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Selvester QRS Score is a Predictor of Mortality in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction

Abstract

Background

The Selvester QRS (S-QRS) score on a 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is associated with both the amount of myocardial scar and poor prognosis in myocardial infarction patients. However, its prognostic value in heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is unknown.

Objective

This study aims to investigate the predictive value of the S-QRS score for mortality in HFpEF.

Methods

359 patients were retrospectively enrolled in this study. Electrocardiographic, echocardiographic, and laboratory features of the patients were recorded. The simplified S-QRS score was measured and recorded. The mean follow-up time of the patients was 38.1±9.5 months. Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05.

Results

Of 359 patients, 270 were in the survivor group, and 89 were in the deceased group. Age, Hs-CRP, troponin, pro-BNP, left atrial (LA) diameter, LA volume index, QRS duration, Tpe, and S-QRS score were statistically high in the deceased group. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, age, Hs-CRP, NT-proBNP, LA diameter, LA volume index, Tpe, and S-QRS score were shown to be independent risk factors for mortality. In the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, the cut-off value of the S-QRS score was 5.5, the sensitivity was 80.8%, and the specificity was 77.2% (AUC:0.880, p:0.00). In Kaplan-Meier analysis, it was found that mortality was higher in the group with S-QRS score ≥ 5.5 than in the group with S-QRS score < 5.5. (Long-rank, p:0.00)

Conclusions

We think that the S-QRS score can be used as a prognostic indicator of long-term mortality in patients with HFpEF.

Selvester QRS; Mortality; Heart Failure; Myocardial Infarction; Electrocardiography/methods; Echocardiography/methods; Stroke Volume

Resumo

Fundamento

O escore Selvester QRS (S-QRS) em um eletrocardiograma (ECG) de 12 derivações está associado tanto à quantidade de cicatriz miocárdica quanto ao mau prognóstico em pacientes com infarto do miocárdio. Entretanto, seu valor prognóstico na insuficiência cardíaca (IC) com fração de ejeção preservada (ICFEp) é desconhecido.

Objetivo

Este estudo tem como objetivo investigar o valor preditivo do escore S-QRS para mortalidade na ICFEp.

Métodos

359 pacientes foram incluídos retrospectivamente neste estudo. As características eletrocardiográficas, ecocardiográficas e laboratoriais dos pacientes foram registradas. O escore S-QRS simplificado foi medido e registrado. O tempo médio de seguimento dos pacientes foi de 38,1±9,5 meses. A significância estatística foi estabelecida em p < 0,05.

Resultados

Dos 359 pacientes, 270 estavam no grupo sobrevivente e 89 no grupo falecido. Idade, PCR-us, troponina, pro-BNP, diâmetro do átrio esquerdo (AE), índice de volume do AE, duração do QRS, Tpe e escore do S-QRS foram estatisticamente altos no grupo falecido. Na análise de regressão logística multivariada, idade, PCR-us, NT-proBNP, diâmetro do AE, índice de volume do AE, Tpe e escore S-QRS mostraram-se fatores de risco independentes para mortalidade. Na análise da característica operacional do receptor (ROC), o valor de corte do escore S-QRS foi de 5,5, a sensibilidade foi de 80,8% e a especificidade foi de 77,2% (AUC: 0,880, p:0,00). Na análise de Kaplan-Meier, verificou-se que a mortalidade foi maior no grupo com escore S-QRS ≥ 5,5 do que no grupo com escore S-QRS < 5,5. (Long-rank, p:0,00)

Conclusão

Acreditamos que o escore S-QRS pode ser usado como um indicador prognóstico de mortalidade a longo prazo em pacientes com ICFEp.

Selvester QRS; Mortalidade; Insuficiência Cardíaca; Infarto do Miocárdio; Eletrocardiografia/métodos; Ecocardiografia/métodos; Volume Sistólico

Central Illustration


: Selvester QRS Score is a Predictor of Mortality in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction

Introduction

Heart failure (HF) is detected in 1-2% of adults. Its incidence increases with age. While it is 1% in individuals aged < 55 years, it is approximately 10% in individuals aged > 70 years.11. McDonagh TA, Metra M, Adamo M, Gardner RS, Baumbach A, Bohm M, et al. 2021 ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure. Eur Heart J. 2021;42(36):3599-726. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehab368
https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehab36...
According to the latest guideline, HF is basically divided into 3 classes: HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), HF with mild-range ejection fraction (HFmrEF), and HF with low ejection fraction (HFlEF). Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction presents clinically with symptoms of HF and a normal or near-normal ejection fraction (EF > 50%).22. Dunlay SM, Roger VL, Redfield MM. Epidemiology of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Nat Rev Cardiol. 2017;14(10):591-602. doi: 10.1038/nrcardio.2017.65
https://doi.org/10.1038/nrcardio.2017.65...
It accounts for approximately 50% of patients treated in hospitals for HF. In epidemiological studies, < 70% of HFpEF patients are over 65, and HFpEF is observed in almost all patients with HF over 90 years of age.33. Lin Y, Fu S, Yao Y, Li Y, Zhao Y, Luo L. Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction based on aging and comorbidities. J Transl Med. 2021;19(1):291. doi: 10.1186/s12967-021-02935-x
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12967-021-02935...
,44. Loffredo F, Nikolova AP, Pancoast JR, Lee RT. Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: molecular pathways of the aging myocardium. Circ Res. 2014;115(1):97-107. doi: 10.1161/CIRCRESAHA.115.302929
https://doi.org/10.1161/CIRCRESAHA.115.3...

Left ventricular hypertrophy, systemic and myocardial inflammation, microvascular endothelial damage and infarction, oxidative stress, and myocardial interstitial fibrosis have been observed as underlying pathophysiological factors in HFpEF.55. Pfeffer MA, Shah AM, Borlaug BA. Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction In Perspective. Circ Res. 2019;124(11):1598-617. doi: 10.1161/CIRCRESAHA.119.313572
https://doi.org/10.1161/CIRCRESAHA.119.3...
Studies have shown that myocardial interstitial fibrosis is both one of the most important pathophysiological mechanisms of the disease and a long-term prognostic indicator.66. Ma C, Luo H, Fan L, Liu X, Gao C. Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: an update on pathophysiology, diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis. Braz J Med Biol Res. 2020;53(7):e9646. doi: 10.1590/1414-431X20209646
https://doi.org/10.1590/1414-431X2020964...
,77. Paulus WJ, Zile MR. From Systemic Inflammation to Myocardial Fibrosis: The Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction Paradigm Revisited. Circ Res. 2021;128(10):1451-67. doi: 10.1161/CIRCRESAHA.121.318159
https://doi.org/10.1161/CIRCRESAHA.121.3...

Although advanced medical devices have provided us with new and important information, the standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is still the main method that provides crucial information. In 1970, Selvester et al.88. Selvester RH, Wagner GS, Hindman NB. The Selvester QRS scoring system for estimating myocardial infarct size. The development and application of the system. Arch Intern Med. 1985;145(10):1877-81. PMID: 4037949 developed a 31-point scoring system (QRS) that assessed the change in ventricular depolarization due to myocardial scar on a standard 12-lead ECG. Each score corresponded to 3% of left ventricular muscle mass.88. Selvester RH, Wagner GS, Hindman NB. The Selvester QRS scoring system for estimating myocardial infarct size. The development and application of the system. Arch Intern Med. 1985;145(10):1877-81. PMID: 4037949 In cardiac magnetic resonance studies of myocardial scars, the Selvester QRS (S-QRS) score has been detected to correlate highly with scar size.99. Loring Z, Chelliah S, Selvester R, Wagner G, Strauss DG. A detailed guide for quantification of myocardial scar with the Selvester QRS score in the presence of electrocardiogram confounders. J Electrocardiol. 2011;44(5):544-54. doi: 10.1016/j.jelectrocard.2011.06.008
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jelectrocard.2...
In many clinical studies, a high S-QRS score has been shown to provide information about the infarct size that develops after myocardial infarction with ST elevation and the long-term prognosis of patients.1010. Tiller C, Reindl M, Reinstadler SJ, Holzknecht M, Schreinlechner M, Peherstorfer A, et al. Complete versus simplified Selvester QRS score for infarct severity assessment in ST-elevation myocardial infarction. BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2019;19(1):285. doi: 10.1186/s12872-019-1230-0,1111. Carey M, Luisi jr AJ, Baldwa S, Zaiti SA, Veneziano MJ, DeKemp RA, et al. The Selvester QRS Score is more accurate than Q waves and fragmented QRS complexes using the Mason-Likar configuration in estimating infarct volume in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy. J Electrocardiol. 2010;43(4):318-25. doi: 10.1016/j.jelectrocard.2010.02.011
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jelectrocard.2...
Its prognostic value has been reported in many cardiovascular diseases, such as non-ischemic cardiomyopathy, aortic stenosis, and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.1212. Hiraiwa H, Okumura T, Sawamura A, Sugiura Y, Kondo T, Watanabe N, et al. The Selvester QRS score as a predictor of cardiac events in non-ischemic dilated cardiomyopathy. J Cardiol. 2018;71(3):284-90. doi: 10.1016/j.jjcc.2017.09.002
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jjcc.2017.09.0...

13. Bignoto TC, Le Bihan D, Barretto RB, Ramos AI, Moreira DA, Simonato M, et al. Predictive role of Selvester QRS score in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement. Catheter Cardiovasc Interv. 2021;97(1):E95-103. doi: 10.1002/ccd.28905
https://doi.org/10.1002/ccd.28905...
-1414. Bignoto TC, Moreira DA, Habib RG, Correia EB, Amarante RC, Jatente T, et al. Electrocardiography scar quantification correlates with scar size of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy seen by multidetector computed tomography. Clin Cardiol. 2018;41(6):837-42. doi: 10.1002/clc.22966
https://doi.org/10.1002/clc.22966...
However, there is no information on its association with HFpEF.

This study aims to investigate the predictive value of the S-QRS score for mortality in HFpEF.

Methods

Patient population

This retrospective study included patients with HFpEF treated for HF symptoms under hospital conditions at a single center between 2018 and 2022 after approval by the local ethics committee. One thousand one hundred twelve patients with heart failure were examined, and 359 patients were diagnosed with HFpEF. Patients were followed up for a mean of 38.1±9.5 months. These diagnostic criteria were left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥50%, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) > 125 pg/m, and also one of two criteria, (1) left ventricular hypertrophy or enlargement of the left atrium, (2) diastolic dysfunction (E/e ≥ 13 and a mean e’ septal and lateral wall < 9 cm/s on Doppler echocardiography).

Patients with chronic renal or hepatic failure, moderate and severe aortic and mitral stenosis, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, complex congenital HF, use of anti-arrhythmic drugs, pacemaker rhythm, HF with low ejection fraction (EF < 50%), acute coronary syndrome, cancer, sepsis, and abnormal serum electrolyte levels were excluded from the study. In addition, it was ensured in patients that the ECG trace was of good quality, i.e., with no left or right bundle branch block, no left anterior or posterior fascicular block, no left or right ventricular hypertrophy, no Wolff-Parkinson-White syndrome, no low voltage or ventricular pacing that could interfere with the determination of the S-QRS score. The selection of the study group is summarized in the central illustration.

All patients were thoroughly questioned about hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes mellitus, tobacco smoking, coronary artery disease, and stroke. Hematological, biochemical, and serological values were determined and recorded from peripheral blood drawn after 12 hours of fasting.

Chronic renal failure was defined as a glomerular filtration rate of less than 60 for over 3 months. A diagnosis of hypertension was accepted if patients were taking antihypertensive treatment or had a systolic blood pressure greater than 140 mmHg and diastolic blood pressure of 90 mmHg on at least three measurements. Diabetes was diagnosed if patients were taking antidiabetic medication, had at least two postprandial blood glucose measurements above 126 mg/dl, or had an HbA1c level > 6.5. Low-density lipoprotein (LDL) > 160 mg/dl or taking statins was accepted as a diagnosis of hyperlipidemia. For the diagnosis of coronary artery disease, stenosis > 50% in at least one epicardial coronary artery was assumed. The current status of patients was determined and recorded by contacting hospital controls and by telephone.

Echocardiographic evaluation

Two-dimensional and color Doppler images in the standard parasternal long-axis, short-axis, and apical views were obtained and analyzed online by an experienced echocardiologist blinded to the clinical data. Echocardiographic examination of all patients included in the study was performed with an iE33 cardiac ultrasound system (Phillips Healthcare, Best, The Netherlands) and a 2.5-5-MHz probe system. All reported echocardiographic measurements were averaged from three consecutive cycles. Global right ventricular systolic function was measured as the tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion using the two-dimensional difference between the end-diastolic and end-systolic lines (in cm) between the center of the ultrasound fan origin and the junction of the right ventricular lateral tricuspid annulus in the apical four-chamber view. Images of the inferior vena cava (IVC) were acquired in the subxiphoid view, and transverse diameter (IVCd) was measured anterior to posterior 2 cm from the IVC right atrial junction with M-mode at maximal diameter during expiration. Peak velocity of tricuspid regurgitation was measured, and pulmonary artery systolic pressure was estimated as follows: 4 (TR peak velocity) 2 Pulsed Doppler echocardiography to assess diastolic filling velocities of the ventricles was performed in the apical four-chamber view. Thus, peak velocity of early diastolic filling (E-wave) and peak velocity of late diastolic filling (A-wave) were recorded. Maximal volume LA was determined from the apical four-chamber and two-chamber views at the end of systole using the modified Simpson disk method and then normalized to body surface area to derive left atrium volume index.

Electrocardiographic evaluation

The superficial 12-lead ECGs of all patients (Nıhon Kohden Cardiofix V model ECG-1550K device 25mm/s and standard 1mv/10mm) were recorded during the initial hospitalization and before treatment of HF and evaluated by two independent cardiologists who did not know the patients’ characteristics. Manually, heart rate, P-R interval, QT and QTc intervals, QRS duration, and S-QRS score were measured and recorded. The P-R interval was measured in milliseconds by the time between the onset of the P-wave and the onset of the QRS complex. The QRS duration was measured in milliseconds by the time between the onset of the Q- or R-wave and the end of the R- or S-wave. The QT interval was measured in milliseconds by the time between the onset of the QRS complex and the end of the T-wave. The corrected QT interval was measured using the Bazett formula. The Tpe interval was measured from the peak of the T-wave to the end of the T-wave. The end of the T-wave was defined as the tangent’s intersection to the T-wave’s downslope and the isoelectric line.

Selvester QRS score measurement

ECGs were manually scored according to the simplified 37-criterion 29-point scoring system of Bounous et al.,1515. Bounous Jr EP, Califf RM, Harrell Jr FE, Hinohara T, Mark DB, Ideker RE, et al. Prognostic value of the simplified Selvester QRS score in patients with coronary artery disease. J Am Coll Cardiol. 1988;11(1):35-41. doi: 10.1016/0735-1097(88)90163-5
https://doi.org/10.1016/0735-1097(88)901...
. Two experienced cardiologists manually calculated the S-QRS score depending on an algorithm previously reported. If the two scores did not agree, the third cardiologist calculated the S-QRS score in a blinded fashion and finalized it. The scoring system is based on criteria for 10 of the 12 leads of a standard 12-lead ECG (aVL, aVF, I, II, V1-6). Mainly, points are given for Q-wave duration, R amplitudes and duration, and R/S or R/Q ratio.

Statistical analysis

The statistical packages IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows (version 25.0) (NY, USA) and Amos (version 24.0) (WA, USA) were used to analyze the data. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was performed to determine if the data were normally distributed. Continuous variables are presented as mean (standard deviation) if the variable is parametrically distributed. Variables were compared using independent t-tests. Categorical variables are presented as numbers and percentages. The chi-square and Fisher’s exact tests were performed to compare categorical variables. A p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Variables for which the unadjusted p-value in the logistic regression model was < 0.05 were identified as potential risk markers and included in the full multivariate model. Multivariate logistic regression analyses with backward elimination were performed using a likelihood ratio test to eliminate variables. The receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the sensitivity and specificity of the S-QRS score and the optimal cut-off value for predicting mortality. Survival curves were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. The cardiac event-free rates were compared between groups using the log-rank test.

Results

Of 359 patients, 270 belonged to the survivor group and 89 to the deceased group. When demographic data were compared, age was statistically higher in the deceased group. No difference was found between the groups when the patient’s medical histories and treatments were compared (Table 1).

Table 1
– Comparison of patients’ demographic, medications, and medical history

When laboratory data were compared, Hs-CRP and NT-proBNP values were statistically higher in the deceased group (Table 2).

Table 2
– Comparison of patient’s laboratory findings

When comparing electrocardiographic and echocardiographic characteristics, LA diameter, LA volume index, QRS duration, Tpe, and S-QRS score were statistically higher in the deceased group (Table 3).

Table 3
– Comparison of patients’ echocardiographic and electrocardiographic findings

In multivariate logistic regression analysis, age, Hs-CRP, NT-proBNP, LA diameter, LA volume index, Tpe, and S-QRS score were shown to be independent risk factors for mortality (Table 4).

Table 4
– Independent predictors for mortality in patients with HFpEF

In the ROC analysis, the cut-off value of the S-QRS score was 5.5, with a sensitivity of 80.8% and a specificity of 77.2% (AUC: 0.880) (Figure 1). According to Kaplan-Meier analysis, mortality was higher in the group with an S-QRS score of ≥ 5.5 than in the group with an S-QRS score of < 5.5.(Long-rank, p:0.00) (Figure 2).

Figure 1
– ROC curve analysis of Selvester QRS score. AUC: area under the curve; CI: confidence interval.

Figure 2
– Kaplan Meier analysis of Selvester QRS score. The cardiac event rate was significantly higher in the high score (HS) group (green line) than in the low score (LS) group (blue line).

Discussion

Our study was the first to investigate the predictive value of the S-QRS score for mortality in HFpEF. The ROC analysis showed a sensitivity and specificity of 80.8% and 77.2%, respectively. At the end of this study, the S-QRS score was found to be an independent risk factor for long-term mortality in patients with HFpEF.

Similar to previous studies, age, Hs-CRP, NT-proBNP, LA diameter, LA volume index, and Tpe were independent risk factors for mortality in patients with HFpEF. In clinical studies, mortality from all causes, mortality due to cardiovascular disease, HF, and hospitalization, were observed much more frequently in the elderly than in the young.1616. Kaila K, Haykowsky MJ, Thompson RB, Paterson DI. Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction in the elderly: scope of the problem. Heart Fail Rev. 2012;17(4-5):555-62. doi: 10.1007/s10741-011-9273-z,1717. Peikert A, Martinez FA, Vaduganathan M, Claggett BL, Kulac IJ, Desai AS, et al. Efficacy and Safety of Dapagliflozin in Heart Failure With Mildly Reduced or Preserved Ejection Fraction According to Age: The DELIVER Trial. Circ Heart Fail. 2022;15(10):e010080. doi: 10.1161/CIRCHEARTFAILURE.122.010080
https://doi.org/10.1161/CIRCHEARTFAILURE...
Tromp et al.1818. Tromp J, Shen L, Jhund PS, Anand IS, Carson PE, Desai AS, et al. Age-Related Characteristics and Outcomes of Patients With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2019;74(5):601-12. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2019.05.052
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2019.05.0...
determined that the mortality rate was 6.9-fold higher, and the hospitalization rate was 16.9-fold higher in those over 85 years of age than in those under 55.1818. Tromp J, Shen L, Jhund PS, Anand IS, Carson PE, Desai AS, et al. Age-Related Characteristics and Outcomes of Patients With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2019;74(5):601-12. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2019.05.052
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2019.05.0...

In many studies, Hs-CRP has been shown to be a very important prognostic indicator of mortality due to inflammation and fibrosis in the pathophysiology of HFpEF.1919. Lakhani I, Wong MV, Hung JK, Gong M, Waleed KB, Xia Y, et al. Diagnostic and prognostic value of serum C-reactive protein in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Heart Fail Rev. 2021;26(5):1141-50. doi: 10.1007/s10741-020-09927-x,2020. Park JJ, Yoon M, Cho HW, Cho HJ, Kim KH, Yang DH, et al. C-reactive protein and statins in heart failure with reduced and preserved ejection fraction. Front Cardiovasc Med. 2022;9:1064967. doi: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.1064967
https://doi.org/10.3389/fcvm.2022.106496...
L. Koller et al.2121. Koller L, Kleber M, Goliasch G, Sulzgruber P, Scharnagl H, Silbernagel G, et al. C-reactive protein predicts mortality in patients referred for coronary angiography and symptoms of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Eur J Heart Fail. 2014;16(7):758-66. doi: 10.1002/ejhf.104
https://doi.org/10.1002/ejhf.104...
reported that mortality from all causes increased 1.2-fold and cardiovascular mortality increased 1.32-fold in patients with elevated Hs-CRP, resulting from a mean follow-up of 9.7 years in 459 HFpEF patients.2121. Koller L, Kleber M, Goliasch G, Sulzgruber P, Scharnagl H, Silbernagel G, et al. C-reactive protein predicts mortality in patients referred for coronary angiography and symptoms of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Eur J Heart Fail. 2014;16(7):758-66. doi: 10.1002/ejhf.104
https://doi.org/10.1002/ejhf.104...
It has been reported that NT-proBNP released during increased myocardial wall stress due to a hypertrophic and small left ventricle, which is the characteristic feature of HFpEF, has predictive power for long-term morbidity and mortality in HFpEF patients, both in terms of basal levels and changes in these levels.2222. Ceyhan C, Unal S, Yenisey C, Tekten T, Ceyhan FB. The role of N terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide in the evaluation of left ventricular diastolic dysfunction: correlation with echocardiographic indexes in hypertensive patients. Int J Cardiovasc Imaging. 2008;24(3):253-9. doi: 10.1007/s10554-007-9256-2 Although the predictive value of natriuretic peptides is known to be lower in HFpEF patients than in HF low ejection fraction patients, they were shown to have the same predictive value in both HF groups in the study by van Veldhuisen et al.2323. Veldhuisen DJ, Linssen GC, Jaarsma T, Gilst WK, Hoes AW, Tijssen JG, et al. B-type natriuretic peptide and prognosis in heart failure patients with preserved and reduced ejection fraction. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2013;61(14):1498-506. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2012.12.044
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2012.12.0...

Tpe is an ECG marker that has received much attention in recent years. In many studies, transmural dispersion has been accepted as an indicator of repolarization abnormalities and has been shown to be associated with ventricular arrhythmias and sudden death.2424. Tse G, Gong M, Wong WT, Georgopoulos S, Letsas KP, Vassiliou VS, et al. The Tpeak - Tend interval as an electrocardiographic risk marker of arrhythmic and mortality outcomes: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Heart Rhythm. 2017;14(8):1131-7. doi: 10.1016/j.hrthm.2017.05.031
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hrthm.2017.05....
Studies in HFpEF patients have concluded that Tpe is an important prognostic marker, proportional to disease severity and an independent risk factor for mortality.2525. Oskouie S, Prenner S, Shah S, Sauer AJ. Differences in Repolarization Heterogeneity Among Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction Phenotypic Subgroups. Am J Cardiol. 2017;120(4):601-6. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2017.05.031
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amjcard.2017.0...

Measurement of the LA is a simple, reproducible, and commonly used parameter in clinical practice and research. In studies performed in HFpEF patients, increased LA diameter and volume index are considered prognostic indicators for many complications, such as atrial fibrillation, pulmonary hypertension, and cardiovascular mortality.2626. Rossi A, Gheorghiade M, Triposkiadis F, Solomon SD, Pieske B, Butler J. Left atrium in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: structure, function, and significance. Circ Heart Fail. 2014;7(6):1042-9. doi: 10.1161/CIRCHEARTFAILURE.114.001276Rossi et al.2727. Rossi A, Cicoira M, Florea VG, Golia G, Florea ND, Khan AA, et al. Chronic heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction: diagnostic and prognostic value of left atrial size. Int J Cardiol. 2006;110(3):386-92. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2005.08.049
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcard.2005.08...
pointed out in their prospective study that increased LA diameter increased mortality by 1.72-fold.2727. Rossi A, Cicoira M, Florea VG, Golia G, Florea ND, Khan AA, et al. Chronic heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction: diagnostic and prognostic value of left atrial size. Int J Cardiol. 2006;110(3):386-92. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2005.08.049
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcard.2005.08...
The study by Pate et al. found that mortality increased by 0.9% with each millimeter increase in the LA volume index.2828. Patel DA, Lavie CJ, Milani RV, Ventura HO. Left atrial volume index and left ventricular geometry independently predict mortality in 47,865 patients with preserved ejection fraction. Circulation. 2008;118(18):S843. ISSN 0009-7322 1524-4539

The S-QRS score provides information about the size and location of myocardial scars by examining the QRS morphologic changes that occur due to ventricular depolarization changes resulting from myocardial fibrosis.2929. Kurisu S, Shimonaga T, Ikenaga H, Watanabe N, Higaki T, Ishibashi K, et al. Selvester QRS score and total perfusion deficit calculated by quantitative gated single-photon emission computed tomography in patients with prior anterior myocardial infarction in the coronary intervention era. Heart Vessels. 2017;32(4):369-75. doi: 10.1007/s00380-016-0884-0 Many autopsies and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) studies have found a high degree of correlation between the S-QRS score and scar size.3030. Wagner GS, Freye CJ, Palmeri ST, Roark SF, Stack NC, Ideker RE, et al. Evaluation of a QRS scoring system for estimating myocardial infarct size. I. Specificity and observer agreement. Circulation. 1982;65(2):342-7. doi: 10.1161/01.cir.65.2.342
https://doi.org/10.1161/01.cir.65.2.342...

31. Guo H, Zhou X, Xu J, Ye Z, Guo L, Huang R. QRS score: A simple marker to quantify the extent of myocardial scarring in patients with chronic total arterial occlusion. Chronic Dis Transl Med. 2022;8(1):51-8. doi: 10.1016/j.cdtm.2021.08.001
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cdtm.2021.08.0...
-3232. Strauss DG, Cardoso S, Lima JA, Rochitte CE, Wu KC. ECG scar quantification correlates withcardiac magnetic resonance scar size and prognostic factors in Chagas’ disease. Heart. 2011;97(5):357–61. doi: 10.1136/hrt.2010.210047 The prospective study by Liu et al.3333. Liu Q, Zhang Y, Zhang P, Zhang J, Cao X, He S, et al. Both baseline Selvester QRS score and change in QRS score predict prognosis in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardialinfarction after percutaneous coronary intervention. Coron Artery Dis. 2020;31(5):403-10. doi: 10.1097/MCA.0000000000000869
https://doi.org/10.1097/MCA.000000000000...
showed that cardiovascular mortality increased 1.46-fold in patients with elevated S-QRS scores. This resulted from a 2-year follow-up of 289 patients after MI with ST elevation compared to patients without it. In the study by Bignoti et al.,1313. Bignoto TC, Le Bihan D, Barretto RB, Ramos AI, Moreira DA, Simonato M, et al. Predictive role of Selvester QRS score in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement. Catheter Cardiovasc Interv. 2021;97(1):E95-103. doi: 10.1002/ccd.28905
https://doi.org/10.1002/ccd.28905...
228 patients who underwent transcatheter valve replacement for aortic valve stenosis were followed up for 36.2 ± 21.2 months and showed a 1.59-fold higher cardiovascular mortality rate in patients with high S-QRS scores.1313. Bignoto TC, Le Bihan D, Barretto RB, Ramos AI, Moreira DA, Simonato M, et al. Predictive role of Selvester QRS score in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement. Catheter Cardiovasc Interv. 2021;97(1):E95-103. doi: 10.1002/ccd.28905
https://doi.org/10.1002/ccd.28905...
In the study by Hirawi et al.,1212. Hiraiwa H, Okumura T, Sawamura A, Sugiura Y, Kondo T, Watanabe N, et al. The Selvester QRS score as a predictor of cardiac events in non-ischemic dilated cardiomyopathy. J Cardiol. 2018;71(3):284-90. doi: 10.1016/j.jjcc.2017.09.002
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jjcc.2017.09.0...
a 1.32-fold higher rate of fatal cardiac events was observed in patients with high S-QRS scores after a mean follow-up of 4.5 ± 3.2 years in 91 patients with non-ischemic cardiomyopathy. In addition, a high correlation with the S-QRS score of collagen fraction measured by endomyocardial biopsy was found.1212. Hiraiwa H, Okumura T, Sawamura A, Sugiura Y, Kondo T, Watanabe N, et al. The Selvester QRS score as a predictor of cardiac events in non-ischemic dilated cardiomyopathy. J Cardiol. 2018;71(3):284-90. doi: 10.1016/j.jjcc.2017.09.002
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jjcc.2017.09.0...
Uyarel et al.3434. Uyarel H, Cam N, Okmen E, Kasikcioglu H, Tartan Z, Akgul O, et al. Level of Selvester QRS score is predictive of ST-segment resolution and 30-day outcomes in patients with acute myocardial infarction undergoing primary coronary intervention. Am Heart J. 2006;151(6):1239.e1-7. doi: 10.1016/j.ahj.2006.03.019
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ahj.2006.03.01...
demonstrated the development of a no-reflow phenomenon and high 30-day mortality after MI with ST elevation in patients with a high S-QRS score.3434. Uyarel H, Cam N, Okmen E, Kasikcioglu H, Tartan Z, Akgul O, et al. Level of Selvester QRS score is predictive of ST-segment resolution and 30-day outcomes in patients with acute myocardial infarction undergoing primary coronary intervention. Am Heart J. 2006;151(6):1239.e1-7. doi: 10.1016/j.ahj.2006.03.019
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ahj.2006.03.01...
In the study by Arisoy et al.,3535. Arısoy F, Celebi O, Erbay İ, Tufekcioglu O, Aydogdu S, Temizhan A. Selvester score predicts implantable cardioverter defibrillator shocks in patients with non-ischemic cardiomyopathy. J Arrhythm. 2021;37(4):1046-51. doi: 10.1002/joa3.12571
https://doi.org/10.1002/joa3.12571...
it was shown that a high S-QRS score is an independent risk factor for ventricular tachycardia and/or ventricular fibrillation in patients with non-ischemic cardiomyopathy.3535. Arısoy F, Celebi O, Erbay İ, Tufekcioglu O, Aydogdu S, Temizhan A. Selvester score predicts implantable cardioverter defibrillator shocks in patients with non-ischemic cardiomyopathy. J Arrhythm. 2021;37(4):1046-51. doi: 10.1002/joa3.12571
https://doi.org/10.1002/joa3.12571...
In the study by Chen et al.,3636. Chen S, Wang X, Huang L, Chen Y, Zhang Q. Performance of 12-lead electrocardiogram Selvester QRS scoring criteria to diagnose myocardial scar in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Ann Noninvasive Electrocardiol. 2020;25(5):e12762. doi: 10.1111/anec.12762
https://doi.org/10.1111/anec.12762...
which compared cardiac MRI and the S-QRS score in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, it was noted that the S-QRS score indicated the presence and size of the scar as accurately as cardiac MRI.3636. Chen S, Wang X, Huang L, Chen Y, Zhang Q. Performance of 12-lead electrocardiogram Selvester QRS scoring criteria to diagnose myocardial scar in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Ann Noninvasive Electrocardiol. 2020;25(5):e12762. doi: 10.1111/anec.12762
https://doi.org/10.1111/anec.12762...
Netsi et al.3737. Nesti M, Perini AP, Bani R, Cartei S, Checchi L, Ricciardi G, et al. Myocardial Scar on Surface ECG: Selvester Score, but Not Fragmentation, Predicts Response to CRT. Cardiol Res Pract. 2020;2020:2036545. doi: 10.1155/2020/2036545
https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/2036545...
on the other hand, showed that the S-QRS score before implantation of cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) is one of the most important indicators of response to CRT treatment.3737. Nesti M, Perini AP, Bani R, Cartei S, Checchi L, Ricciardi G, et al. Myocardial Scar on Surface ECG: Selvester Score, but Not Fragmentation, Predicts Response to CRT. Cardiol Res Pract. 2020;2020:2036545. doi: 10.1155/2020/2036545
https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/2036545...
Many studies have revealed that cardiac fibrosis is one of the most important pathophysiological mechanisms in patients with HFpEF. The autopsy study by Mohammed et al.,3838. Mohammed SF, Hussain S, Mirzoyev SA, Edwards WD, Maleszewski JJ, Redfield MM. Coronary microvascularr are faction and myocardial fibrosis in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Circulation. 2015;131(6):550-9. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.114.009625
https://doi.org/10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.1...
proved that epicardial coronary artery disease, microvascular infarcts, and gross and microscopic scars were more prevalent in HFpEF patients compared with the control group.3838. Mohammed SF, Hussain S, Mirzoyev SA, Edwards WD, Maleszewski JJ, Redfield MM. Coronary microvascularr are faction and myocardial fibrosis in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Circulation. 2015;131(6):550-9. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.114.009625
https://doi.org/10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.1...
In the cardiac MRI study by Garg et al.,3939. Garg P, Assadi H, Jones R, Chan WB, Metherall P, Thomas R, et al. Left ventricular fibrosis and hypertrophy are associated with mortality in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Sci Rep. 2021;11(1):617. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-79729-6
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-79729...
fibrosis size was determined to be an independent risk indicator for mortality in patients with HFpEF.3939. Garg P, Assadi H, Jones R, Chan WB, Metherall P, Thomas R, et al. Left ventricular fibrosis and hypertrophy are associated with mortality in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Sci Rep. 2021;11(1):617. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-79729-6
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-79729...
Cho et al.4040. Cho JH, Zhang R, Kilfoil PJ, Gallet R, Couto G, Breese C, et al. Ventricular Arrhythmias Underlie Sudden Death in Rats With Heart Failure and Preserved Ejection Fraction. Circulation. 2017;136(21):2037-50. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.117.028202
https://doi.org/10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.1...
reported that fibrosis size was an independent risk factor for developing ventricular arrhythmias in HFpEF patients.4040. Cho JH, Zhang R, Kilfoil PJ, Gallet R, Couto G, Breese C, et al. Ventricular Arrhythmias Underlie Sudden Death in Rats With Heart Failure and Preserved Ejection Fraction. Circulation. 2017;136(21):2037-50. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.117.028202
https://doi.org/10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.1...
In a cardiac MRI study by Kanagala et al.4141. Kanagala P, Cheng A, Singh A, Khan JN, Gulsin GS, Patel P, et al. Relationship Between Focal and Diffuse Fibrosis Assessed by CMR and Clinical Outcomes in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction. JACC Cardiovasc Imaging. 2019;12(11 Pt 2):2291-301. doi: 10.1016/j.jcmg.2018.11.031
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcmg.2018.11.0...
in patients with HFpEF, fibrosis size was found to be an independent risk factor for biventricular and LA remodeling, as well as hospitalization and mortality.4141. Kanagala P, Cheng A, Singh A, Khan JN, Gulsin GS, Patel P, et al. Relationship Between Focal and Diffuse Fibrosis Assessed by CMR and Clinical Outcomes in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction. JACC Cardiovasc Imaging. 2019;12(11 Pt 2):2291-301. doi: 10.1016/j.jcmg.2018.11.031
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcmg.2018.11.0...
The S-QRS score is a simple, inexpensive, and widely accepted scoring system that measures ventricular scar size and is obtained with a standard 12-lead ECG. In our study, the S-QRS score was found to be an independent risk factor for mortality in patients with HFpEF.

Limitations

This study has many limitations. First, the number of patients included in the study is small, and the ECG records were not examined during routine examinations. In addition, values such as CRP and troponin, which are associated with subclinical myocardial damage, were not serially followed up. Cardiac MRI, the gold standard for measuring ventricular fibrosis, was not performed.

Conclusion

The S-QRS score measured by standard 12-lead ECG was found to be an independent risk factor for mortality in patients with HFpEF. Therefore, it provides information on patient mortality even in the absence of cardiac MRI access and when other ECG parameters are normal. We recommend that the S-QRS score should not be neglected in evaluating high-risk patients.

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  • Study association
    This study is not associated with any thesis or dissertation work.
  • Ethics approval and consent to participate
    This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Adana Health Practice and Research Center under the protocol number 1983. All the procedures in this study were in accordance with the 1975 Helsinki Declaration, updated in 2013. Informed consent was obtained from all participants included in the study.
  • Sources of funding: There were no external funding sources for this study.

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    09 Oct 2023
  • Date of issue
    2023

History

  • Received
    03 Dec 2022
  • Reviewed
    15 June 2023
  • Accepted
    17 July 2023
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