Performance analysis of professional soccer goalkeepers by Composition of Probabilistic Preferences

Análise de desempenho de goleiros do futebol profissional por Composição Probabilística de Preferências

Análisis del rendimiento de porteros de fútbol profesional por Composición Probabilística de Preferencias

Luiz Octávio Gavião Erick Vieira Gavião Annibal Parracho Sant’Anna Gilson Brito Alves Lima Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia About the authors


This research aims to assist managers and technical commissions to choose professional soccer goalkeepers. A sample of 64 goalkeepers playing in Argentina and Brazil was studied. Their performance in the matches of two seasons were analyzed considering three criteria: goals against per minute played, percentage of goals and percentage of matches without conceded goals. The Composition of Probabilistic Preferences (CPP) was the method chosen for modeling, considering the random variability in the problem data and in football, considered one of the most unpredictable sports. CPP allowed to compare the choice based on the data analysis to the latest goalkeeper call-ups for these countries’ national teams. The selected goalkeepers corresponded to those presenting the best individual performance, which confirms the model.

Soccer; Evaluation; Goalkeepers; Composition of Probabilistic Preferences

Colégio Brasileiro de Ciências do Esporte Universidade de Brasilia - Campus Universitário Darcy Ribeiro, Faculdade de Educação Física, Asa Norte - CEP 70910-970 - Brasilia, DF - Brasil, Telefone: +55 (61) 3107-2542 - Brasília - DF - Brazil