This work aimed at estimating the probable monthly rainfall in Boa Vista, RR, (2º 49'17" N, 60º 39'45" W e 90 m). The historical data for 48 years from 1923 to 1997 were utilized. Rainfall was estimated using the normal and gamma distribution at 10, 20, 25, 30, 50, 60, 70, 75, 80 and 90% probability levels. The gamma distribution provided a good fit, except during the dry months of January and February. The results indicated a rainy season (April - September) and a dry season (October - March).
probability; rainfall; agricultural planning
