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Physical frailty prediction model for the oldest old1 1 Paper extracted from doctoral dissertation “Síndrome da Fragilidade Física e fatores clínicos associados em idosos longevos usuários da atenção básica de saúde”, presented to Departamento de Enfermagem, Universidade Federal do Paraná, Curitiba, PR, Brazil.

ABSTRACT

Objective:

to present a physical frailty prediction model for oldest old users of primary health care, according to clinical variables.

Method:

cross-sectional study with proportional stratified sample of 243 oldest old subjects. Data were collected through a structured clinical questionnaire, handgrip strength test, walking speed, weight loss, fatigue/exhaustion, and physical activity level. For the analysis of the data, univariate and multivariate analysis by logistic regression were used (p<0.05), which resulted in prediction models. The odds ratios (95% Confidence Interval) of the models were calculated. Each model was evaluated by deviance analysis, likelihood ratios, specificity and sensitivity, considering the most adequate. All ethical and legal precepts were followed.

Results:

the prediction model elected was composed of metabolic diseases, dyslipidemias and hospitalization in the last 12 months.

Conclusion:

clinical variables interfere in the development of the physical frailty syndrome in oldest old users of basic health unit. The choice of a physical frailty regression model is the first step in the elaboration of clinical methods to evaluate the oldest old in primary care.

Descriptors:
Aged; Aged, 80 and Over; Frail Elderly; Aging; Geriatric Nursing; Morbidity

RESUMO

Objetivo:

apresentar um modelo preditivo de fragilidade física para idosos longevos usuários da atenção básica de saúde, segundo variáveis clínicas.

Método:

estudo transversal com amostra estratificada proporcional de 243 idosos longevos. Os dados foram coletados por meio de formulário clínico estruturado, testes de aferição da força de preensão manual e velocidade da marcha, verificação da perda de peso, fadiga/exaustão e nível de atividade física. Para análise dos dados, foi empregada análise univariada e multivariada por regressão logística (p<0,05), que resultou em modelos preditores, dos quais foram calculados odds ratio (Intervalo de Confiança 95%). Cada modelo foi avaliado pela análise de deviance, valor preditivo, especificidade e sensibilidade, sendo considerado elegível o mais parcimonioso. Todos os preceitos éticos e legais foram atendidos.

Resultados:

o modelo preditivo eleito foi composto pelas variáveis doenças metabólicas, dislipidemias e hospitalização nos últimos 12 meses.

Conclusão:

infere-se que variáveis clínicas interferem no desenvolvimento da síndrome da fragilidade física em idosos longevos usuários da atenção básica de saúde. A eleição de um modelo de regressão de fragilidade física constitui-se como o primeiro passo na elaboração de condutas clínicas de avaliação de idosos longevos na atenção primária.

Descritores:
Idoso; Idoso de 80 Anos ou Mais; Idoso Fragilizado; Envelhecimento; Enfermagem Geriátrica; Morbidade

RESUMEN

Objetivo:

presentar un modelo predictivo de fragilidad física para adultos mayores longevos, usuarios de la atención básica de salud, según variables clínicas.

Método:

estudio transversal con muestra estratificada proporcional de 243 adultos mayores longevos. Los datos se colectaron por medio de formulario clínico estructurado, pruebas de medición de fuerza de prensión manual y de velocidad de la marcha, comprobación de la pérdida de peso, fatiga/agotamiento y nivel de actividad física. Para examinar los datos se empleó el análisis univariado y multivariado por regresión logística (p<0,05), que resultó en modelos predictores de los cuales se calculó la razón de momios (RM, odds ratio en inglés) con Intervalo de Confianza del 95%. Cada modelo se evaluó mediante el análisis de la devianza, valor predictivo, especificidad y sensibilidad, siendo considerado elegible el más parsimonioso. Se atendieron todos los preceptos éticos y legales.

Resultados:

el modelo predictivo electo estaba compuesto por las variables enfermedades metabólicas, dislipidemias y hospitalización en los últimos 12 meses.

Conclusión:

se infiere que las variables clínicas interfieren en el desarrollo del síndrome de fragilidad física en adultos mayores longevos usuarios de la atención básica de salud. La elección de un modelo de regresión de fragilidad física se constituye como el primer paso para la elaboración de conductas clínicas de evaluación de adultos mayores longevos en la atención primaria.

Descriptores:
Anciano; Anciano de 80 o más Años; Anciano Frágil; Envejecimiento; Enfermería Geriátrica; Morbilidad

Introduction

Senescence is characterized by inevitable structural, physiological, and functional changes in the organism. For some people, these changes are accentuated and lead to increased risk of morbidity and mortality, while others remain robust, even in old age. Given the heterogeneity of the aging process, the concept of frailty has been increasingly discussed.

Physical frailty is a multicausal medical condition with several associated factors. It is characterized by a decrease in strength and endurance and an increase in the individual’s vulnerability for developing increased dependency and/or mortality11 Morley JE, Vellas B, van Kan GA, Anker SD, Bauer JM, Bernabei R, et al. Frailty consensus: a call to action. J Am Med Dir Assoc. [Internet]. 2013 Jun [cited Fev 12, 2017];14(6):392-7. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2013.03.022
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2013.0...
. This syndrome is an important marker of an individual’s physiological reserve and an indicator of the risk of negative outcomes to the health of the oldest-old22 Gale CR, Cooper C, Sayer AA. Prevalence of frailty and disability: findings from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. Age Ageing. [Internet]. 2015 Jan [cited Fev 12, 2017];44(1):162-5. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ageing/afu148
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-33 Morley JE. Frailty and sarcopenia: the new geriatric giants. Rev Invest Clin. [Internet]. 2016 Mar/Apr [cited Fev 12, 2017]; 68(2):59-67. Available from: http://clinicalandtranslationalinvestigation.com/files/ric_2016_68_2_059-067.pdf
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.

Aiming to construct a phenotype of frailty, international authors developed a model based on the markers decrease in handgrip strength, self-reported exhaustion or fatigue, diminished walking speed, unintentional weight loss and low level of physical activity44 Fried LP, Tangen CM, Walston J, Newman AB, Hirsch C, Gottdiener J, et al. Frailty in older adults: evidence for a phenotype. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. [Internet]. 2001 Mar [cited Fev 5, 2017]; 56(3):146-56. Available from: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11253156
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11253...
. Older adults without any of the markers are considered non-frail, those with one or two markers are called pre-frail and the presence of three or more markers characterizes frail older adults.

The oldest-old are characterized as a group that should be screened, even without evidence of disability11 Morley JE, Vellas B, van Kan GA, Anker SD, Bauer JM, Bernabei R, et al. Frailty consensus: a call to action. J Am Med Dir Assoc. [Internet]. 2013 Jun [cited Fev 12, 2017];14(6):392-7. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2013.03.022
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2013.0...
,55 Gordon AL, Masud T, Gladman JRF. Now that we have a definition for physical frailty, what shape should frailty medicine take? Age Ageing. [Internet]. 2014 Jan [cited Fev 12, 2017];43(1):8-9. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ageing/aft161
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ageing/aft161...
-66 Lenardt MH, Grden CRB, Sousa JAV, Reche PM, Betiolli SE, Ribeiro DKMN. Factors associated with loss of handgrip strength in long-lived elderly. Rev Esc Enferm USP. [Internet]. 2014 Dec [cited Fev 12, 2017];48(6):1006-12. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0080-623420140000700007
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0080-62342014...
. The high prevalence of physical frailty and the increase in the demand for health services among the oldest-old has stimulated discussions for the definition of predictors to better evaluate, characterize and monitor this age group77 Ding YY, Kuha J, Murphy M. Multidimensional predictors of physical frailty in older people: identifying how and for whom they exert their effects. Biogerontology. [Internet]. 2017 Apr [cited Jul 12, 2017];18(2):237-52. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10522-017-9677-9
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.

Among the factors related to the development and worsening of the frailty syndrome, the most prominent are clinical factors. An international cross-sectional study with 115 participants aged 65 and over in the Singapore University Hospital highlighted the association between the syndrome and recurrent hospital admissions, polypharmacy, and falls88 Tan LF, Lim ZY, Choe R, Seetharaman S, Merchant R. Screening for frailty and sarcopenia among older persons in medical outpatient clinics and its associations with healthcare burden. J Am Med Dir Assoc. [Internet]. 2017 Feb [cited Apr 15, 2017]. pii: S1525-8610(17)30035-X. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2017.01.004
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2017.0...
. Another international longitudinal study conducted with 2,925 Italian older adults with a mean age of 74.4 years showed that clinical variables, such as polypharmacy, chronic diseases and obesity, may worsen the frailty state99 Trevisan C, Veronese N, Maggi S, Baggio G, Toffanello ED, Zambon S, et al. Factors influencing transitions between frailty states in elderly adults: The Progetto Veneto Anziani Longitudinal Study. J Am Geriatr Soc. [Internet]. 2017 Jan [cited Apr 15, 2017];65(1):179-84. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jgs.14515
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jgs.14515...
. Similar results were obtained in a national cross-sectional study carried out with 385 independent older adults in the city of Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo, which found that frail older adults had a greater chance of having had a hospitalization in the prior 12 months, had more medical visits, and had more cases of cerebrovascular events, diabetes, urinary and fecal incontinence, osteoporosis and neoplasms1010 Calado LB, Ferriolli E, Moriguti JC, Martinez EZ, Lima NKC. Frailty syndrome in an independente urban population in Brazil (FIBRA Study): a cross-sectional populational study. Sao Paulo Med J. [Internet]. 2016 Oct [cited Fev 12, 2017];134(5):385-92. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1516-3180.2016.0078180516
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1516-3180.2016...
.

The identification of clinical factors associated with adverse outcomes for the health of older adults and the careful evaluation of the markers of physical frailty are essential for an adequate management of the syndrome, with the elaboration of effective interventions in the care of older adults.

One of the possible strategies for screening for physical frailty among older adults is the use of prediction models. International authors point out that this is a simple and clinically relevant tool that allows the use of routinely collected data in a systematic manner, optimizing data quality and reliability1111 Soong J, Poots AJ, Scott S, Donald K, Bell D. Developing and validating a risk prediction model for acute care based on frailty syndromes. BMJ Open. [Internet]. 2015 [cited Fev 12, 2017];5:e008457. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2015-008457
http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2015-0...
. For nurses in primary care, strategies like this can increase the speed and effectiveness of the care provided to the older adult.

The present study aimed to present a physical frailty prediction model for oldest-old patients of primary health care according to clinical variables.

Method

Cross-sectional study conducted in households in the area covered by three Basic Health Units (BHU) of the city of Curitiba, Paraná. The criteria for choosing the BHU were: having users belonging to the income classes C, D and E1212 Kamakura W, Mazzon JA. Socioeconomic stratification criteria and classification tools in Brazil. Rev Adm Empresas. [Internet]. 2016 [cited Mar 20, 2018];56(1):55-70. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0034-759020160106
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, since the classes A and B are not included in the BHU care; and having a significant number of older adults registered. The study population consisted of older adults aged 80 years or over and registered in these BHU.

Proportional stratified sampling was adopted considering that none of the BHU was overestimated or underestimated. The sample calculation considered a beta power of 80% (1-ß), a 5% significance level(α=0.05) and a minimum significant difference of 10% between the proportions of elderly individuals with the syndrome. From the total of 503 older adults, 10% were added to the sample size due to the possibilities of losses and refusals, which resulted in a final sample of 243 older adults.

The selection of the participants was random, through draw from the list of oldest-old patients enrolled in the selected BHU. For each participant, a maximum of three attempts to visit were made. In case of refusal, impossibility of participation or absence from the household, another participant was drawn, until reaching the sample determined for each BHU.

The following inclusion criteria were established for the participants: (a)being 80 years old or older; (b)being registered in one of the BHU of the research; (c)scoring higher than the cut-off in the cognitive test of the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE)1313 Folstein MF, Folstein SE, McHugh PR. “Mini-mental state”: a practical method for grading the cognitive state of patients for the clinician. J Psychiatr Res. [Internet]. 1975 Nov [cited Fev 12, 2017];12(3):189-98. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0022-3956(75)90026-6
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considering 13 points as illiterate, 18 as low (1 to 4 incomplete years) and average (4 to 8 incomplete years) education level and 26 as high education level (8 years or more)1414 Bertolucci PH, Brucki SM, Campacci SR, Juliano Y. The Mini-Mental State Examination in a general population: impact of educational status. Arq Neuropsiquiatr. [Internet]. 1994 Mar [cited Fev 12, 2017];52(1):1-7. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0004-282X1994000100001
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. Older adults undergoing chemotherapy or with previous diagnosis of serious mental illness or deficits that prevented participation in the study were excluded.

In the case of older adults with no cognitive conditions to answer the research questions (n​​=36) at this stage, the family caregiver was invited to participate, for which the following inclusion criteria were adopted: a) being 18 years or older; b) being a family caregiver; c) be living with the older adult for at least three months.

Data were collected from January 2013 to September 2015, in the household of the participants, through a structured clinical questionnaire, application of scales and physical tests that make up the evaluation of physical frailty. The data collection was carried out by scientific initiation undergraduate students and master and doctoral students, after previous training. A pilot study with ten oldest-old individuals was carried out to verify and adapt the questionnaire.

The clinical questionnaire consisted of specific questions about the clinical aspects of the oldest-old, inspired by sections II (Physical health) and III (Use of medical and dental services) of the multidimensional questionnaire Brazil Old Age Schedule (BOAS), elaborated and validated for evaluation of the older adult population of a large Brazilian urban center1515 Veras RP, Souza CAM, Cardoso RF, Milioli R, Silva SD. Research into elderly populations-the importance of the instrument and the training of the team: a methodological contribution. Rev Saúde Pública. [Internet]. 1988 [cited Fev 12, 2017];22(6):513-8. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0034-89101988000600008
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0034-89101988...
. The following clinical variables were investigated: diseases, falls in the last 12 months, hospitalizations in the last 12 months and use of medications.

The markers of the syndrome were evaluated based on the phenotype of frailty44 Fried LP, Tangen CM, Walston J, Newman AB, Hirsch C, Gottdiener J, et al. Frailty in older adults: evidence for a phenotype. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. [Internet]. 2001 Mar [cited Fev 5, 2017]; 56(3):146-56. Available from: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11253156
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11253...
, with some adaptations.

Handgrip strength (HGS) was measured using a Jamar® hydraulic dynamometer. Three measurements in kilogram/force (Kgf) were taken with the dominant hand, with one-minute intervals to regain strength and the highest reading was recorded1616 Roberts JE, Denison HJ, Martin HJ, Patel HP, Syddall H, Cooper C, et al. A review of the measurement of grip strength in clinical and epidemiological studies: towards a standardised approach. Age Ageing. [Internet]. 2011 Jul [cited Apr 15, 2017];40(4):423-9. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ageing/afr051
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. Values ​​were adjusted according to gender and body mass index (BMI, in Kg/m2), considering the values ​​in the lowest quintile as markers of physical frailty (Figure 1).

Figure 1
Cut-off points for handgrip strength adjusted for gender and body mass index of the participants. Curitiba, PR, Brazil, 2015

To evaluate walking speed (in m/s), the participants were instructed to walk a distance of six meters in their usual pace on a flat surface, signaled by two marks distant four meters from each other. In order to reduce acceleration and deceleration effects, the first and last meters were not timed, only the four-meter course was considered. An international literature review study evaluating walking speed tests, pointed out that six-meter courses have been widely used with older adults and that 4 to 6-meter courses can be used, according to the purpose of the study1717 Graham JE, Ostir GV, Kuo Y, Fisher SR, Ottenbacher JK. Relationship Between Test Methodology and Mean Velocity in Timed Walk Tests: A Review. Arch Phys Med Rehabil. [Internet]. 2008 May [cited Fev 12, 2017];89(5):865-72. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apmr.2007.11.029
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apmr.2007.11...
.

After adjusting for gender and height, values equal or higher than the cutoff points were considered frailty markers (Figure 2).

Figure 2
Cut-off points for walking speed adjusted according to gender and height of the participants. Curitiba, PR, Brazil, 2015

Weight loss was verified through the self-report of the participant on the following questions: a) Did you lose weight in the last twelve months? b) If yes, how many kilograms? Unintentional weight loss equal to or greater than 4.5 kg in the prior twelve months was considered as a marker for physical frailty.

The marker fatigue/exhaustion was verified based on the self-report of the participant on the question “Do you feel full of energy?”, present on the Depression Scale of the Center for Epidemiological Studies1818 Radloff LS. The CES-D scale: a self-report depression scale for research in the general population. Appl Psychol Meas. [Internet]. 1977 [cited Fev 12, 2017];1(3):385-401. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/014662167700100306
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. A negative response to the question represented a marker of frailty.

The Physical Activity Level Questionnaire for the Elderly - CuritibAtiva was used to evaluate the level of physical activity of the participants. This questionnaire contains twenty questions related to the frequency and time of activities performed in the last week by the older adult and at the end of the evaluation it classifies the subject as inactive (0-32 points), not very active (33-82 points), moderately active (83-108 points), active (109-133 points) or very active (134 points or more)1919 Rauchbach R, Wendling NMS. Building evolution of an evaluation instrument of the physical activity level for old people - Curitibativa. FIEP Bull. [Internet]. 2009 [cited Mar 20, 2018];79(2):543-7. Available from: http://www.fiepbulletin.net/index.php/fiepbulletin/article/viewFile/3405/6635
http://www.fiepbulletin.net/index.php/fi...
. The classifications of inactive or not very active, according to the instrument, were considered frailty markers.

Statistical analyzes were performed in the software Statistica10. For the clinical characterization of the sample, descriptive analyzes were performed using absolute and percentage frequency distribution, mean and standard deviation, as well as other measures of central tendency (mode and median).

The univariate analysis was performed using the chi-square test, with p value<0.05. Each clinical variable was evaluated separately in relation to the response of interest - the frailty. In the multivariate analysis through logistic regression, two groups were analyzed (Cluster analysis), with joint analysis of the categories Pre-frail and Non-Frail. The Pre-frail and Non-Frail categories were analyzed together because the logistic regression is basically limited to two groups. The classification of frail was determined as priority response (event of interest) and the other category, Non-Frail, was considered its complement, according to a model associated with binomial distribution.

For the elaboration of the prediction model, all clinical variables of the study were initially included; then, the forward stepwise method was used to include those individual data that presented lower p-value. The respective odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval of the variables inserted in each model were calculated.

Each model was evaluated by deviance analysis, predictive index, specificity and sensitivity, considering the most adequate. Thus, there were three possible physical frailty prediction models according to clinical variables for oldest-old patients of primary health care.

The study complied with national and international ethics standards for research involving human beings, following resolution no. 466/2012, approved on November 28, 2012, under registration CEP/SD: 156.413 and CAAE: 07993712.8.0000.0102, of the Research Ethics Committee in Human Beings of the Sector of Health Sciences of the Federal University of Paraná.

Results

The final sample consisted of 243 oldest-old individuals, with a predominance of females (161, 66.3%), and minimum and maximum age of 80 and 98 years (mean=84.4±3.8). There was a predominance of widowed (158; 65%), with low level of education (137; 56.4%) and who lived with relatives (144; 59.3%).

Of the total sample, 36 (14.8%) were classified as Frail, 52 (21.4%) as Non-Frail and 155 (63.8%) as Pre-Frail. The majority of patients reported a disease (236, 97.1%), did not report previous falls (132, 54.3%) or hospitalizations (193; 79.4%) and used medication (233, 95.9%). There was a significant association between physical frailty and hospitalization in the last 12 months (p=0.0454).

Regarding self-reported diseases, most reported cardiovascular disease (n=211; 86.8%) and denied musculoskeletal diseases (n=148; 60,9%), digestive diseases (n=217; 89,3%), metabolic diseases (n=165; 67.9%), respiratory diseases (n=220; 90.5%), dyslipidemia (n=188; 77.4%) and other conditions (n=191; 78,6%).

Regarding the medicines used by the participants, there was a predominance of the use of 2 or more drugs from the groups of antihypertensive, diuretic and vasodilator drugs (n=113; 46.5%). The majority did not report using medications from the other groups of drugs investigated. There was a significant association between the frailty syndrome and the group of drugs classified as antidiabetic (p=0.0248).

Table 2 presents the three logistic prediction models of physical frailty for the oldest-old, considering clinical variables.

Table 1
Association between physical frailty and the clinical characteristics of the participants. Curitiba, PR, Brazil, 2015
Table 2
Physical frailty prediction model for the oldest-old, according to clinical variables. Curitiba, PR, Brasil, 2015

The Complete Model had a worse performance in comparison to the others, as it did not show statistical significance (p=0.303) and obtained low rates of adjustment of Frail (20.6%) and Non-frail (88.7%) and high rates of false frail (35.2%) and non-frail (47.2%). Models 1 and 2 are similar in predictive capacity (65% - 65.8%), sensitivity (55.5% - 58.3%) and specificity (66.6% - 67.1%) (Table 3).

Table 3
Comparison of physical frailty prediction models for the oldest-old, according to clinical variables. Curitiba, PR, Brasil, 2015

Model 1 stands out from the others because it presents statistical significance (p=0.013) associated with a smaller number of clinical variables in comparison with the other models (Table 2). Therefore, it was the most effective for predicting frailty in older adults in the present study.

In this model, there was statistical association only for “dyslipidemias” (p=0.048) and “hospitalization in the last 12 months” (p=0.024) (Table 2). Evaluating the OR of the variables in this model and keeping the others constant, the effect of the variable “hospitalization in the last 12 months” on variations in the prevalence of frailty can be highlighted, while the variable “dyslipidemia” (OR=0.32) has lower influence and the variable “metabolic diseases” (p=0.073; CI 0.94-4.24) has no influence in the chosen model.

Discussion

The prevalence of frailty among the oldest-old found in this study is slightly different from the results obtained in an international systematic review, which investigated the same index among older adults aged 60 and over who lived in communities in Latin American and Caribbean countries (19.6% frail)2020 Mata FAF, Pereira PPS, Andrade KRC, Figueiredo ACMG, Silva MT, Pereira MG. Prevalence of frailty in Latin America and the Caribbean: a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. PLoS One. [Internet]. 2016 [cited Fev 12, 2017];11(8): e0160019. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0160019
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. Another international review that assessed the prevalence of the syndrome in developing countries found a variation of 17% to 31% in Brazilian studies with similar samples2121 Nguyen TN, Cumming RG, Hilmer SN. A review of frailty in developing countries. J Nutr Health Aging. [Internet]. 2015 Nov [cited Fev 12, 2017];19(9):941-6. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12603-015-0503-2
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12603-015-050...
. When considering the distribution of physical frailty by age group, especially in the group of the oldest old, the results of the present study are similar to those obtained in a cross-sectional study of the Frailty Network of Brazilian Elderly (FIBRA), carried out in seven cities in Brazil, which revealed that among 512 oldest old, 19.7% were frail and 57.2% were pre-frail2222 Neri AL, Yassuda MA, Araújo LF, Eulálio MC, Cabral BE, Siqueira MEC, et al. Methodology and social, demographic, cognitive, and frailty profiles of community-dwelling elderly from seven Brazilian cities: the FIBRA Study. Cad Saúde Pública. [Internet]. 2013 Apr [cited Fev 12, 2017];29(4):778-92. doi: http://dx.doi. org/10.1590/S0102-311X2013000400015
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.

The variability of the prevalence of the syndrome may be related to the geographic locations of the samples from the studies evaluated. Likewise, the characteristics of the individuals evaluated in the present study, who are users of Basic Health Units, may be determinant for the prevention of frailty and for stability or its cure. A meticulous care provided by the health team to this age group, through pharmacological and non-pharmacological therapy, can lead to adequate management of chronic diseases, minimizing the development of possible complications from comorbidities, such as physical frailty.

In the present study, the group of drugs that was significantly associated with the development of the syndrome was the antidiabetics. The mechanisms of the association between diabetes mellitus (DM) and frailty are still uncertain2323 García-Esquinas E, Graciani A, Guallar-Castillón P, López-García E, Rodríguez-Mañas L, Rodríguez-Artalejo F. Diabetes and risk of frailty and its potential mechanisms: a prospective cohort study of older adults. J Am Med Dir Assoc. [Internet]. 2015 Sep [cited Fev 12, 2017];16(9):748-54. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2015.04.008
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; however, there is evidence that DM is a potential risk factor for the development of the syndrome.

An international prospective study with 1750 older adults in Spain found an increased risk (OR 2.18, 95% CI, 1.42-3.37) of frailty in participants with diabetes. In addition, it pointed out that the use of antidiabetic medication reduced the risk to 1.01 (95% CI, 0.46-2.20)2323 García-Esquinas E, Graciani A, Guallar-Castillón P, López-García E, Rodríguez-Mañas L, Rodríguez-Artalejo F. Diabetes and risk of frailty and its potential mechanisms: a prospective cohort study of older adults. J Am Med Dir Assoc. [Internet]. 2015 Sep [cited Fev 12, 2017];16(9):748-54. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2015.04.008
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. The use of medications of this class by the oldest old may contribute to the maintenance of lean mass, muscular strength and functional capacity2424 Leenders M, Verdijk LB, van der Hoeven L, Adam JJ, van Kranenburg J, Nilwik R, et al. Patients with type 2 diabetes show a greater decline in muscle mass, muscle strength, and functional capacity with aging. J Am Med Dir Assoc. [Internet]. 2013 Aug [cited Fev 12, 2017];14(8):585-92. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2013.02.006
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2013.0...
. Therefore, the control of glycemic indexes is a fundamental goal in the management of physical frailty in the oldest old.

In the final regression model, the participants who were more likely to become frail had had a hospitalization in the last 12 months (OR=2.50), dyslipidemia (OR=0.32) and metabolic disease (OR=1.99).

The association of the syndrome with hospitalization in the last 12 months was highlighted in national1010 Calado LB, Ferriolli E, Moriguti JC, Martinez EZ, Lima NKC. Frailty syndrome in an independente urban population in Brazil (FIBRA Study): a cross-sectional populational study. Sao Paulo Med J. [Internet]. 2016 Oct [cited Fev 12, 2017];134(5):385-92. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1516-3180.2016.0078180516
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1516-3180.2016...
and international88 Tan LF, Lim ZY, Choe R, Seetharaman S, Merchant R. Screening for frailty and sarcopenia among older persons in medical outpatient clinics and its associations with healthcare burden. J Am Med Dir Assoc. [Internet]. 2017 Feb [cited Apr 15, 2017]. pii: S1525-8610(17)30035-X. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2017.01.004
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2017.0...
,2525 Vermeiren S, Vella-Azzopardi R, Beckwée D, Habbig AK, Scafoglieri A, Jansen B, et al. Frailty and the prediction of negative health outcomes: a meta-analysis. J Am Med Dir Assoc. [Internet]. 2016 Dec [cited Fev 12, 2017];17(12):1163.e1-1163.e17. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2016.09.010
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2016.0...
-2626 Martínez-Reig M, Ruano TF, Sánchez MF, García AN, Rizos LR, Soler PA. Frailty and long term mortality, disability and hospitalisation in Spanish older adults. The FRADEA Study. Rev Esp Geriatr Gerontol. [Internet]. 2016 Sept/Oct [cited Fev 12, 2017];51(5):254-9. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.regg.2016.01.006
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.regg.2016.01...
) authors. A systematic review evaluated 31 international articles and found that frailty increases the risk of hospitalization from 1.2 to 1.8 times2525 Vermeiren S, Vella-Azzopardi R, Beckwée D, Habbig AK, Scafoglieri A, Jansen B, et al. Frailty and the prediction of negative health outcomes: a meta-analysis. J Am Med Dir Assoc. [Internet]. 2016 Dec [cited Fev 12, 2017];17(12):1163.e1-1163.e17. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2016.09.010
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2016.0...
. This finding is similar to another cross-sectional study carried out with 993 older adults aged 70 years or older residing in Albacete, Spain, which found a 1.7 times increased risk of hospitalization2626 Martínez-Reig M, Ruano TF, Sánchez MF, García AN, Rizos LR, Soler PA. Frailty and long term mortality, disability and hospitalisation in Spanish older adults. The FRADEA Study. Rev Esp Geriatr Gerontol. [Internet]. 2016 Sept/Oct [cited Fev 12, 2017];51(5):254-9. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.regg.2016.01.006
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.regg.2016.01...
. Physical frailty generates a greater demand for care due to the reduced capacity of response to several stressors and the decrease in the of homeostasis, which causes negative health outcomes, such as hospitalization.

The high chances of hospitalization in the present study are possibly related to the age range of the sample. There is a scarcity of national and international studies that exclusively address the oldest old. This approach is necessary due to the peculiarities of this age group, which are different from those of younger adults, especially due to higher rates of negative health outcomes.

Regarding the variable “dyslipidemia”, which was associated with greater probability of physical frailty in this study, international authors2323 García-Esquinas E, Graciani A, Guallar-Castillón P, López-García E, Rodríguez-Mañas L, Rodríguez-Artalejo F. Diabetes and risk of frailty and its potential mechanisms: a prospective cohort study of older adults. J Am Med Dir Assoc. [Internet]. 2015 Sep [cited Fev 12, 2017];16(9):748-54. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2015.04.008
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2015.0...
,2727 Vishram JK. Prognostic interactions between cardiovascular risk factors. Dan Med J. [Internet]. 2014 Jul [cited Fev 22, 2017];61(7):B4892. Available from: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25123126
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2512...
-2828 Nadruz W, Kitzman D, Windham BG, Kucharska-Newton A, Butler K, Palta P, et al. Cardiovascular Dysfunction and Frailty Among Older Adults in the Community: The ARIC Study. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. [Internet]. 2017 Jul [cited Oct 21, 2017];72(7):958-64. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/gerona/glw199
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/gerona/glw199...
highlighted the relationship between this factor, sarcopenia and other morbidities, especially Diabetes Mellitus and cardiovascular diseases. Dyslipidemia associated with other chronic diseases favors the occurrence of neuromuscular changes and, consequently, leads to changes in walking speed, balance and to the physical frailty syndrome2828 Nadruz W, Kitzman D, Windham BG, Kucharska-Newton A, Butler K, Palta P, et al. Cardiovascular Dysfunction and Frailty Among Older Adults in the Community: The ARIC Study. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. [Internet]. 2017 Jul [cited Oct 21, 2017];72(7):958-64. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/gerona/glw199
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/gerona/glw199...
-2929 Thiede R, Toosizadeh N, Mills JL, Zaky M, Mohler J, Najafi B. Gait and balance assessments as early indicators of frailty in patients with known peripheral artery disease. Clin Biomech. (Bristol, Avon) [Internet]. 2016 Feb [cited Fev 12, 2017];32:1-7. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clinbiomech.2015.12.002
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clinbiomech....
.

Regarding the influence of the variable “metabolic disease” in the predictive model, it is possibly related to neuroendocrine dysregulation, one of the factors that leads to the development of physical frailty3030 Vitale G, Cesari M, Mari D. Aging of the endocrine system and its potential impact on sarcopenia. Eur J Intern Med. [Internet]. 2016 Nov [cited Fev 12, 2017];35:10-5. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejim.2016.07.017
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejim.2016.07...
. Hormonal alterations3131 Afilalo J. Androgen deficiency as a biological determinant of frailty: hope or hype? J Am Geriatr Soc. [Internet]. 2014 Jun [cited Apr 15, 2017];62(6):1174-8. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jgs.12835
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jgs.12835...
and hypovitaminosis3232 Vogt S, Decke S, de Las Heras Gala T, Linkohr B, Koenig W, Ladwig KH, et al. Prospective association of vitamin D with frailty status and all-cause mortality in older adults: results from the KORA-Age Study. Prev Med. [Internet]. 2015 Apr [cited Fev 12, 2017];73:40-6. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2015.01.010
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2015.0...
have been identified as important disorders associated with the syndrome.

Vitamin D can be highlighted for its role in the musculoskeletal health of older adults and its consequent relationship with the sarcopenic process. A prospective international study with 727 older adults aged 65 years and over in the Augsburg region of Germany found that participants with low vitamin D levels had significantly higher odds of developing the syndrome (OR=2.53) when compared to those with normal levels3232 Vogt S, Decke S, de Las Heras Gala T, Linkohr B, Koenig W, Ladwig KH, et al. Prospective association of vitamin D with frailty status and all-cause mortality in older adults: results from the KORA-Age Study. Prev Med. [Internet]. 2015 Apr [cited Fev 12, 2017];73:40-6. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2015.01.010
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2015.0...
. In this sense, orientation and encouragement regarding exposure to the sun, intake of food rich in vitamin D and practice of physical exercises is considered a nursing role.

For gerontological nursing, the elaboration of a physical frailty prediction model contributes to a greater objectivity in the screening of the oldest old3333 Grden CRB, Lenardt MH, Sousa JAV, Kusumota L, Dellaroza MSG, Betiolli SE. Associations between frailty syndrome and sociodemographic characteristics in long-lived individuals of a community. Rev. Latino-Am. Enfermagem. [Internet]. 2017 [cited Oct 21, 2017];25:e2886. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1518-8345.1770.2886.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1518-8345.1770...
. This is the fastest growing age group in the world; they have characteristics different from younger older adults and are often excluded from scientific studies. Investigations addressing subjects aged 80 and over should be stimulated in order to increase knowledge about the prevalence of syndromes, associated factors, and health and disease conditions in this age group.

The results of this study include clinical factors that may interfere in the development of the syndrome and represent possible intervention factors in gerontological nursing care. In this context, the elaboration of a prediction model is the first step for planning care to minimize the development of frailty and establishing interventions to maintain functional capacity and adequately manage the syndrome. The evaluation of the odds of an older adult becoming frail can support a decision-making process based on clinical reasoning aimed at the prevention of the health problems of the oldest old, even in primary care.

Regarding the limitations of this research, its cross-sectional design means it is not possible to establish causal relations between the clinical variables and the outcome of this investigation. In addition, the sample represents a specific community, so the results cannot be generalized. Longitudinal and multi-center studies should be conducted to deepen the investigation of these relationships and to verify the transitions between levels of frailty in relation to severity and reversibility of cases in the medium and long term.

Conclusion

The present study proposed a Physical Frailty Prediction Model for the oldest old according to clinical variables, which included “metabolic disease”, “dyslipidemia” and “hospitalization in the last 12 months”. In the univariate analysis of the data, the clinical variables “hospitalization in the last 12 months” and “antidiabetics” were associated with the development of the physical frailty syndrome.

Regarding the management of physical frailty in primary care, the nurse must provide an assistance that addresses the peculiarities of the oldest old and develop actions aimed at the prevention of the syndrome and related clinical factors. Nursing interventions in primary care, such as encouraging physical activity, providing orientation on adequate nutritional intake and clarification about the correct use of medications and conducting clinical follow-up of the elderly are important strategies for the maintenance of lean mass, muscular strength, functional capacity, and lipid levels, which in turn favor the reduction of important clinical factors, such as dyslipidemia and hospitalizations. In addition, these measures allow the monitoring of non-frail and pre-frail elderly individuals in order to reduce transition to more severe levels of the syndrome.

For the present study, the choice of a physical frailty prediction model for the oldest old provides a faster, less expensive clinical application, without the need for a differentiated environment for the evaluation of certain markers. In addition, it reduces the use of specific equipment to screen for the syndrome. The choice of a physical frailty regression model is the first step in the elaboration of clinical nursing methods to evaluate the oldest old in primary care.

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  • 1
    Paper extracted from doctoral dissertation “Síndrome da Fragilidade Física e fatores clínicos associados em idosos longevos usuários da atenção básica de saúde”, presented to Departamento de Enfermagem, Universidade Federal do Paraná, Curitiba, PR, Brazil.

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    2018

History

  • Received
    14 July 2017
  • Accepted
    06 May 2018
Escola de Enfermagem de Ribeirão Preto / Universidade de São Paulo Av. Bandeirantes, 3900, 14040-902 Ribeirão Preto SP Brazil, Tel.: +55 (16) 3315-3451 / 3315-4407 - Ribeirão Preto - SP - Brazil
E-mail: rlae@eerp.usp.br