Acessibilidade / Reportar erro

Notes on the Brazilian Crisis of 1997-991 1 Paper presented at the conference “Critical Issues in financial Reform; Latin American/Caribbean and Canadian Perspectives”, The Munk Centre for International Studies, University of Toronto, June 2000. Helpful comments from Persio Arida, Edmar Bacha, Albert Berry, Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira and José Roberto Mendonça de Barros are acknowledged.

Notas sobre a crise brasileira de 1997-1999

ABSTRACT

This paper deals with the Brazilian crisis of 1997-98 that lead to the exchange rate floating of January 1999. It starts by showing how exchange rate policy evolved since the Real Plan of 1994 and how the exchange rate regime became a critical issue when the crisis started in 1997. It discusses monetary policy during the crisis, the IMF program, the endogenous diagonal band and the decision to float as an alternative to capital controls and default. This five-year drama ended surprisingly well with a benign float, but it is useful to know its details, with the usual mix of economic de- bate, personality clashes and historical fatality.

KEYWORDS:
Brazilian crisis of 1997-98; exchange rate policy; Real Plan of 1994; endogenous diagonal band; decision to float

Centro de Economia Política Rua Araripina, 106, CEP 05603-030 São Paulo - SP, Tel. (55 11) 3816-6053 - São Paulo - SP - Brazil
E-mail: cecilia.heise@bjpe.org.br