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Maize yield gain using irrigation in the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil1 1 Research developed at Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Faculdade de Agronomia, Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil

Ganho de produtividade de milho utilizando irrigação no estado do Rio Grande do Sul, Brasil

ABSTRACT

The state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, has a low maize production when compared to the total demand, particularly under water deficit conditions. This study aimed to estimate the yield gain of maize using irrigation. The FAO Agroecological zone model was used to simulate the yield after previous calibration and evaluation, following an experimental design of randomized blocks, with 40 growing seasons as replicates and 20 sites. Two water management (rainfall and irrigation), three sowing dates (Aug 15, Sept 15, and Oct 15), and three soil textures (sandy, sand-clayey, and clayey) were evaluated. The generic hybrid obtained from calibration based on multiple hybrids with a medium cycle of 150 d was utilized for the simulation. The model evaluation showed an absolute bias of 16% and an overestimated yield of 2%. The mean irrigated and rainfed yields were, respectively, 16,094 and 5,386 kg ha-1. The irrigated yield had statistically superior values for the sowing dates Sep 15 and Oct 15, although it required a greater amount of irrigation. The yield gain reached a maximum value of 56% in the site of São Gabriel, with irrigation amount increasing 14% on the sowing date Oct 15 compared to that of Aug 15. The soil types showed statistical differences for rainfed conditions, and irrigation minimized the differences, while no statistically significant differences were found for the yield. Irrigation showed potential to increase the maize supply, and the response across sites can be considered in the agricultural management plan.

Key words:
Zea mays; water deficit; sowing dates; crop model; agriculture plan

RESUMO

O Rio Grande do Sul apresenta baixa oferta de milho em relação à demanda, condição agravada com limitação hídrica. Assim, objetivou-se estimar o ganho de produtividade do milho utilizando irrigação. O modelo da zona agroecológica da FAO, calibrado e validado, foi utilizado para simulação, considerando um experimento de blocos casualizados, com 40 safras de repetições, e 20 locais, manejo irrigado e sequeiro, três datas de semeadura (15/Ago, 15/Set e 15/Out) para solos de textura arenosa, média e argilosa. Um híbrido genérico obtido na calibração com base em vários híbridos com ciclo médio de 150 dias foi considerado na simulação. Na validação, o modelo apresentou um erro absoluto relativo de 16%, superestimando a produtividade em apenas 2%. A produtividade média irrigada e de sequeiro foi, respectivamente, de 16.094 e 5.386 kg ha-1. As datas de semeadura de 15 Set e 15 Out apresentaram valores estatisticamente superior para a condição irrigada. O uso da irrigação resultou em maior ganho de produtividade para 15 Set e 15 Out, com maior demanda de irrigação. O maior ganho de produtividade com uso de irrigação foi de 56%, em São Gabriel, com aumento de 14% na demanda de irrigação quando comparado 15 Out e 15 Ago. Os tipos de solos obtiveram diferenças significativas para a condição de sequeiro, enquanto que a irrigação minimizou as diferenças de produtividade, não apresentando diferença estatística. A irrigação demonstrou potencial para aumentar a oferta de milho, em que manejos locais podem ser considerados no plano agrícola.

Palavras-chave:
Zea mays; déficit hídrico; data de semeadura; modelo de cultura; produção de alimento; planejamento agrícola

HIGHLIGHTS:

Crop model had a less than 16% bias when comparing simulated and observed maize yield under rainfed and irrigated conditions.

The best sowing date varied by site when considered yield gain and irrigation demand.

Maize yield can be increased three-fold with irrigation of 342 to 565 mm per cycle.

Introduction

Maize production in the consumer market has gained attention because of the high prices of imported grain from other states. These prices limit the expansion of animal production and raise the final cost of the products. The state of Rio Grande do Sul produced 3.93 million tons of grain maize in the 2019/20 growing seasons (IBGE, 2020IBGE - Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística. Produção Agrícola Municipal. Available on: <Available on: http://www.sidra.ibge.gov.br/bda/pesquisas/pam >. Accessed on: Dec. 2020.
http://www.sidra.ibge.gov.br/bda/pesquis...
). Historically, the estimated total production deficit was between 9 and 12 million tons, making the animal protein production chain economically unfeasible (Camargo et al., 2022Camargo, F. A. O.; Battisti, R.; Dalchiavon, F. C. Maize grain supply and demand for the animal protein chain in the Rio Grande do Sul state, Brazil. Ciência Rural, v.52, p.1-4, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0103-8478cr20210259
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0103-8478cr202...
). This was caused by maize supply importation from other Brazilian states that resulted in R$ 400 million of taxes and logistics evasion in 2018 (Camargo et al., 2022).

The low production of maize in the state was associated with climatic limitation, where water deficit was responsible for the reduction of 58% of maize potential yield, along with limited crop management, as low fertilization reduced the maize potential yield by 22% (Battisti et al., 2012Battisti, R.; Sentelhas, P. C.; Pilau, F. G. Agricultural efficiency of soybean, corn and wheat production in the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, between 1980 and 2008. Ciência Rural, v.42, p.24-30, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0103-84782012000100005
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0103-84782012...
). To improve the crop and reduce yield variability between growing seasons, producers began using irrigation to counter the effects of the weather patterns in the state (Nóia Júnior et al., 2020Nóia Júnior, R. de S.; Fraisse, C. W.; Karrei, M. A. Z.; Cerbaro, V. A.; Perondi, D. Effects of the El Niño Southern Oscillation phenomenon and sowing dates on soybean yield and on the occurrence of extreme weather events in southern Brazil. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, v.290, p.1-15, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108038
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020...
). The yield gain from irrigation can be quantified using a crop model, which is a tool that simulates yield in response to environmental conditions and crop management, including that of irrigation (Battisti et al., 2018b). Crop models have equation and calculation steps that represent crop physiology in response to multiple inputs, such as weather, soil, sowing date, and water management (Silva & Giller, 2020Silva, J. V.; Giller, K. E. Grand challenges for the 21st century: what crop models can and can’t (yet) do. The Journal of Agricultural Science , v.158, p.794-805, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859621000150
https://doi.org/10.1017/S002185962100015...
). The FAO Agroecological zone has been widely used for evaluating yield responses to weather, sowing date, and irrigation management across sites (Battisti et al., 2020Battisti, R.; Ferreira, M. D. P.; Tavares, É. B.; Knapp, F. M.; Bender, F. D.; Casaroli, D.; Alves Junior, J. Rules for grown soybean-maize cropping system in Midwestern Brazil: Food production and economic profits. Agricultural Systems , v.182, p.1-14, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2020.102850
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2020.1028...
). The database enables quantification of the yield response for multiple growing seasons to obtain reliable results for agricultural planning (Sampaio et al., 2020Sampaio, L. S.; Battisti, R.; Lana, M. A.; Boote, K. J. Assessment of sowing dates and plant densities using CSMCROPGRO-Soybean for soybean maturity groups in low latitude. The Journal of Agricultural Science, v.158, p.819-832, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859621000204
https://doi.org/10.1017/S002185962100020...
).

Irrigation leads to yield stability and increases maize supply (Attia et al., 2021Attia, A.; El-Hendawy, S.; Al-Suhaibani, N.; Alotaibi, M.; Tahir, M. U.; Kamal, K. Y. Evaluating deficit irrigation scheduling strategies to improve yield and water productivity of maize in arid environment using simulation. Agricultural Water Management, v.249, p.1-12, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2021.106812
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2021.106...
), ensuring the efficiency of resource use in the production system. The mean irrigated maize yield reported in farm plots ranged from 10,140 to 18,081 kg ha-1 in the state (Vian et al., 2016Vian, A. L.; Santi, A. L.; Amado, T. J. C.; Cherubin, M. R.; Simon, D. H.; Damian, J. M.; Bredemeier, C. Spatial variability of grain yield of irrigated corn and its correlation with explanatory plant variables. Ciência Rural, v.46, p.467-471, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1590/0103-8478cr20150539
https://doi.org/10.1590/0103-8478cr20150...
; Barcellos, 2017Barcellos, A. L. Análise de risco da produção de milho irrigado sob pivô central. Rio Grande do Sul: Universidade de Cruz Alta, 2017. 69p. Dissertação de Mestrado), with a maximum of 22,493 kg ha-1 measured in an area of agricultural precision (Vian et al., 2016). During the same period, the mean maize yield reported by IBGE (2020IBGE - Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística. Produção Agrícola Municipal. Available on: <Available on: http://www.sidra.ibge.gov.br/bda/pesquisas/pam >. Accessed on: Dec. 2020.
http://www.sidra.ibge.gov.br/bda/pesquis...
), considering the mean value by county, ranged between 3,133 and 7,518 kg ha-1 in the state (IBGE, 2020IBGE - Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística. Produção Agrícola Municipal. Available on: <Available on: http://www.sidra.ibge.gov.br/bda/pesquisas/pam >. Accessed on: Dec. 2020.
http://www.sidra.ibge.gov.br/bda/pesquis...
). Therefore, this study aimed to estimate the maize yield gain using irrigation and irrigation demand based on 40 years (1980-2020) of daily weather data for different sowing dates and soil types in 20 municipalities in the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil.

Material and Methods

Yield and irrigation amounts were simulated for 20 municipalities in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil that were defined based on the maize growing area and climatic region (Table 1). The simulation was performed following a randomized block design, with 40 growing seasons as replicates, 20 sites, two water management, three sowing dates, and three soil textures.

Table 1
Sites, Köppen climate classification, latitude (Lat), longitude (Long), altitude above sea level (Alt), minimum (min), mean and maximum (max) air temperature, solar radiation, rainfall, potential crop evapotranspiration (ETc), water deficit and surplus along maize cycle

Weather data were obtained daily between 1980 and 2015 from Xavier et al. (2015Xavier, A. C.; King, C. W.; Scanlon, B. R. Daily gridded meteorological variables in Brazil (1980-2013). International Journal of Climatology, v.36, p.2644-2659, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4518
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4518...
) and between 2016 and 2020 from the NASAPOWER (https://power.larc.nasa.gov/dataaccess-viewer/), totaling 40 growing seasons. These weather databases were validated for crop modeling in Brazil (Duarte & Sentelhas, 2020Duarte, Y. C. N.; Sentelhas, P. C. NASA/POWER and DailyGridded weather datasets -how good they are for estimating maize yields in Brazil?. International Journal of Biometeorology, v.64, p.319-329, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00484-019-01810-1
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00484-019-018...
). The weather data obtained included the mean, maximum, and minimum air temperatures, mean relative humidity, solar radiation on the surface, wind speed, and rainfall. Table 1 shows the geographic location of each site (latitude and longitude), altitude above sea level, and the mean weather variables, potential crop evapotranspiration (ETc), water deficit, and water surplus over 40 years.

The attainable yield was simulated using the crop model of the FAO Agroecological zone (Doorenbos & Kassam, 1979Doorenbos, J.; Kassam, A. M. Yield response to water. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization, 1979. 59p. Irrigation and Drainage Paper, 33), calibrated by Andrioli & Sentelhas (2009Andrioli, K. G.; Sentelhas, P. C. Brazilian maize genotypes sensitivity to water deficit estimated through a simple crop yield model. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, v.44, p.653-660, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-204X2009000700001
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-204X200900...
). The crop model was evaluated for maize in the Rio Grande do Sul state, considering the mean measured yield for 10 growing seasons (2009-2017) for 20 sites (IBGE, 2020IBGE - Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística. Produção Agrícola Municipal. Available on: <Available on: http://www.sidra.ibge.gov.br/bda/pesquisas/pam >. Accessed on: Dec. 2020.
http://www.sidra.ibge.gov.br/bda/pesquis...
) and eight irrigated yields from two regions (Vian et al., 2016Vian, A. L.; Santi, A. L.; Amado, T. J. C.; Cherubin, M. R.; Simon, D. H.; Damian, J. M.; Bredemeier, C. Spatial variability of grain yield of irrigated corn and its correlation with explanatory plant variables. Ciência Rural, v.46, p.467-471, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1590/0103-8478cr20150539
https://doi.org/10.1590/0103-8478cr20150...
; Barcellos, 2017Barcellos, A. L. Análise de risco da produção de milho irrigado sob pivô central. Rio Grande do Sul: Universidade de Cruz Alta, 2017. 69p. Dissertação de Mestrado). Crop model performance was evaluated by considering the correlation between simulated and measured yield (r), R², Willmott agreement index (d) indices, and absolute and relative bias (Wallach et al., 2006Wallach, D.; Makowski, D.; Jones, J. W. Working with dynamic crop models: Evaluation, analysis, parameterization, and application. Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2006. 447p.).

The simulations were performed using Microsoft Excel, where the general equations used to simulate the potential and attainable yield were as follows:

Y p = i = 1 m G P · L A I i L A I r e f · C R E S P · C H · 1 - C W - 1 (1)

Y a = Y p · i = 1 n 1 - K y i · 1 - E T a i E T c i (2)

where:

Yp - potential yield (kg ha-1);

Ya - attainable yield (kg ha-1);

GP - gross photosynthesis (kg DM ha-1 per day), calculated as the sum of the gross photosynthesis for C4 crop estimated in the fraction of clear and overcast skies based on extra-terrestrial solar radiation, photoperiod, and effective hours of sunshine, adjusted by the efficiency of the photosynthetic process depending on air temperature (Andrioli & Sentelhas, 2009Andrioli, K. G.; Sentelhas, P. C. Brazilian maize genotypes sensitivity to water deficit estimated through a simple crop yield model. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, v.44, p.653-660, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-204X2009000700001
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-204X200900...
);

LAIi - leaf area index across the cycle (Müller et al., 2005Müller, A. G.; Bergamaschi, H.; Bergonci, J. I.; Radin, B.; França, S.; Silva, M. I. G. da. Estimating the leaf area index of maize crops through the sum of degree-day. Revista Brasileira de Agrometeorologia, v.13, p.65-71, 2005.; Battisti et al., 2018aBattisti, R.; Sentelhas, P. C.; Pascoalino, J. A. L.; Sako, H.; Dantas, J. P. de S.; Moraes, M. F. Soybean yield gap in the areas of yield contest in Brazil. International Journal of Plant Production, v.12, p.159-168, 2018a. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42106-018-0016-0
https://doi.org/10.1007/s42106-018-0016-...
), where LAIi = 0 from sowing to seven days after sowing (DAS) and from 140 to 150 DAS; LAIi increases linearly from 0 to 5 from 8 to 80 DAS; and LAIi = 5, from 81 to 140 DAS; LAIref is the reference leaf area index of five in the GP simulation;

CRESP - depletion coefficient from maintenance respiration, with a value of 0.6 when the air temperature is lower than 20 °C, and 0.5 above 20 °C (Doorenbos & Kassam, 1979Doorenbos, J.; Kassam, A. M. Yield response to water. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization, 1979. 59p. Irrigation and Drainage Paper, 33);

CH - crop harvest index, defined as 0.5 (Avila et al., 2016Avila, R. G.; Magalhães, P. C.; Alvarenga, A. A. de; Lavinsky, A. de O.; Campos, C. N.; Gomes Júnior, C. C.; Souza, T. C. de. Drought-tolerant maize genotypes invest in root system and maintain high harvest index during water stress. Revista Brasileira de Milho e Sorgo, v.15, p.450-460, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.18512/1980-6477/rbms.v15n3p450-460
http://dx.doi.org/10.18512/1980-6477/rbm...
);

CW - fraction of water content in the harvested part of the plant, defined as 0.13;

Kyi - water deficit sensitivity index, defined by crop stage (0.40 for establishment to flowering; 1.4 during flowering; 0.5 during grain filling; and 0.2 for maturation) (Andrioli & Sentelhas, 2009Andrioli, K. G.; Sentelhas, P. C. Brazilian maize genotypes sensitivity to water deficit estimated through a simple crop yield model. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, v.44, p.653-660, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-204X2009000700001
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-204X200900...
);

ETai - actual evapotranspiration;

ETci - potential crop evapotranspiration;

i-day - crop cycle in Eq. 1, and the crop stage in Eq. 2;

m - number of days of the crop cycle from sowing to harvesting, totaling 150 days (generic hybrid with medium-late cycle); and,

n - number of crop stages (sowing to establishment, establishment to the beginning of flowering, flowering, grain filling, and maturation).

Potential crop evapotranspiration (ETc) was estimated from the reference evapotranspiration (ETo) by the Penman-Monteith method (Pilau et al., 2012Pilau, F. G.; Battisti, R.; Somavilla, L.; Righi, E. Z. Perfomance of methods for estimating reference evapotranspiration in the municipalities of Frederico Westphalen and Palmeira das Missões, State of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. Ciência Rural, v.42, p.283-290, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0103-84782012000200016
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0103-84782012...
), multiplied by the crop coefficient (Kc), of 0.56 from sowing to establishment (15 days), 0.56 to 1.2 from establishment to flowering (65 days), 1.2 during flowering and grain filling (55 days) and 1.2 to 0.6 during maturation (15 days) (Andrioli & Sentelhas, 2009Andrioli, K. G.; Sentelhas, P. C. Brazilian maize genotypes sensitivity to water deficit estimated through a simple crop yield model. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, v.44, p.653-660, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-204X2009000700001
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-204X200900...
). ETa was obtained using the water balance methodology of Thornthwaite and Mather adapted by Battisti et al. (2018aBattisti, R.; Sentelhas, P. C.; Pascoalino, J. A. L.; Sako, H.; Dantas, J. P. de S.; Moraes, M. F. Soybean yield gap in the areas of yield contest in Brazil. International Journal of Plant Production, v.12, p.159-168, 2018a. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42106-018-0016-0
https://doi.org/10.1007/s42106-018-0016-...
), where the initial root depth of 15 cm increased linearly to the maximum root depth of 80 cm at the beginning of flowering. The data required for water balance were daily rainfall and potential crop evapotranspiration amounts, including three soil types having soil water availabilities for the crop (texture) of 0.50 (sandy), 0.87 (sand-clayey), and 1.25 (clayey) mm cm-1 of root depth (Battisti et al., 2018b).

Sowing dates followed the recommendations of the Agricultural Zoning of Climate Risk of Aug 15, Sep 15, and Oct 15. The attainable yield under rainfed conditions was obtained based on the amount and distribution of rainfall, whereas that under irrigation was considered the additional amount of water applied by the irrigation system. The yield gain was determined as the difference between the yields under irrigation and rainfed conditions. Irrigation management was performed by applying 8 mm of water per day, which is the value used in the main maize production system in Rio Grande do Sul, the central pivot irrigation system. Irrigation was applied when the available soil water level decreased by 8 mm, to maintain the crop under optimal soil water content.

Maize yield, yield gain using irrigation, and the total amount of irrigation during the crop cycle were subjected to analysis of variance at p ≤ 0.05, and the means were compared using the Scott-Knott test at p ≤ 0.05. The analyses were performed using GENES software (Cruz, 2013Cruz, C. D. GENES - a software package for analysis in experimental statistics and quantitative genetics. Acta Scientiarium Agronomy, v.35, p.271-276, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.4025/actasciagron.v35i3.21251
http://dx.doi.org/10.4025/actasciagron.v...
).

Results and Discussion

The crop model showed an absolute bias of 1,247 kg ha-1, representing 16%, with a high correlation (r = 0.72; d = 0.90) between the measured and simulated yields (Figure 1). The overprediction was 2%, with most of the data in the range of 1:1 to the mean yield gap of the Global Yield Gap Atlas (GYGA, 2022GYGA - Global Yield Gap Atlas. Maize yield gap. 2022. Available on: <Available on: http://www.yieldgap.org >. Accessed on: Feb. 2022.
http://www.yieldgap.org...
). The yield gap indicates the amount of yield losses that occur in the field by crop management with conditions that were not simulated by the crop model, which for maize represents a value of 44% for the Rio Grande do Sul state (GYGA, 2022GYGA - Global Yield Gap Atlas. Maize yield gap. 2022. Available on: <Available on: http://www.yieldgap.org >. Accessed on: Feb. 2022.
http://www.yieldgap.org...
). The crop model performance during evaluation using the yield from IBGE (2020IBGE - Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística. Produção Agrícola Municipal. Available on: <Available on: http://www.sidra.ibge.gov.br/bda/pesquisas/pam >. Accessed on: Dec. 2020.
http://www.sidra.ibge.gov.br/bda/pesquis...
) and irrigated areas in the Rio Grande do Sul state was similar to that of Andrioli & Sentelhas (2009Andrioli, K. G.; Sentelhas, P. C. Brazilian maize genotypes sensitivity to water deficit estimated through a simple crop yield model. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, v.44, p.653-660, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-204X2009000700001
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-204X200900...
), who obtained a bias from -5.7 to + 5.8%, with a general mean absolute error of 960 kg ha-1 (10%). Those authors calibrated the model for a generic hybrid, considering the inputs of 26 maize hybrids across different climate conditions and yields range from 7,000 to 11,000 kg ha-1.

Figure 1
Simulated and measured maize yield for irrigated and rainfed method for sites and field experiment in the state of Rio Grande do Sul

The differences between the measured and simulated yields were linked to uncertainties in the simulation, including sowing dates, crop cycles, and weather variability from the field to the weather station. The dataset from the IBGE is also a source of uncertainty because it considers interviews to obtain yield results that represent the mean value across multiple plots that have greatly differing crop management methods (IBGE, 2020IBGE - Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística. Produção Agrícola Municipal. Available on: <Available on: http://www.sidra.ibge.gov.br/bda/pesquisas/pam >. Accessed on: Dec. 2020.
http://www.sidra.ibge.gov.br/bda/pesquis...
). This dataset also does not separate rainfed and irrigated areas, leading to crop model underprediction for the areas of Cruz Alta, São Luiz Gonzaga, and Palmeira das Missões, which have 12, 7, and 4%, respectively, of the agricultural area in the county irrigated by a central pivot (Martins et al., 2016Martins, J. D.; Bohrz, I. S.; Tura, E. F.; Fredrich, M.; Veronez, R. P.; Kunz, G. A. Assessment of area irrigated by center pivot in state of Rio Grande do Sul. Irriga, v.21, p.300-311, 2016. https://doi.org/10.15809/irriga.2016v21n2p300-311
https://doi.org/10.15809/irriga.2016v21n...
).

The limitation in the simulation for the Vian et al. (2016Vian, A. L.; Santi, A. L.; Amado, T. J. C.; Cherubin, M. R.; Simon, D. H.; Damian, J. M.; Bredemeier, C. Spatial variability of grain yield of irrigated corn and its correlation with explanatory plant variables. Ciência Rural, v.46, p.467-471, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1590/0103-8478cr20150539
https://doi.org/10.1590/0103-8478cr20150...
) dataset was associated with natural yield variability under field conditions, where the results were obtained from a harvest map in an area of 35 ha, considering the minimum, mean, and maximum yields compared to a single simulated value. The crop model has a single result for which the simulation, where crop model parameters were calibrated for the mean yield condition, showed the importance of representing yield tendencies among different treatments (Paixão et al., 2021Paixão, J. S.; Casaroli, D.; Anjos, J. C. R. dos; Alves Júnior, J.; Evangelista, A. W. P.; Dias, H. B.; Battisti, R. Optimizing Sugarcane Planting Windows Using a Crop Simulation Model at the State Level. International Journal of Plant Production , v.15, p.303-315, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42106-021-00134-8
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42106-021-001...
). Despite these limitations, the crop model showed a good yield tendency among multiple sites under rainfed and irrigated conditions and was therefore applicable to this study.

Water management showed a significant interaction (p ≤ 0.01) for sites, water management, and sowing dates in terms of yield, while soils presented an interaction with water management (Table 2). The yield gain using irrigation and irrigation demand had significant interactions (p ≤ 0.01) for sites and sowing dates, and for soil as an isolated factor (Table 2).

Table 2
Analysis of variance summary for maize yield, yield gain by irrigation use, and irrigation demand during crop cycle

All sites had higher yields from the sowing dates of Sept 15 and Oct 15 than that of Aug 15 under irrigated conditions (Table 3). For example, a higher yield was observed in Itaqui, reaching 18,991 kg ha-1 on Oct 15, which was statistically similar to that of Sept 15 (Table 3), but differed from the value on Aug 15 of 15,994 kg ha-1. This result relates to the interaction of available solar radiation and the maximum leaf area index under optimal water conditions (Liu et al., 2021Liu, G-Z.; Liu, W-M.; Hou, P.; Ming, B.; Yang, Y-S.; Guo, X. X.; Xie, R-Z.; Wang, K-R.; Li, S-K. Reducing maize yield gap by matching plant density and solar radiation. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, v.20, p.363-370, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2095-3119(20)63363-9
https://doi.org/10.1016/S2095-3119(20)63...
), where the sowing dates of Sep 15 and Oct 15 had better matches between higher solar radiation and maximum maize leaf area.

Table 3
Maize yield obtained for sites in the state of Rio Grande do Sul based on water management and sowing dates

The sites showed three sowing date patterns under rainfed conditions (Table 4). Thirteen sites had similar statistical yields for sowing dates of Aug 15, Sep 15, and Oct 15, and superior statistical performance was revealed on Aug 15 compared to Sep 15 and Oct 15 for six sites. The Aug 15 date was included as a strategy to avoid yield losses due to water deficit (Battisti et al., 2018bBattisti, R.; Sentelhas, P. C.; Parker, P. S.; Nendel, C.; Câmara, G. M. S.; Farias, J. R. B.; Basso, C. J. Assessment of crop-management strategies to improve soybean resilience to climate change in Southern Brazil. Crop & Pasture Science, v.69, p.154-162, 2018b. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/cp17293
http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/cp17293...
; Pilau et al., 2018Pilau, F. G.; Battisti, R.; Dalmago, G. A. Requirement of supplemental irrigation and climatic efficiency for soybean crop in Rio Grande do Sul state, Brazil. Agrometeoros, v.26, p.317-325, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.31062/agrom.v26i2.26392
http://dx.doi.org/10.31062/agrom.v26i2.2...
). This strategy was effective in Alegrete, where the yield on Aug 15 was 5,828 kg ha-1 compared to 3,779 kg ha-1 on Sep 15 (Table 3). In contrast, Torres was the only site where the sowing date of Oct 15 had a better statistical performance than those of Aug 15 and Sep 15.

Table 4
Maize yield gain and total irrigation demand for sites in the state of Rio Grande do Sul based on sowing dates

The mean maize yields were 5,386 and 16,094 kg ha-1, respectively, for rainfed and irrigated conditions. The yield level differed significantly across sites for each water management type and sowing date. For example, São Luiz Gonzaga had a higher yield across sites for Aug 15 under irrigated conditions, reaching a mean of 16,054 kg ha-1 (Table 3), which was statistically similar to that of other sites, such as Alegrete and Cruz Alta. Based on this result, public policies can be developed by region for irrigation use and maize production improvement (Battisti et al., 2018bBattisti, R.; Sentelhas, P. C.; Parker, P. S.; Nendel, C.; Câmara, G. M. S.; Farias, J. R. B.; Basso, C. J. Assessment of crop-management strategies to improve soybean resilience to climate change in Southern Brazil. Crop & Pasture Science, v.69, p.154-162, 2018b. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/cp17293
http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/cp17293...
).

The yield gain using irrigation was higher on Sep 15 and Oct 15 than on Aug 15 for all sites (Table 4). A higher yield gain leads to a higher water demand for irrigation but with a greater water use efficiency. For example, São Gabriel had the higher yield gain on Oct 15, reaching a mean of 14,879 kg ha-1, leading to an irrigation demand of 553 mm per cycle (Table 4) and in a yield gain of 26.9 kg ha-1 mm-1 of irrigation. This region had the highest water deficit across the study sites, with a mean of 169 mm per cycle (Table 1). In contrast, Bom Jesus had the lowest yield gain, with 4,434 kg ha-1, and an irrigation demand of 342 mm per cycle (Table 4), resulting in a yield gain of 13.0 kg ha-1 mm-1 of irrigation. Bom Jesus was the coldest site analyzed in the state, with a mean air temperature during the maize cycle of 18.14 ºC (Table 1). The climatic variability was associated with the effects of the macroscale climate phenomena that affect the state (Nóia Júnior et al., 2020Nóia Júnior, R. de S.; Fraisse, C. W.; Karrei, M. A. Z.; Cerbaro, V. A.; Perondi, D. Effects of the El Niño Southern Oscillation phenomenon and sowing dates on soybean yield and on the occurrence of extreme weather events in southern Brazil. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, v.290, p.1-15, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108038
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020...
).

The irrigated yield was statistically similar when simulated for soil texture (Table 5), but with different irrigation requirements: 516, 469, and 436 mm per cycle for sandy, sand-clayey, and clayey soils, respectively (Table 5). The use of irrigation helps to minimize the difference in absolute yield between soils by avoiding water deficits (Battisti et al., 2018bBattisti, R.; Sentelhas, P. C.; Parker, P. S.; Nendel, C.; Câmara, G. M. S.; Farias, J. R. B.; Basso, C. J. Assessment of crop-management strategies to improve soybean resilience to climate change in Southern Brazil. Crop & Pasture Science, v.69, p.154-162, 2018b. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/cp17293
http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/cp17293...
). However, rainfed yields were 6,427, 5,492, and 4,241 kg ha-1 for sandy, sand-clayey, and clayey soils, respectively, which were statistically different (Table 5). The soil types also differed statistically for yield gain (Table 5), with 11,831, 10,589, and 9,701 kg ha-1 for sandy, sand-clayey, and clayey soils, respectively. These patterns were the result of interactions between the total soil water content available to the crop and climate across the crop cycle (Pilau et al., 2018Pilau, F. G.; Battisti, R.; Dalmago, G. A. Requirement of supplemental irrigation and climatic efficiency for soybean crop in Rio Grande do Sul state, Brazil. Agrometeoros, v.26, p.317-325, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.31062/agrom.v26i2.26392
http://dx.doi.org/10.31062/agrom.v26i2.2...
).

Table 5
Maize yield, maize yield gain and total irrigation demand across cycle obtained for soil types in the state of Rio Grande do Sul

The simulated yield considers optimal crop management, and when compared with the actual mean yield of farmers, limited crop management was responsible for 46% of potential maize yield losses in Rio Grande do Sul (Battisti et al., 2012Battisti, R.; Sentelhas, P. C.; Pilau, F. G. Agricultural efficiency of soybean, corn and wheat production in the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, between 1980 and 2008. Ciência Rural, v.42, p.24-30, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0103-84782012000100005
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0103-84782012...
). Crop management can be improved with increased soil fertility, nitrogen adjustments for potential yield, efficient control of pests and diseases, improved quality of sowing, and the use of hybrids adapted to the environment (Andrea et al., 2018Andrea, M. C. da S.; Boote, K. J.; Sentelhas, P. C.; Romanelli, T. L. Variability and limitations of maize production in Brazil: Potential yield, water-limited yield and yield gaps. Agricultural Systems, v.165, p.264-273, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2018.07.004
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2018.07.0...
) in association with irrigation. Thus, considering the growing area in 2018/2019 of approximately 750,000 ha (IBGE, 2020IBGE - Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística. Produção Agrícola Municipal. Available on: <Available on: http://www.sidra.ibge.gov.br/bda/pesquisas/pam >. Accessed on: Dec. 2020.
http://www.sidra.ibge.gov.br/bda/pesquis...
) and a maize yield of 16,000 kg ha-1, obtained in the simulation by irrigation and optimal management, the state could achieve a production of 12 million tons.

Conclusions

  1. The crop model showed an acceptable relative bias (16%) and high correlation (r = 0.72) between the simulated and measured yields.

  2. The maize yield was significantly increased by irrigation, with different patterns observed across sites for rainfed and irrigated management.

  3. Yield gain and irrigation amount were influenced by the sowing dates, which determined climate conditions, and by soil types, due to the amount of soil water available to the crop.

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Edited by

Editors: Lauriane Almeida dos Anjos Soares & Walter Esfrain Pereira

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    29 July 2022
  • Date of issue
    Sept 2022

History

  • Received
    14 Feb 2022
  • Accepted
    20 May 2022
  • Published
    26 May 2022
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