst overall survival in three years, both in the postoperative scenario and even before the onset of neoadjuvant therapy16,22. In addition, the resection rate R0 (macroscopically complete resection with histologically negative margins) was significantly higher among patients with undetectable preoperative ctDNA compared to those ctDNA-positive12.

The evaluation of methodological quality according to the Newcastle- Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale showed that the mean score of the studies was 8.69 (standard deviation: ± 0.87). Among the studies, 11 (84%) obtained maximum score, one study (7.6%) added eight points, and another study (7.6%) obtained six points, as verified in Chart 3.

Chart 3
Evaluation of methodological quality using the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale

DISCUSSION

Faced with the challenge of accurately determining the prognosis of the oncological patient, recent technologies have emerged to more effectively guide the treatment of malignant neoplasms. Among them, liquid biopsy has gained prominence in recent years, predominantly represented by ctDNA. Although its applicability in clinical practice is still relatively restricted – due to its high cost and low availability, especially in developing countries – several studies discuss its promising character in the evaluation of prognosis and risk stratification, with the possibility of identifying patients with MRD and guiding the need for adjuvant therapy, as well as verifying its effectiveness23,24.

The articles analyzed in this review found a positive correlation between the detection of ctDNA and unfavorable prognoses in patients with solid malignant tumors of the gastrointestinal tract, compared to those ctDNA-negative. In the case of gastroesophageal tumors, not only was tumor recurrence higher in ctDNA-positive patients but there was also worse survival in three years. In colorectal tumors, the same trend was observed: there was worse survival in three years and worse recurrence rates, as well as a greater space between the elevation of ctDNA levels and the radiological proof of recurrence compared to the verification of CEA levels for the same purpose.

Jiang et al.25, when conducting a literature review on the prognosis of esophageal cancer, found that ctDNA detectable after treatment at any time point was correlated with a worse prognosis in general, which corroborates the results obtained in this study. Similarly, Gao et al.26, when carrying out a systematic review with meta-analysis that discussed gastric cancer, pointed out that ctDNA detection was also associated with worse recurrence-free survival rates and overall survival rates. Although only four articles could have been evaluated for this last parameter, the study used a similar methodology to that of the present study, which reinforces the findings described.

As for colorectal cancer, another systematic review of the literature states that the positivity of ctDNA correlated in the same way with the rates previously mentioned. It is noteworthy that the study focused on some of the genetic and epigenetic mutations found in ctDNA and how these could relate to the patient's prognosis, reporting that there was a slight level of heterogeneity of this evaluation in its results27.

The next-generation sequencing (NGS) ctDNA analysis performed with the aid of a genetic panel, for example, can identify known variations in the genes of some tumors28. By detecting some of these alterations, liquid biopsy allows a qualitative evaluation of ctDNA, correlating specific genetic alterations to more or less favorable prognostics29.

Chen et al.30, in their systematic review with meta-analysis, observed that ctDNA positivity was an important indicator of colorectal tumor recurrence, a pattern observed in all studies analyzed, which did not change with time and place of the study, and which showed greater effectiveness in evaluating the prognosis of tumors at stages I to III. It is worth noting that five of the articles included in this meta-analysis were also included in the scope of this study, thus reinforcing the convergence of the results obtained.

Monitoring during oncological treatments may reveal an important reduction in ctDNA levels after initial intervention, showing an adequate clinical response31. On the other hand, the subsequent elevation of ctDNA during longitudinal follow-up is a possible indication of MRD and consequent therapeutic failure32.

In addition, a study published in 2019, whose objectives include the evaluation of ctDNA as a tool for prognostic evaluation in patients with rectal tumors, found a similar correlation between the persistence of ctDNA after treatment and tumor recurrence in the follow-up period in the vast majority of the articles included in its review33.

Regarding its limitations, the present study deals with problems related to the very nature of ctDNA evaluation. Currently, there is still no consensus on the most effective way to obtain this biomarker, so there is, in the literature, a great heterogeneity of technologies such as NGS, digital PCR (dPCR), and cancer-customized profiling by deep sequencing (CAPP-Seq), all capable of performing this analysis23. Also, there is no exact regularity regarding the time of collection of ctDNA within the context of neoadjuvant therapy, surgery, and adjuvant therapy, inconsistencies which are naturally found throughout the studies addressed.

CONCLUSION

CtDNA, one of the main exponents of liquid biopsy, shows signs of success in evaluating the prognosis of patients with solid malignant tumors of the gastrointestinal tract. The results found in this study suggest that there is, in recent literature, evidence to support its applicability in clinical practice in the specific scenario described, especially in a complementary way to the most used prognostic evaluation tools.

Further studies may seek greater standardization in the way ctDNA is collected and evaluated, given the different possibilities that are currently available. Moreover, the realization of multi-centric studies, capable of testing the applicability of ctDNA in regions where the practice has been less explored – such as Latin America – can provide more subsidy for the application of this tool in the clinical area, by verifying the probable persistence of its potential in scenarios in which population characteristics are distinct.

  • FUNDING SOURCES
    None.

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Edited by

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    10 Feb 2025
  • Date of issue
    2024

History

  • Received
    20 Aug 2024
  • Accepted
    03 Dec 2024
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