COVID-19 in children in the state of Pernambuco: Spatial analysis of confirmed severe cases and the Human Development Index

Silva, Amanda Priscila de Santana Cabral; Holanda, Eliane Rolim de; Abreu, Paula Daniella de; Freitas, Marcelo Victor de Arruda

doi:10.1590/0037-8682-0782-2020

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Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical

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Short Communication • Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop. 54 • 2021 • https://doi.org/10.1590/0037-8682-0782-2020 copy

COVID-19 in children in the state of Pernambuco: Spatial analysis of confirmed severe cases and the Human Development Index

Authorship SCIMAGO INSTITUTIONS RANKINGS

Abstract

INTRODUCTION:

Health planning is required for the control and prevention of severe cases of COVID-19 in children.

METHODS:

Spatial analysis of severe COVID-19 cases in children of Pernambuco in the first six months of the pandemic and its autocorrelation with the Human Development Index was conducted.

RESULTS:

A total of 551 severe cases (39.4 cases/100,000 inhabitants) was initially concentrated in the metropolitan area, with later interiorization. The spatial autocorrelation of cases was identified. The bivariate analysis revealed alert regions in less developed municipalities (I=0.341; p=0.001).

CONCLUSIONS:

Considering the local particularities can assist in directing the priorities for decision making.

Keywords:
Pandemic; Coronavirus infections; Child health; Spatial analysis; Surveillance; Public health

Municipalities	MHDI	Moran Index	p-value
Água Preta	0.553	0.097	0.398
Águas Belas	0.526	1.918	0.000
Abreu e Lima	0.679	2.094	0.007
Afogados da Ingazeira	0.657	-0.074	0.474
Afrânio	0.588	-0.167	0.065
Agrestina	0.592	-0.011	0.350
Alagoinha	0.599	-0.010	0.440
Aliança	0.604	0.068	0.187
Altinho	0.598	0.003	0.423
Amaraji	0.580	-0.010	0.431
Angelim	0.572	0.395	0.032
Araçoiaba	0.592	-0.081	0.016
Araripina	0.602	-0.076	0.184
Arcoverde	0.667	-0.557	0.236
Barra de Guabiraba	0.577	0.073	0.372
Barreiros	0.586	0.047	0.370
Belém de Maria	0.578	0.211	0.100
Belém de São Francisco	0.642	0.450	0.190
Belo Jardim	0.629	-0.416	0.048
Betânia	0.559	-0.113	0.370
Bezerros	0.606	-0.006	0.455
Bodocó	0.565	0.247	0.213
Bom Conselho	0.563	0.852	0.002
Bom Jardim	0.602	0.009	0.421
Bonito	0.561	0.257	0.142
Brejão	0.547	0.491	0.186
Brejinho	0.574	-0.118	0.288
Brejo da Madre de Deus	0.562	-0.239	0.203
Buíque	0.527	0.935	0.047
Buenos Aires	0.593	-0.051	0.009
Cabo de Santo Agostinho	0.686	2.507	0.004
Cabrobó	0.623	0.386	0.086
Cachoeirinha	0.579	0.012	0.449
Caetés	0.522	0.477	0.245
Calçados	0.566	0.290	0.189
Calumbi	0.571	-0.193	0.189
Camaragibe	0.692	4.885	0.000
Camocim de São Félix	0.588	0.080	0.130
Camutanga	0.606	0.051	0.332
Canhotinho	0.541	0.856	0.017
Capoeiras	0.549	0.151	0.336
Carnaíba	0.583	0.004	0.506
Carnaubeira da Penha	0.573	-0.383	0.046
Carpina	0.680	1.217	0.050
Caruaru	0.677	-0.064	0.476
Casinhas	0.567	-0.100	0.372
Catende	0.609	-0.185	0.031
Cedro	0.615	0.354	0.137
Chã de Alegria	0.604	0.166	0.055
Chã Grande	0.599	0.005	0.449
Condado	0.602	0.067	0.172
Correntes	0.536	0.457	0.256
Cortês	0.568	0.139	0.275
Cumaru	0.572	0.088	0.342
Cupira	0.592	0.038	0.087
Custódia	0.594	0.007	0.247
Dormentes	0.589	0.007	0.474
Escada	0.632	0.455	0.073
Exu	0.576	0.080	0.383
Feira Nova	0.600	0.044	0.178
Ferreiros	0.622	0.072	0.423
Flores	0.556	0.055	0.462
Floresta	0.626	-0.162	0.243
Frei Miguelinho	0.576	-0.067	0.342
Gameleira	0.602	-0.016	0.433
Garanhuns	0.664	-1.698	0.000
Glória do Goitá	0.604	0.066	0.157
Goiana	0.651	0.645	0.085
Granito	0.595	0.001	0.349
Gravatá	0.634	-0.134	0.306
Iati	0.528	1.355	0.025
Ibimirim	0.552	0.884	0.004
Ibirajuba	0.580	0.202	0.057
Igarassu	0.665	1.567	0.002
Iguaraci	0.598	0.025	0.140
Ilha de Itamaracá	0.653	1.530	0.024
Inajá	0.523	1.254	0.035
Ingazeira	0.608	0.142	0.174
Ipojuca	0.619	0.499	0.059
Ipubi	0.550	0.257	0.319
Itaíba	0.510	3.025	0.000
Itacuruba	0.595	-0.002	0.217
Itambé	0.575	-0.214	0.129
Itapetim	0.592	-0.014	0.362
Itapissuma	0.633	1.123	0.018
Itaquitinga	0.586	-0.187	0.020
Jaboatão dos Guararapes	0.717	5.658	0.000
Jaqueira	0.575	0.385	0.037
Jataúba	0.530	-0.006	0.499
Jatobá	0.645	0.068	0.402
Joaquim Nabuco	0.554	0.281	0.231
João Alfredo	0.576	-0.124	0.265
Jucati	0.550	0.110	0.418
Jupi	0.575	0.179	0.133
Jurema	0.509	1.455	0.041
Lagoa de Itaenga	0.602	0.123	0.029
Lagoa do Carro	0.609	0.275	0.039
Lagoa do Ouro	0.525	0.604	0.206
Lagoa dos Gatos	0.551	0.424	0.137
Lagoa Grande	0.597	0.010	0.307
Lajedo	0.611	-0.176	0.118
Limoeiro	0.663	0.135	0.376
Macaparana	0.609	-0.030	0.456
Machados	0.578	0.031	0.455
Manari	0.487	3.518	0.002
Maraial	0.534	0.524	0.180
Mirandiba	0.591	-0.059	0.069
Moreilândia	0.600	-0.015	0.457
Moreno	0.652	2.176	0.001
Nazaré da Mata	0.662	0.504	0.159
Olinda	0.735	10.657	0.000
Orobó	0.610	-0.153	0.161
Orocó	0.610	0.063	0.323
Ouricuri	0.572	0.280	0.065
Palmares	0.622	-0.452	0.020
Palmeirina	0.549	0.418	0.155
Panelas	0.569	0.463	0.011
Paranatama	0.537	0.487	0.214
Parnamirim	0.599	-0.012	0.350
Passira	0.592	-0.015	0.236
Paudalho	0.639	1.045	0.001
Paulista	0.732	6.770	0.000
Pedra	0.567	0.391	0.015
Pesqueira	0.610	-0.068	0.229
Petrolândia	0.623	0.263	0.214
Petrolina	0.697	-0.192	0.479
Poção	0.528	0.181	0.437
Pombos	0.598	0.018	0.250
Primavera	0.580	-0.098	0.201
Quipapá	0.552	1.218	0.001
Quixaba	0.577	0.228	0.209
Recife	0.772	9.507	0.000
Riacho das Almas	0.570	-0.221	0.177
Ribeirão	0.602	-0.029	0.276
Rio Formoso	0.613	-0.050	0.392
Sairé	0.585	0.010	0.498
Salgadinho	0.534	-0.369	0.244
Salgueiro	0.669	0.365	0.246
Saloá	0.559	0.595	0.019
Sanharó	0.603	0.059	0.270
Santa Cruz	0.549	0.342	0.220
Santa Cruz da Baixa Verde	0.612	0.317	0.080
Santa Cruz do Capibaribe	0.648	-0.450	0.242
Santa Filomena	0.533	0.762	0.144
Santa Maria da Boa Vista	0.590	0.016	0.437
Santa Maria do Cambucá	0.548	0.142	0.431
Santa Terezinha	0.593	-0.010	0.318
São Benedito do Sul	0.530	1.237	0.018
São Bento do Una	0.593	0.012	0.236
São Caetano	0.591	0.002	0.486
São Joaquim do Monte	0.537	0.256	0.323
São João	0.570	0.162	0.268
São José da Coroa Grande	0.608	-0.057	0.416
São José do Belmonte	0.610	0.171	0.162
São José do Egito	0.635	0.112	0.343
São Lourenço da Mata	0.653	2.206	0.000
São Vicente Ferrer	0.549	-0.126	0.345
Serra Talhada	0.661	-0.112	0.416
Serrita	0.595	-0.002	0.176
Sertânia	0.613	-0.165	0.156
Sirinhaém	0.597	0.014	0.191
Solidão	0.585	-0.098	0.217
Surubim	0.635	-0.488	0.031
Tabira	0.605	0.083	0.172
Tacaimbó	0.554	0.088	0.441
Tacaratu	0.573	-0.098	0.331
Tamandaré	0.593	0.005	0.437
Taquaritinga do Norte	0.641	0.494	0.125
Terezinha	0.545	0.292	0.294
Terra Nova	0.599	0.048	0.142
Timbaúba	0.618	0.155	0.245
Toritama	0.618	0.423	0.076
Tracunhaém	0.605	0.229	0.004
Trindade	0.595	0.002	0.208
Triunfo	0.670	-0.565	0.286
Tupanatinga	0.519	1.656	0.013
Tuparetama	0.634	0.348	0.218
Venturosa	0.592	0.040	0.087
Verdejante	0.605	0.134	0.148
Vertente do Lério	0.563	0.186	0.333
Vertentes	0.582	-0.108	0.197
Vicência	0.605	0.064	0.200
Vitória de Santo Antão	0.640	0.673	0.032
Xexéu	0.552	0.330	0.225

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[1] Corresponding author: Amanda Priscila de Santana Cabral Silva. e-mail:amanda.cabral@ufpe.br