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Memory, affectivity and elections in South Africa 2019: satisfied or not, they followed the ANC

Abstract

South Africa, 25 years after the end of apartheid, experienced a presidential election with the highest abstention rate and lowest vote for the African National Congress - ANC party in its history. Agenda was primarily negative: corruption in the federal government, unemployment, and urban violence. A voter said in national media: - This is the last opportunity I will give to the ANC. We argue that resentment of apartheid is still among South Africans. Based on the theory of multidimensional economic voting and the discussion on racial memory, we will measure by an analytical model the impact of evaluations of federal government actions to combat unemployment, corruption, and urban violence in adhering to the president. The accession to the president will be contemplated from two dependent variables: presidential approval and vote in the ANC. Statistical tests will be conducted from Survey provided by the Afrobarometer -2018. As a result, we point out that when we changed the variable dependent from presidential approval to vote in the ANC in a fictitious election there was a loss of effect of the approval of actions to combat corruption and robust growth of the impact of apartheid rejection on the response variable.

Keywords:
South Africa; African National Congress; Elections; Race Relations; Economic vote


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