A dynamic mathematical model was developed to describe the reproductive process in beef cattle production systems and to simulate individual cow reproductive performance while generating results for the herd, based on the body condition score (BCS) at calving and age at sexual maturity. The model is empiric and dynamic, containing deterministic and stochastic elements. The model was developed based on the relationship between BCS and postpartum interval for lactating cows; for heifers and non-lactating cows, the conception rate was based on the probability to conceive; for heifers, body weight and age at puberty were the limiting factors. The model has two forms of reading inputs: from a parturition report generated by software or from raw data provided by the user. Input data are considered averages, except for those defining the reproductive season. The model assigns a standard deviation to each variable, with normal distribution. The final output is in the form of a report providing the annual amount of kg of weaned calves per cow, among other information. Inputs may be freely changed to evaluate the impact of new parameters on the output. This model contributes to a greater understanding of the production system studied and allows simulation of the reproductive performance of beef cows at calving from their BCS. Once validated, it is envisioned that the model will be a valuable tool to aid decision-making.
beef cattle; modeling; reproduction
