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Ciência Florestal

Print version ISSN 0103-9954On-line version ISSN 1980-5098

Abstract

LIMA FILHO, Luiz Medeiros de Araujo; SILVA, José Antônio Aleixo da; CORDEIRO, Gauss Moutinho  and  FERREIRA, Rinaldo Luiz Caraciolo. MODELING THE GROWTH OF Eucalyptus CLONES USING THE CHAPMAN-RICHARDS MODEL WITH DIFFERENT SYMMETRICAL ERROR DISTRIBUTIONS. Ciênc. Florest. [online]. 2012, vol.22, n.4, pp.777-785. ISSN 0103-9954.  http://dx.doi.org/10.5902/198050987558.

The objective of this work was to estimate the height growth of Eucalyptus using the Chapman-Richards model considering for the errors the distributions normal, Student t (t) and Cauchy. The data set came from one hybrid clone of Eucalyptus urophylla x Eucalyptus tereticornis x E. pellita (controlled pollination), of the Forestry Experimental Module in the Gypsum Pole of Araripe, established in 2002. Eighty-three trees were used which heights were measured in all trees for six and half years. The parameters of the Chapman- Richards model were obtained maximizing the log-likelihood function. For comparison of the adjusted models were used the criteria of Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Bayesian (BIC) and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The model using the t distribution with 2 degrees of freedom (t2) had lower values of AIC and BIC and the model of Cauchy had lower value for MAPE. The results indicate that the model considering the t distribution for the errors presented best estimates of height growth of Eucalyptus hybrid clones in Gypsum Pole of Pernambuco.

Keywords : maximum likelihood; symmetrical models; robust distributions.

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