Responsabilidade na governança agrícola e segurança alimentar na Nigéria

Osabohien, Romanus; Ufua, Daniel; Moses, Chinonye Love; Osabuohien, Evans

Romanus Osabohien ^**Corresponding Author: Romanus Osabohien, Covenant University, Department of Economics and Development Studies, Km 10, Idiroko Road, Ota - Nigeria, e-mail: romanus.osabohien@covenantuniversity.edu.ng

Covenant University, Department of Economics and Development Studies, Ota - Nigeria

Covenant University, Centre for Economic Policy and Development Research (CEPDeR), Ota – Nigeria

http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4359-1368

Daniel Ufua

Covenant University, Centre for Economic Policy and Development Research (CEPDeR), Ota – Nigeria

Covenant University, Department of Business Management, Ota - Nigeria

Chinonye Love Moses

Covenant University, Regional Centre of Expertise (RCE Ogun), Ota - Nigeria

Covenant University, Department of Business Management, Ota - Nigeria

Evans Osabuohien

Covenant University, Department of Economics and Development Studies, Ota - Nigeria

Covenant University, Centre for Economic Policy and Development Research (CEPDeR), Ota – Nigeria

Covenant University, Regional Centre of Expertise (RCE Ogun), Ota - Nigeria

http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3258-8326

*Corresponding Author: Romanus Osabohien, Covenant University, Department of Economics and Development Studies, Km 10, Idiroko Road, Ota - Nigeria, e-mail: romanus.osabohien@covenantuniversity.edu.ng

Data	Identifier	Data Source	Measurement
Food security	Npu	FAO (2017)	number of people undernourished (% of total population)
Agriculture	agricprod	CBN (2016)	Total volume of agriculture production
Agriculture	Acgsf	CBN (2016)	Credit to agricultural sector in Nigerian naira (N‘000)
Governance	Cc	Wold Bank- WGI, (2019)	Institutions
	Rlaw
	Psav
	Va
Population	population	World Bank- WDI (2019)	Total number of people

Variable	Mean	Standard Deviation	Minimum	Maximum
Number of people undernourished	10.81	1.48	8.80	14.30
Agricultural production	3707.31	4405.70	38.24	14709.10
Agricultural credit guarantee scheme fund	3827678	4325308	80845.80	1.30
Population	1.28	3.07	8.36	1.86
Voice and accountability	-0.77	0.30	-1.55	-0.46
Political stability and absence of violence	-1.92	0.20	-2.19	-1.52
control of corruption	17.10	10.13	0.70	28.00
Rule of law	1.14	0.19	0.72	1.43

Variables	DF t-statistic	Critical value 5%	Integration order	Remark
Number of people undernourished	-2.75	-1.96	I(1)	Stationary
Agricultural production	17.10	-1.95	I(0)	Stationary
Agricultural credit guaranteed scheme fund	-4.67	-3.69	I(1)	Stationary
Population	4.83	-1.95	I(1)	Stationary
Voice and accountability	-2.18	-1.95	I(0)	Stationary
Political stability/Absence of Violence	-5.31	-3.82	I(1)	Stationary
Control of corruption	-4.41	-3.67	I(1)	Stationary
Rule of law	-3.91	-3.71	I(0)	Stationary

Agriculture Production		Agricultural credit		Population		Voice and accountability		Political situation		Control of corruption		Rule of law
L1D	L2D		L2D	L1D	L2D	L1D	L2D	L1D	L2D	L1D	L2D	L1D	L2D
-0.05 (0.00) [0.00*]	-0.030 (0.17) [0.01**]	-1.06 (0.35) [0.02**]	-2.20 (0.80) [0.00*]	0.11 (0.49) [0.191]	0.200 (0.63) [0.19]	-0.07 (0.33) [0.55]	-0.06 (0.14) [0.13]	-0.21 (0.40) [0.04**]	-0.09 (0.42) [0.02**]	0.03 (0.02) [0.11]	0.03 (0.02) [0.00*]	-1.58 (0.56) [0.01**]	-1.67 (0.81) [0.32]

Agricultural production	Agriculture credit	Population	Voice & accountability	Political stability	Control of Corruption	Rule of law
-0.02 (0.00) [0.01**]	-0.18 (0.10) [0.09**]	0.74 (0.19) [0.08**]	0.51 (0.68) [0.52]	-0.69 (0.40) [0.00*]	0.63 (0.08) [0.468]	-0.29 (0.05) [0.05***]

Regress and Regressors	D_npu	D_ agricpro	D_acgsf	D_ pop	D_va	D_psav	D_cc	D_rlaw
ECterm	-0.0245*	-0.3137*	-0.0351*	-051087**	-0.0951*	-0.0038	-0.5561*	-0.0481*
	(0.000)	(0.002)	(0.004)	(0.035)	(0.545)	(0.142)	(0.000)	(0.000)
Npu (LD)	0.9216*	-586.9926	-0.3541*	-21282.73	0.1709	0.115773	-9.5024*	-0.599*
	(0.000)	(0.179)	(0.000)	(0.315)	(0.538)	(0.441)	(0.000)	0.000
agricpro (LD)	-0.00048	-0.0345	-1117.83**	-9.1983	0.0202**	0.0017***	-0.0116*	-0.003**
	(0.034)	(0.856)	(0.0229)	(0.660)	(0.0430)	(0.060)	(0.000)	(0.032)
acgsf (LD)	4.0809*	0.01216***	-0.0551	0.0031	-2.1508	-4.0408**	-2.4909*	2.208
	(0.000)	(0.020)	(0.809)	(0.395)	(0.753)	(0.025)	(0.001)	0.544
population (LD)	-2.8007*	0.0924*	1.6065***	1.0465*	-1.9407	1.4107	0.0121*	4.7607*
	(0.0000)	(0.000)	(0.068)	(0.000)	(0.456)	(0.113)	(0.000)	(0.001)
Va (LD)	-0.06387* (0.000)	-36.72332* (0.000)	-293060.8** (0.0244)	-9665.715 (0.867)	-0.25739* (0.008)	-0.0464 (0.577)	4.7568 (0.003)	0.6685* (0.000)
psav (LD)	-0.5867** (0.097)	231.2085* (0.000)	32.8656** (0.023)	25765.93** (0.0427)	-0.1919 (0.576)	-0.6713* (0.004)	0.44084 (0.841)	0.2047 (0.365)
Cc (LD)	-0.0027* (0.000)	-45.1274* (0.002)	24783.82 (0.350)	1397.085 (0.386)	-.0156096 0.459	-.0173928 0.128	-.028372 0.26	.012685 0.258
rlaw (LD)	-0.7855** (0.047)	709.4312** (0.031)	-1571.819* (0.000)	-6163.004 (0.865)	-.180111 (0.705)	0.0200 (0.938)	6.7578* (0.000)	1.1067* (0.000)
Adj. R-sq	0.8820	0.9804	0.6062	0.7480	0.831	0.9095	0.7973	0.695
AIC: 57.97317			HQIC: 59.21476		SBIC: 62.14865

\begin{array}{l} Δ n p u_{t} = β_{0} + \sum_{t = 1}^{n} β_{1} Δ a g r i c p r o_{t - 1} + \sum_{t = 0}^{n} β_{2} Δ a c g s f_{t - 1} + \sum_{t = 0}^{n} β_{3} Δ p o p_{t - 1} + \sum_{t = 0}^{n} β_{4} Δ c c_{t - 1} \\ + \sum_{t = 0}^{n} β_{5} Δ v a_{t - 1} + \sum_{t = 0}^{n} β_{6} Δ r l a w_{t - 1} + \sum_{t = 0}^{n} β_{7} Δ p s a v_{t - 1} + γ E C M_{t - 1} + e_{t} - \end{array}

\begin{array}{l} Δ n p u_{t} = β_{0} + \sum_{t = 1}^{n} β_{1} Δ a g r i c p r o_{t - 1} + \sum_{t = 0}^{n} β_{2} Δ a c g s f_{t - 1} + \sum_{t = 0}^{n} β_{3} Δ p o p_{t - 1} + + \sum_{t = 0}^{n} β_{4} Δ c c_{t - 1} + \\ + \sum_{t = 0}^{n} β_{5} Δ v a_{t - 1} + \sum_{t = 0}^{n} β_{6} Δ r l a w_{t - 1} + \sum_{t = 0}^{n} β_{7} Δ p s a v_{t - 1} e_{t - 1} \\ H_{0} : β_{0} = β_{1} = β_{2} = β_{3} = β_{4} = β_{5} = β_{6} = β_{7} (N o l o n g r u n r e l a t i o n s h i p e x i s t) \\ H_{1} : β_{0} \neq β_{1} \neq β_{2} \neq β_{3} \neq β_{4} \neq β_{5} \neq β_{6} \neq β_{67} (L o n g r u n r e l a t i o n s h i p e x i s t) \end{array}

[1] *Corresponding Author: Romanus Osabohien, Covenant University, Department of Economics and Development Studies, Km 10, Idiroko Road, Ota - Nigeria, e-mail: romanus.osabohien@covenantuniversity.edu.ng

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Responsabilidade na governança agrícola e segurança alimentar na Nigéria

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