Acessibilidade / Reportar erro

Economic growth without welfare. The case of the impact of commodities on the Colombian economy

Crescimento econômico sem bem-estar. O caso do impacto das commodities na economia colombiana

ABSTRACT

Economic growth is not always related to social welfare. Therefore, this paper takes the case of the Colombian economy that has a strong dependence on commodity exploitation to identify the impacts of different commodities such as oil, coffee, coal, and nickel over economic variables. The results show that the increase in prices of commodities generates significant impacts on economic activity in variables such as GDP and investment. Also, there are no significant impacts on variables that provide welfare to individuals as total consumption or the unemployment rate.

KEYWORDS:
Prices of raw materials; economic activity; international trade; analysis of time series; VAR models; Colombia

Centro de Economia Política Rua Araripina, 106, CEP 05603-030 São Paulo - SP, Tel. (55 11) 3816-6053 - São Paulo - SP - Brazil
E-mail: cecilia.heise@bjpe.org.br